Internazionale v Parma Calcio 1913 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Internazionale

13:00 UTC

Parma Calcio 1913

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 797h before kick-off

Internazionale win

75.6%

model 75.8%

Draw

17.5%

model 15.1%

Parma Calcio 1913 win

6.8%

model 9.1%

76187

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (59 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.7%
3-0 10.0%
1-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
3-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.7%	Under 2.5	35.3%
BTTS yes	49.7%	BTTS no	50.3%
Internazionale 1+	92.2%	Internazionale 2+	72.4%
Parma Calcio 1913 1+	53.9%	Parma Calcio 1913 2+	18.2%

Expected goals 2.56 – 0.78. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time

Lead at any time · usually 23%

59.7% fair odds 1.68

strong signal · 886 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 84%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1827 Elo against 1459.
Internazionale have created 2.21 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 1.82.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
At home Internazionale average 2.51 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Internazionale have an estimated 75.6% win probability, against 17.5% for the draw and 6.8% for Parma Calcio 1913. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.56 for Internazionale and 0.78 for Parma Calcio 1913.

Why Internazionale

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1827 Elo against 1459. Internazionale have created 2.21 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 1.82. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five. At home Internazionale average 2.51 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Parma Calcio 1913 can win

Parma Calcio 1913 have created 0.78 xG a match over their last five while Internazionale have allowed 1.35. Away from home Parma Calcio 1913 average 0.58 xG a match.

Key players

Internazionale's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lautaro Martínez (0.70), Federico Dimarco (0.57), Marcus Thuram (0.50). Parma Calcio 1913's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateo Pellegrino (0.33), Simone Lontani (0.25), Gabriel Strefezza (0.22).

Availability

1 of Internazionale's top three contributors did not start their last match. 3 of Parma Calcio 1913's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Parma Calcio 1913's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internazionale: 62% possession, 20.4 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.58 xG a match from set pieces. Parma Calcio 1913: 45% possession, 8.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces. Internazionale's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Internazionale are the model's most likely outcome at 75.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Internazionale are finishing above their chances — 3.9 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WWDWWDDWWW last 10 scored 26 from 22.1 xG conceded 12 from 13.5 xG

Parma Calcio 1913 are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 7.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWWLLLWLLD last 10 scored 7 from 7.8 xG conceded 11 from 18.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	76159	2.56–0.78	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	79137	2.69–0.71	2-0 12%	66%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win	75.8%	82.1%	39.4%	2.08×	1.22
Draw	15.1%	19.0%	26.8%	0.71×	5.25
Parma Calcio 1913 to win	9.1%	7.4%	34.0%	0.22×	13.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & not both score	42.5%	46.0%	22.6%	2.03×	2.18
Internazionale & both teams score	33.3%	32.8%	16.9%	1.94×	3.05
Draw & both teams score	11.5%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.23
Parma Calcio 1913 & both teams score	4.9%	3.7%	13.3%	0.28×	26.87
Parma Calcio 1913 & not both score	4.2%	3.7%	20.8%	0.18×	27.11
Draw & not both score	3.6%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.32

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & over 1.5	66.6%	66.3%	29.0%	2.28×	1.51
Internazionale & over 2.5	54.9%	49.4%	22.5%	2.20×	2.02
Internazionale & under 3.5	39.9%	37.6%	29.4%	1.28×	2.66
Internazionale & over 3.5	35.8%	37.5%	10.1%	3.71×	2.67
Internazionale & under 2.5	20.9%	21.5%	17.0%	1.26×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	11.5%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.87
Draw & under 2.5	10.7%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.87
Draw & under 3.5	10.7%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.87
Internazionale & under 1.5	9.2%	7.5%	10.5%	0.71×	13.40
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 3.5	6.9%	7.5%	26.6%	0.28×	13.41
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 1.5	6.4%	7.5%	24.6%	0.30×	13.42
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 2.5	5.3%	7.5%	18.1%	0.41×	13.42
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.6%	6.9%	0.66×	21.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.6%	6.9%	0.66×	21.92
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 2.5	3.9%	4.6%	16.0%	0.28×	21.94
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.6%	8.2%	0.56×	21.95
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 1.5	2.8%	4.5%	9.5%	0.48×	21.99
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 3.5	2.2%	4.5%	7.4%	0.61×	22.01

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1UP)	84.1%	87.8%	54.7%	1.61×	1.14
Parma Calcio 1913 (1UP)	25.6%	24.0%	51.1%	0.47×	4.16

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2UP)	75.8%	82.6%	41.0%	2.01×	1.21
Parma Calcio 1913 (2UP)	9.1%	8.5%	36.5%	0.23×	11.73

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win 2nd half	70.8%	73.5%	34.7%	2.12×	1.36
2nd half drawn	21.0%	22.2%	35.9%	0.62×	4.50
Parma Calcio 1913 to win 2nd half	8.3%	10.5%	29.5%	0.36×	9.51

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (+0.5)	90.9%	92.3%	66.0%	1.40×	1.08
Internazionale (-0.5)	75.8%	78.5%	39.4%	1.99×	1.27
Parma Calcio 1913 (+2.5)	67.7%	69.0%	92.4%	0.75×	1.45
Internazionale (-1.5)	54.0%	51.7%	17.0%	3.03×	1.94
Parma Calcio 1913 (+1.5)	46.0%	48.3%	83.0%	0.58×	2.07
Internazionale (-2.5)	32.3%	31.0%	7.6%	4.10×	3.22
Parma Calcio 1913 (+0.5)	24.2%	21.5%	60.6%	0.35×	4.65
Parma Calcio 1913 (-0.5)	9.1%	7.7%	34.0%	0.23×	12.91

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede	92.2%	92.3%	71.1%	1.30×	1.08
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet	7.8%	7.7%	28.9%	0.27×	13.03

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede in 1st half	53.2%	54.8%	41.2%	1.33×	1.83
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet in 1st half	46.8%	45.2%	58.8%	0.77×	2.21

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.4%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Parma Calcio 1913 under 2.5 goals	95.6%	97.3%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 goals	81.8%	82.2%	65.4%	1.26×	1.22
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 goals	53.9%	52.0%	69.3%	0.75×	1.92
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 goals	46.1%	48.0%	30.7%	1.56×	2.08
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 goals	18.2%	17.8%	34.6%	0.51×	5.62
Parma Calcio 1913 over 2.5 goals	4.4%	2.7%	11.6%	0.23×	36.98
Parma Calcio 1913 over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.6%	2.9%	0.91×	37.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	96.0%	90.2%	1.07×	1.04
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	68.8%	59.0%	1.17×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	31.2%	41.0%	0.76×	3.21
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.0%	9.8%	0.40×	25.19

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (away no bet)	83.4%	85.0%	59.5%	1.43×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	16.6%	15.0%	40.5%	0.37×	6.67

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 even goals	60.6%	64.2%	55.7%	1.15×	1.56
Parma Calcio 1913 odd goals	39.4%	35.8%	44.3%	0.81×	2.80

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.4%	81.6%	87.2%	0.94×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.6%	18.4%	12.8%	1.44×	5.43

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.7%	73.0%	59.6%	1.22×	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.3%	27.0%	40.4%	0.67×	3.70

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.7%	71.3%	52.8%	1.35×	1.40
Internazionale to score 2+ in a row	66.3%	64.7%	31.1%	2.08×	1.55
Either team to score 3+ in a row	39.2%	37.4%	17.3%	2.16×	2.67
Internazionale to score 3+ in a row	37.8%	37.4%	9.7%	3.84×	2.68
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 2+ in a row	10.8%	12.2%	27.7%	0.44×	8.23
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	3.3%	7.7%	0.43×	29.98

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.7%	11.6%	6.7%	1.73×	8.63
Any other score	11.5%	11.6%	2.8%	4.17×	8.64
3-0	10.0%	7.3%	3.4%	2.14×	13.73
1-0	9.2%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.74
2-1	9.1%	7.3%	9.2%	0.79×	13.74
3-1	7.7%	7.3%	3.0%	2.40×	13.74
1-1	7.1%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.75
4-0	6.4%	7.3%	1.6%	4.43×	13.75
4-1	4.9%	1.8%	1.1%	1.59×	55.39
2-2	3.5%	1.8%	6.1%	0.30×	55.42
3-2	3.0%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.43
0-0	3.6%	1.8%	8.2%	0.22×	55.42
0-1	2.8%	1.8%	9.5%	0.19×	55.44
1-2	2.8%	1.8%	7.6%	0.24×	55.44
4-2	1.9%	1.8%	0.1%	14.28×	55.46
2-3	0.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.59×	55.49
2-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.1%	14.27×	55.50
3-3	0.8%	1.8%	0.9%	2.04×	55.49
3-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.50
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%	7.14×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.51
0-2	1.1%	1.8%	6.7%	0.27×	55.48
0-3	0.3%	1.8%	3.3%	0.55×	55.50
0-4	0.1%	1.8%	1.0%	1.78×	55.51
1-3	0.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.49
1-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.8%	2.38×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT (DNB)	73.5%	73.8%	50.1%	1.47×	1.36
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT (DNB)	26.5%	26.2%	49.9%	0.53×	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (1X)	90.9%	92.6%	66.0%	1.40×	1.08
Internazionale or Parma Calcio 1913 (12)	84.9%	81.0%	73.2%	1.11×	1.24
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (X2)	24.2%	17.9%	60.6%	0.29×	5.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw at HT	84.8%	81.8%	72.6%	1.13×	1.22
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw at HT	57.7%	58.2%	72.5%	0.80×	1.72
Internazionale or Parma Calcio 1913 at HT	57.5%	58.2%	54.8%	1.06×	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (1UP)	90.9%	93.9%	71.3%	1.32×	1.07
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (1UP)	25.6%	23.9%	66.3%	0.36×	4.18

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw in 2nd half	91.7%	89.5%	70.5%	1.27×	1.12
Internazionale or Parma Calcio 1913 in 2nd half	79.0%	77.8%	64.1%	1.21×	1.29
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw in 2nd half	29.2%	26.5%	65.3%	0.41×	3.78

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.5%	52.2%	64.4%	0.81×	1.92
Neither half drawn	45.5%	47.8%	35.6%	1.34×	2.09

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (DNB)	89.2%	92.6%	53.7%	1.72×	1.08
Parma Calcio 1913 (DNB)	10.8%	7.4%	46.3%	0.16×	13.44

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score first	74.0%	77.6%	47.7%	1.63×	1.29
Parma Calcio 1913 to score first	22.4%	19.7%	44.2%	0.45×	5.06
No goal scored	3.6%	4.0%	8.2%	0.49×	25.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.3%	52.8%	51.4%	1.03×	1.89
Both teams to score	49.7%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.6%	42.3%	36.9%	1.15×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	28.3%	31.5%	41.0%	0.77×	3.17
Not both score & over 2.5	21.9%	25.3%	10.5%	2.42×	3.95
Both score & under 2.5	7.1%	8.7%	11.9%	0.73×	11.49

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.8%	85.5%	86.9%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.2%	14.5%	13.1%	1.10×	6.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.7%	70.4%	74.7%	0.94×	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.3%	29.6%	25.3%	1.17×	3.37

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.8%	57.8%	63.1%	0.91×	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	24.5%	20.5%	1.20×	4.09
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.67
Both score in both halves	4.5%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.6%	83.3%	83.5%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.4%	16.7%	16.5%	1.01×	5.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.5%	55.7%	51.8%	1.08×	1.79
A half without a goal	40.5%	44.3%	48.2%	0.92×	2.26

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.0%	43.1%	48.0%	0.90×	2.32
4-6 goals	37.4%	35.4%	23.5%	1.51×	2.83
0-1 goals	15.5%	20.6%	27.9%	0.74×	4.85
7+ goals	5.1%	5.3%	0.9%	6.01×	18.81

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 0	46.1%	44.4%	30.7%	1.45×	2.25
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 1	35.7%	34.5%	34.8%	0.99×	2.90
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 2	13.8%	13.5%	23.1%	0.58×	7.43
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+	4.4%	4.2%	11.6%	0.36×	23.65

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score 3+	46.9%	45.5%	14.4%	3.16×	2.20
Internazionale to score exactly 2	25.4%	27.0%	24.6%	1.10×	3.70
Internazionale to score exactly 1	19.9%	18.6%	32.3%	0.57×	5.39
Internazionale to score exactly 0	7.8%	8.0%	28.9%	0.28×	12.49

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.5%	41.8%	45.2%	0.92×	2.39
Internazionale leading at HT	42.3%	41.8%	27.5%	1.52×	2.39
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT	15.2%	18.2%	27.4%	0.66×	5.50

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale -1: 1	54.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Internazionale -1: 2	24.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Internazionale -1: X	21.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:1)	54.0%	53.6%	17.0%	3.14×	1.87
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:1)	24.2%	24.4%	60.6%	0.40×	4.09
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.4%	22.5%	1.09×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:2)	46.0%	44.5%	83.0%	0.54×	2.25
Internazionale (0:2)	32.3%	29.1%	7.6%	3.85×	3.43
Draw (0:2)	21.6%	21.6%	9.6%	2.25×	4.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:3)	67.7%	69.7%	92.4%	0.75×	1.44
Internazionale (0:3)	16.3%	17.3%	3.2%	5.48×	5.78
Draw (0:3)	16.0%	17.2%	4.5%	3.79×	5.80

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:4)	83.7%	85.8%	96.8%	0.89×	1.17
Draw (0:4)	9.3%	7.3%	2.3%	3.22×	13.65
Internazionale (0:4)	7.0%	7.1%	1.0%	7.06×	14.03

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1:0)	90.9%	91.7%	66.0%	1.39×	1.09
Draw (1:0)	6.6%	8.5%	19.9%	0.43×	11.73
Parma Calcio 1913 (1:0)	2.5%	2.9%	14.1%	0.20×	34.69

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2:0)	97.5%	97.4%	85.9%	1.14×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.7%	8.5%	0.32×	37.32
Parma Calcio 1913 (2:0)	0.5%	2.7%	5.8%	0.46×	37.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	62.8%	62.8%	46.6%	1.35×	1.59
Halves equal	19.5%	17.4%	26.8%	0.65×	5.74
1st half highest scoring	17.7%	16.3%	26.8%	0.61×	6.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to concede	53.9%	53.5%	69.3%	0.77×	1.87
Internazionale clean sheet	46.1%	46.5%	30.7%	1.51×	2.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	67.8%	59.0%	1.15×	1.47
Internazionale to concede in 1st half	28.9%	32.2%	41.0%	0.78×	3.11

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.1%	71.1%	1.30×	1.09
Internazionale under 3.5 goals	74.8%	72.8%	95.5%	0.76×	1.37
Internazionale over 1.5 goals	72.3%	72.7%	38.9%	1.87×	1.38
Internazionale under 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.8%	85.6%	0.62×	1.90
Internazionale over 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.2%	14.4%	3.28×	2.12
Internazionale under 1.5 goals	27.7%	27.3%	61.1%	0.45×	3.67
Internazionale over 3.5 goals	25.2%	27.2%	4.5%	5.98×	3.68
Internazionale under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.9%	28.9%	0.27×	12.63

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 1st half	82.3%	80.5%	90.2%	0.89×	1.24
Internazionale over 0.5 in 1st half	53.2%	54.8%	41.2%	1.33×	1.83
Internazionale under 0.5 in 1st half	46.8%	45.2%	58.8%	0.77×	2.21
Internazionale over 1.5 in 1st half	17.7%	19.5%	9.8%	1.98×	5.12

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.3%	61.4%	44.1%	1.39×	1.63
Parma Calcio 1913 (home no bet)	37.7%	38.6%	55.9%	0.69×	2.59

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale even goals	50.3%	50.2%	56.6%	0.89×	1.99
Internazionale odd goals	49.7%	49.8%	43.4%	1.15×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.3%	30.5%	34.3%	0.89×	3.28
HT 1-0	25.3%	28.0%	18.3%	1.53×	3.57
HT 0-1	11.3%	11.2%	18.4%	0.61×	8.95
HT 2-0	9.6%	7.7%	5.6%	1.39×	12.97
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.98
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.5%	3.0%	0.83×	39.73
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.5%	2.3%	1.11×	39.81
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.5%	5.4%	0.46×	39.89
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.92
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	0.6%	3.96×	39.97

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale at HT / Internazionale at FT	39.8%	41.7%	21.3%	1.96×	2.40
Draw at HT / Internazionale at FT	30.0%	34.1%	15.8%	2.16×	2.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.9%	6.6%	16.7%	0.40×	15.18
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Internazionale at FT	6.0%	6.6%	2.5%	2.60×	15.25
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	5.2%	6.5%	19.2%	0.34×	15.27
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.4%	5.9%	0.57×	29.34
Draw at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	3.5%	3.4%	13.0%	0.26×	29.36
Internazionale at HT / Draw at FT	2.1%	3.4%	4.4%	0.77×	29.42
Internazionale at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	0.5%	3.4%	2.0%	1.68×	29.49

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score last	73.9%	78.0%	48.4%	1.61×	1.28
Parma Calcio 1913 to score last	22.5%	20.2%	43.6%	0.46×	4.94
No goal scored	3.6%	4.0%	8.2%	0.49×	25.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	96.0%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Internazionale to lead by 1 at any time	84.1%	89.0%	54.7%	1.63×	1.12
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	65.1%	70.7%	42.6%	1.66×	1.41
Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time	59.8%	59.7%	22.9%	2.61×	1.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.7%	37.2%	14.5%	2.57×	2.69
Internazionale to lead by 3 at any time	35.7%	37.2%	8.3%	4.47×	2.69
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 1 at any time	25.6%	25.9%	51.1%	0.51×	3.86
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	7.0%	20.1%	0.35×	14.27
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	2.6%	6.3%	0.41×	38.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	81.6%	89.1%	0.92×	1.23
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.9%	71.3%	1.11×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.6%	73.6%	69.4%	1.06×	1.36
1-4 goals	72.3%	73.6%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
2-4 goals	60.4%	62.2%	61.0%	1.02×	1.61
3-6 goals	59.5%	58.8%	46.5%	1.27×	1.70
1-3 goals	53.9%	52.4%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
3-5 goals	52.7%	52.3%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
2-3 goals	42.0%	43.6%	48.0%	0.91×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.1%	1.21×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.4%	38.8%	23.5%	1.65×	2.58
1-2 goals	31.9%	34.1%	44.7%	0.76×	2.93
4-5 goals	30.6%	34.1%	21.6%	1.58×	2.93
5-6 goals	19.0%	18.1%	10.5%	1.73×	5.51
7+ goals	5.1%	8.7%	0.9%	9.87×	11.47

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale never behind	70.8%	73.5%	48.9%	1.50×	1.36
Parma Calcio 1913 never behind	12.3%	9.5%	45.3%	0.21×	10.49

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.1%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.9%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	55.3%	56.8%	0.97×	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	44.7%	43.2%	1.04×	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	51.7%	51.4%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.6%	91.8%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.2%	88.8%	97.2%	0.91×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	84.5%	81.0%	72.1%	1.12×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	78.2%	88.8%	0.88×	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	64.6%	61.6%	47.2%	1.30×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.5%	57.7%	75.8%	0.76×	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	42.5%	42.3%	24.2%	1.74×	2.37
Under 2.5 goals	35.4%	38.4%	52.8%	0.73×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.1%	21.8%	11.2%	1.94×	4.59
Under 1.5 goals	15.5%	19.0%	27.9%	0.68×	5.27
Over 5.5 goals	11.8%	11.2%	2.8%	4.04×	8.91
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.4%	8.2%	0.53×	22.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.6%	92.8%	99.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.5%	88.1%	97.0%	0.91×	1.14
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.6%	80.6%	62.9%	1.28×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.5%	72.0%	87.1%	0.83×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.5%	53.2%	31.5%	1.69×	1.88
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.5%	46.8%	68.5%	0.68×	2.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.5%	28.0%	12.9%	2.17×	3.57
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.4%	19.4%	37.1%	0.52×	5.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.5%	11.9%	3.0%	3.93×	8.38
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.4%	7.2%	0.9%	8.02×	13.83

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.0%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.9%	68.6%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	68.6%	65.7%	1.04×	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.4%	34.3%	0.92×	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.1%	31.4%	29.2%	1.08×	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.0%	7.9%	8.1%	0.97×	12.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	86.0%	77.9%	1.10×	1.16
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	68.1%	43.2%	1.58×	1.47
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	60.9%	82.3%	0.74×	1.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	39.1%	17.7%	2.21×	2.56
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	31.9%	56.8%	0.56×	3.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	14.0%	22.1%	0.63×	7.14

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to score in both halves	89.8%	84.7%	78.8%	1.07×	1.18
Internazionale not to score in both halves	55.6%	59.7%	76.3%	0.78×	1.67
Internazionale to score in both halves	44.4%	40.3%	23.7%	1.70×	2.48
Parma Calcio 1913 to score in both halves	10.2%	15.3%	21.2%	0.72×	6.52

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.7%	49.6%	48.6%	1.02×	2.02
Only Internazionale scores	42.5%	45.6%	22.6%	2.02×	2.19
Only Parma Calcio 1913 scores	4.2%	3.9%	20.8%	0.19×	25.55
Neither team scores	3.6%	3.9%	8.2%	0.47×	25.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	21.5%	23.1%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	19.9%	18.6%	25.0%	0.74×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	18.6%	13.1%	1.41×	5.38
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.09
Exactly 1 goals	12.0%	12.4%	19.8%	0.62×	8.09
6 or more goals	11.8%	12.4%	2.8%	4.45×	8.09
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.4%	8.2%	0.53×	22.93

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.2%	64.2%	43.2%	1.49×	1.56
1 goal in 2nd half	24.1%	18.6%	34.8%	0.53×	5.38
No goals in 2nd half	10.8%	12.6%	22.1%	0.57×	7.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win both halves	98.7%	96.7%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Internazionale not to win both halves	70.1%	73.3%	90.3%	0.81×	1.37
Internazionale to win both halves	29.9%	26.7%	9.7%	2.75×	3.74
Parma Calcio 1913 to win both halves	1.3%	3.3%	8.6%	0.38×	30.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win either half	83.1%	85.4%	52.5%	1.63×	1.17
Parma Calcio 1913 to win neither half	77.7%	82.0%	51.6%	1.59×	1.22
Parma Calcio 1913 to win either half	22.3%	18.0%	48.4%	0.37×	5.56
Internazionale to win neither half	16.9%	14.6%	47.5%	0.31×	6.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win to nil	95.8%	96.2%	79.2%	1.21×	1.04
Internazionale not to win to nil	57.5%	54.0%	77.4%	0.70×	1.85
Internazionale to win to nil	42.5%	46.0%	22.6%	2.03×	2.18
Parma Calcio 1913 to win to nil	4.2%	3.8%	20.8%	0.18×	26.17

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale by 3+	32.3%	27.5%	7.6%	3.63×	3.64
Internazionale by 1	21.8%	23.7%	22.5%	1.06×	4.21
Internazionale by 2	21.6%	23.7%	9.6%	2.47×	4.21
Draw	15.1%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.90
Parma Calcio 1913 by 1	6.6%	7.1%	19.9%	0.36×	14.12
Parma Calcio 1913 by 2	2.0%	2.8%	8.5%	0.33×	35.50
Parma Calcio 1913 by 3+	0.5%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	35.71