Istanbul Basaksehir v Fenerbahce — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Istanbul Basaksehir

20:00 UTC

Fenerbahce

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 969h before kick-off

Istanbul Basaksehir win

26.7%

model 26.0%

Draw

22.2%

model 23.9%

Fenerbahce win

51.0%

model 50.1%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
1-2 9.4%
0-2 6.8%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.1%	Under 2.5	34.9%
BTTS yes	65.5%	BTTS no	34.5%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+	74.9%	Istanbul Basaksehir 2+	40.3%
Fenerbahce 1+	86.0%	Fenerbahce 2+	58.5%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Fenerbahce (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 29%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Fenerbahce carry the stronger rating, 1761 Elo against 1615.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fenerbahce have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.7% for Istanbul Basaksehir and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Istanbul Basaksehir and 1.97 for Fenerbahce.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir

Nothing in the data singles out Istanbul Basaksehir.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Fenerbahce can win

Fenerbahce carry the stronger rating, 1761 Elo against 1615. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fenerbahce, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Istanbul Basaksehir: 42% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fenerbahce: 59% possession, 20.8 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Fenerbahce are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262450	1.38–1.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292347	1.56–2.01	1-1 10%	69%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win	47.4%	47.4%	28.9%	1.64×	2.11
Istanbul Basaksehir to win	29.2%	27.9%	45.4%	0.62×	3.58
Draw	23.4%	24.5%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce & both teams score	30.1%	29.6%	14.6%	2.03×	3.38
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Fenerbahce & not both score	17.3%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.57
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score	9.7%	8.3%	22.4%	0.37×	11.99
Draw & not both score	3.8%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.51

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce & over 1.5	42.6%	40.3%	22.4%	1.80×	2.48
Fenerbahce & over 2.5	36.9%	34.9%	18.1%	1.93×	2.87
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5	25.7%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
Fenerbahce & over 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	9.4%	2.29×	4.63
Fenerbahce & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.55
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	29.5%	0.61×	5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Fenerbahce & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	10.9%	1.18×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.63
Fenerbahce & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.6%	0.73×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.82
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	9.3%	0.52×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (1UP)	66.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP)	51.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (2UP)	47.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP)	29.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win 2nd half	43.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	30.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half	26.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.0%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Fenerbahce under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Fenerbahce over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Fenerbahce under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.0%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	90.0%	1.02×	1.09
Fenerbahce (+1.5)	85.9%	88.5%	78.5%	1.13×	1.13
Fenerbahce (+0.5)	70.8%	73.6%	54.6%	1.35×	1.36
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5)	52.6%	52.4%	71.1%	0.74×	1.91
Fenerbahce (-0.5)	47.4%	47.6%	28.9%	1.65×	2.10
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5)	29.2%	26.4%	45.4%	0.58×	3.80
Istanbul Basaksehir (-1.5)	14.1%	11.5%	21.5%	0.54×	8.66
Istanbul Basaksehir (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to concede	78.9%	78.8%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Fenerbahce clean sheet	21.1%	21.2%	22.2%	0.95×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce clean sheet in 1st half	51.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Fenerbahce to concede in 1st half	48.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to concede in 2nd half	58.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Fenerbahce clean sheet in 2nd half	41.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 2.5 corners	86.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Fenerbahce over 3.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fenerbahce under 6.5 corners	65.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Fenerbahce over 4.5 corners	60.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Fenerbahce under 5.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Fenerbahce over 5.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Fenerbahce under 4.5 corners	39.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Fenerbahce over 6.5 corners	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Fenerbahce under 3.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Fenerbahce under 2.5 corners	13.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.8%	69.8%	1.26×	1.14
Fenerbahce under 3.5 goals	85.6%	87.8%	95.3%	0.92×	1.14
Fenerbahce under 2.5 goals	67.5%	68.0%	86.2%	0.79×	1.47
Fenerbahce over 1.5 goals	59.6%	59.4%	34.8%	1.71×	1.68
Fenerbahce under 1.5 goals	40.4%	40.6%	65.2%	0.62×	2.47
Fenerbahce over 2.5 goals	32.5%	32.0%	13.8%	2.31×	3.13
Fenerbahce over 3.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	4.7%	2.59×	8.19
Fenerbahce under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.2%	30.2%	0.40×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Fenerbahce over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Fenerbahce under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Fenerbahce over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce scores more in 2nd half	45.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Fenerbahce scores equally in both	29.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Fenerbahce scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (away no bet)	55.5%	57.3%	63.6%	0.90×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	44.5%	42.7%	36.4%	1.17×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce even goals	50.9%	52.6%	54.5%	0.97×	1.90
Fenerbahce odd goals	49.1%	47.4%	45.5%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.2%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.8%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Fenerbahce to score 2+ in a row	48.2%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Fenerbahce to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row	10.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce corners (+3.5)	92.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Fenerbahce corners (+2.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fenerbahce corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5)	70.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Fenerbahce corners (-1.5)	50.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5)	49.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Fenerbahce corners (-2.5)	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fenerbahce corners (-3.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5)	7.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	12.5%	0.59×	13.51
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.51
2-2	6.9%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
Any other score	7.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
0-2	5.7%	7.4%	4.4%	1.68×	13.51
1-3	5.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.79×	13.51
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
0-0	3.8%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	58.30
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30
0-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.31
1-0	3.5%	1.7%	9.3%	0.18×	58.30
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.66×	58.30
2-0	3.4%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	4.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.29
2-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.31
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.31
3-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.31
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.32
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	11.64×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (2nd half DNB)	61.6%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Istanbul Basaksehir (2nd half DNB)	38.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce leading at HT (DNB)	56.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB)	43.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or Fenerbahce (12)	76.6%	75.5%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
Fenerbahce or draw (X2)	70.8%	72.1%	54.6%	1.32×	1.39
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1X)	52.6%	52.6%	71.1%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw at HT	72.6%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT	64.7%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Istanbul Basaksehir or Fenerbahce at HT	62.7%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw (1UP)	70.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP)	52.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw in 2nd half	73.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir or Fenerbahce in 2nd half	69.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half	57.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	44.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (DNB)	61.9%	62.7%	38.9%	1.61×	1.60
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB)	38.1%	37.3%	61.1%	0.61×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score first	54.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first	42.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.86

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	69.3%	58.5%	55.5%	1.05×	1.71
Not both teams to score	30.7%	41.5%	44.5%	0.93×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.5%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	21.1%	27.9%	33.7%	0.83×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	10.9%	0.76×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	72.5%	80.4%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.5%	19.6%	16.6%	1.18×	5.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	58.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	41.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	42.5%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	30.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	11.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	27.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	32.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.7%	42.2%	28.4%	1.48×	2.37
2-3 goals	40.3%	42.2%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
0-1 goals	12.0%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.91
7+ goals	7.0%	7.6%	2.7%	2.87×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score 3+	32.5%	33.8%	13.8%	2.44×	2.96
Fenerbahce to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	21.1%	1.30×	3.64
Fenerbahce to score exactly 1	27.0%	27.4%	35.2%	0.78×	3.64
Fenerbahce to score exactly 0	13.4%	12.9%	30.2%	0.43×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.6%	32.0%	1.02×	3.07
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.6%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0	21.1%	23.3%	22.2%	1.05×	4.30
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+	20.6%	23.3%	22.2%	1.05×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Fenerbahce leading at HT	35.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT	27.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce -1: 1	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Fenerbahce -1: 2	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Fenerbahce -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (0:1)	70.8%	71.0%	54.6%	1.30×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.0%	17.8%	24.0%	0.74×	5.62
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1)	14.1%	13.7%	21.5%	0.64×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (0:2)	85.9%	87.1%	78.5%	1.11×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	11.6%	0.66×	13.04
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2)	5.4%	7.6%	10.0%	0.76×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	41.98
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	96.5%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	81.83
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.2%	1.04×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0)	52.6%	54.1%	71.1%	0.76×	1.85
Fenerbahce (1:0)	27.7%	25.1%	13.1%	1.91×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	15.9%	1.08×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0)	72.3%	76.5%	86.9%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.5%	10.3%	7.8%	1.32×	9.70
Fenerbahce (2:0)	13.2%	10.3%	5.4%	1.89×	9.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede	86.6%	85.5%	69.8%	1.23×	1.17
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	13.4%	14.5%	30.2%	0.48×	6.91

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half	55.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half	44.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 2nd half	70.0%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 2nd half	30.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners	85.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners	14.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.2%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals	79.4%	77.8%	77.8%	1.00×	1.29
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals	78.9%	77.8%	77.8%	1.00×	1.29
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals	53.9%	53.2%	54.1%	0.98×	1.88
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals	46.1%	46.8%	46.0%	1.02×	2.14
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals	21.1%	22.2%	22.2%	1.00×	4.50
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals	20.6%	22.2%	22.2%	1.00×	4.50
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	7.4%	1.06×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	10.0%	—	—	9.99

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Istanbul Basaksehir scores equally in both	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (home no bet)	66.9%	64.1%	52.7%	1.22×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	33.1%	35.9%	47.3%	0.76×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals	52.2%	50.8%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals	47.8%	49.2%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 0-2	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 1-2	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	27.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Fenerbahce at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Fenerbahce at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score last	54.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last	42.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.86

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Fenerbahce to lead by 1 at any time	66.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time	51.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Fenerbahce to lead by 2 at any time	36.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time	22.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Fenerbahce to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce most corners	61.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners	28.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.1%	83.4%	85.4%	0.98×	1.20
2-6 goals	81.0%	83.4%	73.9%	1.13×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.3%	69.8%	1.04×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.6%	68.8%	75.4%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.1%	63.3%	51.4%	1.23×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.4%	59.1%	59.8%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.0%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.5%	48.4%	61.3%	0.79×	2.06
4-6 goals	40.7%	43.6%	28.4%	1.53×	2.29
2-3 goals	40.3%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.29
4-5 goals	32.6%	35.2%	24.3%	1.45×	2.84
1-2 goals	27.1%	30.2%	38.3%	0.79×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.7%	24.4%	14.3%	1.71×	4.09
7+ goals	7.0%	8.9%	2.7%	3.35×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce never behind	45.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind	30.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	50.8%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	49.2%	1.00×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	76.4%	1.15×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	93.2%	0.88×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	69.1%	66.3%	53.9%	1.23×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	52.3%	52.5%	69.1%	0.76×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	47.7%	47.5%	30.9%	1.54×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	30.9%	33.7%	46.1%	0.73×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	16.8%	1.64×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	6.8%	2.61×	5.66
Under 1.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	23.6%	0.53×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.4%	92.4%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.2%	86.7%	69.6%	1.25×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.5%	81.1%	92.5%	0.88×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.6%	61.9%	80.4%	0.77×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.7%	61.9%	40.2%	1.54×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.3%	38.1%	59.8%	0.64×	2.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.4%	38.1%	19.6%	1.95×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	17.5%	18.9%	7.5%	2.51×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.8%	13.3%	30.4%	0.44×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.6%	7.6%	2.8%	2.74×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.6%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.9%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.5%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.5%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.4%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves	71.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Fenerbahce not to score in both halves	61.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Fenerbahce to score in both halves	38.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves	28.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	69.3%	59.9%	55.5%	1.08×	1.67
Only Fenerbahce scores	17.3%	16.0%	14.4%	1.11×	6.24
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores	9.7%	7.2%	22.4%	0.32×	13.98
Neither team scores	3.8%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.57

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	18.9%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.1%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.1%	17.5%	6.8%	2.58×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	13.6%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	8.2%	7.6%	15.8%	0.48×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	3.8%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
No goals in 1st half	23.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	12.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves	92.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Fenerbahce not to win both halves	84.6%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Fenerbahce to win both halves	15.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves	7.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win either half	62.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half	53.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half	46.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Fenerbahce to win neither half	37.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil	90.4%	92.1%	77.6%	1.19×	1.09
Fenerbahce not to win to nil	82.7%	83.1%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Fenerbahce to win to nil	17.3%	16.9%	14.4%	1.17×	5.91
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil	9.7%	7.9%	22.4%	0.35×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.15
Fenerbahce by 1	19.7%	17.1%	15.9%	1.07×	5.86
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1	15.0%	17.0%	24.0%	0.71×	5.87
Fenerbahce by 2	14.5%	11.8%	7.8%	1.51×	8.50
Fenerbahce by 3+	13.2%	11.8%	5.4%	2.16×	8.50
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2	8.7%	7.2%	11.6%	0.62×	13.90
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.92