Internacional de Bogotá v Once Caldas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Internacional de Bogotá

01:20 UTC

Once Caldas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 62h before kick-off

Internacional de Bogotá win

29.4%

model 30.5%

Draw

27.4%

model 27.1%

Once Caldas win

43.2%

model 42.5%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
1-2 9.0%
0-1 8.5%
2-1 7.5%
0-2 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.6%	Under 2.5	47.4%
BTTS yes	56.9%	BTTS no	43.1%
Internacional de Bogotá 1+	71.6%	Internacional de Bogotá 2+	35.8%
Once Caldas 1+	78.2%	Once Caldas 2+	45.0%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.52. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Once Caldas (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 35%

60.7% fair odds 1.65

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Once Caldas under 2.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 93%

82.4% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1052 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Once Caldas have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Internacional de Bogotá and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Internacional de Bogotá and 1.52 for Once Caldas.

Why Internacional de Bogotá

Nothing in the data singles out Internacional de Bogotá.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Once Caldas can win

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Internacional de Bogotá, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Once Caldas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internacional de Bogotá: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Once Caldas: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Once Caldas are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302742	1.26–1.52	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	302842	1.18–1.44	1-1 13%	49%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win	42.1%	42.9%	24.8%	1.73×	2.33
Internacional de Bogotá to win	29.9%	27.9%	45.8%	0.61×	3.58
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & not both score	22.5%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Once Caldas & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & not both score	15.4%	18.0%	27.1%	0.66×	5.57
Internacional de Bogotá & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & over 1.5	32.6%	30.8%	16.5%	1.87×	3.25
Once Caldas & under 3.5	29.6%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Once Caldas & over 2.5	25.0%	26.1%	12.9%	2.02×	3.84
Internacional de Bogotá & over 1.5	22.3%	21.6%	33.8%	0.64×	4.63
Internacional de Bogotá & under 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	35.7%	0.60×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Once Caldas & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	25.5%	0.71×	5.56
Once Caldas & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	5.0%	2.57×	7.79
Internacional de Bogotá & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Once Caldas & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Internacional de Bogotá & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Internacional de Bogotá & over 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1UP)	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Internacional de Bogotá (1UP)	47.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2UP)	42.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Internacional de Bogotá (2UP)	29.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win 2nd half	37.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Internacional de Bogotá to win 2nd half	26.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (+2.5)	96.0%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Once Caldas (+1.5)	87.4%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Once Caldas (+0.5)	70.1%	73.6%	54.2%	1.36×	1.36
Internacional de Bogotá (+0.5)	57.9%	57.1%	75.2%	0.76×	1.75
Once Caldas (-0.5)	42.1%	42.9%	24.8%	1.73×	2.33
Internacional de Bogotá (-0.5)	29.9%	26.4%	45.8%	0.58×	3.79
Internacional de Bogotá (-1.5)	12.6%	11.5%	20.4%	0.57×	8.67
Internacional de Bogotá (-2.5)	4.0%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.08

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to concede	69.2%	72.3%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
Once Caldas clean sheet	30.8%	27.7%	24.1%	1.15×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Once Caldas to concede in 1st half	39.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 2nd half	51.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Once Caldas to concede in 2nd half	48.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 6.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Once Caldas under 5.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Once Caldas over 2.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Once Caldas under 4.5 corners	60.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Once Caldas over 3.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Once Caldas under 3.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Once Caldas over 4.5 corners	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Once Caldas under 2.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Once Caldas over 5.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Once Caldas over 6.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Once Caldas under 2.5 goals	82.4%	81.5%	92.9%	0.88×	1.23
Once Caldas over 0.5 goals	76.3%	76.2%	62.2%	1.23×	1.31
Once Caldas under 1.5 goals	57.8%	59.4%	74.2%	0.80×	1.68
Once Caldas over 1.5 goals	42.2%	40.6%	25.8%	1.57×	2.47
Once Caldas under 0.5 goals	23.7%	23.8%	37.8%	0.63×	4.21
Once Caldas over 2.5 goals	17.6%	18.5%	7.1%	2.62×	5.41
Once Caldas over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.6%	1.9%	3.94×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Once Caldas scores equally in both	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Once Caldas scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (away no bet)	51.6%	51.7%	60.8%	0.85×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.4%	48.3%	39.2%	1.23×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas even goals	52.8%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Once Caldas odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Once Caldas to score 2+ in a row	34.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Internacional de Bogotá to score 2+ in a row	24.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Once Caldas to score 3+ in a row	11.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+3.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+2.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+1.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Once Caldas corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Once Caldas corners (+2.5)	63.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Once Caldas corners (+1.5)	52.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-1.5)	47.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-2.5)	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Once Caldas corners (-1.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Once Caldas corners (-2.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Once Caldas corners (-3.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-2	7.6%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
2-0	5.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.31
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.31
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.30
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2nd half DNB)	58.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Internacional de Bogotá (2nd half DNB)	41.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT (DNB)	54.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT (DNB)	45.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or Once Caldas (12)	72.0%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Once Caldas or draw (X2)	70.1%	72.1%	54.2%	1.33×	1.39
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1X)	57.9%	57.1%	75.2%	0.76×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw at HT	74.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Internacional de Bogotá or draw at HT	70.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Internacional de Bogotá or Once Caldas at HT	55.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1UP)	70.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1UP)	57.9%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Internacional de Bogotá or Once Caldas in 2nd half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Internacional de Bogotá or draw in 2nd half	62.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (DNB)	58.5%	58.1%	35.1%	1.66×	1.72
Internacional de Bogotá (DNB)	41.5%	41.9%	64.9%	0.65×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score first	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Internacional de Bogotá to score first	41.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.8%	51.3%	48.9%	1.05×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.2%	48.7%	51.1%	0.95×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.5%	41.6%	36.0%	1.15×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.0%	38.5%	43.1%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.1%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.9%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.4%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.0%	26.6%	19.5%	1.36×	3.76
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Once Caldas to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	18.8%	1.18×	4.49
Once Caldas to score exactly 0	23.7%	22.3%	37.8%	0.59×	4.49
Once Caldas to score 3+	17.6%	19.5%	7.1%	2.77×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 0	30.8%	32.6%	24.1%	1.35×	3.07
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 2	21.4%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.30
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+	11.6%	14.3%	15.5%	0.92×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Once Caldas leading at HT	29.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT	25.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas -1: 1	57.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Once Caldas -1: X	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Once Caldas -1: 2	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:1)	70.1%	70.9%	54.2%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.2%	17.8%	25.6%	0.70×	5.62
Internacional de Bogotá (0:1)	12.6%	13.7%	20.4%	0.67×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:2)	87.4%	87.1%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.04
Internacional de Bogotá (0:2)	4.0%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:3)	96.0%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.01
Internacional de Bogotá (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.88
Internacional de Bogotá (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1:0)	57.9%	58.3%	75.2%	0.78×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.61
Once Caldas (1:0)	20.8%	21.7%	7.6%	2.84×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2:0)	79.2%	80.5%	92.4%	0.87×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.9%	10.3%	5.0%	2.07×	9.71
Once Caldas (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	2.8%	2.31×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede	76.3%	76.0%	62.2%	1.22×	1.32
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet	23.7%	24.0%	37.8%	0.63×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 1st half	43.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Internacional de Bogotá under 6.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Internacional de Bogotá over 4.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Internacional de Bogotá under 5.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Internacional de Bogotá over 5.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Internacional de Bogotá under 4.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Internacional de Bogotá over 6.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 corners	16.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 goals	96.8%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	84.5%	1.03×	1.15
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 goals	69.2%	68.0%	75.9%	0.90×	1.47
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 goals	67.1%	67.9%	58.4%	1.16×	1.47
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 goals	32.9%	32.1%	41.6%	0.77×	3.12
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.0%	24.1%	1.33×	3.12
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.86
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 goals	3.2%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	5.4%	—	—	18.60

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá scores equally in both	42.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Internacional de Bogotá scores more in 2nd half	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Internacional de Bogotá scores more in 1st half	23.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (home no bet)	60.0%	59.9%	45.7%	1.31×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	40.0%	40.1%	54.3%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá even goals	54.7%	50.8%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Internacional de Bogotá odd goals	45.3%	49.2%	46.7%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas at HT / Once Caldas at FT	23.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Once Caldas at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Once Caldas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Once Caldas at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Once Caldas at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score last	50.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Internacional de Bogotá to score last	41.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Once Caldas to lead by 1 at any time	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 1 at any time	47.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Once Caldas to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 2 at any time	17.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Once Caldas to lead by 3 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá most corners	57.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Once Caldas most corners	32.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.9%	72.3%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.6%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.9%	63.3%	68.4%	0.93×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.9%	48.4%	42.7%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	40.6%	1.07×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.1%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.1%	39.2%	34.9%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.0%	30.2%	19.5%	1.55×	3.31
4-5 goals	21.8%	24.4%	17.5%	1.40×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.8%	14.8%	7.9%	1.87×	6.76
7+ goals	1.8%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas never behind	44.3%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Internacional de Bogotá never behind	33.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.6%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.4%	52.5%	56.0%	0.94×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.6%	47.5%	44.0%	1.08×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	9.3%	1.34×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	3.6%	2.15×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.4%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.7%	67.5%	58.6%	1.15×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.7%	67.5%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.3%	32.5%	41.4%	0.78×	3.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.3%	32.5%	27.2%	1.20×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.6%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	3.8%	1.98×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas not to score in both halves	74.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Once Caldas to score in both halves	25.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Internacional de Bogotá to score in both halves	19.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.8%	53.8%	48.9%	1.10×	1.86
Only Once Caldas scores	22.5%	22.3%	13.4%	1.66×	4.49
Only Internacional de Bogotá scores	15.4%	16.0%	27.1%	0.59×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.1%	10.8%	0.66×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.1%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.0%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win both halves	93.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Once Caldas not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Once Caldas to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Internacional de Bogotá to win both halves	6.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.17

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win either half	55.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Internacional de Bogotá to win neither half	55.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Internacional de Bogotá to win either half	44.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Once Caldas to win neither half	44.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win to nil	84.6%	83.1%	72.9%	1.14×	1.20
Once Caldas not to win to nil	77.5%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Once Caldas to win to nil	22.5%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Internacional de Bogotá to win to nil	15.4%	16.9%	27.1%	0.62×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Once Caldas by 1	21.3%	24.1%	17.3%	1.39×	4.15
Internacional de Bogotá by 1	17.2%	17.0%	25.6%	0.67×	5.87
Once Caldas by 2	12.9%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.50
Internacional de Bogotá by 2	8.6%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.90
Once Caldas by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	2.8%	2.60×	13.91
Internacional de Bogotá by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.85