Instituto (Córdoba) v Newell's Old Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Instituto (Córdoba)

20:00 UTC

Newell's Old Boys

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Instituto (Córdoba) win

48.2%

model 45.6%

Draw

29.2%

model 30.5%

Newell's Old Boys win

22.6%

model 23.9%

482923

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.2%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 13.3%
0-1 9.8%
2-0 9.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	34.0%	Under 2.5	66.0%
BTTS yes	40.3%	BTTS no	59.7%
Instituto (Córdoba) 1+	71.1%	Instituto (Córdoba) 2+	35.2%
Newell's Old Boys 1+	55.9%	Newell's Old Boys 2+	19.8%

Expected goals 1.24 – 0.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Instituto (Córdoba) or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 72%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 83%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Instituto (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1479.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Instituto (Córdoba) have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for the draw and 22.6% for Newell's Old Boys. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Instituto (Córdoba) and 0.82 for Newell's Old Boys.

Why Instituto (Córdoba)

Instituto (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1479. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. A combined 2.06 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Newell's Old Boys can win

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Instituto (Córdoba), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Newell's Old Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Instituto (Córdoba): 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 7.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Newell's Old Boys: 50% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Instituto (Córdoba) are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.2%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	463124	1.24–0.82	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	473023	1.26–0.80	1-0 15%	34%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to win	46.6%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
Draw	30.4%	30.4%	30.7%	0.99×	3.29
Newell's Old Boys to win	23.1%	24.5%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) & not both score	31.6%	29.6%	27.7%	1.07×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.57
Newell's Old Boys & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.57
Instituto (Córdoba) & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	14.3%	0.93×	7.54
Draw & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.54
Newell's Old Boys & both teams score	8.0%	8.3%	10.6%	0.79×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 3.5	37.9%	34.9%	34.8%	1.00×	2.87
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 1.5	31.1%	30.7%	27.8%	1.11×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	26.7%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.7%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 2.5	25.6%	26.1%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	18.4%	1.18×	4.63
Newell's Old Boys & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Newell's Old Boys & over 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Newell's Old Boys & under 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	14.6%	0.88×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.63
Newell's Old Boys & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Newell's Old Boys & over 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.6%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Newell's Old Boys & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	4.2%	1.14×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (1UP)	58.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Newell's Old Boys (1UP)	37.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (2UP)	46.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Newell's Old Boys (2UP)	23.1%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Instituto (Córdoba) to win 2nd half	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Newell's Old Boys to win 2nd half	21.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.6%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.8%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Instituto (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Instituto (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Instituto (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (+2.5)	92.4%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Newell's Old Boys (+1.5)	78.5%	78.5%	82.3%	0.95×	1.27
Instituto (Córdoba) (+0.5)	76.9%	78.5%	72.4%	1.08×	1.27
Newell's Old Boys (+0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	58.2%	0.90×	1.91
Instituto (Córdoba) (-0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	41.8%	1.14×	2.10
Newell's Old Boys (-0.5)	23.1%	21.5%	27.6%	0.78×	4.65
Instituto (Córdoba) (-1.5)	21.5%	21.5%	17.7%	1.22×	4.65
Instituto (Córdoba) (-2.5)	7.6%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede	71.6%	76.7%	68.2%	1.12×	1.31
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet	28.4%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 1st half	41.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 2nd half	51.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 2nd half	48.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 6.5 corners	92.8%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Newell's Old Boys under 5.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Newell's Old Boys under 4.5 corners	75.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 corners	60.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 corners	59.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 corners	40.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 corners	40.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Newell's Old Boys over 4.5 corners	24.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Newell's Old Boys over 5.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Newell's Old Boys over 6.5 corners	7.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 goals	99.1%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 goals	95.2%	97.5%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 goals	80.8%	81.5%	78.2%	1.04×	1.23
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 goals	55.1%	59.4%	57.6%	1.03×	1.68
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 goals	44.9%	40.6%	42.4%	0.96×	2.46
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 goals	19.2%	18.5%	21.8%	0.85×	5.40
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 goals	4.8%	2.5%	6.6%	0.38×	39.73
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	95.8%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	72.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	27.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	4.2%	4.0%	—	—	25.21

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys scores equally in both	52.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.96
Newell's Old Boys scores more in 2nd half	29.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Newell's Old Boys scores more in 1st half	18.2%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (away no bet)	60.5%	61.9%	57.7%	1.07×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.5%	38.1%	42.3%	0.90×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys even goals	60.1%	59.1%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
Newell's Old Boys odd goals	39.9%	40.9%	41.6%	0.98×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.8%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.2%	8.3%	—	—	12.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	48.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Newell's Old Boys to score 2+ in a row	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.99
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	39.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+3.5)	97.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+2.5)	95.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+1.5)	91.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-2.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Newell's Old Boys corners (+3.5)	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-3.5)	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Newell's Old Boys corners (+2.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Newell's Old Boys corners (+1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Newell's Old Boys corners (-1.5)	8.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Newell's Old Boys corners (-2.5)	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.44
Newell's Old Boys corners (-3.5)	2.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.50

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.5%	13.8%	14.1%	0.98×	7.24
0-0	13.3%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
2-0	10.1%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.72
0-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (2nd half DNB)	62.9%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Newell's Old Boys (2nd half DNB)	37.1%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB)	65.6%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT (DNB)	34.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw (1X)	76.9%	75.5%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Instituto (Córdoba) or Newell's Old Boys (12)	69.6%	69.6%	69.3%	1.00×	1.44
Newell's Old Boys or draw (X2)	53.4%	52.6%	58.2%	0.91×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw at HT	82.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Newell's Old Boys or draw at HT	67.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Instituto (Córdoba) or Newell's Old Boys at HT	49.9%	51.8%	—	—	1.93

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw (1UP)	76.9%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1UP)	53.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half	78.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys or draw in 2nd half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Instituto (Córdoba) or Newell's Old Boys in 2nd half	58.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	29.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (DNB)	66.9%	67.4%	60.3%	1.12×	1.48
Newell's Old Boys (DNB)	33.1%	32.6%	39.7%	0.82×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to score first	53.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Newell's Old Boys to score first	33.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	13.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.9%	55.0%	59.4%	0.93×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.1%	45.0%	40.6%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.6%	47.2%	52.8%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.6%	33.3%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.1%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.9%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.3%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.64
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.4%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	11.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	40.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	38.4%	35.1%	39.0%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.9%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.89
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 0	44.9%	37.4%	42.4%	0.88×	2.68
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 1	36.0%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.79
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 2	14.4%	12.9%	15.3%	0.84×	7.75
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+	4.8%	4.6%	6.6%	0.70×	21.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 0	28.4%	26.6%	31.8%	0.83×	3.77
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 3+	13.4%	14.3%	10.1%	1.41×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Instituto (Córdoba) leading at HT	32.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT	17.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) -1: 2	53.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Instituto (Córdoba) -1: X	25.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Instituto (Córdoba) -1: 1	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:1)	53.4%	51.3%	58.2%	0.88×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	25.0%	27.0%	24.3%	1.11×	3.71
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:1)	21.5%	24.2%	17.7%	1.37×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:2)	78.5%	79.4%	82.3%	0.96×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:3)	92.4%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	3.4%	1.69×	17.27
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.79
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (1:0)	76.9%	78.5%	72.4%	1.08×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.7%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.85
Newell's Old Boys (1:0)	7.4%	6.9%	9.1%	0.76×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (2:0)	92.6%	94.0%	90.9%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.68
Newell's Old Boys (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	30.6%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to concede	55.1%	60.6%	57.6%	1.05×	1.65
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet	44.9%	39.4%	42.4%	0.93×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half	72.6%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Instituto (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half	27.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.03

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet in 2nd half	61.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Instituto (Córdoba) to concede in 2nd half	38.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners	93.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Instituto (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners	85.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Instituto (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners	74.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Instituto (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners	62.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Instituto (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Instituto (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Instituto (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Instituto (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners	25.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Instituto (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.25
Instituto (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners	7.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals	96.1%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Instituto (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Instituto (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	68.2%	1.09×	1.35
Instituto (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.6%	68.2%	0.93×	1.57
Instituto (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals	35.9%	36.4%	31.8%	1.14×	2.75
Instituto (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	31.8%	0.81×	3.88
Instituto (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.85
Instituto (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals	3.9%	3.6%	2.9%	1.28×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Instituto (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Instituto (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Instituto (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	9.8%	—	—	10.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) scores equally in both	40.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Instituto (Córdoba) scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Instituto (Córdoba) scores more in 1st half	24.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	52.6%	1.07×	1.77
Newell's Old Boys (home no bet)	43.2%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) even goals	54.0%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Instituto (Córdoba) odd goals	46.0%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	26.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	11.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	10.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to score last	53.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Newell's Old Boys to score last	33.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	13.3%	9.5%	—	—	10.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.7%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time	58.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 1 at any time	37.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time	25.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 2 at any time	10.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	—	—	63.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) most corners	79.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Newell's Old Boys most corners	13.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	7.2%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.4%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.9%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.3%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.1%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.7%	59.1%	60.1%	0.98×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.8%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.7%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.5%	35.2%	33.5%	1.05×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.1%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.2%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.9%	14.8%	13.5%	1.10×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.5%	14.8%	12.9%	1.15×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.3%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) never behind	49.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Newell's Old Boys never behind	28.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.0%	66.3%	66.1%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	61.0%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	39.0%	0.98×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	34.0%	33.7%	33.9%	0.99×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	5.4%	1.44×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.0%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.6%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.1%	81.1%	82.7%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.1%	51.9%	53.5%	0.97×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.0%	48.1%	46.5%	1.04×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.9%	18.9%	17.3%	1.10×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.4%	7.6%	5.9%	1.29×	13.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.0%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.3%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves	89.5%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Instituto (Córdoba) not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Instituto (Córdoba) to score in both halves	21.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Newell's Old Boys to score in both halves	10.5%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.1%	46.5%	40.6%	1.15×	2.15
Only Instituto (Córdoba) scores	31.6%	33.3%	27.7%	1.20×	3.01
Only Newell's Old Boys scores	15.1%	16.0%	17.1%	0.94×	6.24
Neither team scores	13.3%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.1%	24.9%	24.3%	1.02×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.6%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.3%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.6%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.34
6 or more goals	1.9%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	30.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Instituto (Córdoba) not to win both halves	87.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Instituto (Córdoba) to win both halves	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Newell's Old Boys to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.69

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to win neither half	65.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Instituto (Córdoba) to win either half	57.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Instituto (Córdoba) to win neither half	42.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Newell's Old Boys to win either half	35.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil	84.9%	83.1%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Instituto (Córdoba) not to win to nil	68.4%	69.7%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Instituto (Córdoba) to win to nil	31.6%	30.3%	27.7%	1.09×	3.30
Newell's Old Boys to win to nil	15.1%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) by 1	25.0%	27.9%	24.3%	1.15×	3.59
Draw	30.4%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Newell's Old Boys by 1	15.7%	17.0%	18.6%	0.92×	5.87
Instituto (Córdoba) by 2	14.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
Instituto (Córdoba) by 3+	7.6%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.91
Newell's Old Boys by 2	5.6%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.92
Newell's Old Boys by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.92