Iberia 1999 v Dila Gori — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 17 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627
GEO-Erovnuli Liga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.6%
- 1-0 9.1%
- 0-0 8.6%
- 2-1 8.5%
- 0-1 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 47.7% | Under 2.5 | 52.3% |
| BTTS yes | 53.6% | BTTS no | 46.4% |
| Iberia 1999 1+ | 74.0% | Iberia 1999 2+ | 39.0% |
| Dila Gori 1+ | 70.9% | Dila Gori 2+ | 35.0% |
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Iberia 1999 have only 1 matches on record.
- Dila Gori have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Iberia 1999 have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 32.7% for Dila Gori and 28.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Iberia 1999 and 1.24 for Dila Gori.
Why Iberia 1999
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.35 to 1.24.
Why Dila Gori can win
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Dila Gori average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Iberia 1999, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dila Gori, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Iberia 1999: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dila Gori: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Iberia 1999 are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.35–1.24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.20–1.13 | 1-1 14% | 41% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to win | 38.3% | 37.7% | 40.3% | 0.93× | 2.66 |
| Dila Gori to win | 33.1% | 31.5% | 34.3% | 0.92× | 3.17 |
| Draw | 28.6% | 27.1% | 25.7% | 1.06× | 3.69 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 & not both score | 20.4% | 21.7% | 21.3% | 1.02× | 4.61 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.0% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 1.01× | 5.52 |
| Iberia 1999 & both teams score | 17.9% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 0.94× | 5.52 |
| Dila Gori & not both score | 17.4% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 1.07× | 5.52 |
| Dila Gori & both teams score | 15.7% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 1.03× | 5.52 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.96× | 13.07 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 & over 1.5 | 29.2% | 26.4% | 31.3% | 0.84× | 3.79 |
| Iberia 1999 & under 3.5 | 27.5% | 26.4% | 30.3% | 0.87× | 3.79 |
| Dila Gori & over 1.5 | 24.8% | 21.8% | 25.0% | 0.87× | 4.58 |
| Dila Gori & under 3.5 | 24.2% | 21.8% | 24.3% | 0.90× | 4.58 |
| Iberia 1999 & over 2.5 | 22.4% | 21.8% | 25.0% | 0.87× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 0.98× | 5.64 |
| Dila Gori & over 2.5 | 19.1% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 0.86× | 5.64 |
| Iberia 1999 & under 2.5 | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 1.13× | 5.64 |
| Dila Gori & under 2.5 | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 0.89× | 8.05 |
| Iberia 1999 & over 3.5 | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.06 |
| Iberia 1999 & under 1.5 | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 0.81× | 13.20 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.95× | 13.20 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.14× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.14× | 13.21 |
| Dila Gori & under 1.5 | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 0.78× | 13.20 |
| Dila Gori & over 3.5 | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 0.73× | 13.20 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (1UP) | 54.7% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Dila Gori (1UP) | 50.2% | 54.1% | — | — | 1.85 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (2UP) | 38.3% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Dila Gori (2UP) | 33.1% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 37.3% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Iberia 1999 to win 2nd half | 32.1% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Dila Gori to win 2nd half | 30.6% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori under 1.5 in 2nd half | 83.0% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Dila Gori over 0.5 in 2nd half | 52.4% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Dila Gori under 0.5 in 2nd half | 47.6% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Dila Gori over 1.5 in 2nd half | 17.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 under 1.5 in 2nd half | 82.0% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Iberia 1999 over 0.5 in 2nd half | 53.6% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Iberia 1999 under 0.5 in 2nd half | 46.4% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Iberia 1999 over 1.5 in 2nd half | 18.0% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.78 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (+2.5) | 93.5% | 92.3% | 91.0% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Dila Gori (+1.5) | 82.0% | 83.2% | 81.7% | 1.02× | 1.20 |
| Iberia 1999 (+0.5) | 66.9% | 67.9% | 65.7% | 1.03× | 1.47 |
| Dila Gori (+0.5) | 61.7% | 62.7% | 59.7% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| Iberia 1999 (-0.5) | 38.3% | 37.3% | 40.3% | 0.93× | 2.68 |
| Dila Gori (-0.5) | 33.1% | 32.1% | 34.3% | 0.94× | 3.12 |
| Iberia 1999 (-1.5) | 18.0% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.92× | 5.95 |
| Iberia 1999 (-2.5) | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 0.86× | 12.98 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori to concede | 74.0% | 75.6% | 75.3% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| Dila Gori clean sheet | 26.0% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.99× | 4.10 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori clean sheet in 1st half | 56.0% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Dila Gori to concede in 1st half | 44.0% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori to concede in 2nd half | 53.6% | 54.6% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Dila Gori clean sheet in 2nd half | 46.4% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori under 3.5 goals | 96.3% | 97.3% | 94.7% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Dila Gori under 2.5 goals | 87.2% | 87.1% | 86.3% | 1.01× | 1.15 |
| Dila Gori over 0.5 goals | 71.0% | 71.6% | 71.0% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Dila Gori under 1.5 goals | 65.0% | 63.6% | 66.0% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| Dila Gori over 1.5 goals | 35.0% | 36.4% | 34.0% | 1.07× | 2.75 |
| Dila Gori under 0.5 goals | 29.0% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 0.98× | 3.52 |
| Dila Gori over 2.5 goals | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 0.94× | 7.76 |
| Dila Gori over 3.5 goals | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 0.51× | 37.10 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.1% | 93.8% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Dila Gori under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.0% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Dila Gori over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.0% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Dila Gori over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.9% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.08 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori scores equally in both | 40.7% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Dila Gori scores more in 2nd half | 37.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Dila Gori scores more in 1st half | 21.9% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (away no bet) | 57.3% | 58.6% | 61.1% | 0.96× | 1.71 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 42.7% | 41.4% | 38.9% | 1.06× | 2.42 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori even goals | 54.2% | 53.6% | 54.3% | 0.99× | 1.87 |
| Dila Gori odd goals | 45.8% | 46.4% | 45.7% | 1.02× | 2.16 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 87.0% | 86.8% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.0% | 13.2% | — | — | 7.59 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 61.3% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 38.7% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 52.6% | 51.4% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Iberia 1999 to score 2+ in a row | 31.1% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| Dila Gori to score 2+ in a row | 27.1% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 17.4% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
| Iberia 1999 to score 3+ in a row | 9.8% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.87 |
| Dila Gori to score 3+ in a row | 7.8% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.93 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 0.96× | 8.91 |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.45 |
| 0-1 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 0.77× | 13.45 |
| 0-2 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.59× | 13.45 |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 0.80× | 13.45 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 0.83× | 13.45 |
| 2-0 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.12× | 13.45 |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 0.66× | 13.45 |
| 2-2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.45 |
| 0-3 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.34 |
| 0-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.29× | 58.35 |
| 1-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.34 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.73× | 58.35 |
| 2-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.34 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.29× | 58.35 |
| 3-0 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.34 |
| 3-1 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.34 |
| 3-2 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.03× | 58.34 |
| 3-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.71× | 58.35 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.57× | 58.35 |
| 4-0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.03× | 58.35 |
| 4-1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.34 |
| 4-2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.14× | 58.35 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.71× | 58.35 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.14× | 58.35 |
| Any other score | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.51× | 58.34 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (2nd half DNB) | 51.2% | 51.2% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Dila Gori (2nd half DNB) | 48.8% | 48.8% | — | — | 2.05 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 leading at HT (DNB) | 55.1% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Dila Gori leading at HT (DNB) | 44.9% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 or Dila Gori (12) | 71.4% | 72.9% | 74.3% | 0.98× | 1.37 |
| Iberia 1999 or draw (1X) | 66.9% | 68.5% | 65.7% | 1.04× | 1.46 |
| Dila Gori or draw (X2) | 61.7% | 62.3% | 59.7% | 1.04× | 1.60 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 or draw at HT | 75.3% | 76.7% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Dila Gori or draw at HT | 69.7% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Iberia 1999 or Dila Gori at HT | 55.0% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 or draw (1UP) | 66.9% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Dila Gori or draw (1UP) | 61.7% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 or draw in 2nd half | 69.4% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Dila Gori or draw in 2nd half | 67.9% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Iberia 1999 or Dila Gori in 2nd half | 62.7% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 64.4% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Neither half drawn | 35.6% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (DNB) | 53.7% | 51.7% | 54.0% | 0.96× | 1.94 |
| Dila Gori (DNB) | 46.3% | 48.3% | 46.0% | 1.05× | 2.07 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to score first | 47.7% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Dila Gori to score first | 43.7% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| No goal scored | 8.6% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.60 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | 51.6% | 54.3% | 0.95× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 46.4% | 48.4% | 45.7% | 1.06× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 39.9% | 38.0% | 43.0% | 0.88× | 2.63 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 38.6% | 38.0% | 37.0% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 1.02× | 8.41 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 0.94× | 11.85 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.3% | 85.7% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 1.10× | 7.00 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 71.6% | 70.8% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 28.4% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.43 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.0% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.5% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.42 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.8% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.49 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.7% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.77 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 51.8% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| A half without a goal | 48.2% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 46.5% | 47.3% | 0.98× | 2.15 |
| 0-1 goals | 26.0% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 1.03× | 3.71 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.4% | 23.5% | 23.7% | 0.99× | 4.25 |
| 7+ goals | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.60× | 49.76 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori to score exactly 1 | 35.9% | 36.0% | 37.3% | 0.96× | 2.78 |
| Dila Gori to score exactly 0 | 29.0% | 27.4% | 29.0% | 0.95× | 3.65 |
| Dila Gori to score exactly 2 | 22.2% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 1.13× | 4.30 |
| Dila Gori to score 3+ | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 0.95× | 7.69 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to score exactly 1 | 35.0% | 36.6% | 34.3% | 1.07× | 2.73 |
| Iberia 1999 to score exactly 0 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 24.7% | 1.07× | 3.78 |
| Iberia 1999 to score exactly 2 | 23.6% | 22.9% | 26.7% | 0.86× | 4.38 |
| Iberia 1999 to score 3+ | 15.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 1.21× | 5.51 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 45.0% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Iberia 1999 leading at HT | 30.3% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Dila Gori leading at HT | 24.7% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.30 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 -1: 2 | 61.7% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Iberia 1999 -1: X | 20.3% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
| Iberia 1999 -1: 1 | 18.0% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.61 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (0:1) | 61.7% | 60.1% | 59.7% | 1.01× | 1.67 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.3% | 23.6% | 22.3% | 1.06× | 4.24 |
| Iberia 1999 (0:1) | 18.0% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 0.99× | 5.49 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (0:2) | 82.0% | 82.9% | 81.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 1.17× | 8.81 |
| Iberia 1999 (0:2) | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 0.86× | 12.97 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (0:3) | 93.5% | 92.6% | 91.0% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 0.45× | 39.14 |
| Iberia 1999 (0:3) | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 0.70× | 39.18 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (0:4) | 98.1% | 97.7% | 96.3% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.61× | 70.72 |
| Iberia 1999 (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.85× | 70.76 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (1:0) | 66.9% | 69.0% | 65.7% | 1.05× | 1.45 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.5% | 17.3% | 21.0% | 0.83× | 5.77 |
| Dila Gori (1:0) | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 0.92× | 7.97 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 (2:0) | 85.4% | 88.0% | 86.3% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 0.79× | 15.10 |
| Dila Gori (2:0) | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 0.49× | 35.87 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 27.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to concede | 71.0% | 72.0% | 71.0% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Iberia 1999 clean sheet | 29.0% | 28.0% | 29.0% | 0.97× | 3.57 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 clean sheet in 1st half | 61.0% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Iberia 1999 to concede in 1st half | 39.0% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 clean sheet in 2nd half | 47.6% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Iberia 1999 to concede in 2nd half | 52.4% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 under 3.5 goals | 95.2% | 96.6% | 93.7% | 1.03× | 1.04 |
| Iberia 1999 under 2.5 goals | 84.6% | 82.3% | 85.0% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Iberia 1999 over 0.5 goals | 74.0% | 73.1% | 75.3% | 0.97× | 1.37 |
| Iberia 1999 under 1.5 goals | 61.0% | 62.4% | 58.7% | 1.06× | 1.60 |
| Iberia 1999 over 1.5 goals | 39.0% | 37.6% | 41.3% | 0.91× | 2.66 |
| Iberia 1999 under 0.5 goals | 26.0% | 26.9% | 24.7% | 1.09× | 3.71 |
| Iberia 1999 over 2.5 goals | 15.4% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 1.18× | 5.66 |
| Iberia 1999 over 3.5 goals | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 0.54× | 29.37 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.5% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Iberia 1999 under 0.5 in 1st half | 56.0% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Iberia 1999 over 0.5 in 1st half | 44.0% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Iberia 1999 over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.5% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.15 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 scores equally in both | 38.9% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Iberia 1999 scores more in 2nd half | 36.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Iberia 1999 scores more in 1st half | 24.8% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.31 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori (home no bet) | 53.7% | 52.0% | 57.2% | 0.91× | 1.92 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 46.3% | 48.0% | 42.8% | 1.12× | 2.08 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 even goals | 53.4% | 50.9% | 55.7% | 0.91× | 1.96 |
| Iberia 1999 odd goals | 46.6% | 49.1% | 44.3% | 1.11× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 34.3% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.6% | 19.9% | — | — | 5.02 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.7% | 19.9% | — | — | 5.03 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.0% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.52 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.7% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.56 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.2% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.39 |
| Any other HT score | 3.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.42 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.45 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.47 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT | 22.3% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.78 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Dila Gori at HT / Dila Gori at FT | 17.6% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Draw at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT | 13.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Draw at HT / Dila Gori at FT | 13.2% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Iberia 1999 at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.50 |
| Dila Gori at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.50 |
| Iberia 1999 at HT / Dila Gori at FT | 2.3% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.57 |
| Dila Gori at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT | 2.1% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.58 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to score last | 47.7% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Dila Gori to score last | 43.7% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| No goal scored | 8.6% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.60 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.4% | 93.6% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Iberia 1999 to lead by 1 at any time | 54.7% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Dila Gori to lead by 1 at any time | 50.2% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 43.7% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Iberia 1999 to lead by 2 at any time | 23.8% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.67 |
| Dila Gori to lead by 2 at any time | 20.0% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.69 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 14.5% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.04 |
| Iberia 1999 to lead by 3 at any time | 8.2% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.46 |
| Dila Gori to lead by 3 at any time | 6.3% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.51 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.1% | 86.7% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.4% | 77.9% | 79.0% | 0.99× | 1.28 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.4% | 72.2% | 70.7% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.2% | 68.2% | 68.3% | 1.00× | 1.47 |
| 1-3 goals | 65.3% | 68.2% | 65.7% | 1.04× | 1.47 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.0% | 62.7% | 60.7% | 1.03× | 1.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 47.4% | 47.3% | 1.00× | 2.11 |
| 3-6 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | 48.7% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.6% | 43.6% | 40.7% | 1.07× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.0% | 43.6% | 46.3% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 35.7% | 39.0% | 38.7% | 1.01× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.4% | 23.7% | 23.7% | 1.00× | 4.22 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.3% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 1.11× | 4.22 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 1.30× | 7.42 |
| 7+ goals | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.68× | 44.26 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori never behind | 36.6% | 47.3% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Iberia 1999 never behind | 41.2% | 47.1% | — | — | 2.13 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 52.4% | 50.1% | 46.3% | 1.08× | 2.00 |
| Odd number of goals | 47.6% | 49.9% | 53.7% | 0.93× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.2% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.8% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.2% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.8% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.2% | 96.0% | 94.3% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.4% | 92.3% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88.0% | 87.8% | 86.7% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.0% | 72.4% | 73.7% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74.0% | 72.4% | 73.3% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.3% | 51.8% | 48.3% | 1.07× | 1.93 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.8% | 48.2% | 51.7% | 0.93× | 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26.0% | 27.6% | 26.3% | 1.05× | 3.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.0% | 27.6% | 26.7% | 1.04× | 3.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.91× | 8.21 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.91 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 0.70× | 25.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.3% | 97.3% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.8% | 92.0% | 93.9% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 86.0% | 86.6% | 84.6% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 66.7% | 67.1% | 64.4% | 1.04× | 1.49 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 64.8% | 62.3% | 66.2% | 0.94× | 1.60 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 35.2% | 37.7% | 33.8% | 1.12× | 2.65 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 33.3% | 32.9% | 35.6% | 0.93× | 3.04 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 0.87× | 7.48 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.30× | 12.52 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 0.80× | 36.71 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.6% | 91.8% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.7% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 65.7% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 34.3% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.4% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.21 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 80.6% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 77.5% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.1% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 44.9% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 22.5% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 19.4% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori not to score in both halves | 79.6% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Iberia 1999 not to score in both halves | 76.4% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Iberia 1999 to score in both halves | 23.6% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| Dila Gori to score in both halves | 20.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 53.6% | 54.2% | 54.3% | 1.00× | 1.84 |
| Only Iberia 1999 scores | 20.4% | 21.5% | 21.3% | 1.01× | 4.64 |
| Only Dila Gori scores | 17.4% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 0.99× | 5.93 |
| Neither team scores | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 0.89× | 14.09 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.3% | 25.0% | 22.3% | 1.12× | 4.00 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.7% | 22.3% | 25.3% | 0.88× | 4.49 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 17.4% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 0.94× | 5.68 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 0.90× | 8.14 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.88 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.88 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 0.71× | 24.72 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.3% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| No goals in 1st half | 34.3% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 19.9% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 9.4% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.21 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 44.9% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.6% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.91 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 22.5% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.86 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori not to win both halves | 92.3% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Iberia 1999 not to win both halves | 90.1% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Iberia 1999 to win both halves | 9.9% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
| Dila Gori to win both halves | 7.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.52 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to win either half | 52.5% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Dila Gori to win neither half | 52.4% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Dila Gori to win either half | 47.6% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Iberia 1999 to win neither half | 47.5% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dila Gori not to win to nil | 82.6% | 82.9% | 83.0% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Iberia 1999 not to win to nil | 79.6% | 78.4% | 78.7% | 1.00× | 1.28 |
| Iberia 1999 to win to nil | 20.4% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 1.01× | 4.63 |
| Dila Gori to win to nil | 17.4% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 1.00× | 5.86 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% | 27.3% | 25.7% | 1.06× | 3.66 |
| Iberia 1999 by 1 | 20.3% | 23.4% | 22.3% | 1.05× | 4.27 |
| Dila Gori by 1 | 18.5% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 0.82× | 5.80 |
| Iberia 1999 by 2 | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 1.22× | 8.45 |
| Dila Gori by 2 | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 0.87× | 13.76 |
| Iberia 1999 by 3+ | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 0.81× | 13.77 |
| Dila Gori by 3+ | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 0.53× | 33.43 |