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Huracán v Racing Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Huracán win
43.8%
model 42.1%
Draw
28.8%
model 31.0%
Racing Club win
27.4%
model 27.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (554 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 14.7%
  2. 1-1 13.7%
  3. 0-0 13.5%
  4. 0-1 10.9%
  5. 2-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.533.3% Under 2.566.7%
BTTS yes40.5% BTTS no59.5%
Huracán 1+68.8% Huracán 2+32.4%
Racing Club 1+58.2% Racing Club 2+21.7%

Expected goals 1.16 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
24/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
1-2 goals
Multi goal · usually 51%
52.9% fair odds 1.89
moderate signal · 21583 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Huracán or draw at HT
Double chance 1HT
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Huracán have an estimated 43.8% win probability, against 28.8% for the draw and 27.4% for Racing Club. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.16 for Huracán and 0.87 for Racing Club.

Why Huracán

Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.8%. A combined 2.04 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Racing Club can win

Nothing in the data singles out Racing Club.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Huracán, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Huracán: 63% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Huracán are the model's most likely outcome at 43.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.7%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.16–0.87 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.04–0.80 0-0 16% 28% 36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to win 42.1% 41.6% 41.8% 1.00× 2.41
Draw 31.0% 31.5% 30.7% 1.03× 3.17
Racing Club to win 27.0% 27.1% 27.7% 0.98× 3.69
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán & not both score 28.3% 26.5% 27.7% 0.96× 3.78
Draw & both teams score 17.5% 18.1% 15.9% 1.14× 5.52
Racing Club & not both score 17.7% 18.1% 17.2% 1.06× 5.52
Huracán & both teams score 13.8% 12.7% 14.2% 0.89× 7.88
Draw & not both score 13.5% 12.7% 14.9% 0.85× 7.88
Racing Club & both teams score 9.2% 7.7% 10.6% 0.72× 13.07
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán & under 3.5 34.7% 31.8% 34.8% 0.91× 3.15
Huracán & over 1.5 27.3% 26.4% 27.7% 0.95× 3.79
Draw & under 2.5 27.2% 26.4% 28.1% 0.94× 3.79
Draw & under 3.5 27.2% 26.4% 28.1% 0.94× 3.79
Huracán & under 2.5 23.6% 21.8% 23.6% 0.93× 4.58
Racing Club & under 3.5 23.1% 21.8% 23.6% 0.93× 4.58
Huracán & over 2.5 18.5% 17.7% 18.3% 0.97× 5.64
Draw & over 1.5 17.5% 17.7% 15.9% 1.11× 5.64
Racing Club & over 1.5 16.0% 17.7% 17.5% 1.01× 5.64
Racing Club & under 2.5 15.9% 17.7% 14.6% 1.21× 5.64
Huracán & under 1.5 14.7% 12.4% 14.2% 0.88× 8.05
Draw & under 1.5 13.5% 12.4% 14.9% 0.83× 8.05
Racing Club & under 1.5 10.9% 12.4% 10.3% 1.21× 8.06
Racing Club & over 2.5 11.1% 12.4% 13.2% 0.94× 8.06
Huracán & over 3.5 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.21
Draw & over 2.5 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.67× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.67× 22.79
Racing Club & over 3.5 3.8% 4.4% 4.2% 1.04× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (1UP) 54.5% 54.4% 1.84
Racing Club (1UP) 40.8% 42.3% 2.36
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (2UP) 42.1% 44.2% 2.26
Racing Club (2UP) 27.0% 27.7% 3.61
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 42.4% 41.4% 2.42
Huracán to win 2nd half 33.3% 32.9% 3.04
Racing Club to win 2nd half 24.4% 23.7% 4.23
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.3% 90.5% 1.11
Racing Club under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.2% 54.9% 1.82
Racing Club over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.8% 45.1% 2.22
Racing Club over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.7% 9.5% 10.49
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.7% 86.3% 1.16
Huracán under 0.5 in 2nd half 51.5% 54.1% 1.85
Huracán over 0.5 in 2nd half 48.5% 45.9% 2.18
Huracán over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.3% 13.7% 7.31
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (+2.5) 94.0% 92.3% 95.0% 0.97× 1.08
Racing Club (+1.5) 81.8% 83.2% 82.5% 1.01× 1.20
Huracán (+0.5) 73.0% 73.3% 72.3% 1.01× 1.36
Racing Club (+0.5) 57.9% 58.3% 58.2% 1.00× 1.71
Huracán (-0.5) 42.1% 41.7% 41.8% 1.00× 2.40
Racing Club (-0.5) 27.0% 26.7% 27.7% 0.96× 3.75
Huracán (-1.5) 18.2% 16.8% 17.5% 0.96× 5.95
Huracán (-2.5) 6.0% 7.7% 5.0% 1.53× 12.98
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to concede 68.8% 71.3% 68.1% 1.05× 1.40
Racing Club clean sheet 31.2% 28.8% 31.9% 0.90× 3.48
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half 60.6% 62.6% 1.60
Racing Club to concede in 1st half 39.4% 37.4% 2.67
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 2nd half 51.5% 54.5% 1.84
Racing Club to concede in 2nd half 48.5% 45.5% 2.20
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 6.5 corners 83.5% 81.4% 1.23
Racing Club over 2.5 corners 74.4% 71.6% 1.40
Racing Club under 5.5 corners 73.3% 71.6% 1.40
Racing Club under 4.5 corners 59.5% 57.1% 1.75
Racing Club over 3.5 corners 57.2% 57.1% 1.75
Racing Club under 3.5 corners 42.8% 42.9% 2.33
Racing Club over 4.5 corners 40.5% 42.9% 2.33
Racing Club over 5.5 corners 26.7% 28.4% 3.52
Racing Club under 2.5 corners 25.6% 28.4% 3.52
Racing Club over 6.5 corners 16.5% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals 98.8% 97.3% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Racing Club under 2.5 goals 94.2% 92.2% 93.4% 0.99× 1.09
Racing Club under 1.5 goals 78.3% 76.4% 78.1% 0.98× 1.31
Racing Club over 0.5 goals 58.2% 58.9% 57.6% 1.02× 1.70
Racing Club under 0.5 goals 41.8% 41.1% 42.4% 0.97× 2.43
Racing Club over 1.5 goals 21.7% 23.6% 21.9% 1.08× 4.23
Racing Club over 2.5 goals 5.8% 7.8% 6.6% 1.18× 12.76
Racing Club over 3.5 goals 1.2% 2.7% 1.1% 2.35× 37.15
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half 95.2% 95.2% 1.05
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half 70.5% 68.4% 1.46
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half 29.5% 31.6% 3.16
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half 4.8% 4.8% 20.68
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club scores equally in both 49.8% 45.7% 2.19
Racing Club scores more in 2nd half 31.2% 33.3% 3.00
Racing Club scores more in 1st half 19.0% 17.3% 5.78
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (away no bet) 57.6% 58.6% 57.7% 1.02× 1.71
Draw (away no bet) 42.4% 41.4% 42.3% 0.98× 2.42
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club even goals 58.7% 56.4% 58.5% 0.96× 1.77
Racing Club odd goals 41.3% 43.6% 41.5% 1.05× 2.29
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.0% 90.8% 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 7.0% 9.2% 10.84
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 52.5% 53.1% 1.88
Not both halves under 1.5 47.5% 46.9% 2.13
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 41.2% 42.6% 2.35
Huracán to score 2+ in a row 27.2% 26.7% 3.75
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row 16.8% 17.0% 5.88
Either team to score 3+ in a row 11.6% 12.9% 7.78
Huracán to score 3+ in a row 8.1% 7.7% 12.93
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row 3.7% 3.1% 31.81
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán corners (+3.5) 85.7% 84.5% 1.18
Racing Club corners (+3.5) 85.3% 84.5% 1.18
Huracán corners (+2.5) 77.9% 74.8% 1.34
Racing Club corners (+2.5) 77.5% 74.8% 1.34
Huracán corners (+1.5) 68.0% 65.8% 1.52
Racing Club corners (+1.5) 67.5% 65.8% 1.52
Huracán corners (-1.5) 32.5% 34.2% 2.93
Racing Club corners (-1.5) 32.0% 34.2% 2.93
Huracán corners (-2.5) 22.5% 25.2% 3.97
Racing Club corners (-2.5) 22.1% 25.2% 3.97
Huracán corners (-3.5) 14.7% 15.5% 6.45
Racing Club corners (-3.5) 14.3% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 53.9% 45.4% 2.20
9-11 corners 28.0% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 18.0% 22.7% 4.41
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 87.8% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 82.0% 80.7% 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 74.3% 72.6% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 64.9% 63.3% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 57.9% 57.9% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 53.9% 53.2% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 46.1% 46.8% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 42.1% 42.1% 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 35.1% 36.7% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 25.7% 27.4% 3.65
Over 11.5 corners 18.0% 19.3% 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 12.2% 17.0% 5.87
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 14.7% 11.2% 14.2% 0.79× 8.91
1-1 13.7% 11.2% 13.4% 0.84× 8.91
0-0 13.5% 11.2% 14.9% 0.75× 8.91
0-1 10.9% 11.2% 10.3% 1.09× 8.91
1-2 5.8% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.45
2-0 8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.45
2-1 7.7% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.45
0-2 5.0% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.34
0-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.34
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.00× 58.35
1-3 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.34
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 4.99× 58.35
2-2 3.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.34
2-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.15× 58.35
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 14.98× 58.35
3-0 3.4% 1.7% 2.7% 0.62× 58.34
3-1 3.0% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 58.34
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.34
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 4.99× 58.35
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 14.98× 58.35
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.35
4-1 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.14× 58.35
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 4.99× 58.35
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.49× 58.35
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.49× 58.35
Any other score 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.35
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (2nd half DNB) 57.7% 55.8% 1.79
Racing Club (2nd half DNB) 42.3% 44.2% 2.26
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán leading at HT (DNB) 60.9% 62.0% 1.61
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB) 39.1% 38.0% 2.63
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán or draw (1X) 73.0% 72.9% 72.3% 1.01× 1.37
Huracán or Racing Club (12) 69.0% 68.5% 69.3% 0.99× 1.46
Racing Club or draw (X2) 57.9% 58.4% 58.2% 1.00× 1.71
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán or draw at HT 80.7% 83.8% 1.19
Racing Club or draw at HT 70.0% 71.1% 1.41
Huracán or Racing Club at HT 49.3% 50.9% 1.96
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán or draw (1UP) 73.0% 79.0% 1.27
Racing Club or draw (1UP) 57.9% 64.7% 1.55
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán or draw in 2nd half 75.7% 76.3% 1.31
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half 66.7% 67.1% 1.49
Huracán or Racing Club in 2nd half 57.6% 58.6% 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.1% 73.1% 1.37
Neither half drawn 28.9% 26.9% 3.72
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (DNB) 60.9% 62.1% 60.1% 1.03× 1.61
Racing Club (DNB) 39.1% 37.9% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to score first 49.4% 46.2% 2.16
Racing Club to score first 37.1% 37.4% 2.67
No goal scored 13.5% 7.1% 14.12
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 59.5% 55.4% 59.5% 0.93× 1.81
Both teams to score 40.5% 44.6% 40.5% 1.10× 2.24
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 53.0% 48.5% 52.9% 0.92× 2.06
Both score & over 2.5 26.8% 31.4% 27.2% 1.15× 3.18
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 11.9% 13.4% 0.89× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 6.5% 8.4% 6.8% 1.25× 11.85
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 92.9% 89.9% 94.1% 0.96× 1.11
Both teams to score 2+ 7.1% 10.1% 6.0% 1.70× 9.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 80.1% 73.1% 1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half 19.9% 26.9% 3.71
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 70.7% 64.8% 1.54
Both score 2nd half only 17.6% 18.4% 5.42
Both score 1st half only 9.4% 7.0% 14.37
Both score in both halves 2.3% 4.8% 20.75
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.3% 84.7% 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 11.7% 15.3% 6.55
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 60.0% 57.5% 1.74
A goal in each half 40.0% 42.5% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.9% 46.5% 47.3% 0.98× 2.15
0-1 goals 39.2% 35.3% 39.1% 0.90× 2.83
4-6 goals 14.5% 14.9% 13.4% 1.12× 6.70
7+ goals 0.5% 2.0% 0.5% 4.39× 49.80
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 0 41.8% 39.4% 42.4% 0.93× 2.54
Racing Club to score exactly 1 36.5% 36.0% 35.8% 1.01× 2.78
Racing Club to score exactly 2 15.9% 18.2% 15.3% 1.19× 5.49
Racing Club to score 3+ 5.8% 8.6% 6.6% 1.29× 11.64
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.6% 36.5% 1.00× 2.73
Huracán to score exactly 0 31.2% 32.2% 31.9% 1.01× 3.10
Huracán to score exactly 2 21.2% 22.9% 21.7% 1.05× 4.38
Huracán to score 3+ 11.3% 13.3% 10.1% 1.32× 7.54
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 50.7% 49.1% 2.04
Huracán leading at HT 30.0% 28.9% 3.46
Racing Club leading at HT 19.3% 16.2% 6.16
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán -1: 2 57.9% 58.2% 1.72
Huracán -1: X 23.9% 23.3% 4.29
Huracán -1: 1 18.2% 17.8% 5.61
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:1) 57.9% 57.8% 58.2% 0.99× 1.73
Draw (0:1) 23.9% 23.6% 24.4% 0.97× 4.24
Huracán (0:1) 18.2% 18.2% 17.5% 1.04× 5.49
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:2) 81.8% 82.9% 82.5% 1.01× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.2% 11.4% 12.6% 0.90× 8.81
Huracán (0:2) 6.0% 7.7% 5.0% 1.53× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:3) 94.0% 92.6% 95.0% 0.97× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.4% 2.6% 3.4% 0.74× 39.14
Huracán (0:3) 1.6% 2.6% 1.7% 1.49× 39.19
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:4) 98.4% 97.7% 98.3% 0.99× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.12× 70.73
Huracán (0:4) 0.3% 1.4% 0.6% 2.47× 70.76
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (1:0) 73.0% 72.4% 72.3% 1.00× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 17.8% 17.3% 18.7% 0.93× 5.77
Racing Club (1:0) 9.2% 7.5% 9.2% 0.82× 13.39
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (2:0) 90.8% 92.9% 90.8% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (2:0) 6.9% 6.6% 6.3% 1.05× 15.11
Racing Club (2:0) 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 0.94× 35.92
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.4% 48.6% 2.06
Halves equal 30.6% 27.1% 3.69
1st half highest scoring 26.0% 26.2% 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to concede 58.2% 59.9% 57.6% 1.04× 1.67
Huracán clean sheet 41.8% 40.1% 42.4% 0.95× 2.49
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán clean sheet in 1st half 70.5% 67.8% 1.47
Huracán to concede in 1st half 29.5% 32.2% 3.11
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán clean sheet in 2nd half 59.2% 54.7% 1.83
Huracán to concede in 2nd half 40.8% 45.3% 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 6.5 corners 83.2% 81.0% 1.24
Huracán over 2.5 corners 74.7% 71.9% 1.39
Huracán under 5.5 corners 72.9% 71.9% 1.39
Huracán under 4.5 corners 59.0% 57.6% 1.74
Huracán over 3.5 corners 57.6% 57.6% 1.74
Huracán under 3.5 corners 42.4% 42.4% 2.36
Huracán over 4.5 corners 41.0% 42.4% 2.36
Huracán over 5.5 corners 27.1% 28.1% 3.56
Huracán under 2.5 corners 25.3% 28.1% 3.56
Huracán over 6.5 corners 16.8% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 3.5 goals 96.9% 96.6% 97.1% 0.99× 1.04
Huracán under 2.5 goals 88.7% 87.3% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Huracán over 0.5 goals 68.8% 68.3% 68.1% 1.00× 1.46
Huracán under 1.5 goals 67.6% 68.3% 68.3% 1.00× 1.46
Huracán over 1.5 goals 32.4% 31.7% 31.7% 1.00× 3.15
Huracán under 0.5 goals 31.2% 31.7% 31.9% 0.99× 3.15
Huracán over 2.5 goals 11.3% 12.7% 10.1% 1.26× 7.88
Huracán over 3.5 goals 3.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.19× 29.41
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 1st half 91.0% 93.3% 1.07
Huracán under 0.5 in 1st half 60.6% 62.4% 1.60
Huracán over 0.5 in 1st half 39.4% 37.6% 2.66
Huracán over 1.5 in 1st half 9.0% 6.7% 14.95
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán scores equally in both 42.5% 41.7% 2.40
Huracán scores more in 2nd half 34.0% 32.2% 3.10
Huracán scores more in 1st half 23.5% 23.2% 4.31
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 53.5% 52.0% 52.5% 0.99× 1.92
Racing Club (home no bet) 46.5% 48.0% 47.5% 1.01× 2.08
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán even goals 54.9% 50.9% 55.7% 0.91× 1.96
Huracán odd goals 45.1% 49.1% 44.3% 1.11× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 42.8% 38.0% 2.63
HT 1-0 21.3% 22.5% 4.45
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.0% 9.13
HT 1-1 7.6% 8.0% 12.54
HT 2-0 5.4% 8.0% 12.56
HT 0-2 2.6% 2.5% 40.46
Any other HT score 2.0% 2.5% 40.49
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.5% 40.50
HT 1-2 1.3% 2.5% 40.52
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.5% 40.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán at HT / Huracán at FT 23.8% 21.0% 4.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 22.0% 20.9% 4.78
Draw at HT / Huracán at FT 16.6% 17.3% 5.78
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT 13.5% 12.0% 8.32
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT 12.1% 12.0% 8.33
Huracán at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.6% 27.50
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.6% 27.52
Huracán at HT / Racing Club at FT 1.4% 3.6% 27.60
Racing Club at HT / Huracán at FT 1.6% 3.6% 27.59
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to score last 49.5% 46.3% 2.16
Racing Club to score last 37.0% 38.5% 2.60
No goal scored 13.5% 7.3% 13.78
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 86.5% 92.5% 1.08
Huracán to lead by 1 at any time 54.5% 51.8% 1.93
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time 40.8% 41.7% 2.40
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 34.8% 31.7% 3.15
Huracán to lead by 2 at any time 22.3% 21.4% 4.68
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time 12.5% 11.0% 9.07
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.0% 11.0% 9.10
Huracán to lead by 3 at any time 7.0% 7.4% 13.49
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time 3.0% 2.6% 38.17
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán most corners 44.2% 43.6% 2.29
Racing Club most corners 43.6% 43.6% 2.29
Corners level 12.2% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.7% 82.1% 84.2% 0.97× 1.22
1-4 goals 80.9% 82.1% 79.9% 1.03× 1.22
1-3 goals 71.5% 72.2% 71.5% 1.01× 1.39
2-6 goals 60.3% 62.7% 60.5% 1.04× 1.60
2-5 goals 59.1% 58.9% 60.0% 0.98× 1.70
2-4 goals 55.2% 58.9% 55.6% 1.06× 1.70
1-2 goals 53.2% 52.9% 51.4% 1.03× 1.89
2-3 goals 45.9% 47.4% 47.3% 1.00× 2.11
3-6 goals 32.8% 34.7% 33.5% 1.04× 2.88
3-5 goals 31.5% 34.7% 33.0% 1.05× 2.88
3-4 goals 27.7% 28.5% 28.6% 1.00× 3.51
4-6 goals 14.5% 13.5% 13.4% 1.01× 7.41
4-5 goals 13.2% 13.5% 12.8% 1.05× 7.42
5-6 goals 5.1% 8.9% 5.0% 1.77× 11.22
7+ goals 0.5% 2.3% 0.5% 4.93× 44.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán never behind 45.7% 54.4% 1.84
Racing Club never behind 32.0% 36.6% 2.73
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 51.8% 50.1% 50.9% 0.98× 2.00
Odd number of goals 48.2% 49.9% 49.1% 1.02× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.3% 55.1% 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 40.7% 44.9% 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.0% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.0% 48.4% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.2% 96.0% 99.0% 0.97× 1.04
Under 4.5 goals 94.4% 92.3% 94.6% 0.98× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 86.5% 87.8% 85.1% 1.03× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 85.0% 87.8% 86.3% 1.02× 1.14
Under 2.5 goals 66.7% 67.7% 66.1% 1.02× 1.48
Over 1.5 goals 60.8% 62.0% 60.9% 1.02× 1.61
Under 1.5 goals 39.2% 38.0% 39.1% 0.97× 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 33.3% 32.3% 33.9% 0.95× 3.09
Over 3.5 goals 15.0% 12.2% 13.7% 0.89× 8.21
Under 0.5 goals 13.5% 12.2% 14.9% 0.82× 8.21
Over 4.5 goals 5.6% 7.7% 5.4% 1.44× 12.91
Over 5.5 goals 1.8% 4.0% 1.0% 3.85× 25.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.5% 97.3% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.1% 97.3% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 93.8% 92.0% 94.1% 0.98× 1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 81.7% 81.5% 82.8% 0.98× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 54.0% 52.0% 53.6% 0.97× 1.92
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.0% 48.0% 46.4% 1.03× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 18.3% 18.5% 17.2% 1.08× 5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 6.2% 8.0% 5.9% 1.36× 12.52
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.9% 2.7% 1.1% 2.53× 36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.5% 2.7% 0.5% 5.92× 36.73
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 94.5% 91.9% 1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half 79.0% 78.0% 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 57.2% 59.6% 1.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 42.8% 40.4% 2.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half 21.0% 22.0% 4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.5% 8.1% 12.40
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 88.2% 85.2% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.3% 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.6% 66.8% 1.50
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.4% 33.2% 3.01
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.7% 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.8% 14.8% 6.76
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club not to score in both halves 88.0% 85.6% 1.17
Huracán not to score in both halves 80.9% 81.2% 1.23
Huracán to score in both halves 19.1% 18.8% 5.32
Racing Club to score in both halves 12.0% 14.4% 6.95
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 40.5% 45.6% 40.5% 1.13× 2.19
Only Huracán scores 28.3% 25.4% 27.7% 0.92× 3.93
Only Racing Club scores 17.7% 16.9% 17.2% 0.98× 5.93
Neither team scores 13.5% 11.2% 14.9% 0.75× 8.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.5% 25.0% 27.1% 0.92× 4.00
Exactly 1 goals 25.7% 25.0% 24.4% 1.03× 4.00
Exactly 3 goals 18.4% 17.6% 20.3% 0.87× 5.68
Exactly 0 goals 13.5% 12.3% 14.9% 0.83× 8.14
Exactly 4 goals 9.4% 7.8% 8.5% 0.92× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 0.91× 24.73
6 or more goals 1.8% 4.0% 1.0% 3.92× 24.75
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 42.8% 38.0% 2.63
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 36.9% 2.71
2 goals in 1st half 15.5% 18.8% 5.33
3+ goals in 1st half 5.5% 8.1% 12.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 35.9% 38.7% 2.58
2+ goals in 2nd half 33.4% 34.3% 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 30.7% 34.3% 2.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club not to win both halves 95.3% 97.3% 1.03
Huracán not to win both halves 89.9% 87.9% 1.14
Huracán to win both halves 10.1% 12.1% 8.25
Racing Club to win both halves 4.7% 2.7% 36.50
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to win neither half 61.1% 62.1% 1.61
Huracán to win either half 53.2% 53.0% 1.89
Huracán to win neither half 46.8% 47.0% 2.13
Racing Club to win either half 38.9% 37.9% 2.64
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club not to win to nil 82.3% 82.9% 82.8% 1.00× 1.21
Huracán not to win to nil 71.7% 74.8% 72.3% 1.04× 1.34
Huracán to win to nil 28.3% 25.2% 27.7% 0.91× 3.97
Racing Club to win to nil 17.7% 17.1% 17.2% 0.99× 5.86
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 31.0% 29.2% 30.7% 0.95× 3.43
Huracán by 1 23.9% 23.4% 24.4% 0.96× 4.27
Racing Club by 1 17.8% 17.2% 18.7% 0.92× 5.80
Huracán by 2 12.2% 11.8% 12.6% 0.94× 8.45
Racing Club by 2 6.9% 7.3% 6.3% 1.15× 13.77
Huracán by 3+ 6.0% 7.3% 5.0% 1.44× 13.77
Racing Club by 3+ 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 1.00× 33.46
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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