Huachipato v La Serena — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Huachipato

20:00 UTC

La Serena

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Huachipato win

41.8%

model 42.6%

Draw

21.9%

model 20.3%

La Serena win

36.3%

model 37.1%

422236

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 9.4%
1-1 9.1%
0-1 8.8%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.8%	Under 2.5	41.2%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
Huachipato 1+	79.5%	Huachipato 2+	47.1%
La Serena 1+	76.8%	La Serena 2+	42.9%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

58.4% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

La Serena not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 83%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Huachipato.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Huachipato have an estimated 41.8% win probability, against 36.3% for La Serena and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Huachipato and 1.46 for La Serena.

Why Huachipato

Nothing in the data singles out Huachipato.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.59 to 1.46. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why La Serena can win

La Serena carry the stronger rating, 1463 Elo against 1413.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Huachipato, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for La Serena, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Huachipato: 44% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. La Serena: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Huachipato are the model's most likely outcome at 41.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 9.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432037	1.59–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	441937	1.82–1.63	2-1 9%	67%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to win	44.2%	42.9%	49.0%	0.88×	2.33
La Serena to win	36.6%	36.3%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75
Draw	19.2%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato & both teams score	26.2%	25.2%	22.4%	1.12×	3.97
La Serena & both teams score	21.9%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Huachipato & not both score	18.0%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
La Serena & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	16.8%	0.79×	7.54
Draw & not both score	1.6%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato & over 1.5	36.8%	34.9%	36.1%	0.97×	2.87
Huachipato & over 2.5	31.6%	30.7%	29.3%	1.05×	3.25
La Serena & over 1.5	29.8%	26.1%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
La Serena & over 2.5	25.6%	26.1%	16.6%	1.57×	3.84
Huachipato & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	34.1%	0.63×	4.63
La Serena & under 3.5	21.0%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Huachipato & over 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
La Serena & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	6.8%	2.64×	5.56
Huachipato & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
La Serena & under 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	13.7%	0.94×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Huachipato & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
La Serena & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	1.6%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (1UP)	62.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
La Serena (1UP)	56.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (2UP)	44.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
La Serena (2UP)	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to win 2nd half	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
La Serena to win 2nd half	33.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
2nd half drawn	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
La Serena over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
La Serena under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
La Serena over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Huachipato over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Huachipato under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Huachipato over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (+2.5)	90.0%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
La Serena (+1.5)	77.2%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Huachipato (+0.5)	63.4%	63.0%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
La Serena (+0.5)	55.8%	57.0%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75
Huachipato (-0.5)	44.2%	43.0%	49.0%	0.88×	2.33
La Serena (-0.5)	36.6%	37.0%	30.0%	1.23×	2.70
Huachipato (-1.5)	22.8%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
Huachipato (-2.5)	10.0%	11.5%	10.5%	1.10×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede	83.7%	81.5%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
La Serena clean sheet	16.3%	18.5%	21.5%	0.86×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 1st half	54.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
La Serena clean sheet in 1st half	45.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 2nd half	64.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
La Serena clean sheet in 2nd half	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 6.5 corners	81.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
La Serena over 2.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
La Serena under 5.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
La Serena over 3.5 corners	59.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
La Serena under 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
La Serena over 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
La Serena under 3.5 corners	40.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
La Serena over 5.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
La Serena under 2.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
La Serena over 6.5 corners	18.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
La Serena over 0.5 goals	80.4%	81.5%	68.5%	1.19×	1.23
La Serena under 2.5 goals	77.5%	76.2%	88.3%	0.86×	1.31
La Serena under 1.5 goals	51.5%	53.5%	68.5%	0.78×	1.87
La Serena over 1.5 goals	48.5%	46.5%	31.5%	1.48×	2.15
La Serena over 2.5 goals	22.5%	23.8%	11.7%	2.03×	4.21
La Serena under 0.5 goals	19.6%	18.5%	31.5%	0.59×	5.40
La Serena over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	2.9%	2.62×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
La Serena under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
La Serena over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
La Serena over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
La Serena scores equally in both	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
La Serena scores more in 1st half	23.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (away no bet)	69.7%	66.5%	69.8%	0.95×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	30.3%	33.5%	30.2%	1.11×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena even goals	51.9%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
La Serena odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.9%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.1%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.8%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.58

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Huachipato to score 2+ in a row	42.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
La Serena to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Huachipato to score 3+ in a row	16.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
La Serena to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato corners (+3.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Huachipato corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Huachipato corners (+1.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
La Serena corners (+3.5)	69.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
La Serena corners (+2.5)	60.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
La Serena corners (+1.5)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Huachipato corners (-1.5)	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Huachipato corners (-2.5)	39.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Huachipato corners (-3.5)	30.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
La Serena corners (-1.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
La Serena corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
La Serena corners (-3.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	35.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	35.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
1-1	7.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-2	7.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.51
0-0	1.6%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.30
3-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (2nd half DNB)	52.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
La Serena (2nd half DNB)	47.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato leading at HT (DNB)	56.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
La Serena leading at HT (DNB)	44.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or La Serena (12)	80.8%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Huachipato or draw (1X)	63.4%	63.7%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57
La Serena or draw (X2)	55.8%	57.1%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or draw at HT	72.4%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
La Serena or draw at HT	64.7%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Huachipato or La Serena at HT	62.9%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
La Serena or draw (1UP)	56.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or La Serena in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Huachipato or draw in 2nd half	66.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
La Serena or draw in 2nd half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (DNB)	54.7%	51.0%	62.0%	0.82×	1.96
La Serena (DNB)	45.3%	49.0%	38.0%	1.29×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to score first	51.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
La Serena to score first	46.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	1.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.8%	58.4%	52.0%	1.12×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.2%	41.6%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.9%	47.5%	42.9%	1.11×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	25.2%	33.3%	38.0%	0.87×	3.01
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06
Both score & under 2.5	7.8%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.7%	80.5%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.3%	19.5%	15.4%	1.27×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.2%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	34.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	39.1%	35.1%	43.4%	0.81×	2.85
4-6 goals	39.1%	35.1%	26.8%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.8%	20.2%	27.8%	0.73×	4.95
7+ goals	6.1%	7.6%	2.4%	3.12×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to score exactly 1	31.9%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
La Serena to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	20.0%	1.37×	3.64
La Serena to score 3+	22.5%	22.3%	11.7%	1.90×	4.49
La Serena to score exactly 0	19.6%	19.5%	31.5%	0.62×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to score exactly 1	29.6%	26.6%	31.7%	0.84×	3.76
Huachipato to score 3+	27.3%	26.6%	21.0%	1.27×	3.77
Huachipato to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Huachipato to score exactly 0	16.3%	18.8%	21.5%	0.88×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Huachipato leading at HT	35.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
La Serena leading at HT	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato -1: 2	55.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Huachipato -1: 1	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Huachipato -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:1)	55.8%	55.8%	51.0%	1.09×	1.79
Huachipato (0:1)	22.8%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:2)	77.2%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.8%	11.0%	12.9%	0.85×	9.10
Huachipato (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	10.5%	1.05×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:3)	90.0%	90.7%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.26
Huachipato (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:4)	96.3%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.69
Huachipato (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (1:0)	63.4%	65.3%	70.0%	0.93×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.4%	17.1%	20.0%	0.86×	5.84
La Serena (1:0)	17.2%	17.1%	10.2%	1.67×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (2:0)	82.8%	84.6%	89.8%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.3%	10.3%	6.3%	1.62×	9.74
La Serena (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	4.1%	1.54×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede	80.4%	80.9%	68.5%	1.18×	1.24
Huachipato clean sheet	19.6%	19.1%	31.5%	0.61×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Huachipato to concede in 1st half	47.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede in 2nd half	62.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Huachipato clean sheet in 2nd half	37.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Huachipato over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Huachipato over 4.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Huachipato under 6.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Huachipato over 5.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Huachipato under 5.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Huachipato over 6.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Huachipato under 4.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Huachipato under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Huachipato under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	91.0%	0.96×	1.15
Huachipato over 0.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Huachipato under 2.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	79.0%	0.94×	1.35
Huachipato over 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
Huachipato under 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.8%	52.9%	0.88×	2.14
Huachipato over 2.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	21.0%	1.23×	3.88
Huachipato under 0.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.62
Huachipato over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	9.0%	1.41×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 1st half	81.6%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Huachipato over 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Huachipato under 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Huachipato over 1.5 in 1st half	18.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Huachipato scores equally in both	32.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Huachipato scores more in 1st half	26.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (home no bet)	65.6%	64.1%	58.6%	1.09×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	34.4%	35.9%	41.4%	0.87×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato even goals	51.3%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Huachipato odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato at HT / Huachipato at FT	26.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
La Serena at HT / La Serena at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Huachipato at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / La Serena at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Huachipato at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
La Serena at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Huachipato at HT / La Serena at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
La Serena at HT / Huachipato at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to score last	51.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
La Serena to score last	46.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	1.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Huachipato to lead by 1 at any time	62.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
La Serena to lead by 1 at any time	56.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Huachipato to lead by 2 at any time	31.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
La Serena to lead by 2 at any time	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Huachipato to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
La Serena to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato most corners	60.3%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
La Serena most corners	29.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.9%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.0%	72.3%	81.2%	0.89×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.7%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.8%	63.3%	50.7%	1.25×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.8%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.4%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	53.2%	53.2%	66.3%	0.80×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
2-3 goals	39.1%	39.2%	43.4%	0.90×	2.55
4-6 goals	39.1%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.5%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-5 goals	31.6%	35.2%	21.2%	1.66×	2.84
5-6 goals	20.3%	24.4%	12.0%	2.04×	4.09
7+ goals	6.1%	8.9%	2.4%	3.64×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato never behind	42.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
La Serena never behind	35.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.9%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.1%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.4%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.3%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	85.9%	0.84×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	52.9%	1.25×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.8%	52.5%	71.0%	0.74×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	45.2%	47.5%	29.0%	1.64×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	47.1%	0.72×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	14.1%	1.95×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	15.8%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	8.0%	1.54×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	1.6%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.4%	92.4%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.5%	81.1%	91.4%	0.89×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.9%	81.1%	65.6%	1.24×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	67.5%	67.5%	83.4%	0.81×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.7%	55.8%	38.1%	1.46×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.3%	44.2%	61.9%	0.71×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	32.5%	32.5%	16.6%	1.96×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.1%	18.9%	34.4%	0.55×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.5%	18.9%	8.6%	2.20×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.6%	7.6%	2.6%	2.93×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.7%	35.3%	—	—	2.84
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.5%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Huachipato not to score in both halves	65.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Huachipato to score in both halves	34.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
La Serena to score in both halves	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.8%	59.7%	52.0%	1.15×	1.67
Only Huachipato scores	18.0%	16.0%	26.8%	0.60×	6.23
Only La Serena scores	14.7%	11.0%	16.8%	0.66×	9.06
Neither team scores	1.6%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.7%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.3%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.25
6 or more goals	13.5%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.9%	12.1%	6.3%	1.91×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	1.6%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	28.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	12.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win both halves	90.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Huachipato not to win both halves	87.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Huachipato to win both halves	12.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
La Serena to win both halves	9.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to win either half	59.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
La Serena to win either half	52.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
La Serena to win neither half	47.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Huachipato to win neither half	40.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	83.2%	1.06×	1.14
Huachipato not to win to nil	82.0%	83.1%	73.2%	1.14×	1.20
Huachipato to win to nil	18.0%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.91
La Serena to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	16.8%	0.71×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato by 1	21.4%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
La Serena by 1	19.4%	17.1%	20.0%	0.85×	5.86
Draw	19.2%	17.1%	21.2%	0.80×	5.86
Huachipato by 2	12.8%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.50
La Serena by 2	10.3%	11.8%	6.3%	1.85×	8.51
Huachipato by 3+	10.0%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.51
La Serena by 3+	6.9%	7.2%	4.1%	1.73×	13.91