Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Houston Dynamo

00:00 UTC

St. Louis City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 301h before kick-off

Houston Dynamo win

49.3%

model 49.2%

Draw

27.7%

model 26.4%

St. Louis City win

23.0%

model 24.4%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-0 10.8%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 9.1%
0-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.9%	Under 2.5	51.1%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Houston Dynamo 1+	79.5%	Houston Dynamo 2+	47.0%
St. Louis City 1+	64.8%	St. Louis City 2+	28.0%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Houston Dynamo or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 757 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Houston Dynamo have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for St. Louis City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Houston Dynamo and 1.04 for St. Louis City.

Why Houston Dynamo

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why St. Louis City can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Houston Dynamo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St. Louis City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Houston Dynamo: 49% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St. Louis City: 50% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Houston Dynamo are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	492624	1.58–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482725	1.54–1.03	1-1 13%	47%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win	48.4%	47.4%	45.3%	1.05×	2.11
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.58
St. Louis City to win	24.7%	24.5%	30.0%	0.82×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	21.1%	1.19×	3.97
Houston Dynamo & both teams score	21.0%	21.8%	24.4%	0.89×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
St. Louis City & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.54
St. Louis City & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & over 1.5	37.3%	34.9%	37.2%	0.94×	2.87
Houston Dynamo & under 3.5	34.2%	30.8%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
Houston Dynamo & over 2.5	28.2%	26.1%	31.0%	0.84×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.1%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Houston Dynamo & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	14.4%	1.50×	4.63
St. Louis City & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
St. Louis City & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Houston Dynamo & over 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
St. Louis City & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
St. Louis City & under 2.5	11.3%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
Houston Dynamo & under 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	8.2%	1.56×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
St. Louis City & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
St. Louis City & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1UP)	62.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
St. Louis City (1UP)	41.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2UP)	48.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
St. Louis City (2UP)	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win 2nd half	39.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
St. Louis City to win 2nd half	24.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (+2.5)	89.8%	88.5%	89.4%	0.99×	1.13
Houston Dynamo (+0.5)	75.3%	78.5%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
St. Louis City (+1.5)	74.9%	73.7%	76.8%	0.96×	1.36
St. Louis City (+0.5)	51.6%	52.4%	54.7%	0.96×	1.91
Houston Dynamo (-0.5)	48.4%	47.6%	45.3%	1.05×	2.10
Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	25.1%	26.3%	23.2%	1.13×	3.80
St. Louis City (-0.5)	24.7%	21.5%	30.0%	0.72×	4.65
Houston Dynamo (-2.5)	10.2%	11.5%	10.6%	1.09×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede	78.5%	78.8%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
St. Louis City clean sheet	21.5%	21.2%	17.7%	1.20×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City clean sheet in 1st half	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
St. Louis City to concede in 1st half	48.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede in 2nd half	58.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
St. Louis City clean sheet in 2nd half	41.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City over 2.5 corners	78.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St. Louis City under 6.5 corners	77.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St. Louis City under 5.5 corners	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
St. Louis City over 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
St. Louis City under 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
St. Louis City over 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St. Louis City under 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
St. Louis City over 5.5 corners	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
St. Louis City over 6.5 corners	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
St. Louis City under 2.5 corners	21.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
St. Louis City under 2.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
St. Louis City under 1.5 goals	72.5%	71.8%	61.2%	1.17×	1.39
St. Louis City over 0.5 goals	64.3%	63.2%	73.3%	0.86×	1.58
St. Louis City under 0.5 goals	35.7%	36.8%	26.7%	1.38×	2.72
St. Louis City over 1.5 goals	27.5%	28.2%	38.8%	0.73×	3.55
St. Louis City over 2.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.06
St. Louis City over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City scores equally in both	45.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
St. Louis City scores more in 2nd half	34.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
St. Louis City scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (away no bet)	64.3%	61.9%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.7%	38.1%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City even goals	56.4%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
St. Louis City odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Houston Dynamo to score 2+ in a row	38.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St. Louis City to score 2+ in a row	20.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Houston Dynamo to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
St. Louis City to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo corners (+3.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Houston Dynamo corners (+2.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St. Louis City corners (+3.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St. Louis City corners (+2.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Houston Dynamo corners (+1.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St. Louis City corners (+1.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Houston Dynamo corners (-1.5)	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Houston Dynamo corners (-2.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
St. Louis City corners (-1.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Houston Dynamo corners (-3.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St. Louis City corners (-2.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St. Louis City corners (-3.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.71
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	8.2%	1.39×	8.72
2-0	9.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-0	4.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.29
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2nd half DNB)	62.0%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
St. Louis City (2nd half DNB)	38.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo leading at HT (DNB)	64.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St. Louis City leading at HT (DNB)	35.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw (1X)	75.3%	75.5%	70.0%	1.08×	1.32
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City (12)	73.2%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
St. Louis City or draw (X2)	51.6%	52.6%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw at HT	80.4%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
St. Louis City or draw at HT	64.0%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City at HT	55.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw (1UP)	75.3%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
St. Louis City or draw (1UP)	51.6%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw in 2nd half	76.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
St. Louis City or draw in 2nd half	60.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (DNB)	66.2%	67.4%	60.2%	1.12×	1.48
St. Louis City (DNB)	33.8%	32.6%	39.8%	0.82×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score first	54.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
St. Louis City to score first	36.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.1%	51.3%	61.3%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.9%	48.7%	38.7%	1.26×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	29.5%	1.30×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	38.3%	38.5%	51.1%	0.75×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.5%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.5%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.26

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.6%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.4%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.7%	26.6%	20.2%	1.32×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.1%	22.9%	33.0%	0.69×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
St. Louis City to score exactly 0	35.7%	35.9%	26.7%	1.34×	2.78
St. Louis City to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.5%	22.2%	0.88×	5.12
St. Louis City to score 3+	8.6%	8.6%	16.7%	0.51×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 1	33.0%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 2	25.4%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 0	21.5%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
Houston Dynamo to score 3+	20.1%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Houston Dynamo leading at HT	36.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
St. Louis City leading at HT	19.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.22

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo -1: 2	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Houston Dynamo -1: 1	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Houston Dynamo -1: X	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:1)	51.6%	51.3%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Houston Dynamo (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	23.2%	1.16×	3.71
Draw (0:1)	23.3%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:2)	74.9%	75.7%	76.8%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.9%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.09
Houston Dynamo (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:3)	89.8%	90.7%	89.4%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.25
Houston Dynamo (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:4)	96.6%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.63
Houston Dynamo (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.80

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1:0)	75.3%	78.5%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
St. Louis City (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2:0)	90.7%	94.0%	87.0%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.67
St. Louis City (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede	64.3%	63.7%	73.3%	0.87×	1.57
Houston Dynamo clean sheet	35.7%	36.3%	26.7%	1.36×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Houston Dynamo to concede in 1st half	33.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 2nd half	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Houston Dynamo to concede in 2nd half	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Houston Dynamo under 6.5 corners	71.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Houston Dynamo under 5.5 corners	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Houston Dynamo over 4.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Houston Dynamo under 4.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Houston Dynamo over 5.5 corners	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Houston Dynamo over 6.5 corners	28.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 corners	17.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 goals	93.0%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 goals	79.9%	77.8%	75.0%	1.04×	1.29
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 goals	78.5%	77.8%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.2%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.8%	51.3%	0.91×	2.14
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 goals	21.5%	22.2%	17.7%	1.26×	4.50
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 goals	20.1%	22.2%	25.0%	0.89×	4.50
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 goals	7.0%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 1st half	85.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 1st half	14.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Houston Dynamo scores equally in both	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Houston Dynamo scores more in 1st half	25.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.1%	51.4%	45.3%	1.14×	1.94
St. Louis City (home no bet)	47.9%	48.6%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo even goals	52.3%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Houston Dynamo odd goals	47.7%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
HT 1-0	22.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	29.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
St. Louis City at HT / St. Louis City at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / St. Louis City at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Houston Dynamo at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
St. Louis City at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
St. Louis City at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Houston Dynamo at HT / St. Louis City at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score last	55.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
St. Louis City to score last	36.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Houston Dynamo to lead by 1 at any time	62.7%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
St. Louis City to lead by 1 at any time	41.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Houston Dynamo to lead by 2 at any time	31.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
St. Louis City to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Houston Dynamo to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
St. Louis City to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.69

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo most corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
St. Louis City most corners	39.4%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.6%	72.3%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.6%	68.8%	69.0%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.0%	68.8%	57.4%	1.20×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.4%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.7%	48.4%	56.3%	0.86×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.4%	43.6%	34.2%	1.28×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.7%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.1%	24.5%	33.0%	0.74×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.0%	24.4%	26.2%	0.93×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.2%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo never behind	49.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
St. Louis City never behind	29.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	89.1%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.3%	72.5%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	79.8%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.7%	52.5%	39.8%	1.32×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.3%	47.5%	60.2%	0.79×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	20.2%	1.36×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.7%	27.5%	37.0%	0.74×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	21.2%	0.58×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	5.8%	1.35×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	10.9%	0.42×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.3%	86.7%	74.8%	1.16×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.2%	67.5%	51.8%	1.30×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.9%	61.9%	74.9%	0.83×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.1%	38.1%	25.1%	1.52×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.8%	32.5%	48.2%	0.67×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.7%	13.3%	25.2%	0.53×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Houston Dynamo to score in both halves	28.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
St. Louis City to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.1%	53.8%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
Only Houston Dynamo scores	27.4%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.84
Only St. Louis City scores	13.2%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.06
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.9%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.4%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.9%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	10.9%	0.41×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	33.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.7%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to win both halves	95.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Houston Dynamo not to win both halves	85.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Houston Dynamo to win both halves	14.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
St. Louis City to win both halves	4.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win neither half	61.1%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Houston Dynamo to win either half	61.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Houston Dynamo to win neither half	39.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
St. Louis City to win either half	38.9%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
Houston Dynamo not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
Houston Dynamo to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	21.1%	1.17×	4.05
St. Louis City to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	12.1%	0.99×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.59
Houston Dynamo by 1	23.3%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
St. Louis City by 1	15.4%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
Houston Dynamo by 2	14.9%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.50
Houston Dynamo by 3+	10.2%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
St. Louis City by 2	6.7%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.91
St. Louis City by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.89