Istanbul Basaksehir v Samsunspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Istanbul Basaksehir

20:00 UTC

Samsunspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Istanbul Basaksehir win

53.6%

model 54.7%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.9%

Samsunspor win

23.1%

model 20.4%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.3%
1-0 8.8%
0-0 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.0%	Under 2.5	44.0%
BTTS yes	56.6%	BTTS no	43.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+	84.4%	Istanbul Basaksehir 2+	55.5%
Samsunspor 1+	65.6%	Samsunspor 2+	28.9%

Expected goals 1.86 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 46%

56.0% fair odds 1.79

moderate signal · 926 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1584.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Istanbul Basaksehir have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.1% for Samsunspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.86 for Istanbul Basaksehir and 1.07 for Samsunspor.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1584.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Samsunspor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Samsunspor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Samsunspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Istanbul Basaksehir: 42% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Samsunspor: 58% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Istanbul Basaksehir are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552520	1.86–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572419	1.92–1.04	1-1 11%	57%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win	56.8%	53.9%	45.4%	1.19×	1.86
Draw	24.2%	24.5%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09
Samsunspor to win	19.0%	19.4%	28.9%	0.67×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score	29.1%	25.2%	22.4%	1.13×	3.97
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score	27.7%	25.2%	23.1%	1.09×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Samsunspor & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	14.6%	0.91×	7.54
Samsunspor & not both score	8.4%	8.3%	14.4%	0.58×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.3%	8.3%	8.0%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5	47.9%	45.1%	36.2%	1.24×	2.22
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5	38.3%	34.9%	30.3%	1.15×	2.87
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5	34.5%	30.8%	29.5%	1.04×	3.25
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	16.1%	1.35×	4.63
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	15.2%	1.19×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Samsunspor & over 1.5	14.7%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.79
Samsunspor & under 3.5	13.4%	12.8%	19.6%	0.66×	7.79
Samsunspor & over 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.79
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.0%	1.00×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Samsunspor & under 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	10.9%	0.73×	12.63
Samsunspor & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.63
Samsunspor & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP)	70.7%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Samsunspor (1UP)	38.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP)	56.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Samsunspor (2UP)	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half	46.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	33.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Samsunspor to win 2nd half	20.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Samsunspor under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Samsunspor over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Samsunspor over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (+2.5)	83.7%	82.6%	90.0%	0.92×	1.21
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5)	81.0%	82.6%	71.1%	1.16×	1.21
Samsunspor (+1.5)	65.9%	68.7%	78.5%	0.87×	1.46
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5)	56.8%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
Samsunspor (+0.5)	43.2%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir (-1.5)	34.1%	31.3%	21.5%	1.46×	3.19
Samsunspor (-0.5)	19.0%	17.4%	28.9%	0.60×	5.74
Istanbul Basaksehir (-2.5)	16.3%	17.4%	10.0%	1.74×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede	85.3%	86.2%	77.8%	1.11×	1.16
Samsunspor clean sheet	14.7%	13.8%	22.2%	0.62×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede in 1st half	56.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Samsunspor clean sheet in 1st half	43.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede in 2nd half	66.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Samsunspor clean sheet in 2nd half	33.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Samsunspor under 5.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Samsunspor over 2.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Samsunspor under 4.5 corners	61.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Samsunspor over 3.5 corners	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Samsunspor under 3.5 corners	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Samsunspor over 4.5 corners	38.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Samsunspor under 2.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Samsunspor over 5.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Samsunspor over 6.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	95.3%	1.02×	1.03
Samsunspor under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Samsunspor under 1.5 goals	72.2%	71.8%	65.2%	1.10×	1.39
Samsunspor over 0.5 goals	64.5%	63.2%	69.8%	0.91×	1.58
Samsunspor under 0.5 goals	35.5%	36.8%	30.2%	1.22×	2.72
Samsunspor over 1.5 goals	27.8%	28.2%	34.8%	0.81×	3.55
Samsunspor over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	13.8%	0.55×	13.06
Samsunspor over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	4.7%	0.53×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Samsunspor under 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Samsunspor over 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Samsunspor over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor scores equally in both	45.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Samsunspor scores more in 2nd half	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Samsunspor scores more in 1st half	20.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (away no bet)	70.1%	68.3%	63.6%	1.07×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.9%	31.7%	36.4%	0.87×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor even goals	56.3%	56.9%	54.5%	1.04×	1.76
Samsunspor odd goals	43.7%	43.1%	45.5%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row	49.1%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Samsunspor to score 2+ in a row	19.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Samsunspor to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.39

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Samsunspor corners (+3.5)	78.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Samsunspor corners (+2.5)	69.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Samsunspor corners (+1.5)	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5)	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5)	30.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Samsunspor corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5)	21.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Samsunspor corners (-2.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Samsunspor corners (-3.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	22.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	36.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	12.5%	0.92×	8.72
1-0	8.9%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.51
0-0	6.3%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
3-0	6.1%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
Any other score	4.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.66×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.32
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
4-1	3.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.30
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	11.64×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2nd half DNB)	69.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Samsunspor (2nd half DNB)	30.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB)	71.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Samsunspor leading at HT (DNB)	28.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.6%	71.1%	1.13×	1.24
Istanbul Basaksehir or Samsunspor (12)	75.8%	75.5%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
Samsunspor or draw (X2)	43.2%	46.1%	54.6%	0.84×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT	82.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Istanbul Basaksehir or Samsunspor at HT	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Samsunspor or draw at HT	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Samsunspor or draw (1UP)	43.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half	79.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Istanbul Basaksehir or Samsunspor in 2nd half	66.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Samsunspor or draw in 2nd half	53.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB)	75.0%	71.5%	61.1%	1.17×	1.40
Samsunspor (DNB)	25.0%	28.5%	38.9%	0.73×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first	60.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Samsunspor to score first	32.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.2%	55.0%	55.5%	0.99×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.8%	45.0%	44.5%	1.01×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.7%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	31.9%	34.6%	33.7%	1.02×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	12.5%	0.99×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.1%	82.7%	83.4%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.9%	17.3%	16.6%	1.04×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.8%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.4%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.3%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.1%	30.7%	28.4%	1.08×	3.26
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.3%	23.6%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	3.1%	1.8%	2.7%	0.70×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Samsunspor to score exactly 0	35.5%	35.9%	30.2%	1.19×	2.79
Samsunspor to score exactly 2	19.1%	19.5%	21.1%	0.93×	5.12
Samsunspor to score 3+	8.7%	8.6%	13.8%	0.62×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+	30.1%	32.6%	22.2%	1.46×	3.07
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1	28.2%	26.6%	32.0%	0.83×	3.77
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0	14.7%	14.3%	22.2%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Samsunspor leading at HT	17.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 2	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 1	34.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: X	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:1)	43.2%	42.6%	54.6%	0.78×	2.35
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1)	34.1%	30.2%	21.5%	1.40×	3.31
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.2%	24.0%	1.01×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:2)	65.9%	72.2%	78.5%	0.92×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.7%	15.3%	11.6%	1.31×	6.55
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2)	16.3%	15.3%	10.0%	1.52×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:3)	83.7%	85.4%	90.0%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.8%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.20
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3)	6.5%	5.8%	3.5%	1.64×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:4)	93.5%	94.6%	96.5%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	81.49
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.2%	1.04×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0)	81.0%	81.4%	71.1%	1.14×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.8%	12.7%	15.9%	0.80×	7.87
Samsunspor (1:0)	7.2%	6.9%	13.1%	0.53×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0)	92.8%	94.0%	86.9%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	7.8%	0.82×	15.68
Samsunspor (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	5.4%	0.42×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.6%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede	64.5%	63.7%	69.8%	0.91×	1.57
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	35.5%	36.3%	30.2%	1.20×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half	66.0%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half	34.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 2nd half	53.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 2nd half	46.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	92.6%	0.94×	1.15
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.3%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	77.8%	0.87×	1.47
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals	57.1%	58.7%	46.0%	1.28×	1.71
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals	42.9%	41.4%	54.1%	0.77×	2.42
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	22.2%	1.44×	3.12
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.85
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	7.4%	1.73×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half	80.0%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half	20.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 2nd half	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Istanbul Basaksehir scores equally in both	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.1%	56.4%	47.3%	1.19×	1.77
Samsunspor (home no bet)	43.9%	43.6%	52.7%	0.83×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals	51.1%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	23.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	35.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Samsunspor at HT / Samsunspor at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Draw at HT / Samsunspor at FT	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Samsunspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Samsunspor at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Samsunspor at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last	61.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Samsunspor to score last	32.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Samsunspor to lead by 1 at any time	38.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Samsunspor to lead by 2 at any time	12.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Samsunspor to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	62.30

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Samsunspor most corners	35.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	85.4%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.4%	78.7%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.0%	78.7%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.3%	69.8%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	61.3%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.5%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.7%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	38.3%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.1%	35.2%	28.4%	1.24×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.3%	30.2%	24.3%	1.24×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.6%	14.8%	14.3%	1.04×	6.75
7+ goals	3.1%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind	55.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Samsunspor never behind	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.9%	50.8%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.1%	49.2%	1.00×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	93.2%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.3%	82.3%	83.2%	0.99×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	76.4%	1.08×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	65.7%	66.3%	69.1%	0.96×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.7%	58.6%	53.9%	1.09×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.3%	41.4%	46.1%	0.90×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	34.3%	33.7%	30.9%	1.09×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	23.6%	0.75×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	17.7%	17.7%	16.8%	1.05×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	6.8%	1.14×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.2%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.2%	92.4%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.8%	75.9%	80.4%	0.94×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.4%	72.4%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.9%	55.8%	59.8%	0.93×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.1%	44.2%	40.2%	1.10×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.6%	27.6%	30.4%	0.91×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.2%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.8%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.8%	2.8%	1.02×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to score in both halves	84.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Samsunspor to score in both halves	15.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.2%	58.5%	55.5%	1.05×	1.71
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores	29.1%	26.1%	22.4%	1.17×	3.83
Only Samsunspor scores	8.4%	7.1%	14.4%	0.50×	14.00
Neither team scores	6.3%	7.1%	8.0%	0.90×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.8%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.9%	7.6%	6.8%	1.12×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.3%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves	80.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves	20.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Samsunspor to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half	69.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Samsunspor to win neither half	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Samsunspor to win either half	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half	31.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to win to nil	91.6%	92.1%	85.6%	1.08×	1.09
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil	70.9%	75.3%	77.6%	0.97×	1.33
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil	29.1%	24.7%	22.4%	1.11×	4.04
Samsunspor to win to nil	8.4%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.2%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.15
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1	22.7%	24.1%	24.0%	1.00×	4.15
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2	17.7%	17.1%	11.6%	1.47×	5.87
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+	16.3%	17.0%	10.0%	1.70×	5.87
Samsunspor by 1	11.8%	11.8%	15.9%	0.74×	8.51
Samsunspor by 2	5.2%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.92
Samsunspor by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	5.4%	0.50×	36.91