Internacional de Bogotá v Independiente Santa Fe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Internacional de Bogotá

20:30 UTC

Independiente Santa Fe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 298h before kick-off

Internacional de Bogotá win

26.5%

model 25.5%

Draw

26.6%

model 28.8%

Independiente Santa Fe win

47.0%

model 45.7%

262747

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
0-1 11.6%
0-0 9.9%
1-2 9.0%
0-2 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.6%	Under 2.5	56.4%
BTTS yes	49.0%	BTTS no	51.0%
Internacional de Bogotá 1+	63.2%	Internacional de Bogotá 2+	26.4%
Independiente Santa Fe 1+	75.8%	Independiente Santa Fe 2+	41.5%

Expected goals 1.00 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 35%

63.2% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 330 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.5% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1272 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1417.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Santa Fe have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.5% for Internacional de Bogotá. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.00 for Internacional de Bogotá and 1.42 for Independiente Santa Fe.

Why Internacional de Bogotá

Nothing in the data singles out Internacional de Bogotá.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Independiente Santa Fe can win

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Internacional de Bogotá, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Santa Fe, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internacional de Bogotá: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Santa Fe: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Independiente Santa Fe are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262946	1.00–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	252945	0.98–1.39	1-1 14%	42%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win	45.4%	47.3%	24.8%	1.91×	2.11
Draw	29.2%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58
Internacional de Bogotá to win	25.5%	27.9%	45.8%	0.61×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & not both score	27.1%	25.2%	13.4%	1.88×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Independiente Santa Fe & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & not both score	14.5%	13.3%	27.1%	0.49×	7.54
Internacional de Bogotá & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.3%	13.3%	10.8%	1.23×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & under 3.5	34.0%	30.8%	19.9%	1.54×	3.25
Independiente Santa Fe & over 1.5	33.5%	30.8%	16.5%	1.87×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Independiente Santa Fe & over 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	12.9%	1.68×	4.63
Independiente Santa Fe & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.63
Internacional de Bogotá & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	35.7%	0.60×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Internacional de Bogotá & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	33.8%	0.53×	5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & over 2.5	12.9%	12.8%	25.5%	0.50×	7.79
Internacional de Bogotá & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Independiente Santa Fe & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Independiente Santa Fe & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	5.0%	2.57×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Internacional de Bogotá & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Internacional de Bogotá & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (1UP)	59.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Internacional de Bogotá (1UP)	41.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2UP)	45.4%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Internacional de Bogotá (2UP)	25.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win 2nd half	39.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	38.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Internacional de Bogotá to win 2nd half	22.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Independiente Santa Fe (+1.5)	90.5%	92.1%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Independiente Santa Fe (+0.5)	74.5%	73.7%	54.2%	1.36×	1.36
Internacional de Bogotá (+0.5)	54.6%	52.4%	75.2%	0.70×	1.91
Independiente Santa Fe (-0.5)	45.4%	47.6%	24.8%	1.92×	2.10
Internacional de Bogotá (-0.5)	25.5%	26.3%	45.8%	0.57×	3.80
Internacional de Bogotá (-1.5)	9.5%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.68
Internacional de Bogotá (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.17

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to concede	62.5%	67.6%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet	37.5%	32.4%	24.1%	1.35×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 1st half	65.6%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 1st half	34.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 2nd half	57.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 2nd half	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 6.5 corners	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Santa Fe under 5.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 corners	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe under 4.5 corners	64.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 corners	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 corners	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Independiente Santa Fe over 4.5 corners	35.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 corners	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Independiente Santa Fe over 5.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Independiente Santa Fe over 6.5 corners	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 goals	83.5%	81.5%	92.9%	0.88×	1.23
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 goals	75.2%	76.2%	62.2%	1.23×	1.31
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 goals	59.4%	59.4%	74.2%	0.80×	1.68
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 goals	40.6%	40.6%	25.8%	1.57×	2.47
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	37.8%	0.63×	4.21
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 goals	16.5%	18.5%	7.1%	2.62×	5.41
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	1.9%	3.94×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Independiente Santa Fe scores equally in both	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.4%	51.7%	39.2%	1.32×	1.93
Internacional de Bogotá (away no bet)	46.6%	48.3%	60.8%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe even goals	53.1%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Independiente Santa Fe odd goals	46.9%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Independiente Santa Fe to score 2+ in a row	33.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Internacional de Bogotá to score 2+ in a row	19.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+3.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+2.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+1.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+3.5)	74.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+2.5)	65.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+1.5)	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-1.5)	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-2.5)	34.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-3.5)	25.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-1.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-2.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-3.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-1	11.9%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
0-0	10.3%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.72
0-2	9.0%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
2-1	6.2%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-3	4.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.29
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	2.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.31
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2nd half DNB)	63.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Internacional de Bogotá (2nd half DNB)	36.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT (DNB)	58.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT (DNB)	41.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (X2)	74.5%	72.1%	54.2%	1.33×	1.39
Internacional de Bogotá or Independiente Santa Fe (12)	70.8%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1X)	54.6%	52.7%	75.2%	0.70×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw at HT	78.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Internacional de Bogotá or draw at HT	69.1%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Internacional de Bogotá or Independiente Santa Fe at HT	52.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (1UP)	74.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1UP)	54.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw in 2nd half	77.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Internacional de Bogotá or Independiente Santa Fe in 2nd half	61.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Internacional de Bogotá or draw in 2nd half	60.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)	64.1%	62.7%	35.1%	1.79×	1.60
Internacional de Bogotá (DNB)	35.9%	37.3%	64.9%	0.57×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score first	52.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Internacional de Bogotá to score first	37.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	10.3%	9.3%	—	—	10.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.9%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.1%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.8%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.3%	34.6%	36.0%	0.96×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	47.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	30.3%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.5%	22.9%	19.5%	1.17×	4.36
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 0	24.8%	22.3%	37.8%	0.59×	4.49
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.3%	18.8%	1.18×	4.49
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+	16.5%	19.5%	7.1%	2.76×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 0	37.5%	35.5%	24.1%	1.47×	2.81
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 2	18.1%	18.8%	26.2%	0.72×	5.32
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+	7.7%	10.3%	15.5%	0.67×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT	30.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT	21.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 1	54.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Independiente Santa Fe -1: X	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 2	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:1)	74.5%	71.1%	54.2%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	25.6%	0.69×	5.62
Internacional de Bogotá (0:1)	9.5%	9.3%	20.4%	0.46×	10.78

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:2)	90.5%	90.7%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.06
Internacional de Bogotá (0:2)	2.6%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.75

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.05
Internacional de Bogotá (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.92
Internacional de Bogotá (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1:0)	54.6%	54.2%	75.2%	0.72×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	23.1%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.61
Independiente Santa Fe (1:0)	22.3%	21.7%	7.6%	2.85×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2:0)	77.7%	80.4%	92.4%	0.87×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.9%	10.3%	5.0%	2.07×	9.70
Independiente Santa Fe (2:0)	8.4%	6.4%	2.8%	2.31×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede	75.2%	76.0%	62.2%	1.22×	1.32
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet	24.8%	24.0%	37.8%	0.63×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 1st half	42.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 2nd half	56.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 2nd half	43.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Internacional de Bogotá under 6.5 corners	71.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Internacional de Bogotá under 5.5 corners	60.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Internacional de Bogotá over 4.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Internacional de Bogotá under 4.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Internacional de Bogotá over 5.5 corners	39.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Internacional de Bogotá over 6.5 corners	28.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 goals	92.3%	92.2%	84.5%	1.09×	1.08
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 goals	74.2%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 goals	62.5%	63.6%	75.9%	0.84×	1.57
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 goals	37.5%	36.4%	24.1%	1.51×	2.75
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 goals	25.8%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 goals	7.7%	7.8%	15.5%	0.50×	12.84
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 goals	1.8%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	5.2%	—	—	19.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá scores equally in both	46.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Internacional de Bogotá scores more in 2nd half	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Internacional de Bogotá scores more in 1st half	21.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (home no bet)	60.9%	60.0%	45.7%	1.31×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.1%	40.0%	54.3%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá even goals	57.0%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Internacional de Bogotá odd goals	43.0%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	20.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	25.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score last	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Internacional de Bogotá to score last	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	10.3%	8.7%	—	—	11.50

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.7%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 1 at any time	59.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 2 at any time	27.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 2 at any time	13.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá most corners	56.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Independiente Santa Fe most corners	32.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.6%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.0%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.2%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.3%	48.4%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.3%	43.6%	42.7%	1.02×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.0%	39.2%	40.6%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.1%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.5%	24.4%	19.5%	1.25×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.2%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.2%	8.9%	7.9%	1.13×	11.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe never behind	48.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Internacional de Bogotá never behind	30.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.7%	66.3%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	56.0%	1.05×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	44.0%	0.94×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.3%	33.7%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.4%	10.8%	1.15×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.4%	86.8%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.7%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.3%	55.8%	58.6%	0.95×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.7%	44.2%	41.4%	1.07×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.3%	27.6%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.6%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Santa Fe not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Independiente Santa Fe to score in both halves	24.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Internacional de Bogotá to score in both halves	14.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.1%	50.7%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Only Independiente Santa Fe scores	27.1%	26.1%	13.4%	1.94×	3.84
Only Internacional de Bogotá scores	14.5%	11.0%	27.1%	0.41×	9.06
Neither team scores	10.3%	11.0%	10.8%	1.02×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.0%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.3%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.3%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	25.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win both halves	95.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Independiente Santa Fe not to win both halves	87.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Independiente Santa Fe to win both halves	12.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Internacional de Bogotá to win both halves	5.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to win neither half	60.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to win either half	57.7%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Independiente Santa Fe to win neither half	42.3%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Internacional de Bogotá to win either half	39.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win to nil	85.5%	88.1%	72.9%	1.21×	1.14
Independiente Santa Fe not to win to nil	72.9%	75.3%	86.6%	0.87×	1.33
Independiente Santa Fe to win to nil	27.1%	24.7%	13.4%	1.84×	4.05
Internacional de Bogotá to win to nil	14.5%	11.9%	27.1%	0.44×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.2%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Independiente Santa Fe by 1	23.1%	24.1%	17.3%	1.39×	4.15
Internacional de Bogotá by 1	15.9%	17.0%	25.6%	0.67×	5.87
Independiente Santa Fe by 2	13.9%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.50
Independiente Santa Fe by 3+	8.4%	7.2%	2.8%	2.60×	13.91
Internacional de Bogotá by 2	6.9%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.91
Internacional de Bogotá by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.89