Independiente Rivadavia v Banfield — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia

20:00 UTC

Banfield

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Independiente Rivadavia win

55.2%

model 55.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.1%

Banfield win

18.3%

model 19.4%

552718

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.2%
1-1 11.9%
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.9%	Under 2.5	52.1%
BTTS yes	48.9%	BTTS no	51.1%
Independiente Rivadavia 1+	81.5%	Independiente Rivadavia 2+	50.4%
Banfield 1+	59.4%	Banfield 2+	22.8%

Expected goals 1.69 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 32%

52.5% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 883 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Banfield not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1446.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Rivadavia have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 18.3% for Banfield. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.69 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.90 for Banfield.

Why Independiente Rivadavia

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1446.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Banfield can win

Nothing in the data singles out Banfield.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Independiente Rivadavia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Banfield, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Independiente Rivadavia: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Banfield: 39% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Independiente Rivadavia are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.2%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552519	1.69–0.90	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592318	1.84–0.92	1-1 11%	52%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win	58.5%	54.0%	41.8%	1.29×	1.85
Draw	23.5%	24.5%	30.7%	0.80×	4.09
Banfield to win	18.0%	19.4%	27.6%	0.70×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & not both score	33.0%	29.6%	27.7%	1.07×	3.38
Independiente Rivadavia & both teams score	25.5%	25.2%	14.3%	1.77×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.7%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.57
Banfield & both teams score	8.9%	8.3%	10.6%	0.79×	12.00
Banfield & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	17.1%	0.49×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & over 1.5	47.4%	45.1%	27.8%	1.62×	2.22
Independiente Rivadavia & under 3.5	38.3%	34.9%	34.8%	1.00×	2.87
Independiente Rivadavia & over 2.5	36.7%	34.9%	18.4%	1.90×	2.87
Independiente Rivadavia & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Independiente Rivadavia & over 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	7.2%	3.01×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Banfield & under 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	23.5%	0.55×	7.79
Banfield & over 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Independiente Rivadavia & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Banfield & over 2.5	10.0%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Banfield & under 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	14.6%	0.54×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Banfield & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Banfield & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	4.2%	1.14×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1UP)	71.0%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Banfield (1UP)	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2UP)	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Banfield (2UP)	18.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win 2nd half	47.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Banfield to win 2nd half	19.0%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Banfield under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Banfield over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Banfield over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	12.8%	—	—	7.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (+2.5)	83.9%	82.6%	95.0%	0.87×	1.21
Independiente Rivadavia (+0.5)	82.0%	82.6%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Banfield (+1.5)	65.7%	68.7%	82.3%	0.83×	1.46
Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)	58.5%	57.1%	41.8%	1.36×	1.75
Banfield (+0.5)	41.5%	42.9%	58.2%	0.74×	2.33
Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)	34.3%	31.3%	17.7%	1.77×	3.19
Banfield (-0.5)	18.0%	17.4%	27.6%	0.63×	5.74
Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)	16.1%	17.4%	5.0%	3.47×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to concede	84.1%	81.5%	68.2%	1.20×	1.23
Banfield clean sheet	15.9%	18.5%	31.8%	0.58×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to concede in 1st half	54.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Banfield clean sheet in 1st half	45.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to concede in 2nd half	65.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Banfield clean sheet in 2nd half	35.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 6.5 corners	90.4%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Banfield under 5.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Banfield under 4.5 corners	70.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Banfield over 2.5 corners	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Banfield under 3.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Banfield over 3.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Banfield under 2.5 corners	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Banfield over 4.5 corners	29.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Banfield over 5.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Banfield over 6.5 corners	9.6%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Banfield under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.4%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Banfield under 1.5 goals	76.5%	76.2%	78.2%	0.97×	1.31
Banfield over 0.5 goals	60.2%	63.2%	57.6%	1.10×	1.58
Banfield under 0.5 goals	39.8%	36.8%	42.4%	0.87×	2.72
Banfield over 1.5 goals	23.5%	23.8%	21.8%	1.09×	4.21
Banfield over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.08
Banfield over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Banfield under 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Banfield over 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Banfield over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.69

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield scores equally in both	48.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Banfield scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Banfield scores more in 1st half	19.5%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (away no bet)	71.4%	68.4%	57.7%	1.18×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.6%	31.6%	42.3%	0.75×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield even goals	57.9%	56.9%	58.4%	0.98×	1.76
Banfield odd goals	42.1%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Independiente Rivadavia to score 2+ in a row	47.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+ in a row	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Banfield to score 2+ in a row	16.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Banfield to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.96

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+2.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+1.5)	79.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Banfield corners (+3.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Banfield corners (+2.5)	65.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Banfield corners (+1.5)	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-1.5)	46.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-2.5)	34.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-3.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Banfield corners (-1.5)	20.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Banfield corners (-2.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Banfield corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.3%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	11.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.72
1-0	11.1%	11.5%	14.1%	0.81×	8.72
2-0	10.7%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	6.8%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
3-0	6.6%	7.4%	2.7%	2.70×	13.51
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
3-1	6.1%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
0-2	2.7%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	3.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.30
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2nd half DNB)	71.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Banfield (2nd half DNB)	28.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT (DNB)	72.9%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Banfield leading at HT (DNB)	27.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1X)	82.0%	80.6%	72.4%	1.11×	1.24
Independiente Rivadavia or Banfield (12)	76.5%	75.5%	69.3%	1.09×	1.32
Banfield or draw (X2)	41.5%	46.0%	58.2%	0.79×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw at HT	84.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia or Banfield at HT	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Banfield or draw at HT	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1UP)	82.0%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Banfield or draw (1UP)	41.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw in 2nd half	81.0%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Independiente Rivadavia or Banfield in 2nd half	66.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Banfield or draw in 2nd half	53.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (DNB)	76.5%	74.7%	60.3%	1.24×	1.34
Banfield (DNB)	23.5%	25.3%	39.7%	0.64×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score first	62.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Banfield to score first	31.1%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.1%	51.3%	40.6%	1.26×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.9%	48.7%	59.4%	0.82×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	27.3%	1.41×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	36.7%	38.4%	52.8%	0.73×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	6.7%	1.84×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.1%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.9%	14.4%	5.9%	2.43×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.20

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.7%	26.6%	13.5%	1.98×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.3%	22.9%	39.0%	0.59×	4.36
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	0.5%	4.04×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to score exactly 0	39.8%	35.9%	42.4%	0.85×	2.78
Banfield to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Banfield to score exactly 2	16.9%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Banfield to score 3+	6.6%	8.5%	6.6%	1.29×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 1	29.2%	26.6%	36.5%	0.73×	3.76
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+	28.0%	26.6%	10.1%	2.62×	3.77
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.6%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 0	15.9%	18.8%	31.8%	0.59×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Banfield leading at HT	15.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 2	41.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 1	34.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Independiente Rivadavia -1: X	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (0:1)	41.5%	42.6%	58.2%	0.73×	2.35
Independiente Rivadavia (0:1)	34.3%	30.2%	17.7%	1.71×	3.31
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (0:2)	65.7%	72.2%	82.3%	0.88×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.2%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.55
Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)	16.1%	15.2%	5.0%	3.04×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (0:3)	83.9%	85.4%	95.0%	0.90×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.9%	5.8%	3.4%	1.70×	17.20
Independiente Rivadavia (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	1.7%	3.39×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (0:4)	93.8%	94.6%	98.3%	0.96×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	81.50
Independiente Rivadavia (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	0.6%	2.15×	81.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1:0)	82.0%	81.4%	72.4%	1.12×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	18.6%	0.68×	7.87
Banfield (1:0)	6.1%	6.9%	9.1%	0.76×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2:0)	93.9%	94.0%	90.9%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	6.3%	0.37×	43.64
Banfield (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.83

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to concede	60.2%	63.6%	57.6%	1.10×	1.57
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	39.8%	36.4%	42.4%	0.86×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 1st half	69.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 1st half	30.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 2nd half	57.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 2nd half	42.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 corners	80.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Independiente Rivadavia under 6.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Independiente Rivadavia under 5.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Independiente Rivadavia under 4.5 corners	50.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Independiente Rivadavia over 4.5 corners	49.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Independiente Rivadavia over 5.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Independiente Rivadavia over 6.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 corners	19.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 goals	88.5%	87.3%	97.1%	0.90×	1.15
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 goals	84.1%	82.2%	68.2%	1.21×	1.22
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 goals	72.0%	74.2%	89.9%	0.83×	1.35
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.2%	31.8%	1.67×	1.88
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.8%	68.2%	0.69×	2.14
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 goals	28.0%	25.8%	10.1%	2.54×	3.88
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 goals	15.9%	17.8%	31.8%	0.56×	5.62
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 goals	11.5%	12.7%	2.9%	4.46×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 1st half	81.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 1st half	18.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia scores more in 2nd half	40.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Independiente Rivadavia scores equally in both	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Independiente Rivadavia scores more in 1st half	27.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.6%	56.4%	52.6%	1.07×	1.77
Banfield (home no bet)	43.4%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia even goals	51.3%	50.7%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Independiente Rivadavia odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	24.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	36.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Banfield at HT / Banfield at FT	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Draw at HT / Banfield at FT	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Banfield at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Banfield at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Banfield at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score last	62.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Banfield to score last	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 1 at any time	71.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 2 at any time	40.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Banfield to lead by 1 at any time	35.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.73
Banfield to lead by 2 at any time	10.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Banfield to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia most corners	58.3%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Banfield most corners	30.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.4%	72.3%	60.7%	1.19×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.3%	60.1%	1.20×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.2%	63.3%	71.5%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.9%	48.5%	33.5%	1.45×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.0%	48.4%	33.0%	1.47×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.1%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.5%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.7%	30.2%	13.5%	2.25×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.8%	24.5%	12.9%	1.90×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.4%	14.8%	5.0%	2.95×	6.76
7+ goals	2.3%	2.6%	0.5%	5.60×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia never behind	57.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Banfield never behind	22.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.7%	77.3%	61.0%	1.27×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.0%	72.5%	86.2%	0.84×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	33.9%	1.55×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	66.1%	0.72×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.0%	27.5%	13.8%	2.00×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	23.3%	22.7%	39.0%	0.58×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	5.4%	2.31×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	1.0%	7.53×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.3%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.7%	81.1%	94.1%	0.86×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.1%	67.5%	46.5%	1.45×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.5%	61.9%	82.7%	0.75×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.5%	38.1%	17.3%	2.21×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.9%	32.5%	53.5%	0.61×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.3%	18.9%	5.9%	3.23×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.7%	7.6%	1.1%	7.07×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to score in both halves	86.9%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Rivadavia not to score in both halves	64.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Independiente Rivadavia to score in both halves	35.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Banfield to score in both halves	13.1%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.1%	53.8%	40.6%	1.33×	1.86
Only Independiente Rivadavia scores	33.0%	33.3%	27.7%	1.20×	3.00
Only Banfield scores	9.1%	7.1%	17.1%	0.42×	13.99
Neither team scores	6.8%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	27.3%	0.83×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.5%	17.5%	24.3%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.3%	17.5%	8.6%	2.04×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	4.4%	1.71×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.8%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.2%	7.6%	1.0%	7.41×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.4%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.3%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Rivadavia not to win both halves	79.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Rivadavia to win both halves	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Banfield to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.97

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win either half	69.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Banfield to win neither half	68.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Banfield to win either half	31.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Independiente Rivadavia to win neither half	30.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to win to nil	90.9%	92.1%	82.9%	1.11×	1.09
Independiente Rivadavia not to win to nil	67.0%	69.7%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil	33.0%	30.3%	27.7%	1.09×	3.30
Banfield to win to nil	9.1%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia by 1	24.2%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.15
Draw	23.5%	24.1%	30.7%	0.79×	4.15
Independiente Rivadavia by 2	18.2%	17.1%	12.8%	1.34×	5.87
Independiente Rivadavia by 3+	16.1%	17.0%	5.0%	3.40×	5.87
Banfield by 1	11.9%	11.8%	18.6%	0.63×	8.51
Banfield by 2	4.6%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.83
Banfield by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.92