Iberia 1999 v Spaeri — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Iberia 1999

16:00 UTC

Spaeri

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 100h before kick-off

Iberia 1999 win

50.2%

model 52.4%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.2%

Spaeri win

23.2%

model 22.4%

502723

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 9.1%
2-0 8.9%
0-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.7%	Under 2.5	45.3%
BTTS yes	56.2%	BTTS no	43.8%
Iberia 1999 1+	83.0%	Iberia 1999 2+	52.9%
Spaeri 1+	66.5%	Spaeri 2+	29.9%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Iberia 1999 (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 54%

72.5% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 2950 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Iberia 1999 or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Iberia 1999 have only 1 matches on record.
Spaeri have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Iberia 1999 have an estimated 50.2% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 23.2% for Spaeri. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Iberia 1999 and 1.09 for Spaeri.

Why Iberia 1999

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%.

Why Spaeri can win

Nothing in the data singles out Spaeri.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Iberia 1999, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Spaeri, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Iberia 1999: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Spaeri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Iberia 1999 are the model's most likely outcome at 50.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522522	1.77–1.09	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512623	1.74–1.11	1-1 12%	54%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to win	52.4%	51.2%	40.3%	1.27×	1.95
Draw	25.2%	27.1%	25.7%	1.06×	3.69
Spaeri to win	22.4%	23.6%	34.3%	0.69×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 & not both score	26.9%	26.5%	21.3%	1.24×	3.78
Iberia 1999 & both teams score	25.5%	26.5%	19.3%	1.37×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.1%	18.0%	1.01×	5.52
Spaeri & both teams score	12.1%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.88
Spaeri & not both score	10.3%	12.7%	17.0%	0.75×	7.88
Draw & not both score	6.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 & over 1.5	43.2%	42.9%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Iberia 1999 & over 2.5	34.3%	31.8%	25.0%	1.27×	3.15
Iberia 1999 & under 3.5	33.1%	31.8%	30.3%	1.05×	3.15
Iberia 1999 & over 3.5	19.2%	17.7%	10.3%	1.72×	5.64
Iberia 1999 & under 2.5	18.1%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	17.7%	18.0%	0.98×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64
Spaeri & over 1.5	17.1%	17.7%	25.0%	0.71×	5.64
Spaeri & under 3.5	16.0%	17.7%	24.3%	0.73×	5.64
Spaeri & over 2.5	13.7%	12.4%	20.7%	0.60×	8.05
Iberia 1999 & under 1.5	9.1%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.20
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.21
Spaeri & under 2.5	8.7%	7.6%	14.0%	0.54×	13.20
Spaeri & over 3.5	6.5%	7.6%	10.3%	0.73×	13.21
Spaeri & under 1.5	5.3%	7.6%	9.7%	0.78×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (1UP)	67.1%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Spaeri (1UP)	41.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (2UP)	52.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Spaeri (2UP)	22.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to win 2nd half	42.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Spaeri to win 2nd half	22.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Spaeri under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Spaeri over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Spaeri over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Iberia 1999 over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Iberia 1999 under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Iberia 1999 over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (+2.5)	86.6%	87.4%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Iberia 1999 (+0.5)	77.6%	78.0%	65.7%	1.19×	1.28
Spaeri (+1.5)	70.3%	73.3%	81.7%	0.90×	1.37
Iberia 1999 (-0.5)	52.4%	51.8%	40.3%	1.28×	1.93
Spaeri (+0.5)	47.6%	48.2%	59.7%	0.81×	2.07
Iberia 1999 (-1.5)	29.7%	26.7%	18.3%	1.46×	3.74
Spaeri (-0.5)	22.4%	22.0%	34.3%	0.64×	4.55
Iberia 1999 (-2.5)	13.4%	12.6%	9.0%	1.40×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to concede	83.0%	82.8%	75.3%	1.10×	1.21
Spaeri clean sheet	17.0%	17.2%	24.7%	0.70×	5.83

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to concede in 1st half	53.4%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Spaeri clean sheet in 1st half	46.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to concede in 2nd half	63.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Spaeri clean sheet in 2nd half	36.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.3%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
Spaeri under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	86.3%	1.07×	1.09
Spaeri under 1.5 goals	70.1%	71.6%	66.0%	1.08×	1.40
Spaeri over 0.5 goals	66.5%	67.5%	71.0%	0.95×	1.48
Spaeri under 0.5 goals	33.5%	32.5%	29.0%	1.12×	3.08
Spaeri over 1.5 goals	29.9%	28.4%	34.0%	0.84×	3.52
Spaeri over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.9%	13.7%	0.57×	12.74
Spaeri over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.7%	5.3%	0.51×	37.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Spaeri under 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Spaeri over 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Spaeri over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	6.2%	—	—	16.20

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri scores equally in both	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Spaeri scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Spaeri scores more in 1st half	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (away no bet)	67.5%	66.9%	61.1%	1.09×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	32.5%	33.1%	38.9%	0.85×	3.02

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri even goals	55.6%	56.4%	54.3%	1.04×	1.77
Spaeri odd goals	44.4%	43.6%	45.7%	0.96×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.1%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Iberia 1999 to score 2+ in a row	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Spaeri to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Iberia 1999 to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Spaeri to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.2%	11.7%	0.96×	8.91
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.45
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.45
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.45
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.45
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	9.0%	0.83×	13.45
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.12×	13.45
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.45
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.45
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	3.0%	2.48×	13.45
0-2	3.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.34
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.35
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.35
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.34
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.35
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.34
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.57×	58.35
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.34
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.35
Any other score	4.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (2nd half DNB)	65.1%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Spaeri (2nd half DNB)	34.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 leading at HT (DNB)	67.5%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Spaeri leading at HT (DNB)	32.5%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 or draw (1X)	77.6%	76.4%	65.7%	1.16×	1.31
Iberia 1999 or Spaeri (12)	74.8%	72.9%	74.3%	0.98×	1.37
Spaeri or draw (X2)	47.6%	48.8%	59.7%	0.82×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 or draw at HT	80.9%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Spaeri or draw at HT	60.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Iberia 1999 or Spaeri at HT	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 or draw (1UP)	77.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Spaeri or draw (1UP)	47.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Iberia 1999 or Spaeri in 2nd half	65.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Spaeri or draw in 2nd half	57.2%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (DNB)	70.0%	72.5%	54.0%	1.34×	1.38
Spaeri (DNB)	30.0%	27.5%	46.0%	0.60×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to score first	57.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Spaeri to score first	35.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	6.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.2%	55.3%	54.3%	1.02×	1.81
Not both teams to score	43.8%	44.7%	45.7%	0.98×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.4%	34.0%	37.0%	0.92×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	11.9%	11.7%	1.02×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	11.9%	9.0%	1.32×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.2%	83.0%	87.0%	0.95×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.8%	17.0%	13.0%	1.31×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.0%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	25.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.9%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	42.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	46.5%	47.3%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	29.6%	27.0%	23.7%	1.14×	3.70
0-1 goals	21.0%	23.5%	26.3%	0.89×	4.26
7+ goals	2.7%	2.0%	3.3%	0.60×	49.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
Spaeri to score exactly 0	33.5%	32.3%	29.0%	1.11×	3.09
Spaeri to score exactly 2	20.0%	23.2%	20.7%	1.12×	4.30
Spaeri to score 3+	9.8%	8.6%	13.7%	0.63×	11.62

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 1	30.1%	32.2%	34.3%	0.94×	3.10
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.4%	26.7%	0.99×	3.78
Iberia 1999 to score 3+	26.2%	26.4%	15.0%	1.76×	3.78
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 0	17.0%	18.1%	24.7%	0.74×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Iberia 1999 leading at HT	39.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Spaeri leading at HT	19.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 -1: 2	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Iberia 1999 -1: 1	29.7%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Iberia 1999 -1: X	22.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (0:1)	47.6%	47.5%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10
Iberia 1999 (0:1)	29.7%	27.2%	18.3%	1.49×	3.67
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	23.6%	22.3%	1.06×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (0:2)	70.3%	75.0%	81.7%	0.92×	1.33
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.7%	9.7%	1.62×	6.38
Iberia 1999 (0:2)	13.4%	11.4%	9.0%	1.26×	8.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (0:3)	86.6%	88.6%	91.0%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	8.4%	6.5%	5.7%	1.15×	15.39
Iberia 1999 (0:3)	5.0%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (0:4)	95.0%	97.7%	96.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.4%	2.3%	0.61×	70.65
Iberia 1999 (0:4)	1.6%	1.4%	1.7%	0.85×	70.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (1:0)	77.6%	76.9%	65.7%	1.17×	1.30
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.6%	21.0%	0.60×	7.97
Spaeri (1:0)	8.8%	7.5%	13.7%	0.55×	13.39

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 (2:0)	91.2%	92.9%	86.3%	1.08×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	6.2%	6.6%	8.3%	0.79×	15.12
Spaeri (2:0)	2.6%	2.8%	5.7%	0.49×	35.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to concede	66.5%	68.6%	71.0%	0.97×	1.46
Iberia 1999 clean sheet	33.5%	31.4%	29.0%	1.08×	3.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 clean sheet in 1st half	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Iberia 1999 to concede in 1st half	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to concede in 2nd half	48.1%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Iberia 1999 clean sheet in 2nd half	51.9%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 under 3.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	93.7%	0.93×	1.15
Iberia 1999 over 0.5 goals	83.0%	82.3%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
Iberia 1999 under 2.5 goals	73.8%	73.1%	85.0%	0.86×	1.37
Iberia 1999 over 1.5 goals	52.9%	52.8%	41.3%	1.28×	1.89
Iberia 1999 under 1.5 goals	47.1%	47.2%	58.7%	0.80×	2.12
Iberia 1999 over 2.5 goals	26.2%	26.9%	15.0%	1.80×	3.71
Iberia 1999 under 0.5 goals	17.0%	17.7%	24.7%	0.72×	5.65
Iberia 1999 over 3.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	6.3%	2.00×	7.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 under 1.5 in 1st half	82.2%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Iberia 1999 over 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Iberia 1999 under 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Iberia 1999 over 1.5 in 1st half	17.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Iberia 1999 scores equally in both	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Iberia 1999 scores more in 1st half	26.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.0%	52.0%	42.8%	1.22×	1.92
Spaeri (home no bet)	47.0%	48.0%	57.2%	0.84×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 even goals	51.4%	50.9%	55.7%	0.91×	1.96
Iberia 1999 odd goals	48.6%	49.1%	44.3%	1.11×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	22.8%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 0-1	13.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	8.8%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
Any other HT score	5.2%	8.0%	—	—	12.57
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.45
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT	32.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Draw at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT	17.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Spaeri at HT / Spaeri at FT	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Draw at HT / Spaeri at FT	9.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.44
Iberia 1999 at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Spaeri at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Spaeri at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT	2.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.56
Iberia 1999 at HT / Spaeri at FT	1.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to score last	57.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Spaeri to score last	35.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	6.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.70

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Iberia 1999 to lead by 1 at any time	67.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Spaeri to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Iberia 1999 to lead by 2 at any time	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Iberia 1999 to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
Spaeri to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
Spaeri to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	37.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.1%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
1-4 goals	77.1%	77.9%	79.0%	0.99×	1.28
2-6 goals	76.3%	77.9%	70.7%	1.10×	1.28
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.2%	68.3%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.7%	62.7%	60.7%	1.03×	1.60
1-3 goals	61.1%	62.7%	65.7%	0.95×	1.60
3-6 goals	52.0%	52.9%	48.7%	1.09×	1.89
3-5 goals	47.6%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
1-2 goals	38.7%	39.0%	40.7%	0.96×	2.56
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.0%	38.7%	1.01×	2.56
4-6 goals	29.6%	28.5%	23.7%	1.20×	3.51
4-5 goals	25.2%	28.5%	21.3%	1.34×	3.51
5-6 goals	13.6%	13.5%	10.3%	1.31×	7.42
7+ goals	2.7%	2.3%	3.3%	0.68×	44.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 never behind	52.2%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Spaeri never behind	26.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.0%	50.1%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	48.0%	49.9%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.7%	81.6%	86.7%	0.94×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.0%	73.7%	1.04×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	67.7%	67.7%	73.3%	0.92×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	54.7%	51.8%	51.7%	1.00×	1.93
Under 2.5 goals	45.3%	48.2%	48.3%	1.00×	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	32.3%	32.3%	26.7%	1.21×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	23.0%	26.3%	0.87×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	16.3%	18.4%	13.3%	1.38×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	5.7%	1.37×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.3%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.2%	92.0%	93.9%	0.98×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.6%	81.5%	84.6%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.2%	72.1%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.4%	58.2%	64.4%	0.90×	1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.6%	41.8%	35.6%	1.18×	2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.8%	27.9%	33.8%	0.83×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.4%	18.5%	15.4%	1.20×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.8%	8.0%	6.1%	1.30×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to score in both halves	82.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Iberia 1999 not to score in both halves	66.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Iberia 1999 to score in both halves	34.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.14
Spaeri to score in both halves	17.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.2%	57.8%	54.3%	1.06×	1.73
Only Iberia 1999 scores	26.9%	25.4%	21.3%	1.19×	3.93
Only Spaeri scores	10.3%	11.2%	17.0%	0.66×	8.94
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.1%	8.0%	0.89×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.3%	25.3%	0.88×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	16.0%	17.6%	13.7%	1.29×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	14.4%	12.3%	18.7%	0.66×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.88
6 or more goals	7.1%	7.8%	5.7%	1.37×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	30.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	12.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.78

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	19.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win both halves	95.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Iberia 1999 not to win both halves	82.9%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Iberia 1999 to win both halves	17.1%	18.1%	—	—	5.54
Spaeri to win both halves	4.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iberia 1999 to win either half	65.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Spaeri to win neither half	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Spaeri to win either half	37.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Iberia 1999 to win neither half	34.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win to nil	89.7%	87.9%	83.0%	1.06×	1.14
Iberia 1999 not to win to nil	73.1%	74.8%	78.7%	0.95×	1.34
Iberia 1999 to win to nil	26.9%	25.2%	21.3%	1.18×	3.98
Spaeri to win to nil	10.3%	12.1%	17.0%	0.71×	8.25

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.2%	27.3%	25.7%	1.06×	3.66
Iberia 1999 by 1	22.7%	23.4%	22.3%	1.05×	4.27
Iberia 1999 by 2	16.3%	17.2%	9.7%	1.78×	5.80
Iberia 1999 by 3+	13.4%	11.8%	9.0%	1.32×	8.44
Spaeri by 1	13.6%	11.8%	21.0%	0.56×	8.44
Spaeri by 2	6.2%	7.3%	8.3%	0.87×	13.77
Spaeri by 3+	2.6%	3.0%	5.7%	0.53×	33.46