Ipswich v Fulham — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Ipswich

14:00 UTC

Fulham

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 774h before kick-off

Ipswich win

27.9%

model 29.5%

Draw

22.4%

model 22.9%

Fulham win

49.7%

model 47.5%

282250

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 7.5%
2-1 7.1%
0-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.8%	Under 2.5	38.2%
BTTS yes	62.6%	BTTS no	37.4%
Ipswich 1+	74.9%	Ipswich 2+	40.2%
Fulham 1+	83.6%	Fulham 2+	53.9%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.81. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Fulham or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 57%

72.4% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1768 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 87%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 394 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Fulham carry the stronger rating, 1535 Elo against 1318.
Fulham have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 2.05.
Away from home Fulham average 1.08 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fulham have an estimated 49.7% win probability, against 27.9% for Ipswich and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Ipswich and 1.81 for Fulham.

Why Ipswich

Ipswich have created 1.00 xG a match over their last five while Fulham have allowed 1.86. At home Ipswich average 0.80 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Fulham can win

Fulham carry the stronger rating, 1535 Elo against 1318. Fulham have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 2.05. Away from home Fulham average 1.08 xG a match.

Key players

Ipswich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Liam Delap (0.34), Emersonn (0.32), Julio Enciso (0.32). Fulham's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Gonzalo García (0.46), Raúl Jiménez (0.36), Harry Wilson (0.27).

Availability

1 of Ipswich's top three contributors did not start their last match. 64% of Ipswich's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Fulham's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Fulham's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ipswich: 41% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.15 xG a match from set pieces. Fulham: 60% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Fulham are the model's most likely outcome at 49.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Ipswich are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLLDLLLWLL last 10 scored 9 from 10.0 xG conceded 25 from 20.5 xG

Fulham are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.9 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDWLLDWLLL last 10 scored 8 from 13.9 xG conceded 14 from 18.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302348	1.38–1.81	0%	0%	0%
dc-goals	342541	1.54–1.69	1-1 11%	63%	65%
dc-xg	312445	1.33–1.64	1-1 11%	57%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to win	47.5%	49.2%	32.3%	1.53×	2.03
Ipswich to win	29.5%	27.6%	43.1%	0.64×	3.62
Draw	22.9%	22.1%	24.7%	0.89×	4.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham & both teams score	26.5%	26.3%	15.5%	1.70×	3.80
Fulham & not both score	21.0%	22.6%	16.8%	1.34×	4.43
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.8%	20.0%	0.89×	5.63
Ipswich & both teams score	17.2%	17.7%	22.9%	0.78×	5.63
Ipswich & not both score	12.3%	12.2%	20.3%	0.60×	8.23
Draw & not both score	4.1%	3.7%	4.9%	0.76×	27.14

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham & over 1.5	40.1%	43.9%	25.4%	1.72×	2.28
Fulham & over 2.5	33.3%	33.2%	20.0%	1.66×	3.02
Fulham & under 3.5	27.5%	25.5%	21.7%	1.18×	3.92
Ipswich & over 1.5	23.8%	21.5%	36.7%	0.59×	4.65
Fulham & over 3.5	20.0%	17.6%	10.7%	1.65×	5.69
Ipswich & over 2.5	19.9%	17.6%	30.2%	0.58×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	17.6%	20.0%	0.88×	5.69
Ipswich & under 3.5	18.6%	17.6%	26.8%	0.66×	5.69
Draw & under 2.5	14.4%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.86
Draw & under 3.5	14.4%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.86
Fulham & under 2.5	14.2%	12.7%	12.4%	1.03×	7.86
Ipswich & over 3.5	11.0%	12.7%	16.4%	0.78×	7.87
Ipswich & under 2.5	9.6%	7.5%	13.0%	0.58×	13.40
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.5%	8.5%	0.87×	13.40
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.5%	8.5%	0.87×	13.40
Fulham & under 1.5	7.5%	7.5%	6.9%	1.08×	13.41
Ipswich & under 1.5	5.7%	7.5%	6.5%	1.15×	13.42
Draw & under 1.5	4.1%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (1UP)	64.6%	64.1%	51.4%	1.25×	1.56
Ipswich (1UP)	49.4%	44.7%	62.1%	0.72×	2.24

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (2UP)	47.5%	49.6%	34.5%	1.44×	2.02
Ipswich (2UP)	29.5%	30.8%	44.9%	0.69×	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to win 2nd half	49.2%	44.7%	32.9%	1.36×	2.24
2nd half drawn	30.8%	33.7%	30.9%	1.09×	2.97
Ipswich to win 2nd half	20.1%	22.2%	36.3%	0.61×	4.51

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (+2.5)	95.4%	97.1%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Fulham (+1.5)	86.9%	89.0%	76.0%	1.17×	1.12
Fulham (+0.5)	70.5%	73.0%	56.9%	1.28×	1.37
Ipswich (+0.5)	52.5%	51.6%	67.7%	0.76×	1.94
Fulham (-0.5)	47.5%	48.4%	32.3%	1.50×	2.07
Ipswich (-0.5)	29.5%	27.0%	43.1%	0.63×	3.70
Ipswich (-1.5)	13.1%	11.0%	24.0%	0.46×	9.07
Ipswich (-2.5)	4.6%	2.9%	10.8%	0.27×	34.48

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to concede	74.9%	77.2%	78.4%	0.98×	1.30
Fulham clean sheet	25.1%	22.8%	21.6%	1.06×	4.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to concede in 1st half	52.1%	54.7%	51.4%	1.07×	1.83
Fulham clean sheet in 1st half	47.9%	45.3%	48.6%	0.93×	2.21

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham under 3.5 goals	89.1%	89.0%	94.5%	0.94×	1.12
Fulham over 0.5 goals	83.6%	82.3%	74.9%	1.10×	1.22
Fulham under 2.5 goals	72.9%	72.0%	85.0%	0.85×	1.39
Fulham over 1.5 goals	53.9%	52.0%	39.4%	1.32×	1.92
Fulham under 1.5 goals	46.1%	48.0%	60.6%	0.79×	2.08
Fulham over 2.5 goals	27.1%	28.0%	15.0%	1.87×	3.57
Fulham under 0.5 goals	16.4%	17.7%	25.1%	0.71×	5.64
Fulham over 3.5 goals	10.9%	11.0%	5.5%	2.01×	9.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Fulham under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	51.0%	59.4%	0.86×	1.96
Fulham over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	49.0%	40.6%	1.21×	2.04
Fulham over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	12.4%	10.8%	1.15×	8.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (away no bet)	56.3%	58.9%	63.5%	0.93×	1.70
Draw (away no bet)	43.7%	41.1%	36.5%	1.13×	2.43

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham even goals	51.4%	52.4%	53.7%	0.98×	1.91
Fulham odd goals	48.6%	47.6%	46.3%	1.03×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	79.8%	80.1%	1.00×	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	20.2%	19.9%	1.02×	4.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.5%	71.3%	70.2%	1.02×	1.40
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.5%	28.7%	29.8%	0.96×	3.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.9%	61.5%	61.4%	1.00×	1.63
Fulham to score 2+ in a row	43.8%	45.1%	29.9%	1.51×	2.22
Ipswich to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.2%	39.1%	0.65×	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.1%	26.2%	0.96×	3.99
Fulham to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	17.8%	10.2%	1.75×	5.61
Ipswich to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	7.4%	16.5%	0.45×	13.58

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.3%	11.6%	11.5%	1.00×	8.64
1-2	9.3%	7.3%	6.9%	1.05×	13.74
0-1	7.5%	7.3%	6.9%	1.05×	13.75
2-1	7.1%	7.3%	9.0%	0.81×	13.75
0-2	6.7%	7.3%	5.5%	1.31×	13.75
2-2	6.4%	7.3%	7.6%	0.96×	13.75
1-0	5.7%	7.3%	6.5%	1.12×	13.75
1-3	5.6%	7.3%	3.2%	2.24×	13.75
Any other score	5.0%	1.8%	4.2%	0.43×	55.38
0-0	4.1%	1.8%	4.9%	0.37×	55.41
0-3	4.0%	1.8%	2.6%	0.71×	55.41
2-0	3.9%	1.8%	6.6%	0.27×	55.41
2-3	3.9%	1.8%	2.4%	0.76×	55.41
1-4	2.5%	1.8%	1.5%	1.24×	55.45
3-1	3.3%	1.8%	5.5%	0.33×	55.43
3-2	3.0%	1.8%	3.1%	0.59×	55.43
0-4	1.8%	1.8%	1.1%	1.63×	55.46
2-4	1.7%	1.8%	0.7%	2.64×	55.47
3-0	1.8%	1.8%	5.0%	0.36×	55.46
3-3	1.8%	1.8%	0.8%	2.35×	55.46
3-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.5%	3.52×	55.49
4-0	0.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.49
4-1	1.1%	1.8%	2.2%	0.81×	55.48
4-2	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.48
4-3	0.6%	1.8%	0.9%	1.92×	55.49
4-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.3%	5.28×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich leading at HT (DNB)	56.1%	56.6%	59.6%	0.95×	1.77
Fulham leading at HT (DNB)	43.9%	43.4%	40.4%	1.08×	2.30

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich or Fulham (12)	77.1%	77.9%	75.3%	1.03×	1.28
Fulham or draw (X2)	70.5%	72.4%	56.9%	1.27×	1.38
Ipswich or draw (1X)	52.5%	50.8%	67.7%	0.75×	1.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich or draw at HT	73.2%	71.5%	75.5%	0.95×	1.40
Fulham or draw at HT	65.8%	66.2%	63.8%	1.04×	1.51
Ipswich or Fulham at HT	61.0%	63.1%	60.6%	1.04×	1.58

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham or draw (1UP)	70.5%	77.3%	65.2%	1.19×	1.29
Ipswich or draw (1UP)	52.5%	58.7%	74.4%	0.79×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham or draw in 2nd half	79.9%	77.8%	63.7%	1.22×	1.29
Ipswich or Fulham in 2nd half	69.2%	66.3%	69.1%	0.96×	1.51
Ipswich or draw in 2nd half	50.8%	55.3%	67.2%	0.82×	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.8%	58.0%	56.7%	1.02×	1.73
Neither half drawn	42.2%	42.0%	43.3%	0.97×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (DNB)	61.7%	62.3%	42.8%	1.45×	1.61
Ipswich (DNB)	38.3%	37.7%	57.2%	0.66×	2.65

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to score first	54.3%	53.8%	43.3%	1.24×	1.86
Ipswich to score first	41.6%	41.3%	52.0%	0.80×	2.42
No goal scored	4.1%	4.0%	4.9%	0.83×	24.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.6%	57.5%	58.2%	0.99×	1.74
Not both teams to score	37.4%	42.5%	41.8%	1.02×	2.35

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.3%	47.0%	46.8%	1.01×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	27.9%	31.5%	30.0%	1.05×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	11.7%	11.5%	1.02×	8.55
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.7%	11.9%	0.74×	11.43

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.3%	83.7%	82.2%	1.02×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	21.7%	16.3%	17.8%	0.91×	6.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.9%	69.4%	68.9%	1.01×	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.1%	30.6%	31.1%	0.98×	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.9%	54.7%	55.9%	0.98×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	25.2%	24.6%	24.6%	1.00×	4.07
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	18.1%	13.1%	1.39×	5.53
Both score in both halves	7.9%	6.5%	6.7%	0.98×	15.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.1%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	23.9%	20.3%	19.6%	1.03×	4.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.3%	63.0%	61.9%	1.02×	1.59
A half without a goal	37.7%	37.0%	38.1%	0.97×	2.71

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.3%	43.2%	46.6%	0.93×	2.32
4-6 goals	35.1%	35.2%	32.7%	1.08×	2.84
0-1 goals	17.3%	20.7%	18.1%	1.14×	4.83
7+ goals	4.4%	2.0%	2.8%	0.70×	50.54

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to score exactly 1	29.7%	27.1%	35.6%	0.76×	3.68
Fulham to score 3+	27.1%	27.1%	15.0%	1.80×	3.69
Fulham to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.1%	24.5%	1.11×	3.69
Fulham to score exactly 0	16.4%	18.3%	25.1%	0.73×	5.46

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to score exactly 1	34.7%	30.6%	29.6%	1.03×	3.27
Ipswich to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.0%	21.6%	1.25×	3.70
Ipswich to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.0%	26.1%	0.88×	4.35
Ipswich to score 3+	16.2%	18.5%	22.9%	0.81×	5.42

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.0%	36.9%	39.4%	0.94×	2.71
Ipswich leading at HT	34.2%	33.8%	36.2%	0.94×	2.96
Fulham leading at HT	26.8%	28.5%	24.5%	1.16×	3.51

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham -1: 1	52.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Fulham -1: 2	26.0%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Fulham -1: X	21.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (0:1)	70.5%	68.3%	56.9%	1.20×	1.46
Draw (0:1)	16.5%	18.3%	19.2%	0.95×	5.48
Ipswich (0:1)	13.1%	10.7%	24.0%	0.45×	9.36

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (0:2)	86.9%	89.6%	76.0%	1.18×	1.12
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.2%	13.3%	0.54×	13.88
Ipswich (0:2)	4.6%	3.1%	10.8%	0.29×	32.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (0:3)	95.4%	97.1%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.3%	7.5%	0.31×	42.88
Ipswich (0:3)	1.3%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	43.30

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	80.83
Ipswich (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.18

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (1:0)	52.5%	48.7%	67.7%	0.72×	2.05
Fulham (1:0)	26.0%	28.5%	15.8%	1.80×	3.51
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	22.9%	16.6%	1.38×	4.37

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (2:0)	74.0%	74.7%	84.2%	0.89×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	14.4%	12.2%	9.3%	1.31×	8.21
Fulham (2:0)	11.6%	12.1%	6.6%	1.84×	8.29

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.7%	49.7%	0.98×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.1%	25.8%	1.01×	3.83
Halves equal	22.8%	23.2%	24.7%	0.94×	4.32

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede	83.6%	84.9%	74.9%	1.13×	1.18
Ipswich clean sheet	16.4%	15.1%	25.1%	0.60×	6.61

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	51.0%	59.4%	0.86×	1.96
Ipswich to concede in 1st half	45.9%	49.0%	40.6%	1.21×	2.04

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.09
Ipswich under 2.5 goals	83.8%	82.5%	77.1%	1.07×	1.21
Ipswich over 0.5 goals	74.9%	72.8%	78.4%	0.93×	1.37
Ipswich under 1.5 goals	59.8%	55.8%	51.1%	1.09×	1.79
Ipswich over 1.5 goals	40.2%	44.2%	48.9%	0.90×	2.26
Ipswich under 0.5 goals	25.1%	27.2%	21.6%	1.26×	3.68
Ipswich over 2.5 goals	16.2%	17.5%	22.9%	0.77×	5.70
Ipswich over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	8.4%	0.94×	12.74

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	80.5%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Ipswich over 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	54.7%	51.4%	1.07×	1.83
Ipswich under 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	45.3%	48.6%	0.93×	2.21
Ipswich over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	19.5%	15.5%	1.25×	5.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (home no bet)	67.4%	68.4%	56.6%	1.21×	1.46
Draw (home no bet)	32.6%	31.6%	43.4%	0.73×	3.16

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich even goals	53.2%	50.3%	53.8%	0.94×	1.99
Ipswich odd goals	46.9%	49.7%	46.2%	1.08×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.9%	28.0%	27.6%	1.01×	3.57
HT 1-0	19.1%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.28
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.9%	14.8%	1.27×	5.30
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.2%	10.9%	1.02×	8.94
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.01
Any other HT score	6.2%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	13.02
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.5%	4.5%	0.56×	39.72
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.5%	3.8%	0.67×	39.75
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	39.79
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.5%	1.0%	2.45×	39.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham at HT / Fulham at FT	22.5%	21.4%	16.9%	1.27×	4.67
Ipswich at HT / Ipswich at FT	20.6%	21.4%	26.3%	0.81×	4.68
Draw at HT / Fulham at FT	19.2%	16.8%	12.0%	1.40×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.0%	12.0%	13.6%	0.88×	8.36
Ipswich at HT / Draw at FT	7.8%	6.6%	6.6%	1.00×	15.21
Draw at HT / Ipswich at FT	7.8%	6.6%	14.0%	0.47×	15.20
Ipswich at HT / Fulham at FT	5.8%	6.6%	3.5%	1.87×	15.25
Fulham at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.4%	4.8%	0.71×	29.38
Fulham at HT / Ipswich at FT	1.1%	3.4%	3.0%	1.14×	29.47

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to score last	54.3%	53.7%	44.9%	1.20×	1.86
Ipswich to score last	41.6%	40.3%	50.3%	0.80×	2.48
No goal scored	4.1%	4.0%	4.9%	0.83×	24.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.9%	96.0%	95.1%	1.01×	1.04
Fulham to lead by 1 at any time	64.6%	64.5%	51.4%	1.26×	1.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.3%	51.0%	50.8%	1.00×	1.96
Ipswich to lead by 1 at any time	49.4%	46.2%	62.1%	0.74×	2.17
Fulham to lead by 2 at any time	33.9%	32.1%	21.2%	1.51×	3.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.8%	21.2%	0.93×	5.06
Ipswich to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	17.7%	29.9%	0.59×	5.65
Fulham to lead by 3 at any time	14.6%	11.4%	8.1%	1.40×	8.80
Ipswich to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	7.0%	13.1%	0.54×	14.22

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.9%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.4%	78.9%	79.2%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.2%	73.7%	78.2%	0.94×	1.36
2-5 goals	72.3%	73.6%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
2-4 goals	61.0%	62.3%	64.9%	0.96×	1.61
3-6 goals	57.4%	58.7%	55.8%	1.05×	1.70
1-3 goals	56.4%	58.7%	59.8%	0.98×	1.70
3-5 goals	51.4%	52.3%	51.9%	1.01×	1.91
2-3 goals	43.3%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	43.6%	41.6%	1.05×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.1%	38.8%	32.7%	1.19×	2.58
1-2 goals	34.1%	34.1%	36.7%	0.93×	2.93
4-5 goals	29.1%	30.5%	28.8%	1.06×	3.28
5-6 goals	17.3%	18.1%	14.3%	1.26×	5.53
7+ goals	4.4%	2.1%	2.8%	0.73×	48.62

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham never behind	46.4%	53.6%	37.9%	1.41×	1.87
Ipswich never behind	31.3%	36.1%	48.6%	0.74×	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.1%	49.0%	1.02×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.9%	51.0%	0.98×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.9%	53.4%	0.97×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.1%	46.6%	1.03×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.7%	51.8%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.3%	48.2%	1.00×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.9%	95.6%	95.1%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.6%	88.8%	93.3%	0.95×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	82.7%	81.0%	81.9%	0.99×	1.24
Under 4.5 goals	78.3%	78.3%	82.9%	0.94×	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	61.8%	61.5%	58.5%	1.05×	1.63
Under 3.5 goals	60.5%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39.5%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Under 2.5 goals	38.2%	38.5%	41.5%	0.93×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	21.7%	21.7%	17.1%	1.27×	4.60
Under 1.5 goals	17.3%	19.0%	18.1%	1.05×	5.26
Over 5.5 goals	10.4%	11.2%	6.7%	1.66×	8.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.1%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.4%	97.2%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.3%	88.1%	92.5%	0.95×	1.14
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	76.5%	76.4%	1.00×	1.31
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.6%	72.2%	79.1%	0.91×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.8%	53.0%	46.1%	1.15×	1.89
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.2%	47.0%	53.9%	0.87×	2.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.4%	27.9%	20.9%	1.33×	3.59
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	23.5%	23.6%	0.99×	4.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.7%	11.9%	7.5%	1.58×	8.42
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.6%	2.8%	2.9%	0.96×	35.73

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.5%	83.8%	87.4%	0.96×	1.19
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	72.5%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.9%	63.0%	64.1%	0.98×	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.1%	37.0%	35.9%	1.03×	2.70
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	27.5%	27.6%	1.00×	3.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.5%	16.2%	12.6%	1.28×	6.18

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	82.1%	84.7%	0.97×	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	76.3%	75.9%	1.01×	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	51.8%	45.8%	1.13×	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	48.2%	54.2%	0.89×	2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	23.7%	24.1%	0.98×	4.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.59

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.0%	68.7%	1.14×	1.28
Fulham not to score in both halves	68.0%	67.0%	76.8%	0.87×	1.49
Fulham to score in both halves	32.0%	33.0%	23.2%	1.42×	3.03
Ipswich to score in both halves	24.8%	22.0%	31.3%	0.70×	4.55

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.6%	58.2%	58.2%	1.00×	1.72
Only Fulham scores	21.0%	22.8%	16.8%	1.35×	4.39
Only Ipswich scores	12.3%	10.8%	20.3%	0.53×	9.26
Neither team scores	4.1%	3.9%	4.9%	0.80×	25.58

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	21.0%	21.5%	23.5%	0.92×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	18.6%	18.4%	1.01×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.4%	13.3%	0.93×	8.08
Exactly 5 goals	11.3%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.10
6 or more goals	10.4%	12.3%	6.7%	1.83×	8.10
Exactly 0 goals	4.1%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.87

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.8%	47.6%	54.2%	0.88×	2.10
1 goal in 2nd half	29.3%	28.5%	30.6%	0.93×	3.51
No goals in 2nd half	15.9%	18.3%	15.3%	1.20×	5.47

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win both halves	93.1%	93.4%	86.5%	1.08×	1.07
Fulham not to win both halves	86.8%	87.5%	91.2%	0.96×	1.14
Fulham to win both halves	13.2%	12.5%	8.8%	1.42×	8.02
Ipswich to win both halves	6.9%	6.6%	13.5%	0.49×	15.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to win either half	62.8%	63.6%	48.5%	1.31×	1.57
Ipswich to win neither half	52.6%	53.9%	41.0%	1.32×	1.85
Ipswich to win either half	47.4%	46.1%	59.0%	0.78×	2.17
Fulham to win neither half	37.2%	36.4%	51.5%	0.71×	2.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win to nil	87.7%	88.3%	79.7%	1.11×	1.13
Fulham not to win to nil	79.0%	77.2%	83.2%	0.93×	1.30
Fulham to win to nil	21.0%	22.8%	16.8%	1.35×	4.39
Ipswich to win to nil	12.3%	11.7%	20.3%	0.58×	8.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	23.7%	24.7%	0.96×	4.21
Fulham by 1	21.5%	23.7%	16.6%	1.43×	4.21
Ipswich by 1	16.5%	17.0%	19.2%	0.88×	5.89
Fulham by 2	14.4%	11.9%	9.3%	1.28×	8.42
Fulham by 3+	11.6%	11.8%	6.6%	1.80×	8.44
Ipswich by 2	8.4%	7.1%	13.3%	0.53×	14.08
Ipswich by 3+	4.6%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.11