betaider.com
Sign in

Huachipato v Ñublense — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Huachipato win
38.5%
model 39.5%
Draw
23.1%
model 21.5%
Ñublense win
38.4%
model 38.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 10.9%
  2. 0-1 10.9%
  3. 1-1 10.1%
  4. 2-1 8.3%
  5. 1-2 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.551.5% Under 2.548.5%
BTTS yes53.5% BTTS no46.5%
Huachipato 1+74.7% Huachipato 2+40.0%
Ñublense 1+74.4% Ñublense 2+39.5%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Ñublense (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 51%
63.6% fair odds 1.57
moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Ñublense (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.7% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Huachipato.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Huachipato have an estimated 38.5% win probability, against 38.4% for Ñublense and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Huachipato and 1.36 for Ñublense.

Why Huachipato

Nothing in the data singles out Huachipato.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.38 to 1.36. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Ñublense can win

Ñublense carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1413.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Huachipato, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Ñublense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Huachipato: 44% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Ñublense: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Huachipato are the model's most likely outcome at 38.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.38–1.36 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.43–1.39 1-0 11% 54% 55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to win 40.4% 42.9% 49.0% 0.88× 2.33
Ñublense to win 38.4% 36.4% 30.0% 1.21× 2.75
Draw 21.2% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato & not both score 21.0% 21.8% 26.8% 0.81× 4.59
Ñublense & not both score 19.9% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Huachipato & both teams score 19.4% 18.0% 22.4% 0.80× 5.56
Ñublense & both teams score 18.5% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 17.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Draw & not both score 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.50
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato & over 1.5 29.9% 26.1% 36.1% 0.72× 3.84
Huachipato & under 3.5 28.0% 26.1% 34.1% 0.76× 3.84
Ñublense & over 1.5 28.1% 26.1% 20.0% 1.30× 3.84
Ñublense & under 3.5 26.9% 26.1% 23.4% 1.11× 3.84
Huachipato & over 2.5 23.8% 21.6% 29.3% 0.74× 4.63
Ñublense & over 2.5 22.4% 21.6% 16.6% 1.30× 4.63
Huachipato & under 2.5 16.6% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Ñublense & under 2.5 16.0% 18.0% 13.7% 1.32× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.8% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Huachipato & over 3.5 12.4% 12.8% 15.1% 0.85× 7.79
Ñublense & over 3.5 11.5% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
Huachipato & under 1.5 10.5% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
Ñublense & under 1.5 10.3% 12.8% 10.2% 1.25× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (1UP) 56.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
Ñublense (1UP) 54.9% 52.5% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (2UP) 40.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Ñublense (2UP) 38.4% 37.4% — — 2.68
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense to win 2nd half 33.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
2nd half drawn 33.3% 34.0% — — 2.94
Huachipato to win 2nd half 32.9% 34.0% — — 2.94
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.7% 79.6% — — 1.26
Ñublense over 0.5 in 2nd half 56.5% 54.4% — — 1.84
Ñublense under 0.5 in 2nd half 43.5% 45.6% — — 2.19
Ñublense over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.3% 20.4% — — 4.91
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.3% 82.3% — — 1.22
Huachipato over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Huachipato under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.2% 42.1% — — 2.38
Huachipato over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.7% 17.7% — — 5.64
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (+2.5) 93.2% 92.1% 89.5% 1.03× 1.09
Ñublense (+1.5) 81.9% 82.6% 76.8% 1.07× 1.21
Huachipato (+0.5) 61.6% 62.9% 70.0% 0.90× 1.59
Ñublense (+0.5) 59.6% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Huachipato (-0.5) 40.4% 42.9% 49.0% 0.88× 2.33
Ñublense (-0.5) 38.4% 37.1% 30.0% 1.24× 2.70
Huachipato (-1.5) 18.1% 17.4% 23.2% 0.75× 5.74
Huachipato (-2.5) 6.8% 7.9% 10.5% 0.75× 12.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense to concede 76.1% 78.7% 78.5% 1.00× 1.27
Ñublense clean sheet 23.9% 21.3% 21.5% 0.99× 4.70
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense clean sheet in 1st half 54.0% 50.9% — — 1.96
Ñublense to concede in 1st half 46.0% 49.1% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense to concede in 2nd half 55.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Ñublense clean sheet in 2nd half 44.2% 42.8% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense under 6.5 corners 80.2% 81.4% — — 1.23
Ñublense over 2.5 corners 76.6% 76.0% — — 1.32
Ñublense under 5.5 corners 69.4% 67.6% — — 1.48
Ñublense over 3.5 corners 60.5% 61.7% — — 1.62
Ñublense under 4.5 corners 55.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Ñublense over 4.5 corners 44.5% 42.8% — — 2.34
Ñublense under 3.5 corners 39.5% 38.3% — — 2.61
Ñublense over 5.5 corners 30.6% 32.4% — — 3.09
Ñublense under 2.5 corners 23.4% 24.0% — — 4.18
Ñublense over 6.5 corners 19.8% 18.6% — — 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense under 3.5 goals 94.8% 92.4% 97.1% 0.95× 1.08
Ñublense under 2.5 goals 83.6% 81.5% 88.3% 0.92× 1.23
Ñublense over 0.5 goals 75.0% 76.2% 68.5% 1.11× 1.31
Ñublense under 1.5 goals 59.6% 59.4% 68.5% 0.87× 1.68
Ñublense over 1.5 goals 40.4% 40.6% 31.5% 1.29× 2.47
Ñublense under 0.5 goals 25.0% 23.8% 31.5% 0.76× 4.21
Ñublense over 2.5 goals 16.4% 18.5% 11.7% 1.58× 5.41
Ñublense over 3.5 goals 5.2% 7.6% 2.9% 2.61× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense under 1.5 in 1st half 89.3% 89.3% — — 1.12
Ñublense under 0.5 in 1st half 57.4% 62.3% — — 1.60
Ñublense over 0.5 in 1st half 42.6% 37.7% — — 2.66
Ñublense over 1.5 in 1st half 10.7% 10.7% — — 9.38
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense scores more in 2nd half 39.4% 37.4% — — 2.67
Ñublense scores equally in both 37.9% 37.4% — — 2.68
Ñublense scores more in 1st half 22.7% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (away no bet) 65.6% 66.4% 69.8% 0.95× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 34.4% 33.6% 30.2% 1.11× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense even goals 53.1% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
Ñublense odd goals 46.9% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.9% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.1% 16.8% — — 5.96
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 64.7% 57.7% — — 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 35.3% 42.3% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.2% 54.9% — — 1.82
Huachipato to score 2+ in a row 32.9% 28.9% — — 3.46
Ñublense to score 2+ in a row 31.3% 28.9% — — 3.47
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.1% 19.5% — — 5.14
Huachipato to score 3+ in a row 10.7% 12.1% — — 8.26
Ñublense to score 3+ in a row 9.8% 5.6% — — 17.99
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense corners (+3.5) 85.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Huachipato corners (+3.5) 83.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Ñublense corners (+2.5) 78.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
Huachipato corners (+2.5) 75.2% 74.8% — — 1.34
Ñublense corners (+1.5) 68.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Huachipato corners (+1.5) 65.3% 65.9% — — 1.52
Ñublense corners (-1.5) 34.7% 34.1% — — 2.93
Huachipato corners (-1.5) 31.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Ñublense corners (-2.5) 24.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Huachipato corners (-2.5) 21.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Ñublense corners (-3.5) 16.7% 20.2% — — 4.95
Huachipato corners (-3.5) 14.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 50.6% 45.2% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 28.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 21.0% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.2% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 79.0% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.0% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 61.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 50.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 49.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 39.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 9.5 corners 38.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 29.0% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 21.0% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 14.8% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 10.3% 11.5% 10.2% 1.12× 8.72
1-0 10.5% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.72
1-1 9.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-1 8.5% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
0-2 5.7% 7.4% 3.7% 2.02× 13.51
2-0 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
0-0 4.0% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.30
0-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
1-3 3.8% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
1-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
2-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.31
3-0 2.9% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.30
3-1 4.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.30
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.31
4-1 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 2.9% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (2nd half DNB) 50.7% 54.3% — — 1.84
Huachipato (2nd half DNB) 49.3% 45.7% — — 2.19
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato leading at HT (DNB) 53.4% 56.2% — — 1.78
Ñublense leading at HT (DNB) 46.6% 43.8% — — 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato or Ñublense (12) 78.8% 75.5% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Huachipato or draw (1X) 61.6% 63.6% 70.0% 0.91× 1.57
Ñublense or draw (X2) 59.6% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato or draw at HT 72.9% 74.5% — — 1.34
Ñublense or draw at HT 69.0% 67.3% — — 1.49
Huachipato or Ñublense at HT 58.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato or draw (1UP) 61.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
Ñublense or draw (1UP) 59.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense or draw in 2nd half 67.1% 66.0% — — 1.52
Huachipato or Ñublense in 2nd half 66.7% 66.0% — — 1.52
Huachipato or draw in 2nd half 66.2% 66.0% — — 1.52
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.4% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 36.6% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (DNB) 51.3% 50.9% 62.0% 0.82× 1.97
Ñublense (DNB) 48.7% 49.1% 38.0% 1.29× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to score first 48.8% 45.9% — — 2.18
Ñublense to score first 47.3% 45.8% — — 2.18
No goal scored 4.0% 4.4% — — 22.83
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.1% 55.0% 52.0% 1.06× 1.82
Not both teams to score 44.9% 45.0% 48.0% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.3% 44.3% 42.9% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 36.6% 38.4% 38.0% 1.01× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 9.9% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.3% 10.2% 0.81× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.1% 82.6% 84.6% 0.98× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.9% 17.4% 15.4% 1.13× 5.76
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.1% 67.3% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.9% 32.7% — — 3.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.1% 60.0% — — 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 24.7% 21.3% — — 4.69
Both score 1st half only 13.1% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score in both halves 6.2% 6.8% — — 14.80
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.7% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 19.3% 16.6% — — 6.02
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 54.8% 52.7% — — 1.90
A half without a goal 45.2% 47.3% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.0% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 28.7% 26.6% 26.8% 0.99× 3.76
0-1 goals 24.7% 22.9% 27.8% 0.83× 4.36
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.31
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.8% 37.3% 0.91× 2.96
Ñublense to score exactly 0 25.0% 22.3% 31.5% 0.71× 4.49
Ñublense to score exactly 2 24.0% 22.3% 20.0% 1.11× 4.49
Ñublense to score 3+ 16.4% 19.5% 11.7% 1.67× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to score exactly 1 34.2% 32.6% 31.7% 1.03× 3.07
Huachipato to score exactly 2 24.5% 23.3% 26.3% 0.88× 4.29
Huachipato to score exactly 0 23.9% 23.3% 21.5% 1.09× 4.29
Huachipato to score 3+ 17.5% 18.8% 21.0% 0.90× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.9% 42.5% — — 2.35
Huachipato leading at HT 31.0% 32.7% — — 3.05
Ñublense leading at HT 27.1% 25.5% — — 3.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato -1: 2 59.6% 56.8% — — 1.76
Huachipato -1: X 22.3% 23.5% — — 4.25
Huachipato -1: 1 18.1% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (0:1) 59.6% 55.9% 51.0% 1.10× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 22.3% 24.2% 26.1% 0.93× 4.13
Huachipato (0:1) 18.1% 17.8% 23.2% 0.77× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (0:2) 81.9% 83.0% 76.8% 1.08× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.3% 11.0% 12.9% 0.85× 9.10
Huachipato (0:2) 6.8% 7.7% 10.5% 0.73× 13.06
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (0:3) 93.2% 92.7% 89.5% 1.04× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.7% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.93
Huachipato (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.05
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 4.1% 0.29× 81.80
Huachipato (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 0.83× 81.91
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (1:0) 61.6% 65.2% 70.0% 0.93× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 21.7% 21.7% 20.0% 1.08× 4.61
Ñublense (1:0) 16.7% 17.1% 10.2% 1.67× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato (2:0) 83.3% 84.6% 89.8% 0.94× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.6% 10.3% 6.3% 1.62× 9.73
Ñublense (2:0) 6.1% 6.4% 4.1% 1.54× 15.67
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.2% 50.1% — — 2.00
1st half highest scoring 28.4% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.4% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to concede 75.0% 76.0% 68.5% 1.11× 1.32
Huachipato clean sheet 25.0% 24.0% 31.5% 0.76× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato clean sheet in 1st half 57.4% 62.3% — — 1.60
Huachipato to concede in 1st half 42.6% 37.7% — — 2.66
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to concede in 2nd half 56.5% 54.8% — — 1.83
Huachipato clean sheet in 2nd half 43.5% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato under 6.5 corners 82.2% 81.0% — — 1.24
Huachipato over 2.5 corners 74.6% 71.9% — — 1.39
Huachipato under 5.5 corners 72.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Huachipato under 4.5 corners 58.3% 57.5% — — 1.74
Huachipato over 3.5 corners 57.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Huachipato under 3.5 corners 42.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Huachipato over 4.5 corners 41.7% 42.5% — — 2.35
Huachipato over 5.5 corners 28.0% 28.1% — — 3.56
Huachipato under 2.5 corners 25.4% 28.1% — — 3.56
Huachipato over 6.5 corners 17.8% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato under 3.5 goals 94.3% 92.2% 91.0% 1.01× 1.08
Huachipato under 2.5 goals 82.5% 82.2% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Huachipato over 0.5 goals 76.1% 77.8% 78.5% 0.99× 1.29
Huachipato under 1.5 goals 58.1% 58.7% 52.9% 1.11× 1.71
Huachipato over 1.5 goals 41.9% 41.3% 47.1% 0.88× 2.42
Huachipato under 0.5 goals 23.9% 22.2% 21.5% 1.04× 4.50
Huachipato over 2.5 goals 17.5% 17.8% 21.0% 0.85× 5.62
Huachipato over 3.5 goals 5.7% 7.8% 9.0% 0.86× 12.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 1st half 87.3% 90.1% — — 1.11
Huachipato under 0.5 in 1st half 54.0% 50.7% — — 1.97
Huachipato over 0.5 in 1st half 46.0% 49.3% — — 2.03
Huachipato over 1.5 in 1st half 12.7% 9.9% — — 10.07
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato scores equally in both 37.5% 38.1% — — 2.62
Huachipato scores more in 2nd half 37.2% 38.1% — — 2.62
Huachipato scores more in 1st half 25.3% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense (home no bet) 64.4% 60.1% 58.6% 1.03× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 35.6% 39.9% 41.4% 0.96× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato even goals 52.8% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Huachipato odd goals 47.2% 49.2% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.7% 33.4% — — 3.00
HT 1-0 19.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 0-1 17.6% 18.6% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 10.3% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 0-2 4.8% 2.4% — — 42.11
Any other HT score 4.3% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato at HT / Huachipato at FT 23.3% 21.6% — — 4.62
Ñublense at HT / Ñublense at FT 20.4% 21.5% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Ñublense at FT 15.3% 16.7% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Huachipato at FT 14.8% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Huachipato at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% — — 16.55
Ñublense at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Huachipato at HT / Ñublense at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.94
Ñublense at HT / Huachipato at FT 2.3% 3.5% — — 28.95
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to score last 48.8% 46.4% — — 2.16
Ñublense to score last 47.3% 46.3% — — 2.16
No goal scored 4.0% 4.4% — — 22.83
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.0% 95.6% — — 1.05
Huachipato to lead by 1 at any time 56.7% 54.9% — — 1.82
Ñublense to lead by 1 at any time 54.9% 50.7% — — 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
Huachipato to lead by 2 at any time 24.6% 19.6% — — 5.11
Ñublense to lead by 2 at any time 23.0% 19.5% — — 5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.7% 14.8% — — 6.75
Huachipato to lead by 3 at any time 8.7% 6.7% — — 14.98
Ñublense to lead by 3 at any time 8.0% 6.7% — — 15.02
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense most corners 46.1% 46.9% — — 2.13
Huachipato most corners 42.2% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.3% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.5% 83.4% 81.2% 1.03× 1.20
2-6 goals 72.7% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.6% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 64.8% 63.3% 66.3% 0.95× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.7% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 51.0% 53.1% 50.7% 1.05× 1.88
3-5 goals 46.9% 48.4% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.0% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 42.5% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.0% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.7% 30.2% 26.8% 1.13× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.6% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.0% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.75
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.16
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato never behind 41.1% 48.7% — — 2.06
Ñublense never behind 39.4% 44.3% — — 2.26
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.2% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.8% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.1% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.9% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.5% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.5% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.0% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.4% 82.3% 85.9% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 75.3% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.7% 66.3% 71.0% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.6% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 46.4% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.3% 33.7% 29.0% 1.16× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 24.7% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 15.6% 17.7% 14.1% 1.25× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 4.0% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.81
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.7% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.5% 81.1% 83.4% 0.97× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 68.4% 67.5% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.8% 55.8% 61.9% 0.90× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.2% 44.2% 38.1% 1.16× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 31.6% 32.5% 34.4% 0.94× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.5% 18.9% 16.6% 1.14× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.6% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.3% 68.7% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.6% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.4% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.7% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.4% 10.9% — — 9.16
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.5% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.1% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.0% 20.4% — — 4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.5% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense not to score in both halves 75.9% 78.4% — — 1.28
Huachipato not to score in both halves 74.3% 73.9% — — 1.35
Huachipato to score in both halves 25.7% 26.1% — — 3.84
Ñublense to score in both halves 24.1% 21.6% — — 4.63
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.1% 58.5% 52.0% 1.13× 1.71
Only Huachipato scores 21.0% 22.2% 26.8% 0.83× 4.50
Only Ñublense scores 19.9% 16.1% 16.8% 0.95× 6.23
Neither team scores 4.0% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.56
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.7% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.8% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 15.7% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 8.9% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.13
6 or more goals 6.7% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 37.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 30.7% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 20.9% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 11.4% 10.8% — — 9.24
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.4% 44.8% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 33.1% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 18.5% 16.8% — — 5.94
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense not to win both halves 91.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Huachipato not to win both halves 90.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Huachipato to win both halves 9.9% 5.9% — — 16.95
Ñublense to win both halves 8.9% 5.9% — — 17.02
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato to win either half 54.0% 54.4% — — 1.84
Ñublense to win either half 52.0% 54.3% — — 1.84
Ñublense to win neither half 48.0% 45.7% — — 2.19
Huachipato to win neither half 46.0% 45.6% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ñublense not to win to nil 80.1% 83.1% 83.2% 1.00× 1.20
Huachipato not to win to nil 79.0% 78.1% 73.2% 1.07× 1.28
Huachipato to win to nil 21.0% 21.9% 26.8% 0.81× 4.58
Ñublense to win to nil 19.9% 16.9% 16.8% 1.01× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huachipato by 1 22.3% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Ñublense by 1 21.7% 24.1% 20.0% 1.21× 4.15
Draw 21.2% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.15
Huachipato by 2 11.3% 11.8% 12.9% 0.91× 8.51
Ñublense by 2 10.6% 11.8% 6.3% 1.85× 8.51
Huachipato by 3+ 6.8% 7.2% 10.5% 0.69× 13.91
Ñublense by 3+ 6.1% 7.2% 4.1% 1.73× 13.92
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide