Jong AZ v FC Volendam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Jong AZ

18:00 UTC

FC Volendam

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 250h before kick-off

Jong AZ win

28.9%

model 30.4%

Draw

22.1%

model 22.1%

FC Volendam win

49.1%

model 47.6%

292249

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.2%
0-1 7.4%
2-1 7.2%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.1%	Under 2.5	36.9%
BTTS yes	63.4%	BTTS no	36.6%
Jong AZ 1+	75.9%	Jong AZ 2+	41.6%
FC Volendam 1+	84.0%	FC Volendam 2+	54.7%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

86%

★ Best pick

FC Volendam (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 43%

61.7% fair odds 1.62

strong signal · 3446 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 361 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1462 Elo against 1393.
They have had 21 days' rest to Jong AZ's 18.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.86).

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Volendam have an estimated 49.1% win probability, against 28.9% for Jong AZ and 22.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Jong AZ and 1.83 for FC Volendam.

Why Jong AZ

Nothing in the data singles out Jong AZ.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Volendam can win

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1462 Elo against 1393. They have had 21 days' rest to Jong AZ's 18.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jong AZ, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jong AZ: 53% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

FC Volendam are the model's most likely outcome at 49.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302248	1.42–1.83	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	201861	1.34–2.40	1-2 9%	72%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	47.6%	47.8%	33.4%	1.43×	2.09
Jong AZ to win	30.4%	31.4%	44.4%	0.71×	3.18
Draw	22.1%	23.5%	22.3%	1.05×	4.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	27.0%	26.5%	19.6%	1.35×	3.78
FC Volendam & not both score	20.6%	21.5%	13.9%	1.55×	4.65
Jong AZ & both teams score	17.9%	18.2%	21.7%	0.84×	5.49
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.2%	17.6%	1.03×	5.49
Jong AZ & not both score	12.5%	12.6%	22.8%	0.55×	7.91
Draw & not both score	3.5%	4.1%	4.8%	0.85×	24.27

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	40.2%	42.8%	27.2%	1.58×	2.34
FC Volendam & over 2.5	33.7%	31.8%	23.6%	1.35×	3.15
FC Volendam & under 3.5	27.0%	26.5%	19.7%	1.34×	3.78
Jong AZ & over 1.5	24.5%	21.8%	36.8%	0.59×	4.59
Jong AZ & over 2.5	20.6%	21.8%	30.6%	0.71×	4.59
FC Volendam & over 3.5	20.5%	21.8%	13.8%	1.58×	4.59
Jong AZ & under 3.5	18.7%	17.7%	25.8%	0.69×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	17.7%	17.6%	1.00×	5.66
FC Volendam & under 2.5	13.9%	12.5%	9.9%	1.26×	8.03
Jong AZ & over 3.5	11.6%	12.5%	18.7%	0.67×	8.03
Draw & under 2.5	13.3%	12.5%	14.3%	0.87×	8.03
Draw & under 3.5	13.3%	12.5%	14.3%	0.87×	8.03
Jong AZ & under 2.5	9.7%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.17
FC Volendam & under 1.5	7.4%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.17
Jong AZ & under 1.5	5.8%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	3.5%	4.3%	4.8%	0.90×	23.00

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	64.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Jong AZ (1UP)	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	47.6%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Jong AZ (2UP)	30.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	42.1%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
2nd half drawn	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Jong AZ to win 2nd half	26.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+2.5)	95.1%	96.6%	88.1%	1.10×	1.04
FC Volendam (+1.5)	86.5%	87.4%	75.6%	1.16×	1.14
FC Volendam (+0.5)	69.6%	68.0%	55.6%	1.22×	1.47
Jong AZ (+0.5)	52.4%	52.0%	66.6%	0.78×	1.92
FC Volendam (-0.5)	47.6%	48.0%	33.4%	1.44×	2.08
Jong AZ (-0.5)	30.4%	32.0%	44.4%	0.72×	3.13
Jong AZ (-1.5)	13.5%	12.6%	24.4%	0.52×	7.93
Jong AZ (-2.5)	4.9%	3.4%	11.9%	0.28×	29.48

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	75.9%	78.6%	81.4%	0.97×	1.27
FC Volendam clean sheet	24.1%	21.4%	18.6%	1.15×	4.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	54.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	45.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	79.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	79.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	20.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.2%	93.1%	0.94×	1.15
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	84.0%	82.4%	72.5%	1.14×	1.21
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	72.2%	71.3%	81.5%	0.87×	1.40
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	54.6%	53.6%	41.8%	1.28×	1.87
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	45.4%	46.4%	58.2%	0.80×	2.16
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	27.8%	28.7%	18.5%	1.55×	3.48
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	16.0%	17.6%	27.5%	0.64×	5.70
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.8%	6.9%	1.84×	7.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	83.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	16.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (away no bet)	57.9%	58.5%	66.5%	0.88×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	42.1%	41.5%	33.5%	1.24×	2.41

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	51.3%	53.5%	57.1%	0.94×	1.87
FC Volendam odd goals	48.7%	46.5%	42.9%	1.08×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.5%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.5%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	44.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Jong AZ to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	17.4%	—	—	5.76
Jong AZ to score 3+ in a row	9.1%	7.9%	—	—	12.74

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ corners (+3.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Jong AZ corners (+2.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Jong AZ corners (+1.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	61.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Jong AZ corners (-1.5)	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Jong AZ corners (-2.5)	38.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Jong AZ corners (-3.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	69.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	30.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	29.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.48
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.49
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.49
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
1-3	5.6%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.49
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.49
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.49
0-0	3.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.10
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.10
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.11
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.10
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.10
2-3	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.10
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.11
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.11
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.10
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.10
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.11
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.11
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.11
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.26×	58.11
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.11
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.47×	58.11
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.87×	58.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	56.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Jong AZ leading at HT (DNB)	44.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ or FC Volendam (12)	77.9%	76.5%	77.7%	0.99×	1.31
FC Volendam or draw (X2)	69.6%	68.6%	55.6%	1.23×	1.46
Jong AZ or draw (1X)	52.4%	52.2%	66.6%	0.78×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw at HT	73.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Jong AZ or draw at HT	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Jong AZ or FC Volendam at HT	61.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	69.6%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Jong AZ or draw (1UP)	52.4%	60.3%	—	—	1.66

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	73.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Jong AZ or FC Volendam in 2nd half	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Jong AZ or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Neither half drawn	41.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	61.1%	61.7%	42.9%	1.44×	1.62
Jong AZ (DNB)	39.0%	38.3%	57.1%	0.67×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	54.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Jong AZ to score first	42.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
No goal scored	3.5%	4.5%	—	—	22.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.4%	58.6%	58.7%	1.00×	1.71
Not both teams to score	36.6%	41.4%	41.3%	1.00×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.7%	48.2%	49.3%	0.98×	2.08
Not both score & under 2.5	27.1%	31.4%	28.4%	1.11×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	9.7%	8.5%	9.6%	0.89×	11.81
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.5%	13.0%	0.65×	11.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.3%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.7%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.1%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.2%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	28.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Both score in both halves	8.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.97

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	23.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
A half without a goal	37.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.4%	41.1%	1.06×	2.31
4-6 goals	36.2%	35.5%	37.3%	0.95×	2.81
0-1 goals	16.8%	19.2%	18.6%	1.03×	5.22
7+ goals	4.8%	2.0%	3.2%	0.62×	50.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	29.3%	27.4%	30.8%	0.89×	3.65
FC Volendam to score 3+	27.8%	27.4%	18.5%	1.48×	3.66
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	23.4%	1.17×	3.66
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	16.0%	18.4%	27.5%	0.67×	5.43

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.1%	30.4%	1.06×	3.11
Jong AZ to score exactly 0	24.1%	22.9%	18.6%	1.23×	4.37
Jong AZ to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.9%	25.8%	0.89×	4.37
Jong AZ to score 3+	17.2%	18.3%	25.4%	0.72×	5.45

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Volendam leading at HT	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Jong AZ leading at HT	26.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	52.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Volendam -1: 2	26.0%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
FC Volendam -1: X	21.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	69.6%	64.8%	55.6%	1.17×	1.54
Draw (0:1)	16.9%	18.2%	20.1%	0.90×	5.51
Jong AZ (0:1)	13.5%	13.2%	24.4%	0.54×	7.59

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:2)	86.5%	86.7%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	12.7%	0.61×	12.95
Jong AZ (0:2)	4.9%	3.5%	11.9%	0.29×	28.76

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:3)	95.1%	96.7%	88.1%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.96
Jong AZ (0:3)	1.5%	2.6%	6.3%	0.41×	38.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:4)	98.6%	97.7%	93.7%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.4%	4.3%	0.33×	70.58
Jong AZ (0:4)	0.4%	1.4%	2.1%	0.67×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (1:0)	52.4%	52.1%	66.6%	0.78×	1.92
FC Volendam (1:0)	26.0%	25.2%	15.4%	1.64×	3.97
Draw (1:0)	21.6%	21.9%	18.1%	1.21×	4.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (2:0)	74.0%	74.7%	84.6%	0.88×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	14.3%	11.5%	8.8%	1.31×	8.66
FC Volendam (2:0)	11.7%	11.5%	6.7%	1.72×	8.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	21.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede	84.0%	82.6%	72.5%	1.14×	1.21
Jong AZ clean sheet	16.0%	17.4%	27.5%	0.63×	5.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede in 1st half	51.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Jong AZ clean sheet in 1st half	48.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ over 2.5 corners	90.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Jong AZ over 3.5 corners	79.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Jong AZ over 4.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Jong AZ under 6.5 corners	60.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Jong AZ over 5.5 corners	53.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Jong AZ under 5.5 corners	47.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Jong AZ over 6.5 corners	39.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Jong AZ under 4.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Jong AZ under 3.5 corners	20.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Jong AZ under 2.5 corners	10.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Jong AZ under 2.5 goals	82.8%	82.2%	74.6%	1.10×	1.22
Jong AZ over 0.5 goals	75.9%	77.9%	81.4%	0.96×	1.28
Jong AZ under 1.5 goals	58.4%	57.6%	48.9%	1.18×	1.74
Jong AZ over 1.5 goals	41.6%	42.4%	51.1%	0.83×	2.36
Jong AZ under 0.5 goals	24.1%	22.1%	18.6%	1.19×	4.53
Jong AZ over 2.5 goals	17.2%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.61
Jong AZ over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	10.2%	0.75×	13.05

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Jong AZ under 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Jong AZ over 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Jong AZ over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.86

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (home no bet)	68.3%	64.6%	59.9%	1.08×	1.55
Draw (home no bet)	31.7%	35.4%	40.1%	0.88×	2.83

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ even goals	52.9%	50.9%	51.7%	0.98×	1.96
Jong AZ odd goals	47.1%	49.1%	48.3%	1.02×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
HT 0-1	19.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
HT 1-0	16.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 0-2	7.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.47
Any other HT score	6.2%	8.0%	—	—	12.48
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.33
HT 1-2	4.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.49

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Jong AZ at HT / Jong AZ at FT	17.5%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	16.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Draw at HT / Jong AZ at FT	10.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Jong AZ at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.4%	—	—	15.59
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.7%	—	—	27.26
Jong AZ at HT / FC Volendam at FT	3.8%	3.7%	—	—	27.29
FC Volendam at HT / Jong AZ at FT	2.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.33

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	54.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Jong AZ to score last	42.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
No goal scored	3.5%	4.5%	—	—	22.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.5%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	64.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Jong AZ to lead by 1 at any time	50.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	34.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Jong AZ to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Jong AZ to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ most corners	59.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
FC Volendam most corners	30.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.63

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.3%	87.1%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
2-6 goals	78.5%	77.9%	78.3%	1.00×	1.28
1-4 goals	73.6%	72.1%	74.1%	0.97×	1.39
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.1%	72.5%	1.00×	1.39
2-4 goals	60.3%	62.7%	60.3%	1.04×	1.60
3-6 goals	58.3%	58.8%	59.1%	1.00×	1.70
1-3 goals	55.5%	58.8%	54.8%	1.07×	1.70
3-5 goals	52.0%	52.9%	53.2%	0.99×	1.89
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.7%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.7%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.2%	39.0%	37.3%	1.04×	2.56
1-2 goals	33.3%	34.6%	33.1%	1.04×	2.89
4-5 goals	29.8%	28.5%	31.5%	0.91×	3.50
5-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	18.1%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.8%	2.2%	3.2%	0.70×	44.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	46.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Jong AZ never behind	31.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.6%	50.0%	50.4%	0.99×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.0%	49.6%	1.01×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	96.0%	95.2%	1.01×	1.04
Under 5.5 goals	88.8%	87.7%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.2%	81.7%	81.4%	1.00×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.1%	77.0%	78.8%	0.98×	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	63.1%	62.3%	62.2%	1.00×	1.60
Under 3.5 goals	59.1%	57.5%	59.6%	0.97×	1.74
Over 3.5 goals	41.0%	42.5%	40.4%	1.05×	2.35
Under 2.5 goals	36.9%	37.7%	37.8%	1.00×	2.66
Over 4.5 goals	22.9%	23.0%	21.2%	1.08×	4.35
Under 1.5 goals	16.8%	18.3%	18.6%	0.98×	5.47
Over 5.5 goals	11.2%	12.3%	9.1%	1.36×	8.14
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	4.0%	4.8%	0.82×	25.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.9%	92.0%	96.6%	0.95×	1.09
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.4%	86.6%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.0%	76.2%	77.0%	0.99×	1.31
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.1%	71.7%	73.7%	0.97×	1.40
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.6%	52.8%	51.7%	1.02×	1.90
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.4%	47.2%	48.3%	0.98×	2.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.9%	28.3%	26.3%	1.08×	3.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.0%	23.8%	23.0%	1.03×	4.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.6%	13.4%	10.3%	1.29×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.1%	8.0%	3.4%	2.32×	12.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.0%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.2%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.8%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.47

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to score in both halves	74.6%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	65.4%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
FC Volendam to score in both halves	34.6%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Jong AZ to score in both halves	25.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.4%	60.8%	58.7%	1.04×	1.65
Only FC Volendam scores	20.6%	21.3%	13.9%	1.53×	4.71
Only Jong AZ scores	12.5%	11.1%	22.8%	0.48×	9.04
Neither team scores	3.5%	4.0%	4.8%	0.82×	25.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.3%	21.8%	1.02×	4.48
Exactly 2 goals	20.1%	22.3%	19.4%	1.15×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.6%	19.4%	0.91×	5.69
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.3%	13.9%	0.89×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	11.7%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.13
6 or more goals	11.2%	12.3%	9.1%	1.36×	8.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.5%	4.1%	4.8%	0.84×	24.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.8%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
1 goal in 2nd half	28.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
No goals in 2nd half	14.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to win both halves	92.9%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
FC Volendam not to win both halves	85.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Volendam to win both halves	14.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Jong AZ to win both halves	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	12.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	62.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Jong AZ to win neither half	53.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Jong AZ to win either half	46.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
FC Volendam to win neither half	38.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.78

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to win to nil	87.5%	88.1%	77.2%	1.14×	1.14
FC Volendam not to win to nil	79.4%	78.7%	86.1%	0.91×	1.27
FC Volendam to win to nil	20.6%	21.3%	13.9%	1.53×	4.70
Jong AZ to win to nil	12.5%	11.9%	22.8%	0.52×	8.39

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.1%	23.3%	22.3%	1.04×	4.29
FC Volendam by 1	21.6%	23.3%	18.1%	1.29×	4.29
Jong AZ by 1	16.9%	17.3%	20.1%	0.86×	5.78
FC Volendam by 2	14.3%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.46
FC Volendam by 3+	11.7%	11.8%	6.7%	1.76×	8.46
Jong AZ by 2	8.6%	7.3%	12.7%	0.58×	13.66
Jong AZ by 3+	4.9%	3.0%	11.9%	0.25×	33.80