Istra 1961 v Rudeš — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627

CRO-HNL results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Istra 1961

15:00 UTC

Rudeš

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 11 Sep, 11:38 · 27h before kick-off

Istra 1961 win

59.4%

model 61.0%

Draw

23.1%

model 23.1%

Rudeš win

17.5%

model 15.8%

592317

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,309 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.0%
3-1 7.2%
3-0 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.0%	Under 2.5	36.0%
BTTS yes	60.8%	BTTS no	39.2%
Istra 1961 1+	89.0%	Istra 1961 2+	64.8%
Rudeš 1+	66.3%	Rudeš 2+	29.7%

Expected goals 2.21 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

25/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

90%

★ Best pick

Istra 1961 (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 47%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

strong signal · 11680 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Istra 1961 or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Istra 1961 carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1469.
At home Istra 1961 average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to Rudeš's 6.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Istra 1961 have only 0 matches on record.
Rudeš have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Istra 1961 have an estimated 59.4% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 17.5% for Rudeš. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.21 for Istra 1961 and 1.09 for Rudeš.

Why Istra 1961

Istra 1961 carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1469. At home Istra 1961 average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Rudeš's 6.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%.

Why Rudeš can win

Away from home Rudeš average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Istra 1961, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rudeš, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Istra 1961: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rudeš: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Istra 1961 are the model's most likely outcome at 59.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 25/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612316	2.21–1.09	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	711811	2.66–1.01	2-1 9%	71%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to win	70.9%	73.1%	47.4%	1.54×	1.37
Draw	18.4%	19.4%	26.1%	0.74×	5.16
Rudeš to win	10.6%	13.5%	27.0%	0.50×	7.38

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 & both teams score	38.5%	32.9%	21.8%	1.51×	3.04
Istra 1961 & not both score	32.5%	29.2%	26.1%	1.12×	3.42
Draw & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	18.5%	0.72×	7.54
Rudeš & both teams score	7.5%	8.4%	13.3%	0.63×	11.97
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	8.1%	0.61×	20.36
Rudeš & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	14.2%	0.35×	20.38

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 & over 1.5	65.5%	66.5%	39.3%	1.69×	1.50
Istra 1961 & over 2.5	56.5%	54.4%	28.4%	1.91×	1.84
Istra 1961 & over 3.5	39.4%	34.7%	14.7%	2.36×	2.88
Istra 1961 & under 3.5	31.6%	31.0%	33.2%	0.94×	3.22
Istra 1961 & under 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	14.5%	12.9%	18.5%	0.70×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Rudeš & over 1.5	9.4%	8.0%	24.2%	0.33×	12.57
Rudeš & over 2.5	8.1%	8.0%	16.6%	0.48×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	8.0%	7.1%	1.12×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	8.0%	7.1%	1.12×	12.57
Rudeš & under 3.5	6.4%	8.0%	17.1%	0.47×	12.57
Istra 1961 & under 1.5	5.4%	8.0%	8.5%	0.93×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.9%	8.1%	0.60×	20.58
Rudeš & over 3.5	4.2%	4.9%	10.4%	0.47×	20.58
Rudeš & under 2.5	2.5%	4.9%	10.9%	0.45×	20.59
Rudeš & under 1.5	1.2%	4.9%	3.3%	1.46×	20.59

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (1UP)	82.1%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Rudeš (1UP)	30.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (2UP)	70.9%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Rudeš (2UP)	10.6%	13.1%	—	—	7.63

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to win 2nd half	58.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	26.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Rudeš to win 2nd half	14.3%	12.5%	—	—	7.97

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.6%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Rudeš under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Rudeš over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Rudeš over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.4%	13.3%	—	—	7.51

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Istra 1961 under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Istra 1961 over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Istra 1961 under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (+0.5)	89.4%	88.4%	73.0%	1.21×	1.13
Istra 1961 (-0.5)	70.9%	73.7%	47.4%	1.55×	1.36
Rudeš (+2.5)	69.1%	68.7%	90.0%	0.76×	1.46
Istra 1961 (-1.5)	51.3%	52.1%	27.5%	1.89×	1.92
Rudeš (+1.5)	48.7%	47.9%	72.5%	0.66×	2.09
Istra 1961 (-2.5)	30.9%	31.3%	10.0%	3.14×	3.20
Rudeš (+0.5)	29.1%	26.3%	52.6%	0.50×	3.80
Rudeš (-0.5)	10.6%	11.6%	27.0%	0.43×	8.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš to concede	93.0%	91.1%	78.2%	1.17×	1.10
Rudeš clean sheet	7.0%	8.9%	21.8%	0.41×	11.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš to concede in 1st half	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Rudeš clean sheet in 1st half	31.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.27

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš to concede in 2nd half	78.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Rudeš clean sheet in 2nd half	22.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.4%	94.8%	1.03×	1.03
Rudeš under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.2%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Rudeš under 1.5 goals	73.2%	71.9%	65.4%	1.10×	1.39
Rudeš over 0.5 goals	63.6%	63.5%	66.4%	0.96×	1.58
Rudeš under 0.5 goals	36.4%	36.5%	33.6%	1.09×	2.74
Rudeš over 1.5 goals	26.8%	28.1%	34.6%	0.81×	3.56
Rudeš over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	12.3%	0.63×	12.81
Rudeš over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.6%	5.2%	0.49×	38.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Rudeš under 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Rudeš over 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Rudeš over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.32

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš scores equally in both	45.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Rudeš scores more in 2nd half	33.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Rudeš scores more in 1st half	20.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (away no bet)	79.4%	74.2%	64.5%	1.15×	1.35
Draw (away no bet)	20.6%	25.8%	35.5%	0.73×	3.88

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš even goals	56.6%	56.9%	59.2%	0.96×	1.76
Rudeš odd goals	43.4%	43.1%	40.8%	1.06×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.4%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.4%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.7%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Istra 1961 to score 2+ in a row	66.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Istra 1961 to score 3+ in a row	37.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Rudeš to score 2+ in a row	16.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Rudeš to score 3+ in a row	3.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.68

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	13.3%	11.4%	4.3%	2.66×	8.80
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.53
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.53
1-1	8.2%	7.4%	11.8%	0.62×	13.53
3-0	8.0%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.53
3-1	8.1%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.53
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.53
4-0	5.3%	7.4%	2.8%	2.60×	13.53
4-1	5.4%	7.4%	2.8%	2.60×	13.53
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	8.1%	0.22×	57.66
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	57.67
0-2	1.3%	1.7%	8.1%	0.22×	57.67
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.68
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	57.68
1-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.66
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.67
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.68
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	57.66
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	57.67
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.66
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.67
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	57.67
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.67
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (2nd half DNB)	80.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Rudeš (2nd half DNB)	19.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 leading at HT (DNB)	80.9%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Rudeš leading at HT (DNB)	19.1%	13.9%	—	—	7.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 or draw (1X)	89.4%	86.5%	73.0%	1.18×	1.16
Istra 1961 or Rudeš (12)	81.6%	80.6%	73.9%	1.09×	1.24
Rudeš or draw (X2)	29.1%	26.9%	52.6%	0.51×	3.72

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 or draw at HT	87.2%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Istra 1961 or Rudeš at HT	67.2%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Rudeš or draw at HT	45.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 or draw (1UP)	89.4%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Rudeš or draw (1UP)	30.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 or draw in 2nd half	85.7%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Istra 1961 or Rudeš in 2nd half	73.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Rudeš or draw in 2nd half	41.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	50.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (DNB)	87.0%	87.1%	63.7%	1.37×	1.15
Rudeš (DNB)	13.0%	12.9%	36.3%	0.35×	7.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to score first	69.6%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Rudeš to score first	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.5%	56.5%	52.6%	1.07×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.5%	43.5%	47.4%	0.92×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.3%	47.2%	41.2%	1.15×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	20.9%	28.4%	37.4%	0.76×	3.53
Not both score & over 2.5	18.6%	21.4%	10.4%	2.05×	4.68
Both score & under 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	11.8%	0.71×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.1%	82.5%	88.2%	0.94×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.9%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.71

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.1%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	8.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	30.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.1%	41.9%	29.4%	1.43×	2.39
2-3 goals	39.6%	35.0%	50.2%	0.70×	2.86
0-1 goals	10.6%	17.1%	19.0%	0.90×	5.85
7+ goals	7.8%	7.6%	2.4%	3.22×	13.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.8%	32.2%	1.11×	2.80
Rudeš to score exactly 0	36.4%	35.8%	33.6%	1.06×	2.80
Rudeš to score exactly 2	18.6%	19.5%	22.7%	0.86×	5.12
Rudeš to score 3+	8.2%	8.8%	12.3%	0.71×	11.42

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to score 3+	49.5%	37.6%	18.0%	2.09×	2.66
Istra 1961 to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.4%	29.4%	0.79×	4.28
Istra 1961 to score exactly 1	18.7%	19.2%	31.8%	0.60×	5.22
Istra 1961 to score exactly 0	7.0%	10.5%	21.8%	0.48×	9.57

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 leading at HT	54.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Draw at HT	32.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Rudeš leading at HT	12.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 -1: 1	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Istra 1961 -1: 2	29.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Istra 1961 -1: X	19.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (0:1)	51.3%	51.3%	27.5%	1.87×	1.95
Rudeš (0:1)	29.1%	27.1%	52.6%	0.52×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	19.7%	17.8%	20.4%	0.87×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš (0:2)	48.7%	52.0%	72.5%	0.72×	1.92
Istra 1961 (0:2)	30.9%	28.8%	10.0%	2.89×	3.47
Draw (0:2)	20.4%	20.0%	18.0%	1.11×	5.01

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš (0:3)	69.1%	71.7%	90.0%	0.80×	1.40
Istra 1961 (0:3)	15.9%	16.1%	3.8%	4.24×	6.22
Draw (0:3)	15.0%	16.0%	6.6%	2.42×	6.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš (0:4)	84.1%	87.0%	96.2%	0.90×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	8.9%	4.9%	2.8%	1.71×	20.60
Istra 1961 (0:4)	7.0%	4.8%	1.4%	3.39×	20.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (1:0)	89.4%	86.2%	73.0%	1.18×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	6.6%	7.0%	8.5%	0.82×	14.33
Rudeš (1:0)	4.0%	3.5%	19.0%	0.18×	28.79

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 (2:0)	96.0%	96.5%	81.0%	1.19×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	2.9%	2.4%	12.8%	0.19×	41.40
Rudeš (2:0)	1.1%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	41.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to concede	63.6%	64.0%	66.4%	0.96×	1.56
Istra 1961 clean sheet	36.4%	36.0%	33.6%	1.07×	2.78

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 clean sheet in 1st half	66.7%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Istra 1961 to concede in 1st half	33.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 clean sheet in 2nd half	54.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Istra 1961 to concede in 2nd half	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.1%	78.2%	1.18×	1.09
Istra 1961 over 1.5 goals	74.3%	74.3%	46.9%	1.58×	1.35
Istra 1961 under 3.5 goals	72.5%	74.3%	91.5%	0.81×	1.35
Istra 1961 under 2.5 goals	50.5%	52.7%	82.0%	0.64×	1.90
Istra 1961 over 2.5 goals	49.5%	47.3%	18.0%	2.62×	2.12
Istra 1961 over 3.5 goals	27.5%	25.7%	8.5%	3.01×	3.89
Istra 1961 under 1.5 goals	25.7%	25.7%	53.1%	0.48×	3.89
Istra 1961 under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.9%	21.8%	0.36×	12.71

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 under 1.5 in 1st half	68.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Istra 1961 over 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Istra 1961 under 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.9%	—	—	3.14
Istra 1961 over 1.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 scores more in 2nd half	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Istra 1961 scores more in 1st half	28.7%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
Istra 1961 scores equally in both	25.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.4%	60.0%	49.1%	1.22×	1.67
Rudeš (home no bet)	36.6%	40.0%	50.9%	0.79×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 even goals	50.3%	50.4%	57.8%	0.87×	1.98
Istra 1961 odd goals	49.7%	49.6%	42.2%	1.18×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-0	21.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 2-0	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
Any other HT score	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-1	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 at HT / Istra 1961 at FT	48.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Draw at HT / Istra 1961 at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Rudeš at HT / Rudeš at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Istra 1961 at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Draw at HT / Rudeš at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Rudeš at HT / Istra 1961 at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Rudeš at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Istra 1961 at HT / Rudeš at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to score last	69.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Rudeš to score last	26.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Istra 1961 to lead by 1 at any time	82.1%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.5%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Istra 1961 to lead by 2 at any time	58.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	37.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Istra 1961 to lead by 3 at any time	35.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Rudeš to lead by 1 at any time	30.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Rudeš to lead by 2 at any time	8.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.05
Rudeš to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.46

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	81.6%	83.3%	79.1%	1.05×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.6%	78.5%	87.2%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.0%	72.3%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.5%	68.8%	80.6%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.1%	63.2%	49.3%	1.28×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.9%	59.3%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.4%	53.4%	46.4%	1.15×	1.87
1-3 goals	46.2%	48.5%	61.1%	0.79×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.1%	43.6%	29.4%	1.48×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	39.8%	1.09×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.6%	39.3%	50.2%	0.78×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.4%	35.3%	26.5%	1.33×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.2%	30.6%	41.2%	0.74×	3.27
5-6 goals	22.8%	24.8%	10.0%	2.49×	4.04
7+ goals	7.8%	9.0%	2.4%	3.79×	11.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 never behind	65.2%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Rudeš never behind	13.9%	13.1%	—	—	7.61

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	51.0%	39.8%	1.28×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.0%	60.2%	0.81×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.4%	87.5%	81.0%	1.08×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.6%	82.2%	94.8%	0.87×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	51.2%	1.41×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.4%	66.0%	88.2%	0.75×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	50.2%	53.0%	68.7%	0.77×	1.89
Over 3.5 goals	49.8%	47.0%	31.3%	1.50×	2.13
Over 4.5 goals	30.6%	34.0%	11.8%	2.87×	2.94
Under 2.5 goals	29.1%	27.6%	48.8%	0.57×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	16.4%	17.8%	5.2%	3.42×	5.61
Under 1.5 goals	10.6%	12.5%	19.0%	0.66×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	8.1%	0.57×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.5%	92.4%	97.6%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.0%	86.6%	73.0%	1.19×	1.16
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	80.9%	80.5%	94.4%	0.85×	1.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.1%	61.6%	39.1%	1.58×	1.62
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.1%	61.6%	85.3%	0.72×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.9%	38.4%	14.7%	2.61×	2.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.9%	38.4%	60.9%	0.63×	2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.1%	19.5%	5.6%	3.50×	5.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.0%	13.4%	27.0%	0.50×	7.47
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.5%	7.6%	2.4%	3.12×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.7%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	54.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš not to score in both halves	84.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Istra 1961 to score in both halves	53.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Istra 1961 not to score in both halves	46.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Rudeš to score in both halves	15.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.5%	60.2%	52.6%	1.15×	1.66
Only Istra 1961 scores	32.5%	33.2%	26.1%	1.27×	3.02
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	8.1%	0.57×	21.61
Only Rudeš scores	3.1%	4.6%	14.2%	0.33×	21.64

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.6%	19.9%	0.88×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	18.6%	17.6%	30.3%	0.58×	5.70
6 or more goals	16.4%	17.5%	5.2%	3.37×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	14.1%	12.1%	7.1%	1.70×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	6.6%	7.8%	11.4%	0.68×	12.86
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.5%	8.1%	0.56×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	24.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.32
No goals in 2nd half	12.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš not to win both halves	98.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Istra 1961 not to win both halves	67.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Istra 1961 to win both halves	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Rudeš to win both halves	1.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 to win either half	80.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Rudeš to win neither half	74.8%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Rudeš to win either half	25.2%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Istra 1961 to win neither half	19.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rudeš not to win to nil	96.9%	96.2%	85.8%	1.12×	1.04
Istra 1961 not to win to nil	67.5%	70.3%	73.9%	0.95×	1.42
Istra 1961 to win to nil	32.5%	29.7%	26.1%	1.14×	3.37
Rudeš to win to nil	3.1%	3.8%	14.2%	0.27×	26.20

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istra 1961 by 3+	30.9%	27.6%	10.0%	2.78×	3.62
Istra 1961 by 2	20.4%	24.2%	18.0%	1.34×	4.14
Istra 1961 by 1	19.7%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.92
Draw	18.4%	16.9%	26.1%	0.65×	5.92
Rudeš by 1	6.6%	7.3%	8.5%	0.85×	13.77
Rudeš by 2	2.9%	2.8%	12.8%	0.22×	35.60
Rudeš by 3+	1.1%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.65