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Jaguares de Córdoba v Atlético Bucaramanga — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Jaguares de Córdoba win
26.5%
model 25.2%
Draw
26.6%
model 29.1%
Atlético Bucaramanga win
47.0%
model 45.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.7%
  2. 0-1 12.0%
  3. 0-0 10.3%
  4. 0-2 9.1%
  5. 1-2 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.542.4% Under 2.557.6%
BTTS yes48.0% BTTS no52.0%
Jaguares de Córdoba 1+62.4% Jaguares de Córdoba 2+25.6%
Atlético Bucaramanga 1+75.3% Atlético Bucaramanga 2+40.8%

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Atlético Bucaramanga (DNB)
Draw no bet · usually 35%
63.2% fair odds 1.58
strong signal · 330 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Atlético Bucaramanga carry the stronger rating, 1550 Elo against 1403.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Bucaramanga have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.5% for Jaguares de Córdoba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Jaguares de Córdoba and 1.40 for Atlético Bucaramanga.

Why Jaguares de Córdoba

Nothing in the data singles out Jaguares de Córdoba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Atlético Bucaramanga can win

Atlético Bucaramanga carry the stronger rating, 1550 Elo against 1403.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jaguares de Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Bucaramanga, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jaguares de Córdoba: 45% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Bucaramanga: 50% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Atlético Bucaramanga are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.98–1.40 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.93–1.42 1-1 14% 42% 47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win 47.1% 47.4% 24.8% 1.91× 2.11
Draw 29.1% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.58
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 23.8% 24.5% 45.8% 0.53× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & not both score 28.7% 25.2% 13.4% 1.88× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 18.5% 18.0% 18.8% 0.95× 5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & both teams score 18.4% 18.0% 11.5% 1.56× 5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & not both score 13.7% 13.3% 27.1% 0.49× 7.54
Draw & not both score 10.6% 13.3% 10.8% 1.23× 7.54
Jaguares de Córdoba & both teams score 10.1% 13.3% 18.8% 0.70× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 3.5 35.5% 34.9% 19.9% 1.75× 2.87
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 1.5 34.6% 30.8% 16.5% 1.87× 3.25
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 2.5 25.1% 26.1% 12.9% 2.02× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 24.2% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 24.2% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 2.5 22.0% 21.6% 12.1% 1.79× 4.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 3.5 19.2% 18.0% 35.7% 0.50× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 18.5% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.55
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 1.5 15.9% 18.0% 33.8% 0.53× 5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 1.5 12.5% 12.8% 8.4% 1.52× 7.79
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 2.5 11.8% 12.8% 25.5% 0.50× 7.79
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 2.5 12.1% 12.8% 20.5% 0.63× 7.79
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 3.5 11.7% 12.8% 5.0% 2.57× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 10.8% 1.19× 7.79
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 1.5 7.9% 7.9% 12.2% 0.65× 12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 3.5 4.6% 4.8% 10.2% 0.47× 20.81
Draw & over 2.5 4.8% 4.8% 6.0% 0.81× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.8% 4.8% 6.0% 0.81× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1UP) 60.7% 62.8% — — 1.59
Jaguares de Córdoba (1UP) 39.9% 34.4% — — 2.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2UP) 47.1% 50.1% — — 2.00
Jaguares de Córdoba (2UP) 23.8% 23.9% — — 4.19
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win 2nd half 40.2% 41.8% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 38.5% 36.5% — — 2.74
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 2nd half 21.2% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.1% 79.6% — — 1.26
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.2% 54.4% — — 1.84
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 2nd half 42.8% 45.6% — — 2.19
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.9% 20.4% — — 4.90
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.0% 89.1% — — 1.12
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half 58.7% 58.1% — — 1.72
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.3% 41.9% — — 2.38
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.0% 10.9% — — 9.14
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (+2.5) 97.7% 96.3% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
Atlético Bucaramanga (+1.5) 91.4% 92.1% 79.6% 1.16× 1.09
Atlético Bucaramanga (+0.5) 76.2% 78.5% 54.2% 1.45× 1.27
Jaguares de Córdoba (+0.5) 52.9% 52.4% 75.2% 0.70× 1.91
Atlético Bucaramanga (-0.5) 47.1% 47.6% 24.8% 1.92× 2.10
Jaguares de Córdoba (-0.5) 23.8% 21.5% 45.8% 0.47× 4.65
Jaguares de Córdoba (-1.5) 8.6% 7.9% 20.4% 0.39× 12.69
Jaguares de Córdoba (-2.5) 2.3% 3.7% 8.2% 0.45× 27.19
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede 60.7% 67.5% 75.9% 0.89× 1.48
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet 39.3% 32.5% 24.1% 1.35× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 1st half 66.9% 71.2% — — 1.40
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 1st half 33.1% 28.8% — — 3.48
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 2nd half 58.7% 57.4% — — 1.74
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 2nd half 41.3% 42.6% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 6.5 corners 78.9% 76.1% — — 1.32
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 corners 75.9% 76.0% — — 1.32
Atlético Bucaramanga under 5.5 corners 68.4% 67.6% — — 1.48
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 corners 60.3% 61.7% — — 1.62
Atlético Bucaramanga under 4.5 corners 55.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Atlético Bucaramanga over 4.5 corners 45.0% 42.8% — — 2.34
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 corners 39.7% 38.3% — — 2.61
Atlético Bucaramanga over 5.5 corners 31.6% 32.4% — — 3.09
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 corners 24.1% 24.0% — — 4.17
Atlético Bucaramanga over 6.5 corners 21.1% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 goals 94.5% 92.4% 98.1% 0.94× 1.08
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 goals 83.0% 81.5% 92.9% 0.88× 1.23
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 goals 75.7% 76.2% 62.2% 1.23× 1.31
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 goals 58.7% 59.4% 74.2% 0.80× 1.68
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 goals 41.3% 40.6% 25.8% 1.57× 2.47
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 goals 24.3% 23.8% 37.8% 0.63× 4.21
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 goals 17.0% 18.5% 7.1% 2.62× 5.41
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 goals 5.5% 7.6% 1.9% 3.94× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 1st half 88.9% 89.3% — — 1.12
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 1st half 56.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 1st half 43.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 1st half 11.1% 10.7% — — 9.36
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 2nd half 39.7% 37.4% — — 2.67
Atlético Bucaramanga scores equally in both 37.4% 37.4% — — 2.68
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 1st half 22.8% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 54.9% 51.7% 39.2% 1.32× 1.93
Jaguares de Córdoba (away no bet) 45.1% 48.3% 60.8% 0.79× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga even goals 53.0% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Atlético Bucaramanga odd goals 47.0% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.9% 88.0% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.1% 12.0% — — 8.36
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.8% 60.1% — — 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.2% 39.9% — — 2.51
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 48.7% 46.2% — — 2.16
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 2+ in a row 34.9% 29.0% — — 3.45
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 2+ in a row 17.8% 16.2% — — 6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.9% 16.1% — — 6.21
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+ in a row 12.1% 12.1% — — 8.23
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ in a row 3.9% 2.6% — — 38.58
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+3.5) 87.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+2.5) 81.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+3.5) 80.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+1.5) 72.3% 70.8% — — 1.41
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+2.5) 71.5% 70.8% — — 1.41
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+1.5) 61.2% 61.9% — — 1.62
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-1.5) 38.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-2.5) 28.5% 29.2% — — 3.42
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-1.5) 27.7% 29.2% — — 3.42
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-3.5) 19.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-2.5) 18.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-3.5) 12.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 54.0% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 26.6% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 19.5% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.3% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 80.5% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 73.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 64.3% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 57.2% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 54.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 46.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 42.8% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 35.7% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 26.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 19.5% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 13.7% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.6% 11.5% 13.0% 0.88× 8.71
0-1 12.5% 11.5% 8.4% 1.36× 8.71
0-0 10.6% 11.5% 10.8% 1.06× 8.72
1-2 8.9% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
0-2 9.6% 7.4% 3.7% 1.98× 13.51
1-0 7.9% 7.4% 12.2% 0.61× 13.51
2-1 5.9% 7.4% 10.9% 0.68× 13.51
0-4 1.6% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.31
1-3 4.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.30
1-4 1.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.31
2-0 4.2% 1.7% 8.4% 0.20× 58.30
2-2 4.2% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.30
2-3 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
2-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
3-0 1.3% 1.7% 4.6% 0.38× 58.31
3-1 1.8% 1.7% 3.5% 0.50× 58.31
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.06× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.19× 58.32
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.32
4-1 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
Any other score 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
0-3 4.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.29
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2nd half DNB) 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Jaguares de Córdoba (2nd half DNB) 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.01
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT (DNB) 60.6% 66.2% — — 1.51
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) 39.4% 33.8% — — 2.96
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (X2) 76.2% 75.5% 54.2% 1.39× 1.32
Jaguares de Córdoba or Atlético Bucaramanga (12) 70.9% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1X) 52.9% 52.6% 75.2% 0.70× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw at HT 79.3% 79.7% — — 1.26
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw at HT 68.2% 67.2% — — 1.49
Jaguares de Córdoba or Atlético Bucaramanga at HT 52.5% 48.5% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1UP) 76.2% 83.5% — — 1.20
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1UP) 52.9% 58.7% — — 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw in 2nd half 78.8% 75.7% — — 1.32
Jaguares de Córdoba or Atlético Bucaramanga in 2nd half 61.5% 63.5% — — 1.57
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw in 2nd half 59.8% 58.2% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.6% 68.1% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 33.4% 31.9% — — 3.14
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (DNB) 66.4% 67.4% 35.1% 1.92× 1.48
Jaguares de Córdoba (DNB) 33.6% 32.6% 64.9% 0.50× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score first 53.9% 53.4% — — 1.87
Jaguares de Córdoba to score first 35.6% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 10.6% 9.4% — — 10.68
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 53.0% 51.3% 51.1% 1.00× 1.95
Both teams to score 47.0% 48.7% 48.9% 1.00× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 44.7% 41.6% 43.1% 0.97× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 33.3% 34.6% 36.0% 0.96× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 13.6% 12.4% 13.0% 0.95× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.1% 89.0% 88.6% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 9.9% 11.0% 11.4% 0.97× 9.08
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.0% 75.0% — — 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.0% 25.0% — — 4.00
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 64.9% 66.1% — — 1.51
Both score 2nd half only 20.6% 21.2% — — 4.72
Both score 1st half only 11.1% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.4% 4.9% — — 20.47
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.5% 84.7% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 14.5% 15.3% — — 6.52
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 53.1% 52.6% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 46.9% 47.4% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.0% 47.2% 48.1% 0.98× 2.12
0-1 goals 30.9% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.26
4-6 goals 20.0% 22.9% 19.5% 1.17× 4.37
7+ goals 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.21× 54.46
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 1 34.4% 33.8% 36.6% 0.93× 2.96
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 0 24.3% 22.3% 37.8% 0.59× 4.49
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 2 24.3% 22.3% 18.8% 1.18× 4.49
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+ 17.0% 19.5% 7.1% 2.77× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 0 39.3% 35.6% 24.1% 1.48× 2.81
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.5% 34.5% 1.03× 2.81
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 2 17.1% 18.8% 26.2% 0.72× 5.32
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ 6.9% 10.3% 15.5% 0.67× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.5% 51.5% — — 1.94
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT 31.8% 32.8% — — 3.05
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT 20.7% 20.3% — — 4.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 1 52.9% 52.1% — — 1.92
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: X 23.6% 23.5% — — 4.25
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 2 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:1) 76.2% 73.7% 54.2% 1.36× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 15.2% 17.8% 25.6% 0.69× 5.62
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:1) 8.6% 9.3% 20.4% 0.45× 10.81
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:2) 91.4% 90.7% 79.6% 1.14× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.3% 7.7% 12.3% 0.62× 13.07
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:2) 2.3% 3.7% 8.2% 0.46× 26.77
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:3) 97.7% 96.6% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.8% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.06
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:3) 0.5% 2.4% 2.9% 0.82× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:4) 99.5% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 0.63× 81.93
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (1:0) 52.9% 54.1% 75.2% 0.72× 1.85
Draw (1:0) 23.6% 21.7% 17.3% 1.25× 4.61
Atlético Bucaramanga (1:0) 23.5% 21.7% 7.6% 2.85× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (2:0) 76.5% 80.4% 92.4% 0.87× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 14.5% 10.3% 5.0% 2.07× 9.70
Atlético Bucaramanga (2:0) 9.0% 6.4% 2.8% 2.31× 15.64
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.6% 48.5% — — 2.06
Halves equal 28.8% 26.3% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 25.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede 75.7% 76.0% 62.2% 1.22× 1.32
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet 24.3% 24.0% 37.8% 0.63× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half 56.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 1st half 43.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 2nd half 57.2% 54.8% — — 1.83
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half 42.8% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 6.5 corners 85.3% 86.2% — — 1.16
Jaguares de Córdoba under 5.5 corners 76.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 corners 69.3% 66.7% — — 1.50
Jaguares de Córdoba under 4.5 corners 63.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 corners 52.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 corners 48.1% 47.4% — — 2.11
Jaguares de Córdoba over 4.5 corners 36.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 corners 30.7% 33.3% — — 3.01
Jaguares de Córdoba over 5.5 corners 23.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Jaguares de Córdoba over 6.5 corners 14.7% 13.8% — — 7.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 goals 98.5% 96.4% 95.3% 1.01× 1.04
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 goals 93.1% 92.2% 84.5% 1.09× 1.08
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 goals 76.0% 77.8% 58.4% 1.33× 1.29
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 goals 60.7% 63.6% 75.9% 0.84× 1.57
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 goals 39.3% 36.4% 24.1% 1.51× 2.75
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 goals 24.0% 22.2% 41.6% 0.54× 4.50
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 goals 6.9% 7.8% 15.5% 0.50× 12.84
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 goals 1.5% 3.6% 4.7% 0.77× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half 93.8% 94.9% — — 1.05
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half 66.9% 69.4% — — 1.44
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half 33.1% 30.6% — — 3.27
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half 6.2% 5.1% — — 19.45
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba scores equally in both 48.2% 47.4% — — 2.11
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 2nd half 30.4% 33.1% — — 3.02
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 1st half 21.4% 20.9% — — 4.78
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (home no bet) 61.9% 60.0% 45.7% 1.31× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 38.1% 40.0% 54.3% 0.74× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba even goals 57.7% 55.3% 53.3% 1.04× 1.81
Jaguares de Córdoba odd goals 42.3% 44.7% 46.7% 0.96× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 38.2% 38.7% — — 2.58
HT 0-1 21.3% 24.4% — — 4.11
HT 1-0 15.1% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 1-1 8.8% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 0-2 6.1% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 2-0 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.22
Any other HT score 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 1-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 2-1 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.31
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.39
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT 26.1% 27.3% — — 3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.4% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT 18.5% 16.8% — — 5.96
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 13.0% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 9.6% 6.1% — — 16.42
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% — — 16.55
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.87
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT 2.5% 3.5% — — 28.94
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 1.2% 3.4% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score last 54.0% 52.2% — — 1.92
Jaguares de Córdoba to score last 35.5% 38.5% — — 2.60
No goal scored 10.6% 8.8% — — 11.41
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.4% 91.6% — — 1.09
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 1 at any time 60.7% 61.2% — — 1.64
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.1% 39.2% — — 2.55
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time 39.9% 34.9% — — 2.87
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 2 at any time 28.7% 25.3% — — 3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.7% 10.6% — — 9.41
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time 12.5% 10.6% — — 9.43
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 3 at any time 10.6% 10.6% — — 9.47
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time 3.1% 1.6% — — 62.28
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga most corners 50.3% 51.6% — — 1.94
Jaguares de Córdoba most corners 38.2% 39.4% — — 2.54
Corners level 11.6% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.2% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.5% 83.4% 80.1% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.4% 68.8% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 68.0% 68.8% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.8% 68.8% 65.4% 1.05× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.1% 63.3% 59.7% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.0% 48.4% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.7% 48.4% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
3-6 goals 40.7% 43.6% 42.7% 1.02× 2.29
3-5 goals 38.4% 39.2% 40.6% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.7% 35.2% 34.9% 1.01× 2.84
4-6 goals 20.0% 24.4% 19.5% 1.25× 4.09
4-5 goals 17.8% 18.8% 17.5% 1.08× 5.31
5-6 goals 7.9% 8.9% 7.9% 1.13× 11.26
7+ goals 1.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.67× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga never behind 49.6% 56.9% — — 1.76
Jaguares de Córdoba never behind 28.8% 29.9% — — 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.5% 50.9% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.5% 49.1% 49.6% 0.99× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.6% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.4% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.9% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.1% 48.0% — — 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.7% 95.4% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.0% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.4% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 78.9% 77.3% 79.1% 0.98× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 69.1% 66.3% 68.8% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 58.3% 58.6% 56.0% 1.05× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 41.7% 41.4% 44.0% 0.94× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 30.9% 33.7% 31.2% 1.08× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 21.1% 22.7% 20.9% 1.09× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 10.6% 12.4% 10.8% 1.15× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 9.0% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.3% 4.6% 3.6% 1.27× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.5% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.8% 86.8% 89.5% 0.97× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.5% 72.4% 72.8% 0.99× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 57.4% 55.8% 58.6% 0.95× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 42.6% 44.2% 41.4% 1.07× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.5% 27.6% 27.2% 1.02× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.2% 13.2% 10.5% 1.26× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.5% 2.8% 3.8% 0.74× 35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.80× 35.66
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.6% 92.8% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.6% 71.4% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 61.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 38.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.4% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.4% 7.2% — — 13.91
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.8% 83.0% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.5% 77.8% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 59.5% 55.4% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.5% 44.6% — — 2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.5% 22.2% — — 4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.2% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves 86.3% 85.5% — — 1.17
Atlético Bucaramanga not to score in both halves 75.3% 78.4% — — 1.28
Atlético Bucaramanga to score in both halves 24.7% 21.6% — — 4.62
Jaguares de Córdoba to score in both halves 13.7% 14.5% — — 6.91
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.0% 50.7% 48.9% 1.04× 1.97
Only Atlético Bucaramanga scores 28.7% 26.1% 13.4% 1.94× 3.83
Only Jaguares de Córdoba scores 13.7% 11.0% 27.1% 0.41× 9.06
Neither team scores 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 1.02× 9.07
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.4% 24.9% 24.9% 1.00× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 20.6% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.4% 22.6% 20.5% 1.10× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 12.1% 12.1% 11.8% 1.03× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 10.6% 12.1% 10.8% 1.12× 8.26
Exactly 5 goals 5.7% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.3% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 38.2% 37.3% — — 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.4% 37.2% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 18.0% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 7.4% 7.2% — — 13.91
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 40.5% 44.4% — — 2.25
1 goal in 2nd half 34.0% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 25.5% 29.1% — — 3.44
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win both halves 95.5% 97.2% — — 1.03
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win both halves 87.0% 87.9% — — 1.14
Atlético Bucaramanga to win both halves 13.0% 12.1% — — 8.29
Jaguares de Córdoba to win both halves 4.5% 2.8% — — 35.39
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to win neither half 62.6% 65.0% — — 1.54
Atlético Bucaramanga to win either half 59.1% 59.1% — — 1.69
Atlético Bucaramanga to win neither half 40.9% 40.9% — — 2.44
Jaguares de Córdoba to win either half 37.4% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win to nil 86.3% 88.1% 72.9% 1.21× 1.14
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win to nil 71.3% 75.3% 86.6% 0.87× 1.33
Atlético Bucaramanga to win to nil 28.7% 24.7% 13.4% 1.84× 4.04
Jaguares de Córdoba to win to nil 13.7% 11.9% 27.1% 0.44× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 29.1% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.59
Atlético Bucaramanga by 1 23.6% 24.1% 17.3% 1.39× 4.15
Jaguares de Córdoba by 1 15.2% 17.0% 25.6% 0.67× 5.87
Atlético Bucaramanga by 2 14.5% 11.8% 5.0% 2.36× 8.50
Atlético Bucaramanga by 3+ 9.0% 7.2% 2.8% 2.60× 13.90
Jaguares de Córdoba by 2 6.3% 7.2% 12.3% 0.58× 13.91
Jaguares de Córdoba by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 8.2% 0.33× 36.90
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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