IK Sirius v AIK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

IK Sirius

09:00

AIK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,167h before kick-off

IK Sirius win

56.0%

model 57.0%

Draw

22.0%

model 21.9%

AIK win

22.0%

model 21.2%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 8.0%
1-0 7.1%
3-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.3%	Under 2.5	35.7%
BTTS yes	62.3%	BTTS no	37.7%
IK Sirius 1+	87.7%	IK Sirius 2+	61.9%
AIK 1+	70.4%	AIK 2+	34.4%

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

IK Sirius carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1583.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

IK Sirius have an estimated 56.0% win probability, against 22.0% for the draw and 22.0% for AIK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.10 for IK Sirius and 1.22 for AIK.

Why IK Sirius

IK Sirius carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1583.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why AIK can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for IK Sirius, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

IK Sirius: 51% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IK Sirius's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

IK Sirius are the model's most likely outcome at 56.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	542224	2.15–1.40	2-1 9%	69%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win	54.2%	51.5%	40.7%	1.27×	1.94
AIK to win	24.2%	24.5%	36.6%	0.67×	4.09
Draw	21.6%	24.4%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius & both teams score	32.9%	29.7%	17.3%	1.72×	3.37
IK Sirius & not both score	21.3%	21.9%	23.7%	0.93×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
AIK & both teams score	15.9%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.59
AIK & not both score	8.3%	8.4%	18.8%	0.45×	11.92
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	5.3%	0.91×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius & over 1.5	48.5%	45.2%	34.6%	1.31×	2.21
IK Sirius & over 2.5	41.9%	40.3%	25.4%	1.58×	2.48
IK Sirius & over 3.5	27.8%	26.0%	14.8%	1.76×	3.84
IK Sirius & under 3.5	26.4%	26.0%	26.2%	0.99×	3.84
AIK & over 1.5	20.7%	21.6%	27.7%	0.78×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
AIK & over 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
AIK & under 3.5	13.7%	12.9%	25.4%	0.51×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.5%	12.9%	18.1%	0.71×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	18.1%	0.71×	7.77
IK Sirius & under 2.5	12.3%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77
AIK & over 3.5	10.5%	12.9%	11.5%	1.12×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
AIK & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.70
IK Sirius & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	5.3%	0.89×	20.93
AIK & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (1UP)	70.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
AIK (1UP)	46.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (2UP)	54.2%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
AIK (2UP)	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win 2nd half	45.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	29.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
AIK to win 2nd half	25.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (+2.5)	83.2%	82.4%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
IK Sirius (+0.5)	75.8%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
AIK (+1.5)	66.8%	68.7%	76.3%	0.90×	1.46
IK Sirius (-0.5)	54.2%	52.4%	40.7%	1.29×	1.91
AIK (+0.5)	45.8%	47.6%	59.3%	0.80×	2.10
IK Sirius (-1.5)	33.2%	31.3%	23.7%	1.32×	3.19
AIK (-0.5)	24.2%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.64
IK Sirius (-2.5)	16.8%	17.6%	11.5%	1.54×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to concede	88.4%	86.5%	76.1%	1.14×	1.16
AIK clean sheet	11.6%	13.5%	23.9%	0.57×	7.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to concede in 1st half	60.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
AIK clean sheet in 1st half	39.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK over 2.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
AIK under 6.5 corners	76.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
AIK over 3.5 corners	66.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
AIK under 5.5 corners	65.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
AIK under 4.5 corners	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
AIK over 4.5 corners	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
AIK over 5.5 corners	35.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
AIK under 3.5 corners	34.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
AIK over 6.5 corners	23.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
AIK under 2.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
AIK under 2.5 goals	83.3%	81.4%	81.7%	1.00×	1.23
AIK over 0.5 goals	75.4%	76.2%	71.2%	1.07×	1.31
AIK under 1.5 goals	59.2%	59.6%	60.8%	0.98×	1.68
AIK over 1.5 goals	40.8%	40.4%	39.2%	1.03×	2.47
AIK under 0.5 goals	24.6%	23.8%	28.8%	0.83×	4.21
AIK over 2.5 goals	16.7%	18.6%	18.3%	1.01×	5.39
AIK over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.8%	1.58×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
AIK under 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
AIK over 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
AIK over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (away no bet)	71.5%	68.5%	64.0%	1.07×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.5%	31.5%	36.0%	0.87×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK even goals	53.0%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
AIK odd goals	47.0%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.2%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.4%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IK Sirius to score 2+ in a row	52.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
AIK to score 2+ in a row	28.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
IK Sirius to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
AIK to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
IK Sirius corners (+2.5)	82.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
AIK corners (+3.5)	75.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
IK Sirius corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
AIK corners (+2.5)	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
AIK corners (+1.5)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
IK Sirius corners (-1.5)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
IK Sirius corners (-2.5)	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
AIK corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
IK Sirius corners (-3.5)	24.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
AIK corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
AIK corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.8%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	28.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.1%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.47
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.47
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
3-1	6.7%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.47
Any other score	8.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
1-0	5.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.47
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
3-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.50
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.51
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.50
4-2	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.51
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.50
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.52
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius leading at HT (DNB)	66.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
AIK leading at HT (DNB)	33.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or AIK (12)	78.4%	75.6%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
IK Sirius or draw (1X)	75.8%	75.5%	63.4%	1.19×	1.32
AIK or draw (X2)	45.8%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw at HT	78.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
IK Sirius or AIK at HT	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AIK or draw at HT	57.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw (1UP)	75.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
AIK or draw (1UP)	46.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw in 2nd half	74.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
IK Sirius or AIK in 2nd half	70.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
AIK or draw in 2nd half	55.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.6%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Neither half drawn	45.4%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	52.6%	1.28×	1.49
AIK (DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	47.4%	0.69×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score first	58.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
AIK to score first	38.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.1%	58.2%	52.7%	1.11×	1.72
Not both teams to score	32.9%	41.8%	47.3%	0.88×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.0%	47.3%	39.9%	1.18×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	22.0%	27.7%	34.4%	0.81×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	13.0%	0.65×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.1%	80.7%	84.2%	0.96×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.9%	19.3%	15.8%	1.22×	5.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.1%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Both score 1st half only	15.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score in both halves	10.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.52

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.0%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	32.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.6%	42.1%	26.2%	1.60×	2.38
2-3 goals	40.0%	35.1%	49.1%	0.71×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.6%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.90
7+ goals	6.9%	7.6%	4.8%	1.57×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.9%	32.3%	1.05×	2.95
AIK to score exactly 0	24.6%	22.4%	28.8%	0.78×	4.46
AIK to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.46
AIK to score 3+	16.7%	19.5%	18.3%	1.07×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score 3+	36.4%	35.6%	21.6%	1.65×	2.81
IK Sirius to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
IK Sirius to score exactly 1	25.0%	26.5%	32.8%	0.81×	3.77
IK Sirius to score exactly 0	11.6%	14.3%	23.9%	0.60×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius leading at HT	42.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AIK leading at HT	21.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius -1: 2	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
IK Sirius -1: 1	33.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
IK Sirius -1: X	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (0:1)	45.8%	45.8%	59.3%	0.77×	2.18
IK Sirius (0:1)	33.2%	30.0%	23.7%	1.27×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (0:2)	66.8%	72.2%	76.3%	0.95×	1.39
IK Sirius (0:2)	16.8%	15.3%	11.5%	1.34×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (0:3)	83.2%	85.1%	88.6%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	9.6%	5.8%	6.9%	0.85×	17.14
IK Sirius (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	4.8%	1.20×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (0:4)	92.8%	94.7%	95.2%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.6%	1.2%	3.8%	0.32×	83.08
IK Sirius (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.31

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (1:0)	75.8%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.5%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.80
AIK (1:0)	10.7%	12.8%	16.5%	0.77×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (2:0)	89.3%	88.4%	83.5%	1.06×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	10.4%	0.62×	15.53
AIK (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	6.4%	0.36×	44.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to concede	75.4%	75.9%	71.2%	1.06×	1.32
IK Sirius clean sheet	24.6%	24.1%	28.8%	0.84×	4.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius clean sheet in 1st half	57.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
IK Sirius to concede in 1st half	42.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
IK Sirius over 3.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
IK Sirius under 6.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
IK Sirius over 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
IK Sirius under 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
IK Sirius over 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
IK Sirius under 4.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
IK Sirius over 6.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
IK Sirius under 3.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
IK Sirius under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius over 0.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	76.1%	1.15×	1.15
IK Sirius under 3.5 goals	82.9%	82.1%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
IK Sirius under 2.5 goals	63.6%	63.4%	78.4%	0.81×	1.58
IK Sirius over 1.5 goals	63.4%	63.4%	43.5%	1.46×	1.58
IK Sirius under 1.5 goals	36.6%	36.6%	56.5%	0.65×	2.74
IK Sirius over 2.5 goals	36.4%	36.6%	21.6%	1.69×	2.74
IK Sirius over 3.5 goals	17.1%	17.9%	9.4%	1.90×	5.59
IK Sirius under 0.5 goals	11.6%	12.7%	23.9%	0.53×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius under 1.5 in 1st half	76.3%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
IK Sirius over 0.5 in 1st half	60.4%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
IK Sirius under 0.5 in 1st half	39.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
IK Sirius over 1.5 in 1st half	23.7%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (home no bet)	52.8%	51.6%	61.5%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.2%	48.4%	38.5%	1.26×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius even goals	50.7%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
IK Sirius odd goals	49.3%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	12.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	9.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
Any other HT score	8.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 2-1	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.80
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius at HT / IK Sirius at FT	34.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Draw at HT / IK Sirius at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
AIK at HT / AIK at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / AIK at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
IK Sirius at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
AIK at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
AIK at HT / IK Sirius at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
IK Sirius at HT / AIK at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score last	58.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
AIK to score last	38.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
IK Sirius to lead by 1 at any time	70.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
AIK to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
IK Sirius to lead by 2 at any time	42.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
IK Sirius to lead by 3 at any time	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
AIK to lead by 2 at any time	17.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
AIK to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius most corners	54.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
AIK most corners	35.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.7%	83.5%	86.8%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.1%	1.11×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.2%	69.0%	78.4%	0.88×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.0%	63.4%	48.3%	1.31×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.2%	63.4%	0.93×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.0%	53.2%	45.0%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.2%	48.7%	64.1%	0.76×	2.06
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	36.6%	1.19×	2.30
4-6 goals	40.6%	43.6%	26.2%	1.66×	2.30
2-3 goals	40.0%	39.2%	49.1%	0.80×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.5%	35.4%	22.9%	1.54×	2.83
1-2 goals	27.8%	30.2%	42.0%	0.72×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.5%	24.5%	12.0%	2.05×	4.09
7+ goals	6.9%	8.7%	4.8%	1.81×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius never behind	50.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
AIK never behind	25.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.4%	87.6%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.1%	87.6%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	71.5%	72.5%	83.5%	0.87×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.9%	66.2%	52.9%	1.25×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	52.5%	52.5%	69.2%	0.76×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	47.5%	47.5%	30.8%	1.54×	2.10
Under 2.5 goals	31.1%	33.8%	47.1%	0.72×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	28.5%	27.5%	16.5%	1.66×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	14.9%	12.4%	8.1%	1.52×	8.09
Under 1.5 goals	12.6%	12.4%	20.4%	0.61×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.5%	92.5%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.6%	81.1%	72.2%	1.12×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.7%	81.1%	91.1%	0.89×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.9%	62.1%	80.7%	0.77×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.4%	62.1%	39.5%	1.57×	1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.6%	37.9%	60.5%	0.63×	2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.1%	37.9%	19.3%	1.96×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	17.3%	18.9%	8.9%	2.13×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.4%	18.9%	27.8%	0.68×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.5%	7.5%	5.0%	1.51×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK not to score in both halves	75.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
IK Sirius not to score in both halves	57.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
IK Sirius to score in both halves	42.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
AIK to score in both halves	24.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.1%	59.6%	52.7%	1.13×	1.68
Only IK Sirius scores	21.3%	22.3%	23.7%	0.94×	4.48
Only AIK scores	8.3%	7.2%	18.8%	0.38×	13.90
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.0%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.6%	17.4%	27.0%	0.65×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.9%	12.1%	8.1%	1.48×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	13.5%	12.1%	8.7%	1.40×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	9.2%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	5.3%	0.82×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	12.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK not to win both halves	94.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
IK Sirius not to win both halves	80.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
IK Sirius to win both halves	19.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.25
AIK to win both halves	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.75

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win either half	68.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
AIK to win neither half	59.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
AIK to win either half	41.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
IK Sirius to win neither half	31.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK not to win to nil	91.7%	92.0%	81.2%	1.13×	1.09
IK Sirius not to win to nil	78.7%	78.0%	76.3%	1.02×	1.28
IK Sirius to win to nil	21.3%	22.0%	23.7%	0.93×	4.55
AIK to win to nil	8.3%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	21.6%	24.1%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
IK Sirius by 1	21.0%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
IK Sirius by 3+	16.8%	16.9%	11.5%	1.48×	5.90
IK Sirius by 2	16.4%	16.9%	12.5%	1.36×	5.90
AIK by 1	13.5%	11.8%	20.4%	0.58×	8.47
AIK by 2	6.9%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.80
AIK by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.02