Independiente Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Independiente Santa Fe

23:15 UTC

Deportivo Pasto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 180h before kick-off

Independiente Santa Fe win

65.3%

model 61.3%

Draw

23.4%

model 24.2%

Deportivo Pasto win

11.2%

model 14.5%

652311

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.9%
2-0 12.4%
1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.6%	Under 2.5	52.4%
BTTS yes	45.7%	BTTS no	54.3%
Independiente Santa Fe 1+	83.6%	Independiente Santa Fe 2+	54.0%
Deportivo Pasto 1+	53.6%	Deportivo Pasto 2+	18.0%

Expected goals 1.81 – 0.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Independiente Santa Fe (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1399.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Santa Fe have an estimated 65.3% win probability, against 23.4% for the draw and 11.2% for Deportivo Pasto. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Independiente Santa Fe and 0.77 for Deportivo Pasto.

Why Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1399. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.4%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Pasto can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Pasto.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Independiente Santa Fe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Pasto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Independiente Santa Fe: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Pasto: 57% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Independiente Santa Fe are the model's most likely outcome at 65.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.9%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612415	1.81–0.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	672112	2.06–0.74	2-0 13%	53%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win	67.4%	64.8%	45.8%	1.41×	1.54
Draw	21.1%	24.5%	29.5%	0.83×	4.09
Deportivo Pasto to win	11.5%	13.4%	24.8%	0.54×	7.46

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & not both score	41.1%	40.0%	27.1%	1.48×	2.50
Independiente Santa Fe & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.00
Deportivo Pasto & not both score	5.9%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01
Deportivo Pasto & both teams score	5.6%	8.3%	11.5%	0.72×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & over 1.5	55.6%	54.8%	33.8%	1.62×	1.83
Independiente Santa Fe & under 3.5	43.3%	40.3%	35.7%	1.13×	2.48
Independiente Santa Fe & over 2.5	42.6%	40.3%	25.5%	1.58×	2.48
Independiente Santa Fe & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Independiente Santa Fe & over 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	10.2%	2.11×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Independiente Santa Fe & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Deportivo Pasto & under 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.63
Deportivo Pasto & over 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Deportivo Pasto & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Deportivo Pasto & under 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Deportivo Pasto & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.82
Deportivo Pasto & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (1UP)	77.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Deportivo Pasto (1UP)	27.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2UP)	67.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Deportivo Pasto (2UP)	11.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win 2nd half	54.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	32.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Deportivo Pasto to win 2nd half	13.7%	11.3%	—	—	8.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.7%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.3%	8.2%	—	—	12.19

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (+0.5)	88.5%	88.5%	75.2%	1.18×	1.13
Deportivo Pasto (+2.5)	77.6%	78.5%	91.8%	0.85×	1.27
Independiente Santa Fe (-0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	45.8%	1.50×	1.46
Deportivo Pasto (+1.5)	56.7%	57.0%	79.6%	0.72×	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)	43.3%	43.0%	20.4%	2.11×	2.33
Deportivo Pasto (+0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	54.2%	0.58×	3.19
Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5)	22.4%	21.5%	8.2%	2.63×	4.65
Deportivo Pasto (-0.5)	11.5%	11.5%	24.8%	0.47×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede	87.2%	86.3%	75.9%	1.14×	1.16
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet	12.8%	13.7%	24.1%	0.57×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede in 1st half	58.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet in 1st half	41.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede in 2nd half	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet in 2nd half	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 6.5 corners	91.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Pasto under 5.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Deportivo Pasto under 4.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 corners	60.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 corners	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 corners	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 corners	39.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportivo Pasto over 4.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Deportivo Pasto over 5.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Deportivo Pasto over 6.5 corners	8.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 goals	96.1%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	74.2%	1.10×	1.23
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	62.2%	0.86×	1.87
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	37.8%	1.23×	2.15
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	25.8%	0.72×	5.41
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 goals	3.9%	2.5%	7.1%	0.36×	39.77
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 in 1st half	74.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 in 1st half	25.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.9%	—	—	25.73

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto scores equally in both	54.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Deportivo Pasto scores more in 2nd half	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Deportivo Pasto scores more in 1st half	17.4%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (away no bet)	76.2%	73.4%	60.8%	1.21×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.8%	26.6%	39.2%	0.68×	3.76

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto even goals	61.5%	59.1%	57.6%	1.03×	1.69
Deportivo Pasto odd goals	38.5%	40.9%	42.4%	0.97×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Independiente Santa Fe to score 2+ in a row	54.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+ in a row	26.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Deportivo Pasto to score 2+ in a row	10.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+3.5)	93.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+2.5)	89.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+1.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Pasto corners (+3.5)	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Pasto corners (+2.5)	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-1.5)	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Pasto corners (+1.5)	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-2.5)	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-3.5)	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportivo Pasto corners (-1.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportivo Pasto corners (-2.5)	10.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Deportivo Pasto corners (-3.5)	6.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	13.0%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
1-0	11.9%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.71
1-1	10.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
3-0	8.9%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
3-1	6.5%	7.4%	3.5%	2.14×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	2.4%	3.14×	13.51
0-1	3.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-2	3.4%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	4.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.29
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.30
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2nd half DNB)	79.9%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Pasto (2nd half DNB)	20.1%	19.8%	—	—	5.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT (DNB)	80.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT (DNB)	19.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (1X)	88.5%	86.6%	75.2%	1.15×	1.16
Independiente Santa Fe or Deportivo Pasto (12)	78.9%	75.5%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
Deportivo Pasto or draw (X2)	32.6%	35.2%	54.2%	0.65×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw at HT	88.3%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Independiente Santa Fe or Deportivo Pasto at HT	60.4%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Deportivo Pasto or draw at HT	51.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (1UP)	88.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Pasto or draw (1UP)	32.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw in 2nd half	86.3%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Independiente Santa Fe or Deportivo Pasto in 2nd half	67.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Pasto or draw in 2nd half	45.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)	85.4%	87.0%	64.9%	1.34×	1.15
Deportivo Pasto (DNB)	14.6%	13.0%	35.1%	0.37×	7.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score first	68.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Deportivo Pasto to score first	24.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goal scored	6.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.9%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.1%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	37.1%	38.4%	43.1%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	36.1%	38.4%	36.0%	1.07×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	16.7%	21.5%	8.2%	2.63×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.8%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.2%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.41

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.2%	26.6%	19.5%	1.36×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.5%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 0	48.0%	43.0%	37.8%	1.14×	2.33
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.79
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 2	13.0%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.76
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+	3.9%	4.6%	7.1%	0.65×	21.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+	33.8%	32.6%	15.5%	2.10×	3.07
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.6%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 1	26.3%	26.6%	34.5%	0.77×	3.77
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 0	12.8%	14.3%	24.1%	0.59×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT	48.7%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	39.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT	11.8%	11.6%	—	—	8.60

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 1	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 2	32.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Independiente Santa Fe -1: X	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:1)	43.3%	42.6%	20.4%	2.09×	2.35
Deportivo Pasto (0:1)	32.6%	30.1%	54.2%	0.56×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.1%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:2)	56.7%	63.1%	79.6%	0.79×	1.58
Independiente Santa Fe (0:2)	22.4%	20.3%	8.2%	2.48×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	20.9%	20.2%	12.3%	1.64×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:3)	77.6%	80.7%	91.8%	0.88×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.8%	9.9%	5.4%	1.83×	10.11
Independiente Santa Fe (0:3)	9.6%	5.8%	2.9%	2.00×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:4)	90.4%	94.5%	97.1%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.1%	4.6%	1.9%	2.38×	21.64
Independiente Santa Fe (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (1:0)	88.5%	86.2%	75.2%	1.15×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.1%	6.9%	17.3%	0.40×	14.49
Deportivo Pasto (1:0)	3.4%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2:0)	96.6%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	5.0%	0.46×	43.76
Deportivo Pasto (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to concede	52.0%	53.1%	62.2%	0.85×	1.88
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet	48.0%	46.9%	37.8%	1.24×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 1st half	74.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 1st half	25.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 2nd half	64.3%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 2nd half	35.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 corners	82.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Independiente Santa Fe under 6.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Independiente Santa Fe under 5.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Independiente Santa Fe over 4.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Independiente Santa Fe under 4.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Independiente Santa Fe over 5.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Independiente Santa Fe over 6.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 corners	17.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	75.9%	1.15×	1.15
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	95.3%	0.86×	1.22
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	84.5%	0.80×	1.47
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	41.6%	1.53×	1.57
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	58.4%	0.62×	2.75
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	15.5%	2.07×	3.12
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	4.7%	3.78×	5.62
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	24.1%	0.53×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 1st half	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 1st half	58.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 1st half	41.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 1st half	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 2nd half	42.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Independiente Santa Fe scores equally in both	29.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 1st half	27.6%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.7%	60.1%	54.3%	1.11×	1.67
Deportivo Pasto (home no bet)	35.3%	39.9%	45.7%	0.87×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe even goals	50.8%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Independiente Santa Fe odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	27.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 1-1	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	43.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	21.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Draw at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score last	68.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Pasto to score last	24.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
No goal scored	6.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 1 at any time	77.2%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 2 at any time	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 1 at any time	27.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 3 at any time	25.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 2 at any time	6.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.09
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.16

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe most corners	63.9%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Deportivo Pasto most corners	25.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.0%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.1%	78.7%	67.5%	1.17×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.1%	72.3%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.5%	63.3%	68.4%	0.93×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.4%	53.1%	42.7%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.4%	40.6%	1.19×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.3%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	34.9%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.2%	30.2%	19.5%	1.55×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.2%	24.5%	17.5%	1.40×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.8%	7.9%	1.88×	6.76
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.5%	1.68×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe never behind	65.7%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Deportivo Pasto never behind	15.9%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	90.7%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.5%	77.3%	68.8%	1.12×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	44.0%	1.19×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	56.0%	0.85×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	20.9%	1.61×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.5%	22.7%	31.2%	0.73×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	9.3%	1.91×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	3.6%	2.15×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.0%	92.4%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.2%	81.1%	89.5%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.1%	72.3%	58.6%	1.24×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.7%	61.9%	72.8%	0.85×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.3%	38.1%	27.2%	1.40×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.9%	27.7%	41.4%	0.67×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.8%	18.9%	10.5%	1.80×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.0%	7.6%	3.8%	1.99×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to score in both halves	90.9%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Independiente Santa Fe not to score in both halves	59.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Independiente Santa Fe to score in both halves	40.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Deportivo Pasto to score in both halves	9.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.22

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.1%	50.7%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Only Independiente Santa Fe scores	41.1%	46.6%	27.1%	1.72×	2.15
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.1%	10.8%	0.66×	14.01
Only Deportivo Pasto scores	5.9%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.7%	22.6%	24.9%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.6%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.9%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.2%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to win both halves	98.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Santa Fe not to win both halves	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Independiente Santa Fe to win both halves	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Deportivo Pasto to win both halves	1.7%	2.7%	—	—	36.55

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win either half	76.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Pasto to win neither half	76.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Pasto to win either half	23.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Independiente Santa Fe to win neither half	23.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to win to nil	94.1%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Independiente Santa Fe not to win to nil	58.9%	59.2%	72.9%	0.81×	1.69
Independiente Santa Fe to win to nil	41.1%	40.8%	27.1%	1.50×	2.45
Deportivo Pasto to win to nil	5.9%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.68

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe by 1	24.1%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Independiente Santa Fe by 3+	22.4%	24.1%	8.2%	2.95×	4.15
Draw	21.1%	24.1%	29.5%	0.82×	4.15
Independiente Santa Fe by 2	20.9%	24.1%	12.3%	1.96×	4.15
Deportivo Pasto by 1	8.1%	7.2%	17.3%	0.42×	13.91
Deportivo Pasto by 2	2.7%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.89
Deportivo Pasto by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.95