Ipswich v Nottingham Forest — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

Ipswich

15:00

Nottingham Forest

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 1,139h before kick-off

Ipswich win

28.2%

model 28.5%

Draw

21.9%

model 22.7%

Nottingham Forest win

49.9%

model 48.8%

282250

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 7.5%
2-1 6.9%
0-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.2%	Under 2.5	37.8%
BTTS yes	62.7%	BTTS no	37.3%
Ipswich 1+	74.4%	Ipswich 2+	39.6%
Nottingham Forest 1+	84.2%	Nottingham Forest 2+	55.0%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Ipswich to win neither half

Win either half · usually 41%

59.4% fair odds 1.68

strong signal · 1031 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 87%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nottingham Forest carry the stronger rating, 1573 Elo against 1315.
Nottingham Forest have created 1.59 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 2.05.
Away from home Nottingham Forest average 2.02 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Nottingham Forest have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.2% for Ipswich and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Ipswich and 1.84 for Nottingham Forest.

Why Ipswich

Ipswich have created 1.00 xG a match over their last five while Nottingham Forest have allowed 1.52. At home Ipswich average 0.80 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Nottingham Forest were missing 1.02 expected goal involvements a match against 0.64.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Nottingham Forest can win

Nottingham Forest carry the stronger rating, 1573 Elo against 1315. Nottingham Forest have created 1.59 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 2.05. Away from home Nottingham Forest average 2.02 xG a match.

Key players

Ipswich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Liam Delap (0.34), Emersonn (0.32), Julio Enciso (0.32). Nottingham Forest's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Morgan Gibbs-White (0.42), Igor Jesus (0.30), Chris Wood (0.29).

Availability

1 of Ipswich's top three contributors did not start their last match. 64% of Ipswich's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Nottingham Forest's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ipswich: 41% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.15 xG a match from set pieces. Nottingham Forest: 45% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.49 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Nottingham Forest are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Ipswich are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLLDLLLWLL last 10 scored 9 from 10.0 xG conceded 25 from 20.5 xG

Nottingham Forest are finishing above their chances — 3.1 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWWWDLDLDD last 10 scored 19 from 15.9 xG conceded 11 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282349	1.36–1.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-goals	272450	1.43–1.99	1-1 10%	66%	67%
dc-xg	272449	1.24–1.72	1-1 11%	57%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to win	45.2%	47.4%	32.3%	1.47×	2.11
Ipswich to win	32.1%	30.4%	43.1%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	22.7%	24.4%	24.7%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest & both teams score	26.6%	25.2%	15.6%	1.62×	3.97
Ipswich & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	22.8%	0.78×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	17.9%	19.9%	0.90×	5.58
Nottingham Forest & not both score	18.6%	17.9%	16.8%	1.06×	5.58
Ipswich & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	20.3%	0.65×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest & over 1.5	38.6%	34.9%	25.5%	1.37×	2.86
Nottingham Forest & over 2.5	32.7%	30.9%	20.0%	1.54×	3.24
Ipswich & over 1.5	26.7%	26.0%	36.7%	0.71×	3.84
Nottingham Forest & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
Ipswich & over 2.5	22.6%	21.6%	30.2%	0.72×	4.62
Nottingham Forest & over 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	10.7%	2.03×	4.62
Ipswich & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.77
Nottingham Forest & under 2.5	12.5%	12.9%	12.4%	1.04×	7.77
Ipswich & over 3.5	13.1%	12.9%	16.4%	0.78×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.70
Ipswich & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.70
Nottingham Forest & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.70
Ipswich & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (1UP)	63.3%	63.1%	51.3%	1.23×	1.58
Ipswich (1UP)	52.4%	52.8%	62.1%	0.85×	1.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (2UP)	45.2%	49.5%	34.5%	1.43×	2.02
Ipswich (2UP)	32.1%	31.1%	44.9%	0.69×	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to win 2nd half	41.4%	41.2%	32.9%	1.25×	2.43
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.2%	30.9%	1.11×	2.92
Ipswich to win 2nd half	27.0%	26.3%	36.3%	0.72×	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (+2.5)	94.3%	92.1%	89.2%	1.03×	1.09
Nottingham Forest (+1.5)	85.0%	88.5%	76.0%	1.16×	1.13
Nottingham Forest (+0.5)	67.9%	68.7%	56.9%	1.21×	1.46
Ipswich (+0.5)	54.8%	52.4%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
Nottingham Forest (-0.5)	45.2%	47.6%	32.3%	1.47×	2.10
Ipswich (-0.5)	32.1%	31.3%	43.1%	0.73×	3.19
Ipswich (-1.5)	15.0%	11.5%	24.0%	0.48×	8.68
Ipswich (-2.5)	5.7%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to concede	77.8%	79.0%	78.4%	1.01×	1.27
Nottingham Forest clean sheet	22.2%	21.0%	21.6%	0.97×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest clean sheet in 1st half	49.8%	50.6%	48.6%	1.04×	1.98
Nottingham Forest to concede in 1st half	50.2%	49.4%	51.4%	0.96×	2.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.9%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
Nottingham Forest over 0.5 goals	83.7%	81.4%	74.9%	1.09×	1.23
Nottingham Forest under 2.5 goals	72.6%	71.9%	85.0%	0.85×	1.39
Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.7%	39.4%	1.36×	1.86
Nottingham Forest under 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.3%	60.6%	0.76×	2.16
Nottingham Forest over 2.5 goals	27.4%	28.1%	15.0%	1.87×	3.56
Nottingham Forest under 0.5 goals	16.3%	18.6%	25.1%	0.74×	5.39
Nottingham Forest over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.1%	5.5%	2.21×	8.27

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	83.3%	89.1%	0.93×	1.20
Nottingham Forest over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	55.9%	40.6%	1.38×	1.79
Nottingham Forest under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	44.1%	59.4%	0.74×	2.27
Nottingham Forest over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	16.7%	10.9%	1.54×	6.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (away no bet)	58.6%	57.6%	63.6%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.4%	42.4%	36.4%	1.16×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest even goals	51.3%	52.8%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Nottingham Forest odd goals	48.7%	47.2%	46.3%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.4%	82.3%	80.1%	1.03×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.6%	17.7%	19.9%	0.89×	5.67

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.6%	67.3%	70.2%	0.96×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.4%	32.7%	29.8%	1.10×	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.8%	62.0%	61.5%	1.01×	1.61
Nottingham Forest to score 2+ in a row	43.4%	38.3%	29.9%	1.28×	2.61
Ipswich to score 2+ in a row	32.9%	28.8%	39.1%	0.74×	3.47
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	25.1%	26.2%	0.96×	3.98
Nottingham Forest to score 3+ in a row	16.8%	16.4%	10.2%	1.61×	6.10
Ipswich to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	16.5%	0.73×	8.30

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.64×	13.47
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.47
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.47
2-1	7.4%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.47
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.6%	1.34×	13.47
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.47
1-3	5.4%	7.4%	3.2%	2.29×	13.47
Any other score	5.5%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.47
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.50
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.50
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.51
1-4	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.51
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.50
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.50
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.51
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.51
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.50
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.50
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.51
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.33×	58.52
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.52
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.52
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.52
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.82×	58.52
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest leading at HT (DNB)	52.1%	55.6%	40.4%	1.38×	1.80
Ipswich leading at HT (DNB)	47.9%	44.4%	59.6%	0.74×	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich or Nottingham Forest (12)	77.3%	75.6%	75.3%	1.00×	1.32
Nottingham Forest or draw (X2)	67.9%	69.6%	56.9%	1.22×	1.44
Ipswich or draw (1X)	54.8%	52.6%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest or draw at HT	70.2%	74.4%	63.8%	1.17×	1.34
Ipswich or draw at HT	67.5%	66.4%	75.5%	0.88×	1.51
Ipswich or Nottingham Forest at HT	62.3%	62.2%	60.7%	1.03×	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest or draw (1UP)	67.9%	75.8%	65.1%	1.16×	1.32
Ipswich or draw (1UP)	54.8%	59.4%	74.4%	0.80×	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest or draw in 2nd half	73.0%	73.7%	63.7%	1.16×	1.36
Ipswich or Nottingham Forest in 2nd half	68.4%	65.8%	69.1%	0.95×	1.52
Ipswich or draw in 2nd half	58.6%	58.8%	67.1%	0.88×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.4%	58.1%	56.7%	1.02×	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.6%	41.9%	43.3%	0.97×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (DNB)	58.5%	58.3%	42.9%	1.36×	1.72
Ipswich (DNB)	41.5%	41.7%	57.1%	0.73×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to score first	52.7%	53.9%	43.2%	1.25×	1.86
Ipswich to score first	43.7%	41.9%	52.1%	0.80×	2.39
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.1%	58.2%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.9%	41.8%	41.9%	1.00×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.2%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.7%	33.6%	30.1%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	11.5%	0.73×	11.94
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	11.9%	0.70×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.0%	79.9%	82.2%	0.97×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.0%	20.1%	17.8%	1.13×	4.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.6%	66.0%	68.9%	0.96×	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.4%	34.0%	31.1%	1.09×	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.8%	53.5%	56.0%	0.96×	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	26.3%	24.5%	1.07×	3.81
Both score 1st half only	16.7%	15.7%	13.0%	1.21×	6.35
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.8%	6.7%	1.02×	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.7%	80.3%	80.4%	1.00×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.3%	19.7%	19.6%	1.01×	5.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.6%	58.8%	62.0%	0.95×	1.70
A half without a goal	35.4%	41.2%	38.0%	1.08×	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.0%	42.1%	46.6%	0.90×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.2%	35.0%	32.7%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.6%	20.2%	18.1%	1.11×	4.96
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	2.8%	2.68×	13.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to score exactly 1	29.5%	27.4%	35.6%	0.77×	3.65
Nottingham Forest to score 3+	27.4%	27.4%	15.0%	1.82×	3.65
Nottingham Forest to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	24.4%	1.12×	3.65
Nottingham Forest to score exactly 0	16.3%	19.5%	25.1%	0.78×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to score exactly 1	33.4%	32.7%	29.7%	1.10×	3.06
Ipswich to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Ipswich to score exactly 0	22.2%	23.3%	21.6%	1.08×	4.30
Ipswich to score 3+	19.2%	18.9%	22.9%	0.82×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.7%	37.8%	39.3%	0.96×	2.65
Nottingham Forest leading at HT	32.5%	33.6%	24.5%	1.37×	2.97
Ipswich leading at HT	29.9%	25.6%	36.2%	0.71×	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest -1: 1	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Nottingham Forest -1: 2	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Nottingham Forest -1: X	20.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (0:1)	67.9%	65.5%	56.9%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.1%	17.8%	19.1%	0.93×	5.62
Ipswich (0:1)	15.0%	13.9%	24.0%	0.58×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (0:2)	85.0%	86.9%	76.0%	1.14×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	12.94
Ipswich (0:2)	5.7%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (0:3)	94.3%	92.6%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	7.5%	0.32×	42.04
Ipswich (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.46
Ipswich (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	83.56

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (1:0)	54.8%	54.2%	67.7%	0.80×	1.84
Nottingham Forest (1:0)	24.5%	21.8%	15.8%	1.38×	4.59
Draw (1:0)	20.7%	21.7%	16.6%	1.31×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (2:0)	75.5%	80.3%	84.2%	0.95×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	13.6%	10.4%	9.3%	1.12×	9.61
Nottingham Forest (2:0)	10.9%	10.4%	6.6%	1.58×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.1%	49.7%	0.97×	2.08
1st half highest scoring	29.6%	26.5%	25.7%	1.03×	3.77
Halves equal	22.4%	24.3%	24.7%	0.98×	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede	83.7%	80.8%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
Ipswich clean sheet	16.3%	19.2%	25.1%	0.76×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede in 1st half	52.4%	55.9%	40.6%	1.38×	1.79
Ipswich clean sheet in 1st half	47.6%	44.1%	59.4%	0.74×	2.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Ipswich under 2.5 goals	80.8%	82.1%	77.1%	1.07×	1.22
Ipswich over 0.5 goals	77.8%	77.7%	78.4%	0.99×	1.29
Ipswich under 1.5 goals	55.7%	58.8%	51.2%	1.15×	1.70
Ipswich over 1.5 goals	44.3%	41.2%	48.8%	0.84×	2.43
Ipswich under 0.5 goals	22.2%	22.3%	21.6%	1.03×	4.49
Ipswich over 2.5 goals	19.2%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.59
Ipswich over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	8.4%	0.92×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 1.5 in 1st half	84.5%	84.6%	84.4%	1.00×	1.18
Ipswich under 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	50.7%	48.6%	1.04×	1.97
Ipswich over 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	49.3%	51.4%	0.96×	2.03
Ipswich over 1.5 in 1st half	15.5%	15.4%	15.6%	0.99×	6.50

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest (home no bet)	66.6%	63.9%	56.7%	1.13×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	33.4%	36.1%	43.3%	0.83×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich even goals	52.5%	50.6%	53.7%	0.94×	1.98
Ipswich odd goals	47.5%	49.4%	46.3%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.7%	24.2%	27.6%	0.88×	4.13
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.8%	14.9%	1.26×	5.32
HT 1-0	16.5%	18.8%	21.8%	0.86×	5.33
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.0%	10.9%	1.01×	9.11
Any other HT score	7.2%	7.1%	5.3%	1.33×	14.17
HT 0-2	6.5%	7.1%	4.5%	1.56×	14.19
HT 2-0	5.8%	7.0%	8.1%	0.87×	14.20
HT 1-2	4.5%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	43.73
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.3%	3.8%	0.61×	43.75
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	1.0%	2.22×	43.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest at HT / Nottingham Forest at FT	25.7%	26.6%	16.9%	1.57×	3.77
Ipswich at HT / Ipswich at FT	19.9%	16.9%	26.3%	0.64×	5.93
Draw at HT / Nottingham Forest at FT	15.6%	16.8%	12.1%	1.39×	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.9%	12.7%	13.5%	0.94×	7.90
Draw at HT / Ipswich at FT	10.2%	12.6%	13.9%	0.91×	7.91
Ipswich at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.0%	6.6%	0.91×	16.62
Nottingham Forest at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	4.8%	0.73×	28.80
Ipswich at HT / Nottingham Forest at FT	3.9%	3.5%	3.5%	0.99×	28.83
Nottingham Forest at HT / Ipswich at FT	2.1%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to score last	52.7%	51.9%	45.0%	1.15×	1.93
Ipswich to score last	43.7%	40.4%	50.3%	0.80×	2.48
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	95.1%	1.01×	1.05
Nottingham Forest to lead by 1 at any time	63.3%	61.4%	51.3%	1.20×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.8%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Ipswich to lead by 1 at any time	52.4%	50.7%	62.1%	0.82×	1.97
Nottingham Forest to lead by 2 at any time	32.8%	29.3%	21.3%	1.38×	3.41
Ipswich to lead by 2 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	29.9%	0.65×	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	21.2%	0.92×	5.11
Nottingham Forest to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.4%	8.1%	1.29×	9.58
Ipswich to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.6%	13.2%	0.50×	15.21

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.5%	88.5%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.2%	78.6%	79.1%	0.99×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.3%	72.4%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.3%	63.4%	64.9%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.2%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.0%	53.2%	59.8%	0.89×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	51.8%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.0%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.5%	1.05×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.2%	39.2%	32.7%	1.20×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.9%	35.4%	36.8%	0.96×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.5%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.6%	14.4%	1.30×	5.37
7+ goals	5.2%	8.7%	2.8%	3.10×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest never behind	44.0%	48.2%	37.9%	1.27×	2.07
Ipswich never behind	33.1%	35.8%	48.7%	0.74×	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	49.0%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	51.0%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.6%	53.3%	0.97×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.4%	46.7%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.1%	51.8%	1.01×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	47.9%	48.2%	0.99×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	93.2%	0.94×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.4%	82.4%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	77.4%	82.9%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	58.5%	1.06×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.6%	58.8%	64.6%	0.91×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	42.4%	41.2%	35.4%	1.16×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	41.5%	0.92×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.1%	22.6%	17.1%	1.32×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.6%	17.6%	18.1%	0.97×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	6.8%	1.83×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.5%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.4%	86.7%	92.5%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.5%	81.1%	76.3%	1.06×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.5%	72.6%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.4%	51.8%	46.0%	1.13×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.6%	48.2%	54.0%	0.89×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.5%	27.4%	20.9%	1.31×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.5%	18.9%	23.7%	0.80×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.6%	13.3%	7.5%	1.76×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.5%	2.9%	2.56×	13.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.4%	86.4%	87.4%	0.99×	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.3%	78.8%	72.4%	1.09×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.8%	63.6%	64.1%	0.99×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.2%	36.4%	35.9%	1.01×	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.2%	27.6%	0.77×	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.6%	13.6%	12.7%	1.08×	7.34

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	77.6%	75.9%	1.02×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	54.6%	54.2%	1.01×	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	45.4%	45.8%	0.99×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	22.4%	24.1%	0.93×	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to score in both halves	72.2%	74.0%	68.7%	1.08×	1.35
Nottingham Forest not to score in both halves	65.5%	70.1%	76.8%	0.91×	1.43
Nottingham Forest to score in both halves	34.5%	29.9%	23.2%	1.29×	3.34
Ipswich to score in both halves	27.8%	26.0%	31.3%	0.83×	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.1%	59.5%	58.1%	1.02×	1.68
Only Nottingham Forest scores	18.6%	16.1%	16.8%	0.96×	6.22
Only Ipswich scores	12.7%	10.9%	20.3%	0.54×	9.14
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.9%	17.4%	23.5%	0.74×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.4%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.0%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	10.4%	1.16×	8.29
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	6.8%	1.79×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.1%	52.7%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
1 goal in 2nd half	28.7%	29.9%	30.6%	0.98×	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win both halves	91.9%	94.0%	86.5%	1.09×	1.06
Nottingham Forest not to win both halves	86.6%	88.0%	91.2%	0.96×	1.14
Nottingham Forest to win both halves	13.4%	12.0%	8.8%	1.37×	8.31
Ipswich to win both halves	8.1%	6.0%	13.5%	0.45×	16.55

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nottingham Forest to win either half	60.4%	65.1%	48.6%	1.34×	1.54
Ipswich to win neither half	51.2%	54.9%	40.9%	1.34×	1.82
Ipswich to win either half	48.8%	45.1%	59.1%	0.76×	2.22
Nottingham Forest to win neither half	39.6%	34.9%	51.4%	0.68×	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win to nil	87.3%	88.2%	79.7%	1.11×	1.13
Nottingham Forest not to win to nil	81.4%	83.0%	83.2%	1.00×	1.21
Nottingham Forest to win to nil	18.6%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
Ipswich to win to nil	12.7%	11.8%	20.3%	0.58×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.2%	24.7%	0.98×	4.14
Nottingham Forest by 1	20.7%	24.1%	16.6%	1.46×	4.14
Ipswich by 1	17.1%	16.9%	19.1%	0.89×	5.90
Nottingham Forest by 2	13.6%	11.8%	9.3%	1.27×	8.47
Nottingham Forest by 3+	10.9%	11.8%	6.6%	1.79×	8.47
Ipswich by 2	9.3%	7.3%	13.3%	0.54×	13.79
Ipswich by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	10.8%	0.67×	13.81