Istanbul Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Istanbul Basaksehir

17:00 UTC

Genclerbirligi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 297h before kick-off

Istanbul Basaksehir win

55.7%

model 57.7%

Draw

26.1%

model 25.1%

Genclerbirligi win

18.2%

model 17.2%

562618

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
2-0 10.7%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.9%	Under 2.5	48.1%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+	84.0%	Istanbul Basaksehir 2+	54.7%
Genclerbirligi 1+	60.0%	Genclerbirligi 2+	23.4%

Expected goals 1.83 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

56.9% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Genclerbirligi not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1508.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Istanbul Basaksehir have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 26.1% for the draw and 18.2% for Genclerbirligi. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.83 for Istanbul Basaksehir and 0.92 for Genclerbirligi.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1508.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Genclerbirligi can win

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. They have had 22 days' rest to Istanbul Basaksehir's 15.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Genclerbirligi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Istanbul Basaksehir: 42% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Genclerbirligi: 45% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Istanbul Basaksehir are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	582517	1.83–0.92	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572617	1.76–0.88	1-1 12%	49%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win	56.9%	54.1%	45.4%	1.19×	1.85
Draw	25.8%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
Genclerbirligi to win	17.3%	19.3%	28.7%	0.67×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score	33.0%	29.7%	22.3%	1.33×	3.37
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score	23.9%	21.9%	23.2%	0.94×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	18.2%	0.99×	5.58
Genclerbirligi & not both score	8.8%	8.4%	14.3%	0.58×	11.93
Draw & not both score	8.4%	8.4%	8.0%	1.05×	11.93
Genclerbirligi & both teams score	8.5%	8.4%	14.5%	0.58×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5	45.7%	45.2%	36.2%	1.25×	2.21
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	29.4%	1.19×	2.87
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5	34.6%	30.9%	30.3%	1.02×	3.24
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5	22.2%	21.7%	15.2%	1.42×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Genclerbirligi & under 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	19.5%	0.66×	7.77
Genclerbirligi & over 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	22.3%	0.58×	7.77
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.77
Genclerbirligi & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.70
Genclerbirligi & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.70
Genclerbirligi & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.93
Genclerbirligi & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	9.3%	0.51×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP)	69.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Genclerbirligi (1UP)	34.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP)	56.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Genclerbirligi (2UP)	17.3%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half	45.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	35.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Genclerbirligi to win 2nd half	18.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi (+2.5)	84.9%	82.4%	90.1%	0.92×	1.21
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5)	82.7%	82.4%	71.3%	1.16×	1.21
Genclerbirligi (+1.5)	66.9%	68.7%	78.6%	0.87×	1.46
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5)	56.9%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
Genclerbirligi (+0.5)	43.1%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir (-1.5)	33.1%	31.3%	21.5%	1.46×	3.20
Genclerbirligi (-0.5)	17.3%	17.6%	28.7%	0.61×	5.69
Istanbul Basaksehir (-2.5)	15.1%	17.6%	9.9%	1.77×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi to concede	82.8%	81.3%	77.8%	1.05×	1.23
Genclerbirligi clean sheet	17.2%	18.7%	22.2%	0.84×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Genclerbirligi to concede in 1st half	53.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi under 6.5 corners	90.8%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Genclerbirligi under 5.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Genclerbirligi under 4.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Genclerbirligi over 2.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Genclerbirligi under 3.5 corners	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Genclerbirligi over 3.5 corners	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Genclerbirligi under 2.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Genclerbirligi over 5.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Genclerbirligi over 6.5 corners	9.2%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.6%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Genclerbirligi under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Genclerbirligi under 1.5 goals	77.9%	76.2%	65.2%	1.17×	1.31
Genclerbirligi over 0.5 goals	58.6%	59.5%	69.8%	0.85×	1.68
Genclerbirligi under 0.5 goals	41.4%	40.5%	30.2%	1.34×	2.47
Genclerbirligi over 1.5 goals	22.1%	23.8%	34.8%	0.68×	4.21
Genclerbirligi over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	13.8%	0.56×	13.06
Genclerbirligi over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	4.6%	0.53×	40.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Genclerbirligi under 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Genclerbirligi over 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Genclerbirligi over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (away no bet)	68.8%	66.4%	63.6%	1.05×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.2%	33.6%	36.4%	0.92×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi even goals	58.6%	56.9%	54.4%	1.04×	1.76
Genclerbirligi odd goals	41.4%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.09

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row	45.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
Genclerbirligi to score 2+ in a row	15.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Genclerbirligi to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.76

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5)	94.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5)	90.6%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5)	84.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Genclerbirligi corners (+3.5)	66.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Genclerbirligi corners (+2.5)	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5)	55.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Genclerbirligi corners (+1.5)	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5)	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5)	33.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Genclerbirligi corners (-1.5)	15.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Genclerbirligi corners (-2.5)	9.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Genclerbirligi corners (-3.5)	5.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	36.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.73
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
2-0	11.0%	11.5%	6.1%	1.89×	8.73
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
3-0	6.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.48
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.46
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.46
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.47
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.49
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.49
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.49
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.46
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.49
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.48
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.28×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.85×	58.49
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.47
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.48
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.48
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	11.56×	58.49
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB)	72.8%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Genclerbirligi leading at HT (DNB)	27.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1X)	82.7%	80.7%	71.3%	1.13×	1.24
Istanbul Basaksehir or Genclerbirligi (12)	74.2%	72.1%	74.0%	0.98×	1.39
Genclerbirligi or draw (X2)	43.1%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT	84.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Genclerbirligi or draw at HT	58.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Istanbul Basaksehir or Genclerbirligi at HT	57.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP)	82.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Genclerbirligi or draw (1UP)	43.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half	81.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Istanbul Basaksehir or Genclerbirligi in 2nd half	64.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Genclerbirligi or draw in 2nd half	54.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB)	76.7%	74.6%	61.3%	1.22×	1.34
Genclerbirligi (DNB)	23.3%	25.4%	38.7%	0.66×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first	61.0%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Genclerbirligi to score first	30.6%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.1%	51.4%	44.4%	1.16×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.9%	48.6%	55.6%	0.87×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.4%	38.5%	33.7%	1.14×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	37.5%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.6%	83.4%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.4%	16.6%	0.87×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.6%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.4%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.1%	5.0%	—	—	19.89

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.4%	45.7%	1.04×	2.11
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.4%	28.4%	0.93×	3.79
0-1 goals	24.6%	22.8%	23.5%	0.97×	4.38
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.61

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi to score exactly 0	41.4%	37.0%	30.2%	1.23×	2.70
Genclerbirligi to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Genclerbirligi to score exactly 2	16.1%	19.6%	21.2%	0.92×	5.12
Genclerbirligi to score 3+	6.0%	8.4%	13.8%	0.61×	11.84

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1	30.2%	32.6%	32.1%	1.02×	3.06
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+	25.9%	26.5%	22.2%	1.20×	3.77
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0	17.2%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT	41.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
Genclerbirligi leading at HT	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 2	43.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 1	33.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: X	23.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi (0:1)	43.1%	42.7%	54.6%	0.78×	2.34
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1)	33.1%	30.0%	21.5%	1.40×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	23.8%	24.3%	24.1%	1.01×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi (0:2)	66.9%	72.2%	78.6%	0.92×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	11.7%	1.31×	6.54
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2)	15.1%	15.3%	9.9%	1.54×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi (0:3)	84.9%	85.2%	90.1%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.4%	5.8%	6.5%	0.90×	17.13
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	3.6%	1.64×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi (0:4)	94.4%	94.7%	96.5%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.9%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	83.30
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	1.2%	1.01×	83.54

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0)	82.7%	81.4%	71.3%	1.14×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.3%	12.8%	15.8%	0.81×	7.81
Genclerbirligi (1:0)	6.0%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0)	94.0%	94.0%	87.0%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	7.7%	0.29×	44.10
Genclerbirligi (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede	58.6%	61.0%	69.8%	0.87×	1.64
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	41.4%	39.0%	30.2%	1.29×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half	70.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half	29.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners	74.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners	60.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners	53.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners	46.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners	39.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners	25.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals	89.7%	87.3%	92.6%	0.94×	1.15
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals	82.8%	82.1%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals	74.1%	74.2%	77.8%	0.95×	1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	45.9%	1.16×	1.88
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.8%	54.1%	0.86×	2.14
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals	25.9%	25.8%	22.2%	1.16×	3.88
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals	17.2%	17.9%	22.2%	0.81×	5.59
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals	10.3%	12.7%	7.4%	1.72×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.9%	56.8%	47.6%	1.19×	1.76
Genclerbirligi (home no bet)	40.1%	43.2%	52.4%	0.82×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals	51.5%	50.6%	50.9%	0.99×	1.98
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	49.1%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	24.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	35.5%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Genclerbirligi at HT / Genclerbirligi at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Draw at HT / Genclerbirligi at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Genclerbirligi at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Genclerbirligi at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Genclerbirligi at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last	61.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Genclerbirligi to score last	30.4%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time	69.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time	38.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Genclerbirligi to lead by 1 at any time	34.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Genclerbirligi to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Genclerbirligi to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners	66.5%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Genclerbirligi most corners	23.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	85.5%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.6%	72.4%	74.0%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	64.2%	63.4%	61.2%	1.04×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.4%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.7%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.1%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.3%	43.6%	38.3%	1.14×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.1%	37.3%	1.05×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	28.4%	1.06×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.2%	24.5%	24.4%	1.00×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.9%	14.2%	1.05×	6.73
7+ goals	1.9%	2.5%	2.7%	0.96×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind	57.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Genclerbirligi never behind	22.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	50.8%	50.7%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.2%	49.3%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	76.5%	1.01×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.6%	72.5%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.7%	52.5%	46.2%	1.14×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.3%	47.5%	53.8%	0.88×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	27.4%	27.5%	30.9%	0.89×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	23.5%	0.96×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	16.7%	0.74×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	92.5%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.9%	81.1%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.7%	67.4%	69.6%	0.97×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.9%	62.1%	59.9%	1.04×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.1%	37.9%	40.1%	0.94×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.3%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.1%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	7.5%	7.4%	1.02×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	2.8%	1.00×	36.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi not to score in both halves	87.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves	66.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves	33.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Genclerbirligi to score in both halves	12.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.9%	50.5%	55.6%	0.91×	1.98
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores	33.0%	33.4%	22.3%	1.49×	3.00
Only Genclerbirligi scores	8.8%	7.2%	14.3%	0.50×	13.90
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	25.0%	22.8%	1.10×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.2%	17.4%	15.7%	1.11×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	14.3%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	6.7%	1.15×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves	80.6%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves	19.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.28
Genclerbirligi to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi to win neither half	68.9%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half	68.1%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half	31.9%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Genclerbirligi to win either half	31.1%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genclerbirligi not to win to nil	91.2%	92.0%	85.7%	1.07×	1.09
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil	67.0%	69.7%	77.7%	0.90×	1.44
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil	33.0%	30.3%	22.3%	1.36×	3.30
Genclerbirligi to win to nil	8.8%	8.0%	14.3%	0.56×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.8%	27.8%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1	23.8%	24.2%	24.1%	1.00×	4.14
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2	18.0%	16.9%	11.7%	1.45×	5.91
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+	15.1%	16.9%	9.9%	1.71×	5.91
Genclerbirligi by 1	11.3%	11.8%	15.8%	0.74×	8.48
Genclerbirligi by 2	4.5%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.95
Genclerbirligi by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	37.05