Huachipato v Deportes Concepcion — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Huachipato

20:00 UTC

Deportes Concepcion

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

Huachipato win

27.7%

model 29.4%

Draw

22.9%

model 20.8%

Deportes Concepcion win

49.3%

model 49.8%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.2%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-0 9.3%
0-2 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.9%	Under 2.5	48.1%
BTTS yes	52.6%	BTTS no	47.4%
Huachipato 1+	68.4%	Huachipato 2+	32.0%
Deportes Concepcion 1+	79.8%	Deportes Concepcion 2+	47.5%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Deportes Concepcion or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 51%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Huachipato not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 73%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportes Concepcion carry the stronger rating, 1557 Elo against 1413.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Concepcion have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for Huachipato and 22.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Huachipato and 1.60 for Deportes Concepcion.

Why Huachipato

Nothing in the data singles out Huachipato.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Deportes Concepcion can win

Deportes Concepcion carry the stronger rating, 1557 Elo against 1413. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Huachipato, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportes Concepcion, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Huachipato: 44% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Concepcion: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Concepcion are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292150	1.15–1.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322246	1.15–1.45	0-1 13%	48%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win	45.9%	47.3%	30.0%	1.58×	2.11
Huachipato to win	32.2%	30.4%	49.0%	0.62×	3.29
Draw	21.9%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & not both score	26.2%	25.2%	16.8%	1.50×	3.97
Deportes Concepcion & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Huachipato & not both score	18.2%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Huachipato & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	22.4%	0.59×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & under 3.5	33.3%	30.8%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
Deportes Concepcion & over 1.5	33.1%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Deportes Concepcion & over 2.5	25.4%	26.1%	16.6%	1.57×	3.84
Huachipato & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	34.1%	0.63×	4.63
Huachipato & over 1.5	21.6%	21.6%	36.1%	0.60×	4.63
Deportes Concepcion & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.63
Huachipato & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	29.3%	0.62×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Huachipato & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Deportes Concepcion & under 1.5	12.8%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Huachipato & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Huachipato & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1UP)	60.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Huachipato (1UP)	48.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2UP)	45.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Huachipato (2UP)	32.2%	30.3%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win 2nd half	38.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	34.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Huachipato to win 2nd half	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Huachipato under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Huachipato over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Huachipato over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (+2.5)	96.2%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Deportes Concepcion (+1.5)	87.9%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Deportes Concepcion (+0.5)	67.8%	68.7%	51.0%	1.35×	1.46
Huachipato (+0.5)	54.1%	52.4%	70.0%	0.75×	1.91
Deportes Concepcion (-0.5)	45.9%	47.6%	30.0%	1.59×	2.10
Huachipato (-0.5)	32.2%	31.3%	49.0%	0.64×	3.19
Huachipato (-1.5)	12.1%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.67
Huachipato (-2.5)	3.8%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to concede	68.5%	72.3%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	31.5%	27.7%	21.5%	1.29×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 1st half	60.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 1st half	39.1%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 2nd half	51.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 2nd half	48.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 6.5 corners	80.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Concepcion under 5.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportes Concepcion under 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Concepcion over 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportes Concepcion over 5.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Deportes Concepcion over 6.5 corners	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.4%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 goals	82.2%	81.5%	88.3%	0.92×	1.23
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 goals	76.5%	76.2%	68.5%	1.11×	1.31
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 goals	57.5%	59.4%	68.5%	0.87×	1.68
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 goals	42.5%	40.6%	31.5%	1.29×	2.47
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 goals	23.5%	23.8%	31.5%	0.76×	4.21
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 goals	17.8%	18.5%	11.7%	1.58×	5.41
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	2.9%	2.61×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Deportes Concepcion scores equally in both	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (away no bet)	59.5%	57.4%	69.8%	0.82×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.5%	42.6%	30.2%	1.41×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion even goals	52.8%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Deportes Concepcion odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Deportes Concepcion to score 2+ in a row	34.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Huachipato to score 2+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Huachipato to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion corners (+3.5)	84.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Huachipato corners (+3.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Concepcion corners (+2.5)	76.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Huachipato corners (+2.5)	76.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Huachipato corners (+1.5)	66.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportes Concepcion corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Huachipato corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportes Concepcion corners (-1.5)	33.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Huachipato corners (-2.5)	23.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportes Concepcion corners (-2.5)	23.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Huachipato corners (-3.5)	15.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportes Concepcion corners (-3.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.8%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.71
1-0	10.6%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.72
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	7.8%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.29
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2nd half DNB)	59.4%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Huachipato (2nd half DNB)	40.6%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT (DNB)	54.9%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Huachipato leading at HT (DNB)	45.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or Deportes Concepcion (12)	78.1%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Deportes Concepcion or draw (X2)	67.8%	69.6%	51.0%	1.37×	1.44
Huachipato or draw (1X)	54.1%	52.7%	70.0%	0.75×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw at HT	74.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Huachipato or draw at HT	69.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Huachipato or Deportes Concepcion at HT	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1UP)	67.8%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Huachipato or draw (1UP)	54.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw in 2nd half	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Huachipato or Deportes Concepcion in 2nd half	65.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Huachipato or draw in 2nd half	61.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (DNB)	58.8%	58.1%	38.0%	1.53×	1.72
Huachipato (DNB)	41.2%	41.9%	62.0%	0.67×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score first	52.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Huachipato to score first	42.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.3%	51.3%	52.0%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.7%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.5%	41.6%	38.0%	1.09×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	40.0%	41.6%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	15.4%	0.94×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.2%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.8%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	28.8%	26.6%	27.8%	0.96×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.7%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 2	24.7%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 0	23.5%	22.3%	31.5%	0.71×	4.49
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+	17.8%	19.5%	11.7%	1.67×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Huachipato to score exactly 0	31.5%	32.6%	21.5%	1.52×	3.07
Huachipato to score exactly 2	21.0%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.30
Huachipato to score 3+	11.1%	14.3%	21.0%	0.68×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT	30.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Huachipato leading at HT	25.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion -1: 1	54.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Deportes Concepcion -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportes Concepcion -1: 2	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:1)	67.8%	65.3%	51.0%	1.28×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Huachipato (0:1)	12.1%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:2)	87.9%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	12.9%	0.59×	13.05
Huachipato (0:2)	3.8%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:3)	96.2%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.01
Huachipato (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.89
Huachipato (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (1:0)	54.1%	54.1%	70.0%	0.77×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	20.0%	1.09×	4.61
Deportes Concepcion (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	10.2%	2.12×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (2:0)	78.7%	80.5%	89.8%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.1%	10.3%	6.3%	1.62×	9.71
Deportes Concepcion (2:0)	8.2%	6.4%	4.1%	1.54×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede	76.5%	76.0%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Huachipato clean sheet	23.5%	24.0%	31.5%	0.76×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Huachipato to concede in 1st half	44.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede in 2nd half	58.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Huachipato clean sheet in 2nd half	41.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Huachipato over 2.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Huachipato under 5.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Huachipato over 3.5 corners	60.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Huachipato under 4.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Huachipato over 4.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Huachipato under 3.5 corners	39.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Huachipato over 5.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Huachipato under 2.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Huachipato over 6.5 corners	19.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Huachipato under 2.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	79.0%	1.10×	1.15
Huachipato over 0.5 goals	68.5%	67.9%	78.5%	0.87×	1.47
Huachipato under 1.5 goals	67.9%	67.9%	52.9%	1.28×	1.47
Huachipato over 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.1%	47.1%	0.68×	3.12
Huachipato under 0.5 goals	31.5%	32.1%	21.5%	1.49×	3.12
Huachipato over 2.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	21.0%	0.61×	7.86
Huachipato over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Huachipato under 0.5 in 1st half	60.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Huachipato over 0.5 in 1st half	39.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Huachipato over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	5.4%	—	—	18.68

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato scores equally in both	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Huachipato scores more in 2nd half	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Huachipato scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (home no bet)	67.8%	64.2%	58.6%	1.10×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.2%	35.8%	41.4%	0.86×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato even goals	55.0%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Huachipato odd goals	45.0%	49.2%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	20.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Huachipato at HT / Huachipato at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Huachipato at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Huachipato at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Huachipato at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Huachipato at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score last	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Huachipato to score last	42.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Huachipato to lead by 1 at any time	48.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 2 at any time	27.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Huachipato to lead by 2 at any time	17.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Huachipato to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato most corners	44.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Deportes Concepcion most corners	44.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.8%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.4%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.5%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.2%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.3%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	58.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	46.5%	48.4%	50.7%	0.95×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.3%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.7%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.5%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.6%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion never behind	46.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Huachipato never behind	34.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.8%	52.5%	47.1%	1.12×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.2%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.8%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.7%	86.7%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.2%	67.5%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.6%	61.9%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.4%	38.1%	34.4%	1.11×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.8%	32.5%	38.1%	0.85×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.3%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.64

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to score in both halves	81.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Concepcion not to score in both halves	74.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportes Concepcion to score in both halves	25.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Huachipato to score in both halves	18.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.3%	53.8%	52.0%	1.04×	1.86
Only Deportes Concepcion scores	26.2%	26.1%	16.8%	1.55×	3.84
Only Huachipato scores	18.2%	16.0%	26.8%	0.60×	6.23
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	23.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	23.0%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.15
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	34.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.0%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to win both halves	93.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Concepcion not to win both halves	88.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Concepcion to win both halves	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Huachipato to win both halves	6.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win either half	58.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Huachipato to win neither half	54.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Huachipato to win either half	45.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Deportes Concepcion to win neither half	42.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to win to nil	81.8%	83.1%	73.2%	1.14×	1.20
Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil	73.8%	75.3%	83.2%	0.91×	1.33
Deportes Concepcion to win to nil	26.2%	24.7%	16.8%	1.47×	4.05
Huachipato to win to nil	18.2%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion by 1	24.7%	24.1%	20.0%	1.21×	4.15
Draw	21.9%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
Huachipato by 1	20.1%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Deportes Concepcion by 2	13.1%	11.8%	6.3%	1.85×	8.50
Huachipato by 2	8.3%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.91
Deportes Concepcion by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	4.1%	1.73×	13.91
Huachipato by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.85