Inter Miami CF v Cincinnati — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Inter Miami CF

23:30 UTC

Cincinnati

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 180h before kick-off

Inter Miami CF win

63.0%

model 65.0%

Draw

18.5%

model 16.8%

Cincinnati win

18.6%

model 18.3%

631819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 7.5%
3-1 7.3%
2-2 5.9%
3-2 5.7%
1-1 5.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	82.6%	Under 2.5	17.4%
BTTS yes	75.3%	BTTS no	24.7%
Inter Miami CF 1+	94.6%	Inter Miami CF 2+	78.9%
Cincinnati 1+	79.3%	Cincinnati 2+	46.6%

Expected goals 2.92 – 1.57. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

90%

★ Best pick

Inter Miami CF over 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 25%

56.0% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 925 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Inter Miami CF carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1529.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Inter Miami CF have an estimated 63.0% win probability, against 18.6% for Cincinnati and 18.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.92 for Inter Miami CF and 1.57 for Cincinnati.

Why Inter Miami CF

Inter Miami CF carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1529.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cincinnati can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cincinnati.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Inter Miami CF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cincinnati, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Inter Miami CF: 57% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cincinnati: 51% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Inter Miami CF's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Inter Miami CF are the model's most likely outcome at 63.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 7.5%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	651718	2.92–1.57	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	751213	3.79–1.71	3-1 6%	91%	80%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win	74.6%	73.9%	45.3%	1.63×	1.35
Cincinnati to win	12.9%	13.5%	30.0%	0.45×	7.42
Draw	12.5%	13.5%	24.8%	0.54×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF & both teams score	57.1%	51.2%	24.4%	2.10×	1.96
Inter Miami CF & not both score	17.5%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.54
Cincinnati & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.54
Cincinnati & not both score	1.7%	4.8%	12.1%	0.40×	20.64
Draw & not both score	0.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.68

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF & over 1.5	73.2%	67.6%	37.2%	1.82×	1.48
Inter Miami CF & over 2.5	70.2%	67.1%	31.0%	2.17×	1.49
Inter Miami CF & over 3.5	61.4%	54.6%	17.0%	3.21×	1.83
Inter Miami CF & under 3.5	13.2%	12.8%	28.4%	0.45×	7.79
Cincinnati & over 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Cincinnati & over 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Cincinnati & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
Inter Miami CF & under 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	14.4%	0.33×	20.81
Cincinnati & under 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	18.8%	0.26×	20.81
Draw & under 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	16.0%	0.30×	20.82
Draw & under 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	16.0%	0.30×	20.82
Inter Miami CF & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	8.2%	0.58×	20.83
Cincinnati & under 2.5	1.2%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	0.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.83
Cincinnati & under 1.5	0.6%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (1UP)	87.2%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Cincinnati (1UP)	39.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (2UP)	74.6%	81.7%	—	—	1.23
Cincinnati (2UP)	14.2%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win 2nd half	62.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	20.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Cincinnati to win 2nd half	17.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.4%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.6%	11.5%	—	—	8.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (+0.5)	87.1%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Inter Miami CF (-0.5)	74.6%	73.7%	45.3%	1.63×	1.36
Cincinnati (+2.5)	59.0%	57.0%	89.4%	0.64×	1.75
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)	58.5%	57.0%	23.2%	2.46×	1.75
Cincinnati (+1.5)	41.5%	43.0%	76.8%	0.56×	2.33
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)	41.0%	43.0%	10.6%	4.05×	2.33
Cincinnati (+0.5)	25.4%	26.3%	54.7%	0.48×	3.80
Cincinnati (-0.5)	12.9%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede	97.7%	96.7%	82.3%	1.17×	1.04
Cincinnati clean sheet	2.3%	3.3%	17.7%	0.19×	29.93

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 1st half	80.3%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Cincinnati clean sheet in 1st half	19.7%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 2nd half	88.4%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Cincinnati clean sheet in 2nd half	11.6%	9.0%	—	—	11.14

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 6.5 corners	91.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Cincinnati under 5.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cincinnati under 4.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cincinnati over 2.5 corners	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cincinnati under 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cincinnati over 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Cincinnati under 2.5 corners	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cincinnati over 4.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cincinnati over 5.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Cincinnati over 6.5 corners	8.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 3.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Cincinnati over 0.5 goals	81.9%	81.5%	73.3%	1.11×	1.23
Cincinnati under 2.5 goals	75.4%	76.2%	83.3%	0.92×	1.31
Cincinnati over 1.5 goals	51.0%	53.5%	38.8%	1.38×	1.87
Cincinnati under 1.5 goals	49.0%	46.5%	61.2%	0.76×	2.15
Cincinnati over 2.5 goals	24.6%	23.8%	16.7%	1.42×	4.21
Cincinnati under 0.5 goals	18.1%	18.5%	26.7%	0.69×	5.39
Cincinnati over 3.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	6.0%	1.28×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 1st half	84.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 1st half	50.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 1st half	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Cincinnati scores equally in both	33.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Cincinnati scores more in 1st half	23.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (away no bet)	85.7%	84.3%	64.6%	1.30×	1.19
Draw (away no bet)	14.3%	15.7%	35.4%	0.44×	6.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati even goals	51.6%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Cincinnati odd goals	48.4%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	55.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Not both halves over 1.5	44.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	94.3%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Both halves under 1.5 goals	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	89.5%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Inter Miami CF to score 2+ in a row	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	58.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Inter Miami CF to score 3+ in a row	52.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Cincinnati to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Cincinnati to score 3+ in a row	8.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF corners (+3.5)	95.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Inter Miami CF corners (+2.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Inter Miami CF corners (+1.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Inter Miami CF corners (-1.5)	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cincinnati corners (+3.5)	58.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Inter Miami CF corners (-2.5)	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cincinnati corners (+2.5)	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Inter Miami CF corners (-3.5)	41.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cincinnati corners (+1.5)	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cincinnati corners (-1.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cincinnati corners (-2.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Cincinnati corners (-3.5)	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	34.4%	24.4%	4.7%	5.16×	4.09
2-1	5.1%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
3-2	5.5%	7.4%	3.5%	2.12×	13.51
4-1	6.1%	7.4%	2.4%	3.13×	13.51
4-2	5.2%	7.4%	1.6%	4.69×	13.51
0-0	0.6%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.32
0-1	0.6%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.32
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-0	1.4%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.31
1-1	2.8%	1.7%	10.4%	0.17×	58.30
1-2	2.3%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.31
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-0	3.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
3-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.31
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.30
4-3	3.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.30
4-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (2nd half DNB)	78.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Cincinnati (2nd half DNB)	21.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF leading at HT (DNB)	79.5%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Cincinnati leading at HT (DNB)	20.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or Cincinnati (12)	87.5%	86.5%	75.2%	1.15×	1.16
Inter Miami CF or draw (1X)	87.1%	86.5%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Cincinnati or draw (X2)	25.4%	26.1%	54.7%	0.48×	3.83

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw at HT	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Inter Miami CF or Cincinnati at HT	75.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Cincinnati or draw at HT	40.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw (1UP)	87.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Cincinnati or draw (1UP)	39.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw in 2nd half	82.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Inter Miami CF or Cincinnati in 2nd half	79.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Cincinnati or draw in 2nd half	37.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	60.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
A half drawn	39.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (DNB)	85.3%	87.0%	60.2%	1.45×	1.15
Cincinnati (DNB)	14.7%	13.0%	39.8%	0.33×	7.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score first	68.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Cincinnati to score first	31.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	0.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.85

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	80.2%	67.1%	61.3%	1.09×	1.49
Not both teams to score	19.8%	32.9%	38.7%	0.85×	3.04

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	77.4%	66.6%	51.1%	1.30×	1.50
Not both score & over 2.5	13.7%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.09
Not both score & under 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	29.5%	0.28×	12.07
Both score & under 2.5	2.8%	4.6%	10.4%	0.45×	21.62

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	54.6%	54.9%	79.5%	0.69×	1.82
Both teams to score 2+	45.5%	45.1%	20.5%	2.20×	2.22

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	56.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Not both to score in 2nd half	43.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score 2nd half only	34.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Neither half both score	26.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Both score in both halves	22.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	17.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	60.1%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both teams to score by HT	39.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	86.4%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
A half without a goal	13.6%	13.0%	—	—	7.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.9%	47.2%	33.0%	1.43×	2.12
7+ goals	30.8%	30.7%	4.1%	7.57×	3.26
2-3 goals	17.8%	20.2%	43.0%	0.47×	4.94
0-1 goals	2.5%	1.8%	20.2%	0.09×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score exactly 1	30.9%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Cincinnati to score exactly 2	26.5%	27.4%	22.2%	1.23×	3.66
Cincinnati to score 3+	24.6%	22.3%	16.7%	1.34×	4.48
Cincinnati to score exactly 0	18.1%	19.6%	26.7%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score 3+	72.6%	65.8%	25.0%	2.63×	1.52
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.8%	26.4%	0.71×	5.33
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 1	8.7%	10.3%	31.1%	0.33×	9.70
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 0	2.3%	6.1%	17.7%	0.35×	16.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF leading at HT	60.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Draw at HT	24.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Cincinnati leading at HT	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF -1: 1	58.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Inter Miami CF -1: 2	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Inter Miami CF -1: X	16.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:1)	58.5%	55.8%	23.2%	2.40×	1.79
Cincinnati (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	54.7%	0.49×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	16.1%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:2)	41.5%	38.7%	76.8%	0.50×	2.59
Inter Miami CF (0:2)	41.0%	38.6%	10.6%	3.64×	2.59
Draw (0:2)	17.5%	15.3%	12.7%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:3)	59.0%	70.2%	89.4%	0.79×	1.43
Inter Miami CF (0:3)	25.5%	22.7%	4.1%	5.58×	4.42
Draw (0:3)	15.5%	16.1%	6.7%	2.42×	6.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:4)	74.5%	78.1%	95.9%	0.81×	1.28
Inter Miami CF (0:4)	14.0%	10.1%	2.1%	4.71×	9.91
Draw (0:4)	11.5%	9.9%	2.0%	4.86×	10.14

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (1:0)	87.1%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.2%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.50
Cincinnati (1:0)	5.7%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (2:0)	94.3%	94.0%	87.0%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.61
Cincinnati (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	55.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	16.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede	81.9%	80.9%	73.3%	1.10×	1.24
Inter Miami CF clean sheet	18.1%	19.1%	26.7%	0.72×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF clean sheet in 1st half	50.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Inter Miami CF to concede in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede in 2nd half	64.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Inter Miami CF clean sheet in 2nd half	35.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 corners	89.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Inter Miami CF over 4.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Inter Miami CF under 6.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Inter Miami CF over 5.5 corners	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Inter Miami CF under 5.5 corners	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Inter Miami CF over 6.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Inter Miami CF under 4.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 corners	10.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	82.3%	1.17×	1.04
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 goals	89.0%	87.3%	51.3%	1.70×	1.15
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 goals	72.6%	74.2%	25.0%	2.97×	1.35
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 goals	52.0%	53.2%	9.4%	5.69×	1.88
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	90.6%	0.52×	2.14
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 goals	27.4%	25.8%	75.0%	0.34×	3.88
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.7%	48.7%	0.26×	7.85
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	17.7%	0.21×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 in 1st half	80.3%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 in 1st half	51.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 in 1st half	48.3%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 in 1st half	19.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF scores more in 2nd half	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Inter Miami CF scores more in 1st half	29.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Inter Miami CF scores equally in both	20.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (home no bet)	50.8%	51.3%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.2%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF even goals	50.0%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Inter Miami CF odd goals	50.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	24.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 1-0	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 2-0	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 0-0	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 0-1	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 2-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	54.1%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Draw at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Cincinnati at HT / Cincinnati at FT	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Cincinnati at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Draw at HT / Cincinnati at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Inter Miami CF at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Cincinnati at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Inter Miami CF at HT / Cincinnati at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score last	68.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Cincinnati to score last	31.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	0.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.85

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Inter Miami CF to lead by 1 at any time	87.2%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	80.9%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Inter Miami CF to lead by 2 at any time	68.8%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Inter Miami CF to lead by 3 at any time	48.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Cincinnati to lead by 1 at any time	39.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Cincinnati to lead by 2 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Cincinnati to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF most corners	72.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Cincinnati most corners	18.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	66.7%	68.8%	75.9%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	60.3%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
1-5 goals	52.8%	53.2%	83.4%	0.64×	1.88
2-5 goals	50.8%	53.2%	69.0%	0.77×	1.88
4-6 goals	48.9%	48.5%	33.0%	1.47×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.5%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
1-4 goals	35.5%	39.2%	73.2%	0.54×	2.55
2-4 goals	33.6%	35.2%	58.7%	0.60×	2.84
4-5 goals	33.0%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	33.1%	35.2%	17.2%	2.04×	2.84
7+ goals	30.8%	35.2%	4.1%	8.68×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.2%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
1-3 goals	19.8%	18.8%	57.4%	0.33×	5.31
2-3 goals	17.8%	18.8%	43.0%	0.44×	5.31
1-2 goals	8.4%	8.9%	34.2%	0.26×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF never behind	59.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Cincinnati never behind	12.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.30

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.4%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	97.5%	95.4%	79.8%	1.20×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	60.2%	1.53×	1.08
Over 3.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	37.0%	2.09×	1.29
Over 4.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	21.2%	2.91×	1.62
Under 5.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	89.1%	0.59×	1.90
Over 5.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	10.9%	4.34×	2.11
Under 4.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	78.8%	0.49×	2.61
Under 3.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	63.0%	0.36×	4.41
Under 2.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	39.8%	0.19×	12.93
Under 1.5 goals	2.5%	4.6%	20.2%	0.23×	21.88
Under 0.5 goals	0.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	97.3%	97.2%	74.9%	1.30×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	89.9%	86.7%	48.2%	1.80×	1.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.8%	75.9%	25.2%	3.01×	1.32
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	63.4%	61.9%	95.6%	0.65×	1.62
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	56.4%	55.8%	12.2%	4.58×	1.79
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	43.6%	44.2%	87.8%	0.50×	2.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	36.6%	38.1%	4.4%	8.74×	2.63
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.2%	24.1%	74.8%	0.32×	4.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	10.1%	13.3%	51.8%	0.26×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	2.7%	2.8%	25.1%	0.11×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Over 1.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 1st half	59.4%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	40.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 1.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	95.8%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	4.2%	4.1%	—	—	24.31

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score in both halves	71.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Cincinnati not to score in both halves	68.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Cincinnati to score in both halves	31.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Inter Miami CF not to score in both halves	29.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	80.2%	74.7%	61.3%	1.22×	1.34
Only Inter Miami CF scores	17.5%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Only Cincinnati scores	1.7%	4.6%	12.1%	0.38×	21.77
Neither team scores	0.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	46.6%	49.2%	10.9%	4.49×	2.03
Exactly 5 goals	17.3%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	11.4%	12.1%	23.3%	0.52×	8.25
Exactly 2 goals	6.4%	7.6%	19.7%	0.39×	13.14
Exactly 1 goals	2.0%	4.5%	14.5%	0.31×	22.41
Exactly 0 goals	0.6%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	40.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
2 goals in 1st half	26.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
1 goal in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	82.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
1 goal in 2nd half	13.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.98
No goals in 2nd half	4.2%	4.1%	—	—	24.31

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win both halves	97.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Inter Miami CF not to win both halves	62.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Inter Miami CF to win both halves	37.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Cincinnati to win both halves	2.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win either half	85.1%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Cincinnati to win neither half	70.1%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Cincinnati to win either half	29.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Inter Miami CF to win neither half	14.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win to nil	98.3%	96.2%	87.9%	1.09×	1.04
Inter Miami CF not to win to nil	82.5%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
Inter Miami CF to win to nil	17.5%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.92
Cincinnati to win to nil	1.7%	3.8%	12.1%	0.31×	26.36

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF by 3+	41.0%	34.7%	10.6%	3.28×	2.88
Inter Miami CF by 2	17.5%	17.0%	12.7%	1.34×	5.87
Inter Miami CF by 1	16.1%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
Draw	12.5%	11.8%	24.8%	0.47×	8.51
Cincinnati by 1	7.2%	7.2%	17.1%	0.42×	13.91
Cincinnati by 2	3.6%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.79
Cincinnati by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.84