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Internacional de Bogotá v Águilas Doradas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Internacional de Bogotá win
36.7%
model 36.4%
Draw
26.7%
model 28.2%
Águilas Doradas win
36.6%
model 35.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.5%
  2. 2-1 8.3%
  3. 1-2 8.2%
  4. 1-0 8.1%
  5. 0-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.550.0% Under 2.550.0%
BTTS yes55.5% BTTS no44.5%
Internacional de Bogotá 1+74.1% Internacional de Bogotá 2+39.0%
Águilas Doradas 1+73.5% Águilas Doradas 2+38.3%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
73.6% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 2590 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Internacional de Bogotá.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Internacional de Bogotá have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Águilas Doradas and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Internacional de Bogotá and 1.33 for Águilas Doradas.

Why Internacional de Bogotá

Nothing in the data singles out Internacional de Bogotá.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.35 to 1.33. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Águilas Doradas can win

Águilas Doradas carry the stronger rating, 1523 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Internacional de Bogotá, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Águilas Doradas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internacional de Bogotá: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Águilas Doradas: 65% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Internacional de Bogotá are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.35–1.33 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.39–1.20 1-1 14% 48% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to win 40.0% 36.5% 45.9% 0.79× 2.74
Águilas Doradas to win 31.4% 30.4% 24.8% 1.23× 3.29
Draw 28.6% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá & not both score 21.4% 21.9% 27.1% 0.81× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.0% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Internacional de Bogotá & both teams score 18.6% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Águilas Doradas & not both score 16.3% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.58
Águilas Doradas & both teams score 15.0% 17.9% 11.4% 1.57× 5.58
Draw & not both score 8.7% 8.4% 10.8% 0.77× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá & over 1.5 30.7% 30.9% 33.9% 0.91× 3.24
Internacional de Bogotá & under 3.5 28.5% 26.0% 35.7% 0.73× 3.84
Internacional de Bogotá & over 2.5 23.5% 21.7% 25.6% 0.85× 4.62
Águilas Doradas & over 1.5 23.5% 21.7% 16.4% 1.32× 4.62
Águilas Doradas & under 3.5 23.0% 21.7% 19.9% 1.09× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 22.3% 21.7% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.3% 21.7% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.0% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
Águilas Doradas & over 2.5 18.1% 18.0% 12.8% 1.41× 5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & under 2.5 16.5% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Águilas Doradas & under 2.5 13.3% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Internacional de Bogotá & over 3.5 11.5% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
Internacional de Bogotá & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 12.1% 0.65× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 8.7% 7.9% 10.8% 0.73× 12.70
Águilas Doradas & under 1.5 7.9% 7.9% 8.5% 0.93× 12.70
Águilas Doradas & over 3.5 8.4% 7.9% 5.0% 1.57× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 6.3% 7.9% 5.8% 1.35× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 6.3% 7.9% 5.8% 1.35× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1UP) 56.2% 58.0% 1.72
Águilas Doradas (1UP) 48.7% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2UP) 40.0% 37.3% 2.68
Águilas Doradas (2UP) 31.4% 30.8% 3.25
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 37.3% 36.0% 2.78
Internacional de Bogotá to win 2nd half 33.4% 34.5% 2.90
Águilas Doradas to win 2nd half 29.3% 26.5% 3.78
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (+2.5) 92.9% 92.1% 91.8% 1.00× 1.09
Águilas Doradas (+1.5) 80.7% 82.4% 79.6% 1.04× 1.21
Internacional de Bogotá (+0.5) 68.6% 68.7% 75.2% 0.91× 1.46
Águilas Doradas (+0.5) 60.0% 62.9% 54.1% 1.16× 1.59
Internacional de Bogotá (-0.5) 40.0% 37.1% 45.9% 0.81× 2.69
Águilas Doradas (-0.5) 31.4% 31.3% 24.8% 1.26× 3.20
Internacional de Bogotá (-1.5) 19.3% 17.6% 20.4% 0.86× 5.68
Internacional de Bogotá (-2.5) 7.1% 7.9% 8.2% 0.96× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede 75.0% 79.0% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
Águilas Doradas clean sheet 25.0% 21.0% 24.2% 0.87× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 1st half 55.1% 58.4% 1.71
Águilas Doradas to concede in 1st half 44.9% 41.6% 2.40
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 6.5 corners 86.7% 84.9% 1.18
Águilas Doradas under 5.5 corners 78.2% 75.8% 1.32
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 corners 67.2% 68.2% 1.47
Águilas Doradas under 4.5 corners 66.1% 68.2% 1.47
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 corners 50.5% 52.4% 1.91
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 corners 49.5% 47.6% 2.10
Águilas Doradas over 4.5 corners 33.9% 31.8% 3.15
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 corners 32.8% 31.8% 3.15
Águilas Doradas over 5.5 corners 21.8% 24.2% 4.14
Águilas Doradas over 6.5 corners 13.3% 15.1% 6.62
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 goals 96.6% 97.5% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 goals 87.9% 87.9% 92.9% 0.95× 1.14
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 goals 70.0% 68.0% 62.2% 1.09× 1.47
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 goals 66.2% 67.9% 74.4% 0.91× 1.47
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 goals 33.8% 32.1% 25.6% 1.25× 3.12
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 goals 30.0% 32.0% 37.8% 0.85× 3.12
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 goals 12.1% 12.1% 7.1% 1.71× 8.26
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 goals 3.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.26× 40.70
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 1st half 91.5% 94.1% 1.06
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 1st half 61.8% 64.0% 1.56
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 1st half 38.2% 36.0% 2.78
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 1st half 8.5% 5.9% 17.07
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (away no bet) 58.3% 57.5% 60.9% 0.94× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 41.7% 42.5% 39.1% 1.09× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas even goals 54.5% 52.8% 57.4% 0.92× 1.89
Águilas Doradas odd goals 45.5% 47.2% 42.6% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.9% 87.7% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.1% 12.3% 8.12
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 61.4% 58.0% 1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals 38.6% 42.0% 2.38
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.8% 51.3% 1.95
Internacional de Bogotá to score 2+ in a row 32.5% 29.1% 3.44
Águilas Doradas to score 2+ in a row 25.9% 25.0% 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 17.6% 16.3% 6.13
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ in a row 10.6% 12.1% 8.27
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ in a row 7.2% 5.6% 17.75
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+3.5) 91.4% 88.6% 1.13
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+2.5) 86.4% 84.2% 1.19
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+1.5) 79.5% 75.5% 1.33
Águilas Doradas corners (+3.5) 70.5% 69.9% 1.43
Águilas Doradas corners (+2.5) 60.9% 61.7% 1.62
Águilas Doradas corners (+1.5) 50.3% 52.3% 1.91
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-1.5) 49.7% 47.7% 2.10
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-2.5) 39.1% 38.3% 2.61
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-3.5) 29.5% 30.1% 3.32
Águilas Doradas corners (-1.5) 20.5% 24.5% 4.08
Águilas Doradas corners (-2.5) 13.6% 15.8% 6.31
Águilas Doradas corners (-3.5) 8.6% 11.4% 8.81
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.4% 40.6% 2.46
9-11 corners 27.8% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 25.8% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.9% 79.8% 1.25
Under 11.5 corners 74.2% 72.5% 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 66.0% 67.9% 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 64.2% 62.7% 1.60
Under 9.5 corners 56.6% 57.8% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.6% 52.2% 1.91
Under 8.5 corners 46.4% 47.8% 2.09
Over 9.5 corners 43.4% 42.2% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 35.8% 37.3% 2.68
Over 10.5 corners 34.0% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 25.8% 27.5% 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 19.1% 20.2% 4.96
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.7% 11.5% 13.1% 0.88× 8.73
1-0 9.2% 7.4% 12.1% 0.61× 13.48
2-1 8.7% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.48
0-0 8.7% 7.4% 10.8% 0.68× 13.48
1-2 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 1.07× 13.48
2-0 7.2% 7.4% 8.5% 0.87× 13.48
0-1 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 0.87× 13.48
2-2 5.2% 7.4% 5.1% 1.44× 13.48
0-2 5.4% 7.4% 3.8% 1.98× 13.48
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.49
1-3 3.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.47
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.48
2-3 2.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.48
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.49
3-0 3.3% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.47
3-1 4.0% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.47
3-2 2.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.48
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.15× 58.49
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.48
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.48
4-2 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.49
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.49
Any other score 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
0-3 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT (DNB) 56.9% 58.4% 1.71
Águilas Doradas leading at HT (DNB) 43.1% 41.6% 2.40
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or Águilas Doradas (12) 71.4% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1X) 68.6% 69.6% 75.2% 0.93× 1.44
Águilas Doradas or draw (X2) 60.0% 63.5% 54.1% 1.17× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw at HT 76.3% 79.9% 1.25
Águilas Doradas or draw at HT 68.7% 66.3% 1.51
Internacional de Bogotá or Águilas Doradas at HT 55.1% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1UP) 68.6% 76.1% 1.31
Águilas Doradas or draw (1UP) 60.0% 71.6% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw in 2nd half 70.7% 73.5% 1.36
Águilas Doradas or draw in 2nd half 66.7% 65.5% 1.53
Internacional de Bogotá or Águilas Doradas in 2nd half 62.7% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.2% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 35.8% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (DNB) 56.0% 58.2% 65.0% 0.90× 1.72
Águilas Doradas (DNB) 44.0% 41.8% 35.0% 1.19× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score first 48.9% 45.6% 2.19
Águilas Doradas to score first 42.4% 41.8% 2.39
No goal scored 8.7% 7.5% 13.25
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.6% 51.4% 48.8% 1.05× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.4% 48.6% 51.2% 0.95× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.0% 38.5% 35.9% 1.07× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 38.4% 38.5% 43.1% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.10
Not both score & over 2.5 7.9% 8.4% 8.2% 1.02× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.3% 85.6% 88.7% 0.96× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 13.7% 14.4% 11.3% 1.28× 6.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.5% 74.0% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.5% 26.0% 3.85
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 59.0% 59.4% 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 23.7% 20.9% 4.79
Both score 1st half only 12.5% 10.7% 9.32
Both score in both halves 4.8% 5.1% 19.75
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.6% 82.5% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 17.4% 17.5% 5.70
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 52.0% 53.3% 1.88
A half without a goal 48.0% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.0% 47.4% 48.1% 0.99× 2.11
0-1 goals 25.8% 26.4% 31.2% 0.85× 3.79
4-6 goals 24.5% 22.8% 19.5% 1.17× 4.38
7+ goals 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.20× 54.63
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 1 36.1% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 0 30.0% 33.8% 37.8% 0.89× 2.96
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 2 21.7% 22.4% 18.6% 1.20× 4.46
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ 12.1% 12.8% 7.1% 1.81× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 1 34.7% 32.7% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 0 25.0% 23.2% 24.2% 0.96× 4.30
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 2 24.0% 23.2% 26.1% 0.89× 4.30
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ 16.3% 18.9% 15.6% 1.21× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.9% 43.1% 2.32
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT 31.3% 33.7% 2.97
Águilas Doradas leading at HT 23.7% 20.1% 4.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá -1: 2 60.0% 62.4% 1.60
Internacional de Bogotá -1: X 20.7% 23.6% 4.24
Internacional de Bogotá -1: 1 19.3% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:1) 60.0% 61.5% 54.1% 1.14× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.7% 24.3% 25.6% 0.95× 4.12
Internacional de Bogotá (0:1) 19.3% 17.8% 20.4% 0.87× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:2) 80.7% 82.8% 79.6% 1.04× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.2% 11.0% 12.4% 0.89× 9.13
Internacional de Bogotá (0:2) 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 0.94× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:3) 92.9% 92.6% 91.8% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.0% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.06
Internacional de Bogotá (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.19
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 0.61× 83.56
Internacional de Bogotá (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.07× 83.69
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1:0) 68.6% 70.0% 75.2% 0.93× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 17.8% 17.0% 17.2% 0.99× 5.87
Águilas Doradas (1:0) 13.6% 12.8% 7.7% 1.68× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2:0) 86.4% 88.4% 92.4% 0.96× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.2% 6.5% 5.0% 1.29× 15.47
Águilas Doradas (2:0) 4.4% 2.3% 2.8% 0.82× 44.11
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.3% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 27.4% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede 70.0% 66.6% 62.2% 1.07× 1.50
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet 30.0% 33.4% 37.8% 0.88× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 1st half 61.8% 64.1% 1.56
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 1st half 38.2% 35.9% 2.78
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 corners 83.3% 81.3% 1.23
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 corners 70.7% 71.5% 1.40
Internacional de Bogotá under 6.5 corners 68.1% 67.8% 1.48
Internacional de Bogotá over 4.5 corners 56.8% 57.4% 1.74
Internacional de Bogotá under 5.5 corners 56.5% 57.4% 1.74
Internacional de Bogotá over 5.5 corners 43.5% 42.6% 2.35
Internacional de Bogotá under 4.5 corners 43.2% 42.6% 2.35
Internacional de Bogotá over 6.5 corners 31.9% 32.2% 3.10
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 corners 29.3% 28.5% 3.51
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 corners 16.7% 18.7% 5.36
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 goals 83.7% 82.1% 84.4% 0.97× 1.22
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 goals 75.0% 77.7% 75.8% 1.03× 1.29
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 goals 59.6% 58.8% 58.4% 1.01× 1.70
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 goals 40.4% 41.2% 41.6% 0.99× 2.43
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 goals 25.0% 22.3% 24.2% 0.92× 4.49
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 goals 16.3% 17.9% 15.6% 1.15× 5.60
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 4.7% 1.63× 12.94
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 1st half 87.9% 89.8% 1.11
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 1st half 55.1% 58.0% 1.72
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 1st half 44.9% 42.0% 2.38
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 1st half 12.1% 10.2% 9.81
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (home no bet) 52.3% 51.6% 45.6% 1.13× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 47.7% 48.4% 54.4% 0.89× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá even goals 53.1% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.98
Internacional de Bogotá odd goals 46.9% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.2% 32.4% 3.09
HT 1-0 20.1% 24.1% 4.14
HT 0-1 16.2% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 10.0% 7.2% 13.98
HT 2-0 6.1% 7.1% 14.04
HT 0-2 3.9% 2.3% 43.41
Any other HT score 3.5% 2.3% 43.44
HT 2-1 2.9% 2.3% 43.49
HT 1-2 2.4% 2.3% 43.53
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.3% 43.65
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 23.5% 21.8% 4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.0% 16.8% 5.97
Águilas Doradas at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 16.6% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 14.4% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 12.5% 12.7% 7.90
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.72
Águilas Doradas at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.73
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.84
Águilas Doradas at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.84
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score last 49.0% 46.8% 2.14
Águilas Doradas to score last 42.4% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 8.7% 7.5% 13.25
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.3% 92.6% 1.08
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 1 at any time 56.2% 55.0% 1.82
Águilas Doradas to lead by 1 at any time 48.7% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 43.9% 39.3% 2.55
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 2 at any time 25.2% 25.4% 3.94
Águilas Doradas to lead by 2 at any time 18.9% 14.9% 6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.7% 10.5% 9.51
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 3 at any time 8.9% 6.7% 15.03
Águilas Doradas to lead by 3 at any time 5.8% 6.6% 15.18
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá most corners 60.6% 58.7% 1.70
Águilas Doradas most corners 29.2% 32.1% 3.12
Corners level 10.2% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.5% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.2% 78.6% 80.0% 0.98× 1.27
2-6 goals 72.5% 72.4% 67.5% 1.07× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.4% 69.0% 65.4% 1.06× 1.45
1-3 goals 65.2% 68.9% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-4 goals 62.1% 63.4% 59.7% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.0% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.2% 48.7% 42.6% 1.14× 2.06
1-2 goals 43.4% 43.6% 45.3% 0.96× 2.30
3-5 goals 43.1% 43.6% 40.5% 1.08× 2.30
3-4 goals 35.8% 39.1% 34.8% 1.13× 2.56
4-6 goals 24.5% 24.5% 19.5% 1.26× 4.09
4-5 goals 21.4% 24.5% 17.4% 1.41× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.4% 14.9% 7.9% 1.87× 6.73
7+ goals 1.7% 2.5% 1.5% 1.66× 39.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá never behind 42.7% 48.3% 2.07
Águilas Doradas never behind 35.1% 44.5% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.4% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.6% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.2% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.8% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.2% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.8% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.2% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.3% 92.3% 89.2% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.9% 87.7% 90.7% 0.97× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 74.2% 72.5% 68.8% 1.05× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.8% 72.5% 79.1% 0.92× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 52.1% 52.5% 56.1% 0.94× 1.91
Over 2.5 goals 47.9% 47.5% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 26.2% 27.5% 20.9% 1.32× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 25.8% 27.5% 31.2% 0.88× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 12.1% 12.3% 9.3% 1.33× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 8.7% 7.7% 10.8% 0.71× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 4.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.25× 22.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.3% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.8% 92.5% 96.2% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.9% 86.7% 89.5% 0.97× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 66.6% 67.4% 72.9% 0.92× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 65.0% 67.4% 58.5% 1.15× 1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 35.0% 32.6% 41.5% 0.79× 3.06
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 33.4% 32.6% 27.1% 1.20× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.1% 13.3% 10.5% 1.26× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.2% 7.5% 3.8% 1.96× 13.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.7% 2.8% 1.6% 1.77× 36.18
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.5% 92.6% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.5% 71.2% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.8% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.2% 31.0% 3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.5% 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.5% 7.4% 13.46
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.6% 82.7% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 77.6% 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 55.0% 53.4% 1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.0% 46.6% 2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.4% 20.3% 4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.4% 17.3% 5.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to score in both halves 80.4% 84.3% 1.19
Internacional de Bogotá not to score in both halves 75.5% 78.2% 1.28
Internacional de Bogotá to score in both halves 24.5% 21.8% 4.58
Águilas Doradas to score in both halves 19.6% 15.7% 6.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.6% 54.0% 48.8% 1.11× 1.85
Only Internacional de Bogotá scores 21.4% 22.3% 27.1% 0.82× 4.48
Only Águilas Doradas scores 16.3% 16.1% 13.5% 1.19× 6.23
Neither team scores 8.7% 7.2% 10.8% 0.66× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.3% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.7% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 17.1% 17.4% 20.4% 0.85× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 14.1% 12.1% 11.7% 1.04× 8.27
Exactly 0 goals 8.7% 7.6% 10.8% 0.70× 13.09
Exactly 5 goals 7.3% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.09
6 or more goals 4.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.65
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.0% 44.6% 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 32.5% 33.3% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 22.4% 23.0% 4.34
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win both halves 92.9% 94.0% 1.06
Internacional de Bogotá not to win both halves 89.4% 88.0% 1.14
Internacional de Bogotá to win both halves 10.6% 12.0% 8.33
Águilas Doradas to win both halves 7.1% 6.0% 16.62
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to win either half 54.0% 55.0% 1.82
Águilas Doradas to win neither half 54.0% 55.0% 1.82
Internacional de Bogotá to win neither half 46.0% 45.0% 2.22
Águilas Doradas to win either half 46.0% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win to nil 83.7% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.20
Internacional de Bogotá not to win to nil 78.6% 78.1% 72.9% 1.07× 1.28
Internacional de Bogotá to win to nil 21.4% 21.9% 27.1% 0.81× 4.56
Águilas Doradas to win to nil 16.3% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.90
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.6% 27.9% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Internacional de Bogotá by 1 20.7% 24.1% 25.6% 0.94× 4.14
Águilas Doradas by 1 17.8% 16.9% 17.2% 0.98× 5.91
Internacional de Bogotá by 2 12.2% 11.8% 12.4% 0.95× 8.48
Águilas Doradas by 2 9.2% 7.3% 5.0% 1.45× 13.78
Internacional de Bogotá by 3+ 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 0.88× 13.79
Águilas Doradas by 3+ 4.4% 2.7% 2.8% 0.97× 36.95
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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