Indy Eleven v Birmingham Legion — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · FIFA:c1d9p6b2e9zr5tqlzx3ktjplg · 2627
FIFA:c1d9p6b2e9zr5tqlzx3ktjplg results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| Indy Eleven 1+ | 76.2% | Indy Eleven 2+ | 42.0% |
| Birmingham Legion 1+ | 69.0% | Birmingham Legion 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Indy Eleven have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Birmingham Legion have allowed 1.35.
- At home Indy Eleven average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Indy Eleven have only 0 matches on record.
- Birmingham Legion have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Indy Eleven have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Birmingham Legion and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.
Why Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Birmingham Legion have allowed 1.35. At home Indy Eleven average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why Birmingham Legion can win
Birmingham Legion have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Indy Eleven have allowed 1.35. Away from home Birmingham Legion average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Indy Eleven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Birmingham Legion, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Indy Eleven: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Birmingham Legion: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Indy Eleven are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.50–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.