Huracán v Tigre — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-0 17.9%
- 1-0 16.3%
- 1-1 13.7%
- 0-1 12.9%
- 2-0 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 25.7% | Under 2.5 | 74.3% |
| BTTS yes | 34.2% | BTTS no | 65.8% |
| Huracán 1+ | 62.3% | Huracán 2+ | 25.5% |
| Tigre 1+ | 54.0% | Tigre 2+ | 18.3% |
Expected goals 0.98 – 0.78. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.
Risk factors
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Huracán have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.2% for the draw and 28.9% for Tigre. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Huracán and 0.78 for Tigre.
Why Huracán
Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 31.2%. A combined 1.75 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.98 to 0.78. Draws run at 31% in this competition.
Why Tigre can win
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Huracán, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tigre, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Huracán: 63% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tigre: 45% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Huracán are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 17.9%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.98–0.78 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.79–0.71 | 0-0 23% | 19% | 28% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.8% | 36.3% | 30.7% | 1.19× | 2.75 |
| Huracán to win | 33.2% | 30.4% | 41.8% | 0.73× | 3.29 |
| Tigre to win | 28.9% | 27.9% | 27.6% | 1.01× | 3.58 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán & not both score | 26.1% | 25.2% | 27.7% | 0.91× | 3.97 |
| Draw & not both score | 22.9% | 21.8% | 14.8% | 1.47× | 4.59 |
| Tigre & not both score | 22.7% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 1.27× | 4.59 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.9% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 0.83× | 7.54 |
| Huracán & both teams score | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 0.58× | 12.00 |
| Tigre & both teams score | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 0.79× | 12.01 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw & under 2.5 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 28.2% | 1.24× | 2.87 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 28.2% | 1.24× | 2.87 |
| Huracán & under 3.5 | 30.6% | 30.7% | 34.8% | 0.88× | 3.25 |
| Tigre & under 3.5 | 26.9% | 26.1% | 23.5% | 1.11× | 3.84 |
| Huracán & under 2.5 | 23.9% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 0.92× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 22.9% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 1.46× | 4.63 |
| Tigre & under 2.5 | 21.0% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 1.48× | 4.63 |
| Huracán & under 1.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 1.27× | 5.56 |
| Huracán & over 1.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 27.8% | 0.65× | 5.56 |
| Tigre & under 1.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 1.75× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.9% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 0.80× | 7.79 |
| Tigre & over 1.5 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 0.74× | 7.79 |
| Huracán & over 2.5 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 0.43× | 12.63 |
| Tigre & over 2.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 0.60× | 12.63 |
| Huracán & over 3.5 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 0.67× | 20.83 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.83× | 20.83 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.83× | 20.83 |
| Tigre & over 3.5 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.14× | 20.83 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (1UP) | 43.1% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Tigre (1UP) | 39.0% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (2UP) | 33.2% | 30.3% | — | — | 3.30 |
| Tigre (2UP) | 28.9% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 50.4% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Huracán to win 2nd half | 25.5% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
| Tigre to win 2nd half | 24.1% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 1.5 in 2nd half | 93.1% | 91.8% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Tigre under 0.5 in 2nd half | 65.2% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Tigre over 0.5 in 2nd half | 34.8% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.27 |
| Tigre over 1.5 in 2nd half | 6.9% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.26 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán under 1.5 in 2nd half | 92.5% | 94.3% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Huracán under 0.5 in 2nd half | 63.9% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Huracán over 0.5 in 2nd half | 36.1% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Huracán over 1.5 in 2nd half | 7.5% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.44 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (+2.5) | 97.5% | 96.3% | 95.0% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Tigre (+1.5) | 89.2% | 88.5% | 82.3% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Huracán (+0.5) | 71.1% | 73.6% | 72.4% | 1.02× | 1.36 |
| Tigre (+0.5) | 66.8% | 68.7% | 58.2% | 1.18× | 1.46 |
| Huracán (-0.5) | 33.2% | 31.3% | 41.8% | 0.75× | 3.19 |
| Tigre (-0.5) | 28.9% | 26.4% | 27.6% | 0.96× | 3.80 |
| Huracán (-1.5) | 10.8% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 0.65× | 8.68 |
| Huracán (-2.5) | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 0.73× | 27.17 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to concede | 54.4% | 55.9% | 68.2% | 0.82× | 1.79 |
| Tigre clean sheet | 45.6% | 44.1% | 31.8% | 1.39× | 2.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre clean sheet in 1st half | 71.3% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Tigre to concede in 1st half | 28.7% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.09 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre clean sheet in 2nd half | 63.9% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Tigre to concede in 2nd half | 36.1% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.62 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 6.5 corners | 88.8% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Tigre under 5.5 corners | 80.3% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Tigre over 2.5 corners | 67.6% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Tigre under 4.5 corners | 67.7% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Tigre under 3.5 corners | 51.1% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Tigre over 3.5 corners | 48.9% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Tigre under 2.5 corners | 32.4% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Tigre over 4.5 corners | 32.3% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Tigre over 5.5 corners | 19.7% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| Tigre over 6.5 corners | 11.2% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.78 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 3.5 goals | 99.4% | 97.5% | 98.9% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Tigre under 2.5 goals | 96.4% | 97.5% | 93.4% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Tigre under 1.5 goals | 84.0% | 81.5% | 78.2% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Tigre over 0.5 goals | 51.0% | 53.5% | 57.6% | 0.93× | 1.87 |
| Tigre under 0.5 goals | 49.0% | 46.5% | 42.4% | 1.10× | 2.15 |
| Tigre over 1.5 goals | 16.0% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 0.85× | 5.41 |
| Tigre over 2.5 goals | 3.6% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 0.38× | 39.79 |
| Tigre over 3.5 goals | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.20× | 39.94 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.6% | 96.1% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Tigre under 0.5 in 1st half | 75.2% | 74.7% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Tigre over 0.5 in 1st half | 24.8% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
| Tigre over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.4% | 3.9% | — | — | 25.91 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre scores equally in both | 55.2% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Tigre scores more in 2nd half | 27.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Tigre scores more in 1st half | 17.1% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.56 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 53.3% | 51.7% | 42.3% | 1.22× | 1.93 |
| Huracán (away no bet) | 46.7% | 48.3% | 57.7% | 0.84× | 2.07 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre even goals | 62.0% | 59.1% | 58.4% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| Tigre odd goals | 38.0% | 40.9% | 41.6% | 0.98× | 2.45 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 97.2% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 2.8% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.17 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 67.7% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 32.3% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 27.9% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.01 |
| Huracán to score 2+ in a row | 15.7% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.21 |
| Tigre to score 2+ in a row | 13.3% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.21 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 5.9% | 5.5% | — | — | 18.31 |
| Huracán to score 3+ in a row | 3.4% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.91 |
| Tigre to score 3+ in a row | 2.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.39 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán corners (+3.5) | 91.9% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Huracán corners (+2.5) | 86.5% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Huracán corners (+1.5) | 78.9% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Tigre corners (+3.5) | 75.7% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Tigre corners (+2.5) | 65.8% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Tigre corners (+1.5) | 54.4% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Huracán corners (-1.5) | 45.6% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Huracán corners (-2.5) | 34.2% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Huracán corners (-3.5) | 24.3% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Tigre corners (-1.5) | 21.1% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Tigre corners (-2.5) | 13.5% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Tigre corners (-3.5) | 8.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 51.7% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.6% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| 12+ corners | 19.7% | 22.6% | — | — | 4.43 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 86.4% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 80.3% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 72.4% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 62.7% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 60.0% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 51.7% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 48.3% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 40.0% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37.3% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 27.6% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 19.7% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.17 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 13.6% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.91 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 22.9% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 1.36× | 4.96 |
| 1-0 | 17.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 0.98× | 7.23 |
| 0-1 | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 1.35× | 7.24 |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 0.85× | 8.71 |
| 2-0 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.77× | 13.51 |
| 0-2 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.66× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 8.7% | 0.20× | 58.29 |
| 0-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.84× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.01× | 58.32 |
| 1-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 0.24× | 58.29 |
| 1-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.31 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.01× | 58.32 |
| 2-2 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.16× | 58.32 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 15.04× | 58.32 |
| 3-0 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.31 |
| 3-1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.56× | 58.31 |
| 3-2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.07× | 58.32 |
| 3-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.01× | 58.32 |
| 3-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 15.04× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.50× | 58.32 |
| 4-1 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.15× | 58.32 |
| 4-2 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.01× | 58.32 |
| 4-3 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.52× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.52× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.32 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (2nd half DNB) | 51.4% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Tigre (2nd half DNB) | 48.6% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán leading at HT (DNB) | 54.9% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Tigre leading at HT (DNB) | 45.1% | 43.6% | — | — | 2.29 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán or draw (1X) | 71.1% | 72.1% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Tigre or draw (X2) | 66.8% | 69.6% | 58.2% | 1.20× | 1.44 |
| Huracán or Tigre (12) | 62.2% | 63.7% | 69.3% | 0.92× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán or draw at HT | 81.6% | 84.0% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Tigre or draw at HT | 77.5% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Huracán or Tigre at HT | 40.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán or draw (1UP) | 71.1% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Tigre or draw (1UP) | 66.8% | 76.4% | — | — | 1.31 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán or draw in 2nd half | 75.9% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Tigre or draw in 2nd half | 74.5% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Huracán or Tigre in 2nd half | 49.6% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 79.2% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Neither half drawn | 20.8% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (DNB) | 53.4% | 50.9% | 60.3% | 0.85× | 1.96 |
| Tigre (DNB) | 46.6% | 49.1% | 39.7% | 1.24× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán to score first | 40.4% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.41 |
| Tigre to score first | 36.7% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
| No goal scored | 22.9% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.38 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 71.7% | 62.4% | 59.4% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score | 28.3% | 37.6% | 40.6% | 0.93× | 2.66 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 67.8% | 57.2% | 52.8% | 1.08× | 1.75 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 15.2% | 21.5% | 27.3% | 0.79× | 4.66 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 0.92× | 8.09 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 0.70× | 21.32 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 97.0% | 91.6% | 94.1% | 0.97× | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 3.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.41× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 87.2% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 12.8% | 12.5% | — | — | 8.03 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 80.9% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 11.9% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
| Both score 1st half only | 6.3% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.79 |
| Both score in both halves | 0.9% | 4.8% | — | — | 21.02 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 92.8% | 93.0% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 7.2% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.21 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 72.7% | 75.0% | — | — | 1.33 |
| A goal in each half | 27.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.01 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 goals | 55.3% | 47.9% | 39.0% | 1.23× | 2.09 |
| 2-3 goals | 38.2% | 35.1% | 47.3% | 0.74× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 0.57× | 13.14 |
| 7+ goals | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 4.02× | 54.56 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to score exactly 0 | 49.0% | 43.0% | 42.4% | 1.01× | 2.33 |
| Tigre to score exactly 1 | 34.9% | 33.8% | 35.9% | 0.94× | 2.96 |
| Tigre to score exactly 2 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 0.84× | 7.76 |
| Tigre to score 3+ | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 0.69× | 21.83 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán to score exactly 0 | 45.6% | 37.4% | 31.8% | 1.18× | 2.67 |
| Huracán to score exactly 1 | 35.8% | 35.5% | 36.5% | 0.97× | 2.81 |
| Huracán to score exactly 2 | 14.1% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 0.66× | 6.99 |
| Huracán to score 3+ | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 0.61× | 16.11 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 59.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Huracán leading at HT | 22.5% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.91 |
| Tigre leading at HT | 18.4% | 16.0% | — | — | 6.25 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán -1: 2 | 66.8% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Huracán -1: X | 22.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
| Huracán -1: 1 | 10.8% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:1) | 66.8% | 65.2% | 58.2% | 1.12× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.4% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 1.00× | 4.13 |
| Huracán (0:1) | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 0.77× | 7.31 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:2) | 89.2% | 87.1% | 82.3% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.3% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 0.60× | 13.05 |
| Huracán (0:2) | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 0.75× | 26.75 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:3) | 97.5% | 96.6% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.70× | 42.05 |
| Huracán (0:3) | 0.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.39× | 42.12 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:4) | 99.5% | 98.1% | 98.3% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.97× | 81.93 |
| Huracán (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.14× | 81.96 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (1:0) | 71.1% | 72.4% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 20.3% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 1.17× | 4.62 |
| Tigre (1:0) | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 0.76× | 14.48 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán (2:0) | 91.3% | 94.0% | 90.9% | 1.03× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 1.02× | 15.66 |
| Tigre (2:0) | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.77× | 43.81 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 38.8% | 38.8% | — | — | 2.58 |
| Halves equal | 37.1% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.1% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán to concede | 51.0% | 53.1% | 57.6% | 0.92× | 1.88 |
| Huracán clean sheet | 49.0% | 46.9% | 42.4% | 1.11× | 2.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán clean sheet in 1st half | 75.2% | 76.8% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Huracán to concede in 1st half | 24.8% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.32 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán clean sheet in 2nd half | 65.2% | 66.5% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Huracán to concede in 2nd half | 34.8% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.98 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán over 2.5 corners | 81.8% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Huracán under 6.5 corners | 74.8% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Huracán over 3.5 corners | 67.4% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Huracán under 5.5 corners | 62.8% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Huracán over 4.5 corners | 51.7% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Huracán under 4.5 corners | 48.3% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Huracán over 5.5 corners | 37.2% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Huracán under 3.5 corners | 32.6% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Huracán over 6.5 corners | 25.2% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Huracán under 2.5 corners | 18.2% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán under 3.5 goals | 99.1% | 96.4% | 97.1% | 0.99× | 1.04 |
| Huracán under 2.5 goals | 95.5% | 96.4% | 89.9% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Huracán under 1.5 goals | 81.4% | 82.2% | 68.2% | 1.21× | 1.22 |
| Huracán over 0.5 goals | 54.4% | 53.2% | 68.2% | 0.78× | 1.88 |
| Huracán under 0.5 goals | 45.6% | 46.8% | 31.8% | 1.47× | 2.14 |
| Huracán over 1.5 goals | 18.6% | 17.8% | 31.8% | 0.56× | 5.62 |
| Huracán over 2.5 goals | 4.5% | 3.6% | 10.1% | 0.36× | 27.49 |
| Huracán over 3.5 goals | 0.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.27× | 27.65 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.4% | 96.6% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Huracán under 0.5 in 1st half | 71.3% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Huracán over 0.5 in 1st half | 28.7% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.80 |
| Huracán over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.6% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.33 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán scores equally in both | 52.7% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Huracán scores more in 2nd half | 27.6% | 27.9% | — | — | 3.59 |
| Huracán scores more in 1st half | 19.7% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.37 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 56.7% | 56.4% | 52.6% | 1.07× | 1.77 |
| Tigre (home no bet) | 43.3% | 43.6% | 47.4% | 0.92× | 2.29 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán even goals | 60.4% | 56.0% | 55.6% | 1.01× | 1.79 |
| Huracán odd goals | 39.6% | 44.0% | 44.4% | 0.99× | 2.27 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 53.7% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.0% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.2% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.40 |
| HT 1-1 | 5.3% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.58 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.1% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.22 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.28 |
| HT 2-1 | 0.9% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.36 |
| HT 1-2 | 0.7% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.37 |
| Any other HT score | 0.8% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.37 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.1% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.41 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 30.3% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
| Huracán at HT / Huracán at FT | 17.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Huracán at FT | 14.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Tigre at HT / Tigre at FT | 14.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Tigre at FT | 14.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Huracán at HT / Draw at FT | 4.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| Tigre at HT / Draw at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
| Huracán at HT / Tigre at FT | 0.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.00 |
| Tigre at HT / Huracán at FT | 0.8% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.01 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán to score last | 40.4% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Tigre to score last | 36.7% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 22.9% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 77.1% | 78.0% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Huracán to lead by 1 at any time | 43.1% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Tigre to lead by 1 at any time | 39.0% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 23.8% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.12 |
| Huracán to lead by 2 at any time | 13.1% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.42 |
| Tigre to lead by 2 at any time | 10.8% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.47 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 5.2% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.14 |
| Huracán to lead by 3 at any time | 3.0% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.38 |
| Tigre to lead by 3 at any time | 2.2% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.10 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán most corners | 57.7% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Tigre most corners | 30.9% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Corners level | 11.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 76.7% | 78.7% | 84.3% | 0.93× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.2% | 78.7% | 79.9% | 0.98× | 1.27 |
| 1-3 goals | 70.6% | 72.3% | 71.5% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 1-2 goals | 58.0% | 59.1% | 51.4% | 1.15× | 1.69 |
| 2-6 goals | 44.7% | 43.6% | 60.7% | 0.72× | 2.29 |
| 2-5 goals | 44.3% | 43.6% | 60.1% | 0.73× | 2.29 |
| 2-4 goals | 42.9% | 43.6% | 55.8% | 0.78× | 2.29 |
| 2-3 goals | 38.2% | 39.2% | 47.3% | 0.83× | 2.55 |
| 3-6 goals | 19.0% | 18.8% | 33.5% | 0.56× | 5.31 |
| 3-5 goals | 18.6% | 18.8% | 33.0% | 0.57× | 5.31 |
| 3-4 goals | 17.2% | 18.8% | 28.6% | 0.66× | 5.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 6.5% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 0.66× | 11.27 |
| 4-5 goals | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 0.69× | 11.27 |
| 5-6 goals | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 0.51× | 39.19 |
| 7+ goals | 0.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 5.58× | 39.27 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán never behind | 38.1% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
| Tigre never behind | 34.0% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.4% | 50.9% | 48.9% | 1.04× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.6% | 49.1% | 51.1% | 0.96× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 64.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 35.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 59.1% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 40.9% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 99.6% | 95.4% | 99.0% | 0.96× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 98.1% | 95.4% | 94.6% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 93.4% | 92.3% | 86.2% | 1.07× | 1.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 80.9% | 82.3% | 66.1% | 1.24× | 1.22 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 77.1% | 77.3% | 85.2% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 55.3% | 58.6% | 39.0% | 1.50× | 1.71 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 44.7% | 41.4% | 61.0% | 0.68× | 2.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 22.9% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 19.1% | 17.7% | 33.9% | 0.52× | 5.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 0.56× | 12.94 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 0.85× | 21.85 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 0.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 4.46× | 21.87 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.9% | 97.2% | 99.5% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 99.6% | 97.2% | 98.9% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 98.1% | 97.2% | 94.1% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 92.5% | 92.4% | 82.7% | 1.12× | 1.08 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 74.3% | 72.4% | 53.5% | 1.35× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 25.7% | 27.6% | 46.5% | 0.59× | 3.62 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 7.5% | 7.6% | 17.3% | 0.44× | 13.19 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 0.48× | 35.64 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 0.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.61× | 35.68 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 6.11× | 35.69 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 97.5% | 97.9% | — | — | 1.02 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.9% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.7% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 46.3% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.1% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 2.5% | 2.1% | — | — | 48.10 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 94.1% | 91.0% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 77.9% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 58.2% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 41.8% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 22.1% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 5.9% | 9.0% | — | — | 11.09 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to score in both halves | 91.4% | 90.3% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Huracán not to score in both halves | 89.6% | 85.8% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Huracán to score in both halves | 10.4% | 14.2% | — | — | 7.03 |
| Tigre to score in both halves | 8.6% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.33 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 28.3% | 26.1% | 40.6% | 0.64× | 3.83 |
| Only Huracán scores | 26.1% | 26.1% | 27.7% | 0.94× | 3.84 |
| Neither team scores | 22.9% | 22.3% | 14.8% | 1.50× | 4.49 |
| Only Tigre scores | 22.7% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 1.30× | 4.49 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1 goals | 32.4% | 25.4% | 24.3% | 1.05× | 3.93 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.7% | 24.9% | 27.3% | 0.91× | 4.02 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 22.9% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 1.52× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 12.5% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 0.60× | 8.26 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 0.52× | 22.33 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 1.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.00× | 22.38 |
| 6 or more goals | 0.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 4.35× | 22.39 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No goals in 1st half | 53.7% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| 1 goal in 1st half | 33.2% | 35.7% | — | — | 2.80 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 10.5% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.26 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 2.5% | 2.1% | — | — | 48.10 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No goals in 2nd half | 41.8% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 36.1% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 22.1% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.37 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to win both halves | 95.5% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Huracán not to win both halves | 94.2% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Huracán to win both halves | 5.8% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.24 |
| Tigre to win both halves | 4.5% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.39 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to win neither half | 62.0% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Huracán to win neither half | 57.8% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Huracán to win either half | 42.2% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Tigre to win either half | 38.0% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.85 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to win to nil | 77.3% | 78.1% | 82.9% | 0.94× | 1.28 |
| Huracán not to win to nil | 73.9% | 75.3% | 72.3% | 1.04× | 1.33 |
| Huracán to win to nil | 26.1% | 24.7% | 27.7% | 0.89× | 4.05 |
| Tigre to win to nil | 22.7% | 21.9% | 17.1% | 1.28× | 4.57 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.8% | 34.8% | 30.7% | 1.13× | 2.88 |
| Huracán by 1 | 22.4% | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.99× | 4.15 |
| Tigre by 1 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 1.30× | 4.15 |
| Huracán by 2 | 8.3% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 0.56× | 13.91 |
| Tigre by 2 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.15× | 13.91 |
| Huracán by 3+ | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 0.54× | 36.89 |
| Tigre by 3+ | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.91× | 36.91 |