Jaguares de Córdoba v Fortaleza CEIF — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 11 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627
COL-Primera A
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyJaguares de Córdoba win
37.4%
model 38.8%
Draw
31.3%
model 30.2%
Fortaleza CEIF win
31.3%
model 31.0%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,703 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 14.3%
- 1-0 10.7%
- 0-0 10.7%
- 0-1 9.2%
- 2-1 8.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 41.9% | Under 2.5 | 58.1% |
| BTTS yes | 48.9% | BTTS no | 51.1% |
| Jaguares de Córdoba 1+ | 71.6% | Jaguares de Córdoba 2+ | 35.9% |
| Fortaleza CEIF 1+ | 66.7% | Fortaleza CEIF 2+ | 30.1% |
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Fortaleza CEIF (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 54%
62.7% fair odds 1.60
moderate signal · 11680 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Fortaleza CEIF (+1.5)
Asian handicap · usually 80%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 13611 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- They have had 13 days' rest to Fortaleza CEIF's 10.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Jaguares de Córdoba have an estimated 37.4% win probability, against 31.3% for Fortaleza CEIF and 31.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Jaguares de Córdoba and 1.10 for Fortaleza CEIF.
Why Jaguares de Córdoba
They have had 13 days' rest to Fortaleza CEIF's 10.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 31.3%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.10. Draws run at 29% in this competition.
Why Fortaleza CEIF can win
Fortaleza CEIF carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1404.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Jaguares de Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fortaleza CEIF, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Jaguares de Córdoba: 41% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fortaleza CEIF: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·
Jaguares de Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.26–1.10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✗ | |
| ai-blend-oos | 1.26–1.08 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✗ | |
| dc-xg | 1.17–1.06 | 1-1 15% | 38% | 46% | Home ✗ | |
| dc-xg-oos | 1.10–1.11 | 1-1 14% | 38% | 45% | Away ✗ | |
| deep | 1.15–1.14 | 1-1 14% | 40% | 48% | Home ✗ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win | 34.9% | 30.6% | 45.8% | 0.67× | 3.27 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to win | 34.2% | 30.6% | 24.9% | 1.23× | 3.27 |
| Draw | 30.9% | 30.6% | 29.4% | 1.04× | 3.27 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba & not both score | 20.7% | 21.8% | 27.1% | 0.80× | 4.60 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & not both score | 20.3% | 21.8% | 13.5% | 1.61× | 4.60 |
| Draw & both teams score | 19.5% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.55 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & both teams score | 14.2% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 0.70× | 7.54 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & both teams score | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 1.15× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 1.22× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba & under 3.5 | 27.4% | 25.9% | 35.7% | 0.73× | 3.85 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & under 3.5 | 26.9% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 1.30× | 3.85 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.86 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.86 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & over 1.5 | 24.4% | 21.6% | 33.9% | 0.64× | 4.63 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & over 1.5 | 23.9% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 1.31× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 19.5% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.57 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & over 2.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 0.70× | 5.57 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & under 2.5 | 17.2% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 0.88× | 5.57 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & over 2.5 | 17.4% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 1.39× | 5.57 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & under 2.5 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 1.49× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 1.19× | 7.78 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & under 1.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 1.06× | 7.78 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & under 1.5 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 1.52× | 7.78 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba & over 3.5 | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 0.77× | 12.57 |
| Fortaleza CEIF & over 3.5 | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.59× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.36× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.36× | 12.57 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba (1UP) | 50.2% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (1UP) | 49.6% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba (2UP) | 34.9% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (2UP) | 34.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 40.2% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to win 2nd half | 30.7% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win 2nd half | 29.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 2nd half | 85.0% | 86.5% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 2nd half | 50.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 2nd half | 49.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 2nd half | 15.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 7.43 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half | 85.9% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half | 51.9% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half | 48.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half | 14.1% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.17 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (+2.5) | 95.2% | 96.3% | 91.8% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (+1.5) | 85.1% | 88.3% | 79.6% | 1.11× | 1.13 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (+0.5) | 65.8% | 68.7% | 75.1% | 0.91× | 1.46 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (+0.5) | 65.1% | 68.7% | 54.2% | 1.27× | 1.46 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (-0.5) | 34.9% | 31.3% | 45.8% | 0.68× | 3.19 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (-0.5) | 34.2% | 31.3% | 24.9% | 1.26× | 3.19 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (-1.5) | 14.9% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 0.57× | 8.57 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (-2.5) | 4.8% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 0.46× | 26.76 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF to concede | 68.4% | 72.4% | 75.8% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet | 31.6% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 1.14× | 3.63 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 1st half | 60.9% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 1st half | 39.1% | 35.3% | — | — | 2.83 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF under 6.5 corners | 80.4% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 corners | 74.5% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 5.5 corners | 70.2% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 corners | 58.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 4.5 corners | 57.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 4.5 corners | 43.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 corners | 41.5% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 5.5 corners | 29.8% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 corners | 25.5% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 6.5 corners | 19.6% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 goals | 97.1% | 97.4% | 98.1% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 goals | 89.3% | 87.9% | 92.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 goals | 68.5% | 67.9% | 74.3% | 0.91× | 1.47 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 goals | 68.0% | 67.9% | 62.2% | 1.09× | 1.47 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 goals | 32.0% | 32.1% | 37.8% | 0.85× | 3.11 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 goals | 31.5% | 32.1% | 25.7% | 1.25× | 3.11 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 goals | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.71× | 8.27 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 goals | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.32× | 38.85 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.3% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 1st half | 63.4% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 1st half | 36.6% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.7% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.16 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF scores equally in both | 42.8% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 2nd half | 35.9% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 1st half | 21.3% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.47 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba (away no bet) | 53.1% | 51.3% | 60.9% | 0.84× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 46.9% | 48.7% | 39.1% | 1.25× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF even goals | 55.1% | 56.8% | 57.5% | 0.99× | 1.76 |
| Fortaleza CEIF odd goals | 44.9% | 43.2% | 42.5% | 1.02× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 90.5% | 92.2% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 9.5% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.82 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 54.4% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 45.6% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 46.5% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score 2+ in a row | 25.5% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score 2+ in a row | 25.0% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 13.9% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.20 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ in a row | 7.1% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.76 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+ in a row | 6.9% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.78 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (+3.5) | 84.7% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+3.5) | 82.9% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (+2.5) | 77.4% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+2.5) | 75.1% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (+1.5) | 68.0% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+1.5) | 65.4% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (-1.5) | 34.6% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-1.5) | 32.0% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (-2.5) | 24.9% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-2.5) | 22.6% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Fortaleza CEIF corners (-3.5) | 17.1% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-3.5) | 15.3% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 52.2% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 20.8% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 85.2% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 79.2% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 71.6% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 62.5% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 58.9% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 52.2% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 47.8% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 41.1% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37.5% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 28.4% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 20.8% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 14.8% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 0.87× | 8.80 |
| 0-0 | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 1.05× | 8.80 |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 0.94× | 8.80 |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 1.34× | 8.80 |
| 0-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.97× | 13.53 |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.04× | 13.53 |
| 2-0 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 0.87× | 13.53 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 0.67× | 13.53 |
| 0-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.56× | 57.67 |
| 0-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.12× | 57.68 |
| 1-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.25× | 57.66 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.50× | 57.68 |
| 2-2 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.34× | 57.66 |
| 2-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.89× | 57.67 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 12.47× | 57.68 |
| 3-0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.38× | 57.67 |
| 3-1 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.50× | 57.66 |
| 3-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.73× | 57.67 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.08× | 57.68 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.24× | 57.68 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.04× | 57.68 |
| 4-1 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.50× | 57.68 |
| 4-2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.50× | 57.68 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.12× | 57.68 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 12.47× | 57.68 |
| Any other score | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.73× | 57.67 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (2nd half DNB) | 51.4% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (2nd half DNB) | 48.6% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) | 52.6% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT (DNB) | 47.4% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba or Fortaleza CEIF (12) | 69.1% | 69.4% | 70.6% | 0.98× | 1.44 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1X) | 65.8% | 69.4% | 75.1% | 0.92× | 1.44 |
| Fortaleza CEIF or draw (X2) | 65.1% | 69.4% | 54.2% | 1.28× | 1.44 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba or draw at HT | 75.5% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Fortaleza CEIF or draw at HT | 72.8% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba or Fortaleza CEIF at HT | 51.7% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1UP) | 65.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Fortaleza CEIF or draw (1UP) | 65.1% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF or draw in 2nd half | 70.9% | 73.5% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba or draw in 2nd half | 69.3% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba or Fortaleza CEIF in 2nd half | 59.8% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 67.8% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 32.2% | 30.5% | — | — | 3.27 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (DNB) | 49.5% | 50.0% | 35.2% | 1.42× | 2.00 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (DNB) | 50.5% | 50.0% | 64.8% | 0.77× | 2.00 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score first | 44.6% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score first | 44.1% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 11.3% | 9.8% | — | — | 10.25 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 52.3% | 51.6% | 51.1% | 1.01× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% | 48.4% | 48.9% | 0.99× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 45.4% | 44.2% | 43.1% | 1.03× | 2.26 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 33.2% | 34.4% | 36.0% | 0.96× | 2.91 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 0.94× | 8.15 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 1.02× | 11.94 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.9% | 85.5% | 88.8% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 1.29× | 6.89 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.8% | 75.0% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.2% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 64.7% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.8% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.1% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.35 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.4% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.05 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 85.5% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 14.5% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.14 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 54.1% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A goal in each half | 45.9% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 46.9% | 48.2% | 0.97× | 2.13 |
| 0-1 goals | 32.1% | 30.9% | 31.1% | 0.99× | 3.24 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.0% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 1.04× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.21× | 54.11 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 1 | 36.5% | 35.8% | 36.7% | 0.98× | 2.80 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 0 | 32.0% | 33.7% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 2 | 20.8% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 1.20× | 4.45 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+ | 10.7% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 1.83× | 7.71 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 1 | 36.4% | 35.5% | 34.4% | 1.03× | 2.81 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 0 | 31.6% | 32.6% | 24.2% | 1.35× | 3.06 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 2 | 21.0% | 23.3% | 26.1% | 0.89× | 4.29 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 0.92× | 7.00 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 48.3% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT | 27.2% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
| Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT | 24.5% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba -1: 2 | 65.1% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba -1: X | 20.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.79 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba -1: 1 | 14.9% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.13 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (0:1) | 65.1% | 65.2% | 54.2% | 1.20× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.0% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 0.70× | 5.63 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (0:1) | 14.9% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 0.68× | 7.16 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (0:2) | 85.1% | 86.9% | 79.6% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 0.88× | 9.24 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (0:2) | 4.8% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 0.46× | 26.39 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (0:3) | 95.2% | 96.6% | 91.8% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.31 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (0:3) | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.81× | 42.40 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (0:4) | 98.8% | 98.1% | 97.1% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.63× | 81.73 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.10× | 81.80 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba (1:0) | 65.8% | 69.4% | 75.1% | 0.92× | 1.44 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.7% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 0.98× | 5.85 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (1:0) | 14.5% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.67× | 7.84 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba (2:0) | 85.5% | 88.2% | 92.4% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.31× | 15.24 |
| Fortaleza CEIF (2:0) | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.87× | 41.31 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 44.7% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.05 |
| Halves equal | 29.6% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba to concede | 68.0% | 66.6% | 62.2% | 1.07× | 1.50 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet | 32.0% | 33.4% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half | 63.4% | 64.2% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 1st half | 36.6% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half | 50.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 2nd half | 49.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 6.5 corners | 82.0% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 corners | 72.9% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 5.5 corners | 72.1% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 4.5 corners | 59.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 corners | 56.5% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 corners | 43.5% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 4.5 corners | 40.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 5.5 corners | 27.9% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 corners | 27.1% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 6.5 corners | 18.0% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 goals | 97.0% | 96.3% | 95.3% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 goals | 89.0% | 87.2% | 84.4% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 goals | 68.4% | 67.9% | 75.8% | 0.90× | 1.47 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 goals | 68.0% | 67.9% | 58.5% | 1.16× | 1.47 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 goals | 32.0% | 32.1% | 41.5% | 0.77× | 3.11 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 goals | 31.6% | 32.1% | 24.2% | 1.33× | 3.11 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 goals | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 0.82× | 7.83 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 goals | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 0.78× | 27.01 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.1% | 95.3% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.9% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.1% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.9% | 4.7% | — | — | 21.28 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba scores equally in both | 42.8% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 2nd half | 33.8% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 1st half | 23.4% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.64 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (home no bet) | 52.6% | 51.5% | 45.8% | 1.12× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 47.4% | 48.5% | 54.2% | 0.89× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba even goals | 55.0% | 50.4% | 53.3% | 0.95× | 1.98 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba odd goals | 45.0% | 49.6% | 46.7% | 1.06× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 38.9% | 38.9% | — | — | 2.57 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 0-1 | 17.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.36 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.00 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.36 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.41 |
| Any other HT score | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.52 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.56 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.55 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.67 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 20.7% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT | 19.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT | 18.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT | 14.2% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT | 13.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.74 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT | 2.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.86 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score last | 44.6% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score last | 44.1% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 11.3% | 9.1% | — | — | 10.94 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 88.7% | 90.8% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time | 50.2% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 1 at any time | 49.6% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 38.7% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time | 19.6% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 2 at any time | 19.2% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 11.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.57 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time | 6.0% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.17 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 3 at any time | 5.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.18 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF most corners | 45.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba most corners | 42.8% | 43.6% | — | — | 2.29 |
| Corners level | 11.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.7% | 87.4% | 85.7% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.4% | 83.3% | 80.0% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 68.8% | 68.9% | 68.5% | 1.01× | 1.45 |
| 2-6 goals | 67.0% | 68.8% | 67.5% | 1.02× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 65.0% | 63.2% | 65.4% | 0.97× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.6% | 59.3% | 59.7% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 48.5% | 48.5% | 45.3% | 1.07× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 48.5% | 48.2% | 1.01× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 39.2% | 39.3% | 42.6% | 0.92× | 2.55 |
| 3-5 goals | 37.2% | 39.3% | 40.6% | 0.97× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 31.9% | 35.3% | 34.9% | 1.01× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.0% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 0.97× | 5.30 |
| 4-5 goals | 16.9% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 1.09× | 5.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 1.13× | 11.15 |
| 7+ goals | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.68× | 39.03 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Córdoba never behind | 39.1% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
| Fortaleza CEIF never behind | 38.5% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.1% | 51.0% | 50.4% | 1.01× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 52.9% | 49.0% | 49.6% | 0.99× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.9% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 42.1% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.3% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.7% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.1% | 95.4% | 96.4% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91.7% | 92.2% | 90.7% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 88.7% | 87.5% | 89.2% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.1% | 82.2% | 79.2% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.9% | 66.0% | 68.9% | 0.96× | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.9% | 58.5% | 56.0% | 1.04× | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.1% | 41.5% | 44.0% | 0.94× | 2.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32.1% | 34.0% | 31.1% | 1.09× | 2.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.9% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 0.86× | 5.60 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 1.16× | 7.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 0.84× | 12.84 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.27× | 21.76 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.1% | 97.2% | 98.4% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.9% | 97.2% | 96.2% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 90.7% | 92.4% | 89.5% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 75.1% | 75.9% | 72.9% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 55.6% | 55.2% | 58.6% | 0.94× | 1.81 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 44.4% | 44.8% | 41.4% | 1.08× | 2.23 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 24.9% | 24.1% | 27.1% | 0.89× | 4.14 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 0.72× | 13.14 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.74× | 35.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.82× | 35.17 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.9% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.2% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 61.1% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 38.9% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.8% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.70 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.1% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.77 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 84.8% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 73.4% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 60.9% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 39.1% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 26.6% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.49 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 15.2% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF not to score in both halves | 81.9% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves | 81.2% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to score in both halves | 18.8% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.37 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to score in both halves | 18.1% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.39 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 47.7% | 50.4% | 48.9% | 1.03× | 1.99 |
| Only Jaguares de Córdoba scores | 20.7% | 22.0% | 27.1% | 0.81× | 4.55 |
| Only Fortaleza CEIF scores | 20.3% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 1.63× | 4.55 |
| Neither team scores | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 1.02× | 9.02 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.8% | 24.7% | 25.0% | 0.99× | 4.05 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 20.8% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 1.10× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.3% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 0.96× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 1.03× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 1.11× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.33× | 12.86 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.25× | 22.24 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No goals in 1st half | 38.9% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 17.7% | 15.3% | — | — | 6.56 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 7.1% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.77 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 39.1% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.3% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 26.6% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF not to win both halves | 92.3% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba not to win both halves | 91.9% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win both halves | 8.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.55 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to win both halves | 7.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.57 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF to win neither half | 52.5% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win neither half | 51.8% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win either half | 48.2% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to win either half | 47.5% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF not to win to nil | 79.7% | 78.4% | 86.5% | 0.91× | 1.28 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba not to win to nil | 79.3% | 78.4% | 72.9% | 1.07× | 1.28 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba to win to nil | 20.7% | 21.6% | 27.1% | 0.80× | 4.62 |
| Fortaleza CEIF to win to nil | 20.3% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 1.61× | 4.63 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 30.9% | 27.6% | 29.4% | 0.94× | 3.62 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba by 1 | 20.0% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 0.66× | 5.92 |
| Fortaleza CEIF by 1 | 19.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 0.97× | 5.92 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba by 2 | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 0.95× | 8.53 |
| Fortaleza CEIF by 2 | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.45× | 13.75 |
| Jaguares de Córdoba by 3+ | 4.8% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 0.34× | 35.55 |
| Fortaleza CEIF by 3+ | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.01× | 35.55 |
Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run
python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.