Jong AZ v TOP Oss — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Jong AZ

19:00 UTC

TOP Oss

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 848h before kick-off

Jong AZ win

51.0%

model 50.3%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.8%

TOP Oss win

26.7%

model 26.9%

512227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
1-0 9.4%
2-0 7.9%
1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.8%	Under 2.5	43.2%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
Jong AZ 1+	82.6%	Jong AZ 2+	52.2%
TOP Oss 1+	70.3%	TOP Oss 2+	34.2%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Jong AZ not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Jong AZ.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Jong AZ have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.7% for TOP Oss and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for Jong AZ and 1.21 for TOP Oss.

Why Jong AZ

Nothing in the data singles out Jong AZ.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why TOP Oss can win

Nothing in the data singles out TOP Oss.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jong AZ, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for TOP Oss, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jong AZ: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. TOP Oss: 38% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong AZ's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Jong AZ are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502327	1.75–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502327	1.78–1.24	1-1 10%	58%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to win	50.4%	51.5%	44.5%	1.16×	1.94
TOP Oss to win	27.0%	27.9%	33.5%	0.83×	3.58
Draw	22.6%	24.4%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ & both teams score	26.0%	25.2%	22.0%	1.14×	3.97
Jong AZ & not both score	24.5%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
TOP Oss & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	19.7%	0.68×	7.53
TOP Oss & not both score	12.4%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	4.8%	1.02×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ & over 1.5	41.4%	40.3%	37.0%	1.09×	2.48
Jong AZ & over 2.5	33.6%	30.8%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
Jong AZ & under 3.5	31.0%	30.8%	25.7%	1.20×	3.25
TOP Oss & over 1.5	20.6%	21.6%	27.4%	0.79×	4.63
Jong AZ & over 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
TOP Oss & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Jong AZ & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	13.8%	1.31×	5.56
TOP Oss & over 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.0%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	15.0%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
TOP Oss & under 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Jong AZ & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
TOP Oss & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
TOP Oss & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (1UP)	66.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
TOP Oss (1UP)	46.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (2UP)	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
TOP Oss (2UP)	27.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
TOP Oss to win 2nd half	26.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Jong AZ over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Jong AZ under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Jong AZ over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (+2.5)	87.7%	88.5%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Jong AZ (+0.5)	73.0%	73.7%	66.5%	1.11×	1.36
TOP Oss (+1.5)	72.5%	73.7%	75.6%	0.97×	1.36
Jong AZ (-0.5)	50.4%	52.4%	44.5%	1.18×	1.91
TOP Oss (+0.5)	49.6%	47.6%	55.5%	0.86×	2.10
Jong AZ (-1.5)	27.5%	26.3%	24.4%	1.08×	3.80
TOP Oss (-0.5)	27.0%	26.3%	33.5%	0.79×	3.80
Jong AZ (-2.5)	12.3%	11.5%	11.8%	0.98×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede	83.1%	81.5%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
TOP Oss clean sheet	16.9%	18.5%	18.7%	0.99×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede in 1st half	53.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
TOP Oss clean sheet in 1st half	46.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede in 2nd half	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
TOP Oss clean sheet in 2nd half	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
TOP Oss under 6.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
TOP Oss over 3.5 corners	67.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
TOP Oss under 5.5 corners	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
TOP Oss over 4.5 corners	51.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
TOP Oss under 4.5 corners	48.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
TOP Oss over 5.5 corners	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
TOP Oss under 3.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
TOP Oss over 6.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
TOP Oss under 2.5 corners	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
TOP Oss under 2.5 goals	87.1%	87.8%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
TOP Oss over 0.5 goals	71.0%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
TOP Oss under 1.5 goals	64.9%	63.2%	58.0%	1.09×	1.58
TOP Oss over 1.5 goals	35.1%	36.8%	42.0%	0.88×	2.72
TOP Oss under 0.5 goals	29.0%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.55
TOP Oss over 2.5 goals	12.9%	12.2%	18.6%	0.66×	8.20
TOP Oss over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 1st half	60.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 1st half	39.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss scores equally in both	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
TOP Oss scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
TOP Oss scores more in 1st half	21.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (away no bet)	69.1%	66.4%	66.8%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.9%	33.6%	33.2%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss even goals	54.2%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
TOP Oss odd goals	45.8%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.4%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Jong AZ to score 2+ in a row	43.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
TOP Oss to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Jong AZ to score 3+ in a row	17.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
TOP Oss to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.6%	—	—	18.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ corners (+3.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Jong AZ corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Jong AZ corners (+1.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
TOP Oss corners (+3.5)	68.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
TOP Oss corners (+2.5)	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Jong AZ corners (-1.5)	51.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
TOP Oss corners (+1.5)	48.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Jong AZ corners (-2.5)	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Jong AZ corners (-3.5)	31.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
TOP Oss corners (-1.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
TOP Oss corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
TOP Oss corners (-3.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	46.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	66.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	33.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.50
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.29
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (2nd half DNB)	61.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
TOP Oss (2nd half DNB)	39.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ leading at HT (DNB)	64.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
TOP Oss leading at HT (DNB)	36.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ or TOP Oss (12)	77.4%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
Jong AZ or draw (1X)	73.0%	72.1%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
TOP Oss or draw (X2)	49.6%	48.5%	55.5%	0.87×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ or draw at HT	78.4%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
TOP Oss or draw at HT	61.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Jong AZ or TOP Oss at HT	60.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ or draw (1UP)	73.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
TOP Oss or draw (1UP)	49.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Jong AZ or TOP Oss in 2nd half	67.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
TOP Oss or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (DNB)	65.1%	67.3%	57.0%	1.18×	1.49
TOP Oss (DNB)	34.9%	32.7%	43.0%	0.76×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to score first	56.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss to score first	39.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.6%	55.0%	58.8%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.4%	45.0%	41.2%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.2%	44.3%	49.5%	0.90×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.5%	34.5%	28.3%	1.22×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.05

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.4%	82.6%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.6%	17.4%	21.0%	0.83×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	13.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	7.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.2%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.2%	30.7%	37.6%	0.82×	3.25
0-1 goals	20.0%	22.9%	18.4%	1.24×	4.37
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
TOP Oss to score exactly 0	29.0%	27.4%	27.3%	1.00×	3.65
TOP Oss to score exactly 2	22.2%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.49
TOP Oss to score 3+	12.9%	12.9%	18.6%	0.69×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to score exactly 1	30.0%	32.5%	30.2%	1.08×	3.07
Jong AZ to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
Jong AZ to score 3+	26.3%	26.5%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
Jong AZ to score exactly 0	16.9%	18.8%	18.7%	1.00×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Jong AZ leading at HT	38.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
TOP Oss leading at HT	21.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ -1: 2	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Jong AZ -1: 1	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Jong AZ -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:1)	49.6%	46.2%	55.5%	0.83×	2.16
Jong AZ (0:1)	27.5%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:2)	72.5%	75.7%	75.6%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.2%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.55
Jong AZ (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	11.8%	0.93×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:3)	87.7%	90.6%	88.2%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	5.7%	1.03×	17.20
Jong AZ (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:4)	95.5%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.76
Jong AZ (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (1:0)	73.0%	72.4%	66.5%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.1%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85
TOP Oss (1:0)	10.9%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (2:0)	89.1%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.4%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.69
TOP Oss (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede	71.0%	73.2%	72.7%	1.01×	1.37
Jong AZ clean sheet	29.0%	26.9%	27.3%	0.98×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ clean sheet in 1st half	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Jong AZ to concede in 1st half	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede in 2nd half	52.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Jong AZ clean sheet in 2nd half	47.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ over 2.5 corners	92.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Jong AZ over 3.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Jong AZ over 4.5 corners	72.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Jong AZ over 5.5 corners	60.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Jong AZ under 6.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Jong AZ over 6.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Jong AZ under 5.5 corners	40.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Jong AZ under 4.5 corners	27.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Jong AZ under 3.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Jong AZ under 2.5 corners	7.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 3.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Jong AZ over 0.5 goals	83.1%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
Jong AZ under 2.5 goals	73.7%	74.3%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
Jong AZ over 1.5 goals	53.1%	53.2%	51.2%	1.04×	1.88
Jong AZ under 1.5 goals	46.9%	46.8%	48.8%	0.96×	2.14
Jong AZ over 2.5 goals	26.3%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
Jong AZ under 0.5 goals	16.9%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.62
Jong AZ over 3.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 1.5 in 1st half	82.1%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Jong AZ over 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Jong AZ under 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Jong AZ over 1.5 in 1st half	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Jong AZ scores equally in both	32.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Jong AZ scores more in 1st half	26.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (home no bet)	54.5%	51.4%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.5%	48.6%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ even goals	51.4%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Jong AZ odd goals	48.6%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-0	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ at HT / Jong AZ at FT	30.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Draw at HT / Jong AZ at FT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
TOP Oss at HT / TOP Oss at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / TOP Oss at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Jong AZ at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
TOP Oss at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
TOP Oss at HT / Jong AZ at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Jong AZ at HT / TOP Oss at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to score last	56.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
TOP Oss to score last	39.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Jong AZ to lead by 1 at any time	66.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
TOP Oss to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Jong AZ to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
TOP Oss to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Jong AZ to lead by 3 at any time	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
TOP Oss to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ most corners	61.3%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
TOP Oss most corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.7%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.5%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.8%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.6%	53.2%	59.3%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.5%	48.5%	53.6%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.4%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.2%	35.2%	37.6%	0.94×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.1%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.3%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ never behind	49.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
TOP Oss never behind	29.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	78.7%	1.05×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.0%	77.3%	81.6%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	59.3%	1.04×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.0%	58.6%	62.4%	0.94×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.0%	41.4%	37.6%	1.10×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	40.7%	0.94×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	20.0%	22.7%	18.4%	1.23×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	21.3%	0.83×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.5%	92.4%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.5%	75.9%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.3%	72.4%	77.2%	0.94×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.1%	51.9%	48.0%	1.08×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.9%	48.1%	52.0%	0.93×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.7%	27.6%	22.8%	1.21×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.5%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.5%	7.6%	10.2%	0.74×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to score in both halves	79.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Jong AZ not to score in both halves	66.0%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Jong AZ to score in both halves	34.0%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
TOP Oss to score in both halves	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.6%	58.7%	58.8%	1.00×	1.71
Only Jong AZ scores	24.5%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.49
Only TOP Oss scores	12.4%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	17.5%	13.8%	1.27×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.5%	7.6%	9.0%	0.85×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win both halves	94.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Jong AZ not to win both halves	84.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Jong AZ to win both halves	15.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.24
TOP Oss to win both halves	5.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to win either half	63.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
TOP Oss to win neither half	57.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
TOP Oss to win either half	42.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Jong AZ to win neither half	36.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win to nil	87.6%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
Jong AZ not to win to nil	75.5%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Jong AZ to win to nil	24.5%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
TOP Oss to win to nil	12.4%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ by 1	22.9%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
Draw	22.6%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
TOP Oss by 1	16.1%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
Jong AZ by 2	15.2%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
Jong AZ by 3+	12.3%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.51
TOP Oss by 2	7.4%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
TOP Oss by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.79