IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

IF Elfsborg

12:00 UTC

Kalmar FF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 96h before kick-off

IF Elfsborg win

51.1%

model 51.3%

Draw

27.1%

model 27.0%

Kalmar FF win

21.8%

model 21.7%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (425 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
1-0 12.3%
2-0 10.1%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.0%	Under 2.5	55.0%
BTTS yes	48.3%	BTTS no	51.7%
IF Elfsborg 1+	78.8%	IF Elfsborg 2+	46.0%
Kalmar FF 1+	60.3%	Kalmar FF 2+	23.6%

Expected goals 1.55 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Draw (home no bet)

Home no bet · usually 38%

56.0% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 4791 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

IF Elfsborg or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

IF Elfsborg carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1437.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
They have had 15 days' rest to Kalmar FF's 6.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0282 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

IF Elfsborg have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 27.1% for the draw and 21.8% for Kalmar FF. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.55 for IF Elfsborg and 0.92 for Kalmar FF.

Why IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1437. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. They have had 15 days' rest to Kalmar FF's 6.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Kalmar FF can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kalmar FF.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for IF Elfsborg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kalmar FF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

IF Elfsborg: 53% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kalmar FF: 48% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IF Elfsborg's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

IF Elfsborg are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512722	1.55–0.92	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472924	1.41–0.95	1-1 13%	42%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to win	51.3%	51.2%	40.4%	1.27×	1.95
Draw	27.0%	27.1%	23.0%	1.18×	3.69
Kalmar FF to win	21.7%	23.6%	36.9%	0.64×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg & not both score	30.5%	30.8%	23.5%	1.31×	3.24
IF Elfsborg & both teams score	20.7%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Kalmar FF & not both score	12.0%	12.7%	18.9%	0.67×	7.88
Draw & not both score	9.2%	7.7%	5.6%	1.38×	13.07
Kalmar FF & both teams score	9.7%	7.7%	18.2%	0.42×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg & over 1.5	39.0%	36.6%	34.3%	1.06×	2.74
IF Elfsborg & under 3.5	37.0%	36.6%	26.0%	1.41×	2.74
IF Elfsborg & over 2.5	28.9%	26.4%	25.3%	1.04×	3.79
IF Elfsborg & under 2.5	22.4%	21.8%	15.4%	1.42×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.8%	18.2%	1.20×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.8%	18.2%	1.20×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Kalmar FF & under 3.5	17.3%	17.7%	25.5%	0.70×	5.64
IF Elfsborg & over 3.5	14.3%	12.4%	14.6%	0.85×	8.05
Kalmar FF & over 1.5	14.7%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.05
IF Elfsborg & under 1.5	12.3%	12.4%	6.3%	1.97×	8.06
Kalmar FF & over 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	23.0%	0.54×	8.06
Kalmar FF & under 2.5	10.6%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	9.2%	7.6%	5.6%	1.36×	13.20
Kalmar FF & under 1.5	7.0%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.6%	5.1%	1.50×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.6%	5.1%	1.50×	13.21
Kalmar FF & over 3.5	4.4%	4.4%	11.6%	0.38×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (1UP)	64.4%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Kalmar FF (1UP)	38.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (2UP)	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Kalmar FF (2UP)	21.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Kalmar FF to win 2nd half	21.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Kalmar FF under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Kalmar FF over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Kalmar FF over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
IF Elfsborg over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.7%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
IF Elfsborg under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
IF Elfsborg over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (+2.5)	88.8%	87.4%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
IF Elfsborg (+0.5)	78.3%	78.0%	63.1%	1.24×	1.28
Kalmar FF (+1.5)	72.9%	73.3%	76.5%	0.96×	1.36
IF Elfsborg (-0.5)	51.3%	51.8%	40.4%	1.28×	1.93
Kalmar FF (+0.5)	48.7%	48.2%	59.6%	0.81×	2.07
IF Elfsborg (-1.5)	27.1%	26.7%	23.5%	1.14×	3.75
Kalmar FF (-0.5)	21.7%	22.0%	36.9%	0.60×	4.55
IF Elfsborg (-2.5)	11.2%	12.6%	11.4%	1.11×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to concede	78.8%	78.9%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
Kalmar FF clean sheet	21.2%	21.1%	24.2%	0.87×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF clean sheet in 1st half	51.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Kalmar FF to concede in 1st half	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.16

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to concede in 2nd half	58.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Kalmar FF clean sheet in 2nd half	41.3%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 6.5 corners	83.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kalmar FF over 2.5 corners	75.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Kalmar FF under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kalmar FF over 3.5 corners	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kalmar FF under 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kalmar FF over 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kalmar FF under 3.5 corners	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kalmar FF over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kalmar FF under 2.5 corners	24.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Kalmar FF over 6.5 corners	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.3%	94.9%	1.02×	1.03
Kalmar FF under 2.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	81.6%	1.13×	1.09
Kalmar FF under 1.5 goals	76.4%	76.4%	60.9%	1.26×	1.31
Kalmar FF over 0.5 goals	60.3%	63.6%	71.2%	0.89×	1.57
Kalmar FF under 0.5 goals	39.7%	36.4%	28.8%	1.26×	2.75
Kalmar FF over 1.5 goals	23.6%	23.6%	39.1%	0.60×	4.23
Kalmar FF over 2.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	18.4%	0.43×	12.75
Kalmar FF over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.7%	5.1%	0.53×	37.14

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Kalmar FF under 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Kalmar FF over 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Kalmar FF over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF scores equally in both	48.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Kalmar FF scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Kalmar FF scores more in 1st half	19.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (away no bet)	65.5%	66.9%	63.7%	1.05×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	34.5%	33.1%	36.3%	0.91×	3.02

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF even goals	57.9%	56.4%	53.3%	1.06×	1.77
Kalmar FF odd goals	42.1%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	13.1%	—	—	7.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.7%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
IF Elfsborg to score 2+ in a row	39.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Kalmar FF to score 2+ in a row	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
IF Elfsborg to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.74
Kalmar FF to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	3.1%	—	—	31.82

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg corners (+3.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
IF Elfsborg corners (+2.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
IF Elfsborg corners (+1.5)	79.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Kalmar FF corners (+3.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Kalmar FF corners (+2.5)	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kalmar FF corners (+1.5)	50.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
IF Elfsborg corners (-1.5)	49.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
IF Elfsborg corners (-2.5)	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
IF Elfsborg corners (-3.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Kalmar FF corners (-1.5)	20.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kalmar FF corners (-2.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Kalmar FF corners (-3.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	26.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.3%	11.2%	6.3%	1.78×	8.91
1-1	12.8%	11.2%	12.9%	0.87×	8.91
2-0	10.1%	11.2%	9.3%	1.20×	8.91
0-0	9.2%	7.4%	5.6%	1.34×	13.45
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.45
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.45
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.45
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.45
0-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.35
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.35
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.34
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.35
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.34
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.35
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.34
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.26×	58.35
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.34
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.39×	58.35
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.39×	58.35
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (2nd half DNB)	65.6%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Kalmar FF (2nd half DNB)	34.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.97

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg leading at HT (DNB)	68.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Kalmar FF leading at HT (DNB)	32.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg or draw (1X)	78.3%	76.4%	63.1%	1.21×	1.31
IF Elfsborg or Kalmar FF (12)	73.0%	72.9%	77.0%	0.95×	1.37
Kalmar FF or draw (X2)	48.7%	48.8%	59.6%	0.82×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg or draw at HT	82.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Kalmar FF or draw at HT	62.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
IF Elfsborg or Kalmar FF at HT	55.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg or draw (1UP)	78.3%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Kalmar FF or draw (1UP)	48.7%	55.4%	—	—	1.80

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg or draw in 2nd half	78.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
IF Elfsborg or Kalmar FF in 2nd half	62.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Kalmar FF or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Neither half drawn	35.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.54

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (DNB)	70.3%	72.5%	52.3%	1.39×	1.38
Kalmar FF (DNB)	29.7%	27.5%	47.7%	0.58×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to score first	57.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Kalmar FF to score first	33.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
No goal scored	9.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.57

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.7%	51.6%	47.5%	1.09×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.3%	48.4%	52.5%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.1%	41.6%	34.6%	1.20×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.5%	38.0%	39.9%	0.95×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	11.9%	12.9%	0.92×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.1%	85.7%	84.3%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.9%	14.3%	15.7%	0.91×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.3%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
A goal in each half	49.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	46.5%	48.7%	0.95×	2.15
0-1 goals	28.4%	27.0%	20.7%	1.30×	3.70
4-6 goals	22.4%	23.5%	26.3%	0.89×	4.26
7+ goals	1.4%	2.0%	4.8%	0.42×	49.77

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to score exactly 0	39.7%	36.0%	28.8%	1.25×	2.78
Kalmar FF to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
Kalmar FF to score exactly 2	17.0%	18.2%	21.0%	0.87×	5.49
Kalmar FF to score 3+	6.7%	8.6%	18.4%	0.47×	11.64

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to score exactly 1	32.9%	32.2%	32.8%	0.98×	3.10
IF Elfsborg to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.4%	22.0%	1.20×	3.78
IF Elfsborg to score exactly 0	21.2%	22.9%	24.2%	0.94×	4.38
IF Elfsborg to score 3+	20.5%	22.8%	21.5%	1.06×	4.38

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
IF Elfsborg leading at HT	37.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Kalmar FF leading at HT	17.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg -1: 2	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
IF Elfsborg -1: 1	27.1%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
IF Elfsborg -1: X	24.2%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:1)	48.7%	47.6%	59.6%	0.80×	2.10
IF Elfsborg (0:1)	27.1%	27.2%	23.5%	1.16×	3.68
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	23.6%	17.2%	1.37×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:2)	72.9%	75.0%	76.5%	0.98×	1.33
Draw (0:2)	15.9%	15.7%	12.4%	1.27×	6.38
IF Elfsborg (0:2)	11.2%	11.4%	11.4%	1.00×	8.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:3)	88.8%	88.6%	88.6%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	7.4%	6.5%	6.8%	0.95×	15.40
IF Elfsborg (0:3)	3.7%	2.6%	4.8%	0.53×	39.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:4)	96.3%	97.7%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.4%	3.8%	0.37×	70.68
IF Elfsborg (0:4)	1.1%	1.4%	1.3%	1.12×	70.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (1:0)	78.3%	76.9%	63.1%	1.22×	1.30
Draw (1:0)	14.1%	12.6%	20.5%	0.61×	7.97
Kalmar FF (1:0)	7.6%	7.5%	16.7%	0.45×	13.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg (2:0)	92.4%	92.9%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.6%	10.4%	0.64×	15.12
Kalmar FF (2:0)	2.0%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.92

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to concede	60.3%	65.0%	71.2%	0.91×	1.54
IF Elfsborg clean sheet	39.7%	35.0%	28.8%	1.22×	2.86

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg clean sheet in 1st half	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
IF Elfsborg to concede in 1st half	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg clean sheet in 2nd half	57.4%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
IF Elfsborg to concede in 2nd half	42.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg over 2.5 corners	88.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
IF Elfsborg over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
IF Elfsborg over 4.5 corners	63.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IF Elfsborg under 6.5 corners	63.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IF Elfsborg under 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
IF Elfsborg over 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
IF Elfsborg over 6.5 corners	36.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
IF Elfsborg under 4.5 corners	36.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
IF Elfsborg under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
IF Elfsborg under 2.5 corners	11.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
IF Elfsborg under 2.5 goals	79.5%	78.2%	78.5%	1.00×	1.28
IF Elfsborg over 0.5 goals	78.8%	78.2%	75.8%	1.03×	1.28
IF Elfsborg under 1.5 goals	54.0%	52.8%	56.8%	0.93×	1.89
IF Elfsborg over 1.5 goals	46.0%	47.2%	43.2%	1.09×	2.12
IF Elfsborg under 0.5 goals	21.2%	21.8%	24.2%	0.90×	4.58
IF Elfsborg over 2.5 goals	20.5%	21.8%	21.5%	1.02×	4.58
IF Elfsborg over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	9.3%	0.82×	13.07

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
IF Elfsborg under 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
IF Elfsborg over 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
IF Elfsborg over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	12.4%	—	—	8.07

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
IF Elfsborg scores equally in both	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
IF Elfsborg scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.5%	56.0%	38.4%	1.46×	1.79
Kalmar FF (home no bet)	44.5%	44.0%	61.6%	0.71×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg even goals	52.2%	50.9%	54.0%	0.94×	1.96
IF Elfsborg odd goals	47.8%	49.1%	46.0%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
HT 1-0	23.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 0-1	13.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	8.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
HT 2-0	7.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.54
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.45
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.51
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg at HT / IF Elfsborg at FT	30.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Draw at HT / IF Elfsborg at FT	18.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Kalmar FF at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	9.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.43
IF Elfsborg at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.4%	—	—	15.52
Kalmar FF at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.51
Kalmar FF at HT / IF Elfsborg at FT	2.3%	3.6%	—	—	27.57
IF Elfsborg at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	1.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg to score last	57.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Kalmar FF to score last	33.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goal scored	9.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.57

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
IF Elfsborg to lead by 1 at any time	64.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Kalmar FF to lead by 1 at any time	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
IF Elfsborg to lead by 2 at any time	32.7%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
IF Elfsborg to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Kalmar FF to lead by 2 at any time	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Kalmar FF to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg most corners	60.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Kalmar FF most corners	29.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.1%	86.6%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.3%	82.1%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
2-6 goals	70.2%	72.2%	74.7%	0.97×	1.39
2-5 goals	67.5%	68.2%	71.5%	0.95×	1.47
1-3 goals	67.1%	68.2%	63.9%	1.07×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.0%	62.7%	62.9%	1.00×	1.60
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
1-2 goals	45.8%	47.4%	41.9%	1.13×	2.11
3-6 goals	43.7%	43.6%	48.2%	0.90×	2.30
3-5 goals	41.0%	43.6%	44.9%	0.97×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.5%	34.7%	36.4%	0.95×	2.88
4-6 goals	22.4%	23.7%	26.3%	0.90×	4.22
4-5 goals	19.7%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.30
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.9%	12.1%	0.74×	11.21
7+ goals	1.4%	2.3%	4.8%	0.47×	44.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IF Elfsborg never behind	52.7%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Kalmar FF never behind	26.4%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	51.9%	50.1%	50.5%	0.99×	2.00
Odd number of goals	48.1%	49.9%	49.5%	1.01×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	96.0%	91.9%	1.04×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.4%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.2%	77.0%	69.2%	1.11×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	79.3%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.0%	51.8%	47.2%	1.10×	1.93
Over 2.5 goals	45.0%	48.2%	52.8%	0.91×	2.08
Under 1.5 goals	28.4%	27.6%	20.7%	1.33×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	23.8%	23.0%	30.8%	0.75×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.21
Under 0.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	5.6%	1.39×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.0%	8.1%	0.49×	25.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.3%	91.2%	1.07×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.8%	86.6%	80.6%	1.08×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.8%	67.1%	60.5%	1.11×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.3%	62.3%	71.8%	0.87×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.7%	37.7%	28.2%	1.34×	2.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.2%	32.9%	39.5%	0.83×	3.04
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.2%	13.4%	19.4%	0.69×	7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	5.0%	0.55×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	65.2%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	8.2%	—	—	12.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to score in both halves	86.8%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
IF Elfsborg not to score in both halves	71.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
IF Elfsborg to score in both halves	28.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
Kalmar FF to score in both halves	13.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.3%	50.7%	52.5%	0.97×	1.97
Only IF Elfsborg scores	30.5%	31.4%	23.5%	1.34×	3.18
Only Kalmar FF scores	12.0%	11.2%	18.9%	0.59×	8.94
Neither team scores	9.2%	7.1%	5.6%	1.28×	14.08

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	25.0%	26.8%	0.93×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	19.3%	17.6%	15.4%	1.14×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	9.2%	7.8%	5.6%	1.40×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.8%	8.8%	0.88×	12.89
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.0%	8.1%	0.50×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	35.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	19.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
3+ goals in 1st half	8.7%	8.2%	—	—	12.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	24.0%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to win both halves	96.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
IF Elfsborg not to win both halves	84.5%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
IF Elfsborg to win both halves	15.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.56
Kalmar FF to win both halves	3.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to win neither half	64.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IF Elfsborg to win either half	63.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IF Elfsborg to win neither half	37.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Kalmar FF to win either half	35.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to win to nil	88.0%	87.9%	81.1%	1.08×	1.14
IF Elfsborg not to win to nil	69.5%	69.5%	76.5%	0.91×	1.44
IF Elfsborg to win to nil	30.5%	30.5%	23.5%	1.30×	3.28
Kalmar FF to win to nil	12.0%	12.1%	18.9%	0.64×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.0%	27.3%	23.0%	1.19×	3.66
IF Elfsborg by 1	24.2%	23.4%	17.2%	1.36×	4.27
IF Elfsborg by 2	15.9%	17.2%	12.4%	1.39×	5.80
Kalmar FF by 1	14.1%	11.8%	20.5%	0.58×	8.44
IF Elfsborg by 3+	11.2%	11.8%	11.4%	1.04×	8.45
Kalmar FF by 2	5.6%	7.3%	10.4%	0.70×	13.77
Kalmar FF by 3+	2.0%	3.0%	6.6%	0.46×	33.47