Internazionale v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Internazionale

14:00 UTC

Como

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 411h before kick-off

Internazionale win

62.9%

model 64.0%

Draw

18.6%

model 18.9%

Como win

18.5%

model 17.1%

631919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.7%
2-0 8.7%
1-1 8.4%
1-0 7.6%
3-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.3%	Under 2.5	33.7%
BTTS yes	60.4%	BTTS no	39.6%
Internazionale 1+	90.0%	Internazionale 2+	67.0%
Como 1+	67.1%	Como 2+	30.6%

Expected goals 2.30 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Internazionale to score 2+ in a row

Consecutive goals · usually 32%

59.4% fair odds 1.68

strong signal · 721 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Internazionale or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 72%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1722.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Internazionale average 2.95 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Internazionale have an estimated 62.9% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 18.5% for Como. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.30 for Internazionale and 1.11 for Como.

Why Internazionale

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1722. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. At home Internazionale average 2.95 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Como can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Como average 1.98 xG a match.

Key players

Internazionale's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lautaro Martínez (0.76), Marcus Thuram (0.57), Federico Dimarco (0.52). Como's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Tasos Douvikas (0.48), Nico Paz (0.40), Assane Diao (0.32).

Availability

1 of Internazionale's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Como's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Como's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internazionale: 61% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.90 xG a match from set pieces. Como: 62% possession, 22.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.49 xG a match from set pieces. Internazionale's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Internazionale are the model's most likely outcome at 62.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Internazionale have scored 28 from 28.3 expected and conceded 13 from 12.7 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WDDWWWWDWW last 10 scored 28 from 28.3 xG conceded 13 from 12.7 xG

Como are finishing below their chances — 4.0 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWDWWWLDW last 10 scored 18 from 22.0 xG conceded 8 from 14.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	641917	2.30–1.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	621919	2.26–1.18	2-1 10%	67%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win	53.6%	51.5%	40.0%	1.29×	1.94
Como to win	24.1%	24.4%	33.7%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	22.3%	24.4%	26.4%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & both teams score	28.2%	25.2%	17.5%	1.44×	3.97
Internazionale & not both score	25.4%	25.2%	22.6%	1.11×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	18.6%	0.96×	5.57
Como & both teams score	13.6%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.53
Como & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	20.6%	0.65×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	7.9%	0.61×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & over 1.5	45.1%	45.0%	29.9%	1.50×	2.22
Internazionale & over 2.5	37.0%	34.9%	23.3%	1.50×	2.87
Internazionale & under 3.5	31.4%	30.8%	29.6%	1.04×	3.25
Internazionale & over 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	10.6%	2.04×	4.63
Como & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	24.6%	0.73×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Internazionale & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Como & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Como & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Como & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.63
Internazionale & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Como & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	7.5%	1.06×	12.63
Como & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	7.9%	0.61×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1UP)	68.7%	70.2%	55.3%	1.27×	1.43
Como (1UP)	43.7%	38.6%	50.5%	0.76×	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2UP)	53.6%	55.2%	41.8%	1.32×	1.81
Como (2UP)	24.1%	23.5%	36.2%	0.65×	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win 2nd half	48.2%	45.9%	35.0%	1.31×	2.18
2nd half drawn	31.9%	34.3%	35.0%	0.98×	2.92
Como to win 2nd half	19.9%	18.3%	30.2%	0.61×	5.48

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	86.8%	85.1%	1.02×	1.15
Como under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	52.7%	50.0%	1.05×	1.90
Como over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	47.3%	50.0%	0.95×	2.11
Como over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	13.2%	14.9%	0.89×	7.57

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	70.8%	81.5%	0.87×	1.41
Internazionale over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	70.7%	53.7%	1.32×	1.41
Internazionale under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	29.3%	46.3%	0.63×	3.41
Internazionale over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	29.2%	18.5%	1.58×	3.42

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (+2.5)	85.5%	88.4%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Internazionale (+0.5)	75.9%	78.5%	66.3%	1.18×	1.27
Como (+1.5)	69.2%	68.7%	82.5%	0.83×	1.46
Internazionale (-0.5)	53.6%	52.4%	40.0%	1.31×	1.91
Como (+0.5)	46.4%	47.6%	60.0%	0.79×	2.10
Internazionale (-1.5)	30.8%	31.3%	17.5%	1.78×	3.19
Como (-0.5)	24.1%	21.5%	33.7%	0.64×	4.65
Internazionale (-2.5)	14.5%	11.6%	7.7%	1.50×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede	85.1%	86.2%	71.6%	1.20×	1.16
Como clean sheet	14.9%	13.8%	28.4%	0.49×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede in 1st half	53.8%	50.6%	42.1%	1.20×	1.98
Como clean sheet in 1st half	46.2%	49.4%	57.9%	0.85×	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede in 2nd half	67.7%	65.9%	53.7%	1.23×	1.52
Como clean sheet in 2nd half	32.3%	34.1%	46.3%	0.74×	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Como under 5.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Como under 4.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Como under 3.5 corners	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Como over 2.5 corners	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Como under 2.5 corners	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Como over 3.5 corners	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Como over 4.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Como over 5.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Como over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Como under 2.5 goals	87.8%	87.8%	88.1%	1.00×	1.14
Como over 0.5 goals	70.1%	71.9%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Como under 1.5 goals	66.0%	68.0%	65.0%	1.05×	1.47
Como over 1.5 goals	34.0%	32.0%	35.0%	0.92×	3.12
Como under 0.5 goals	29.9%	28.1%	30.4%	0.93×	3.55
Como over 2.5 goals	12.2%	12.2%	11.9%	1.02×	8.20
Como over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.3%	89.9%	0.99×	1.12
Como under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
Como over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	41.2%	0.93×	2.62
Como over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.7%	10.1%	1.06×	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como scores equally in both	41.8%	43.4%	43.4%	1.00×	2.30
Como scores more in 2nd half	29.6%	26.4%	32.8%	0.80×	3.79
Como scores more in 1st half	28.6%	26.3%	23.9%	1.10×	3.80

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (away no bet)	70.6%	68.3%	60.2%	1.13×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.4%	31.7%	39.8%	0.80×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como even goals	54.5%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90
Como odd goals	45.5%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.4%	81.4%	87.3%	0.93×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.6%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.0%	67.3%	60.2%	1.12×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.0%	32.7%	39.8%	0.82×	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.3%	60.2%	53.4%	1.13×	1.66
Internazionale to score 2+ in a row	47.5%	46.1%	31.7%	1.45×	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	25.2%	17.9%	1.41×	3.97
Como to score 2+ in a row	24.0%	19.7%	27.8%	0.71×	5.09
Internazionale to score 3+ in a row	20.1%	19.6%	10.1%	1.94×	5.11
Como to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.5%	7.9%	0.70×	18.05

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale corners (+3.5)	93.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Internazionale corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Internazionale corners (+1.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Como corners (+3.5)	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Como corners (+2.5)	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Internazionale corners (-1.5)	52.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Como corners (+1.5)	47.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Internazionale corners (-2.5)	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Internazionale corners (-3.5)	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Como corners (-1.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Como corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Como corners (-3.5)	6.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.72
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.50
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.50
0-1	5.4%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-2	6.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.6%	2.05×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	3.1%	2.37×	13.51
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	2.8%	2.68×	13.51
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.9%	0.22×	58.29
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.32
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2nd half DNB)	70.7%	70.8%	53.7%	1.32×	1.41
Como (2nd half DNB)	29.3%	29.2%	46.3%	0.63×	3.43

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT (DNB)	58.7%	57.5%	51.1%	1.13×	1.74
Como leading at HT (DNB)	41.3%	42.5%	48.9%	0.87×	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or Como (12)	77.7%	75.6%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Internazionale or draw (1X)	75.9%	75.6%	66.3%	1.14×	1.32
Como or draw (X2)	46.4%	48.5%	60.0%	0.81×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw at HT	74.7%	75.2%	72.8%	1.03×	1.33
Como or draw at HT	63.9%	61.6%	71.6%	0.86×	1.62
Internazionale or Como at HT	61.4%	61.6%	55.4%	1.11×	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (1UP)	75.9%	84.0%	71.6%	1.17×	1.19
Como or draw (1UP)	46.4%	53.1%	65.5%	0.81×	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	81.7%	69.8%	1.17×	1.22
Internazionale or Como in 2nd half	68.1%	65.7%	65.0%	1.01×	1.52
Como or draw in 2nd half	51.8%	54.1%	65.0%	0.83×	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.2%	58.5%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.8%	41.5%	36.5%	1.14×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (DNB)	69.0%	67.4%	54.3%	1.24×	1.48
Como (DNB)	31.0%	32.6%	45.7%	0.71×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score first	58.4%	62.2%	48.6%	1.28×	1.61
Como to score first	37.1%	32.8%	43.6%	0.75×	3.05
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.7%	55.0%	49.2%	1.12×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.3%	45.0%	50.8%	0.88×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.4%	44.4%	37.4%	1.19×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	29.7%	33.4%	40.1%	0.83×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	10.7%	12.4%	10.8%	1.14×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.7%	82.6%	86.5%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.3%	17.4%	13.5%	1.30×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.0%	67.4%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.0%	32.6%	25.1%	1.30×	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.3%	54.8%	62.7%	0.87×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	21.1%	20.3%	1.04×	4.74
Both score 1st half only	16.7%	15.0%	12.3%	1.22×	6.67
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	4.9%	1.38×	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.8%	81.1%	82.9%	0.98×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.2%	18.9%	17.1%	1.11×	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.5%	59.7%	52.8%	1.13×	1.68
A half without a goal	38.5%	40.3%	47.2%	0.85×	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.1%	48.4%	0.87×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.8%	30.8%	23.8%	1.29×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.3%	20.2%	27.0%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	3.9%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	34.7%	1.03×	2.78
Como to score exactly 0	29.9%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.65
Como to score exactly 2	21.8%	22.3%	23.2%	0.96×	4.49
Como to score 3+	12.2%	12.9%	11.9%	1.08×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score 3+	29.7%	26.6%	15.0%	1.77×	3.77
Internazionale to score exactly 1	28.4%	26.6%	32.1%	0.83×	3.77
Internazionale to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Internazionale to score exactly 0	14.9%	14.3%	28.4%	0.51×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.6%	38.4%	44.6%	0.86×	2.60
Internazionale leading at HT	36.1%	38.4%	28.4%	1.35×	2.61
Como leading at HT	25.3%	24.8%	27.2%	0.91×	4.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale -1: 2	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Internazionale -1: 1	30.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Internazionale -1: X	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:1)	46.4%	46.1%	60.0%	0.77×	2.17
Internazionale (0:1)	30.8%	30.1%	17.5%	1.71×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.8%	24.2%	22.6%	1.07×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:2)	69.2%	72.3%	82.5%	0.88×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.3%	10.0%	1.53×	6.54
Internazionale (0:2)	14.5%	11.0%	7.7%	1.43×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:3)	85.5%	90.6%	92.3%	0.98×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	4.7%	1.24×	17.19
Internazionale (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	3.1%	1.86×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:4)	94.3%	94.6%	96.9%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.8%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.68
Internazionale (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	81.90

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1:0)	75.9%	78.6%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.5%	12.7%	19.4%	0.66×	7.86
Como (1:0)	9.6%	6.9%	14.4%	0.48×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2:0)	90.4%	94.0%	85.6%	1.10×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.6%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.70
Como (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.7%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	30.3%	29.1%	27.0%	1.08×	3.44
Halves equal	23.4%	24.4%	26.9%	0.90×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to concede	70.1%	73.1%	69.6%	1.05×	1.37
Internazionale clean sheet	29.9%	26.9%	30.4%	0.88×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
Internazionale to concede in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	41.2%	0.93×	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 2nd half	54.2%	52.8%	50.0%	1.06×	1.89
Internazionale to concede in 2nd half	45.8%	47.2%	50.0%	0.94×	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Internazionale under 6.5 corners	71.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Internazionale over 3.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Internazionale under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Internazionale over 4.5 corners	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Internazionale under 4.5 corners	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Internazionale over 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Internazionale under 3.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Internazionale over 6.5 corners	28.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Internazionale under 2.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 3.5 goals	87.4%	87.3%	95.3%	0.92×	1.15
Internazionale over 0.5 goals	85.1%	87.2%	71.6%	1.22×	1.15
Internazionale under 2.5 goals	70.3%	74.2%	85.0%	0.87×	1.35
Internazionale over 1.5 goals	56.7%	58.6%	39.7%	1.48×	1.71
Internazionale under 1.5 goals	43.3%	41.4%	60.3%	0.69×	2.42
Internazionale over 2.5 goals	29.7%	25.8%	15.0%	1.72×	3.88
Internazionale under 0.5 goals	14.9%	12.8%	28.4%	0.45×	7.84
Internazionale over 3.5 goals	12.6%	12.7%	4.7%	2.72×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 1st half	81.8%	83.7%	89.3%	0.94×	1.20
Internazionale over 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	50.4%	42.1%	1.20×	1.98
Internazionale under 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	49.6%	57.9%	0.86×	2.02
Internazionale over 1.5 in 1st half	18.2%	16.3%	10.7%	1.53×	6.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale scores more in 2nd half	43.9%	42.1%	36.2%	1.16×	2.38
Internazionale scores equally in both	31.1%	32.9%	41.7%	0.79×	3.04
Internazionale scores more in 1st half	25.0%	27.8%	22.2%	1.25×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (home no bet)	51.9%	51.4%	56.0%	0.92×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.1%	48.6%	44.0%	1.11×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale even goals	51.1%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Internazionale odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.4%	27.9%	33.8%	0.83×	3.58
HT 1-0	19.7%	18.6%	18.4%	1.01×	5.37
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.5%	18.1%	1.02×	5.40
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	10.3%	1.07×	9.08
HT 2-0	7.6%	6.9%	5.8%	1.20×	14.48
Any other HT score	6.5%	6.9%	3.4%	2.05×	14.50
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.98
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	41.98
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.05
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale at HT / Internazionale at FT	30.7%	32.1%	22.0%	1.46×	3.12
Draw at HT / Internazionale at FT	18.6%	16.7%	15.9%	1.05×	5.98
Como at HT / Como at FT	15.1%	16.7%	19.1%	0.87×	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.3%	12.6%	16.1%	0.78×	7.91
Draw at HT / Como at FT	7.7%	6.0%	12.9%	0.47×	16.61
Como at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.66
Como at HT / Internazionale at FT	4.3%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.61
Internazionale at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.62
Internazionale at HT / Como at FT	1.3%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score last	58.4%	56.5%	48.2%	1.17×	1.77
Como to score last	37.1%	38.6%	44.0%	0.88×	2.59
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Internazionale to lead by 1 at any time	68.7%	69.5%	55.3%	1.26×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.5%	50.9%	43.6%	1.17×	1.97
Como to lead by 1 at any time	43.7%	39.2%	50.5%	0.78×	2.55
Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time	38.4%	34.7%	23.9%	1.45×	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.1%	19.6%	15.1%	1.30×	5.09
Internazionale to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	8.8%	1.70×	6.69
Como to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	20.2%	0.74×	6.71
Como to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	60.38

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale most corners	63.7%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Como most corners	25.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.8%	78.7%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.2%	78.7%	80.8%	0.97×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	61.7%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.8%	59.1%	67.5%	0.87×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.2%	59.1%	47.2%	1.25×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.6%	53.2%	45.2%	1.18×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	48.4%	0.90×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	36.8%	1.07×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.4%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.8%	35.2%	23.8%	1.48×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.2%	30.2%	21.8%	1.39×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.4%	18.8%	10.6%	1.78×	5.31
7+ goals	3.9%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale never behind	51.9%	62.4%	49.5%	1.26×	1.60
Como never behind	26.8%	30.0%	44.7%	0.67×	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.6%	56.6%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.4%	43.4%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	50.6%	1.03×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	49.4%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.7%	82.3%	73.0%	1.13×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.7%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.3%	61.7%	75.4%	0.82×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.1%	61.7%	48.1%	1.28×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.9%	38.3%	51.9%	0.74×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	37.7%	38.3%	24.6%	1.55×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.3%	22.7%	11.4%	1.99×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.3%	17.7%	27.0%	0.65×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	3.0%	2.57×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.8%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.3%	86.7%	96.7%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.6%	75.9%	64.0%	1.19×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.4%	75.9%	86.8%	0.87×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.4%	51.9%	67.8%	0.77×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.6%	48.1%	32.2%	1.49×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.6%	24.1%	13.2%	1.83×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.4%	24.1%	36.0%	0.67×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.7%	13.3%	3.3%	4.04×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.2%	2.8%	1.0%	2.87×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.1%	85.9%	91.2%	0.94×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.9%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.1%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.9%	29.9%	1.23×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.1%	33.8%	0.83×	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.9%	14.1%	8.8%	1.61×	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	83.2%	78.6%	1.06×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.6%	77.5%	82.5%	0.94×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	53.1%	43.0%	1.24×	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	46.9%	57.0%	0.82×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.4%	22.5%	17.5%	1.28×	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	21.4%	0.79×	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to score in both halves	79.5%	78.5%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
Internazionale not to score in both halves	63.6%	63.7%	75.8%	0.84×	1.57
Internazionale to score in both halves	36.4%	36.3%	24.2%	1.50×	2.76
Como to score in both halves	20.5%	21.5%	21.6%	0.99×	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.7%	58.7%	49.2%	1.19×	1.70
Only Internazionale scores	25.4%	26.0%	22.6%	1.15×	3.84
Only Como scores	10.5%	11.0%	20.6%	0.54×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.6%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.6%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.4%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.9%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.5%	7.6%	3.0%	2.54×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	7.9%	0.56×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	36.4%	0.99×	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.2%	33.8%	0.83×	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	23.8%	21.5%	21.3%	1.01×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.9%	15.6%	8.8%	1.78×	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.4%	43.0%	1.19×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	33.8%	35.7%	0.95×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.5%	16.5%	21.4%	0.77×	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	91.1%	1.03×	1.06
Internazionale not to win both halves	82.6%	83.9%	89.9%	0.93×	1.19
Internazionale to win both halves	17.4%	16.1%	10.1%	1.60×	6.21
Como to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	8.9%	0.66×	17.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win either half	66.9%	67.7%	53.2%	1.27×	1.48
Como to win neither half	59.8%	59.1%	51.6%	1.15×	1.69
Como to win either half	40.2%	40.9%	48.4%	0.84×	2.45
Internazionale to win neither half	33.1%	32.3%	46.8%	0.69×	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to win to nil	89.5%	88.1%	79.4%	1.11×	1.14
Internazionale not to win to nil	74.6%	75.4%	77.4%	0.97×	1.33
Internazionale to win to nil	25.4%	24.6%	22.6%	1.09×	4.06
Como to win to nil	10.5%	11.9%	20.6%	0.58×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale by 1	22.8%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
Internazionale by 2	16.3%	17.0%	10.0%	1.71×	5.87
Como by 1	14.5%	11.8%	19.4%	0.61×	8.50
Internazionale by 3+	14.5%	11.8%	7.7%	1.53×	8.50
Como by 2	6.6%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.91
Como by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.81