Jong FC Utrecht v RKC Waalwijk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Jong FC Utrecht

19:00 UTC

RKC Waalwijk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,208h before kick-off

Jong FC Utrecht win

26.8%

model 28.2%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.5%

RKC Waalwijk win

51.0%

model 50.3%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 7.4%
2-1 6.8%
0-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.1%	Under 2.5	35.9%
BTTS yes	63.6%	BTTS no	36.4%
Jong FC Utrecht 1+	75.0%	Jong FC Utrecht 2+	40.3%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	85.3%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	57.1%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1338.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.8% for Jong FC Utrecht and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for Jong FC Utrecht and 1.92 for RKC Waalwijk.

Why Jong FC Utrecht

Nothing in the data singles out Jong FC Utrecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why RKC Waalwijk can win

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1338.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jong FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jong FC Utrecht: 47% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RKC Waalwijk: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282250	1.39–1.92	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312247	1.42–1.79	1-1 10%	62%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win	46.5%	47.4%	33.5%	1.41×	2.11
Jong FC Utrecht to win	31.1%	30.4%	44.5%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	22.3%	24.4%	22.1%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	26.1%	25.2%	19.7%	1.28×	3.97
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	20.4%	21.8%	14.0%	1.56×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Jong FC Utrecht & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.57
Jong FC Utrecht & not both score	13.1%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.53
Draw & not both score	3.7%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	39.0%	34.9%	27.4%	1.27×	2.87
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	32.5%	30.8%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	27.0%	26.1%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
Jong FC Utrecht & over 1.5	25.0%	26.1%	37.0%	0.70×	3.84
Jong FC Utrecht & over 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Jong FC Utrecht & under 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	25.7%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	14.0%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Jong FC Utrecht & over 3.5	11.7%	12.8%	18.9%	0.68×	7.79
Jong FC Utrecht & under 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Jong FC Utrecht & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	63.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Jong FC Utrecht (1UP)	50.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	46.5%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Jong FC Utrecht (2UP)	31.1%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	41.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	31.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Jong FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	27.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (+2.5)	95.0%	92.1%	88.2%	1.04×	1.09
RKC Waalwijk (+1.5)	86.1%	88.5%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	68.9%	68.7%	55.5%	1.24×	1.46
Jong FC Utrecht (+0.5)	53.5%	52.4%	66.5%	0.79×	1.91
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	46.5%	47.6%	33.5%	1.42×	2.10
Jong FC Utrecht (-0.5)	31.1%	31.3%	44.5%	0.70×	3.19
Jong FC Utrecht (-1.5)	13.9%	11.5%	24.4%	0.47×	8.66
Jong FC Utrecht (-2.5)	5.0%	7.9%	11.8%	0.67×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	75.9%	78.7%	81.3%	0.97×	1.27
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	24.1%	21.3%	18.7%	1.14×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	45.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 2nd half	55.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 2nd half	44.5%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	80.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	78.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	69.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	30.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	22.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	19.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.8%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	53.3%	53.6%	42.0%	1.27×	1.87
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	46.7%	46.5%	58.0%	0.80×	2.15
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	18.6%	1.52×	3.56
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	27.3%	0.68×	5.40
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	7.0%	1.74×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	83.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	16.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
RKC Waalwijk scores equally in both	32.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 1st half	24.1%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (away no bet)	58.3%	57.4%	66.8%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	42.6%	33.2%	1.28×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	51.4%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	48.6%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.7%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.1%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	43.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Jong FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	30.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	16.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.51
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-3	5.5%	7.4%	3.7%	2.01×	13.51
Any other score	5.0%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29
0-0	3.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-4	2.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.31
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2nd half DNB)	60.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Jong FC Utrecht (2nd half DNB)	39.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	55.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	44.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht or RKC Waalwijk (12)	77.7%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or draw (X2)	68.9%	69.6%	55.5%	1.25×	1.44
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (1X)	53.5%	52.6%	66.5%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	72.8%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Jong FC Utrecht or draw at HT	66.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Jong FC Utrecht or RKC Waalwijk at HT	60.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	68.9%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	53.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	72.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Jong FC Utrecht or RKC Waalwijk in 2nd half	68.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Jong FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	58.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	59.9%	58.1%	43.0%	1.35×	1.72
Jong FC Utrecht (DNB)	40.1%	41.9%	57.0%	0.73×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score first	53.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Jong FC Utrecht to score first	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.8%	56.6%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.2%	43.4%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.9%	47.3%	49.5%	0.95×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.9%	33.3%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.05
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.9%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.1%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	27.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	8.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.1%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.7%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.4%	35.1%	37.6%	0.93×	2.85
0-1 goals	17.4%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.94
7+ goals	4.5%	1.9%	3.2%	0.58×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	30.0%	27.4%	30.8%	0.89×	3.65
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.66
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	26.5%	27.4%	18.6%	1.48×	3.66
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	16.8%	19.6%	27.3%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.6%	30.2%	1.08×	3.07
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.3%	25.8%	0.90×	4.29
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	24.1%	23.3%	18.7%	1.25×	4.29
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+	17.2%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	33.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT	27.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk -1: 1	53.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
RKC Waalwijk -1: 2	25.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
RKC Waalwijk -1: X	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	68.9%	65.3%	55.5%	1.18×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.2%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.61
Jong FC Utrecht (0:1)	13.9%	13.7%	24.4%	0.56×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	86.1%	87.1%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.03
Jong FC Utrecht (0:2)	5.0%	7.7%	11.8%	0.65×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	95.0%	92.7%	88.2%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.04
Jong FC Utrecht (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.98
Jong FC Utrecht (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (1:0)	53.5%	54.0%	66.5%	0.81×	1.85
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	25.0%	21.7%	15.5%	1.40×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	21.6%	21.7%	18.2%	1.19×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (2:0)	75.0%	80.4%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.0%	10.3%	8.8%	1.17×	9.70
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	11.0%	10.3%	6.8%	1.52×	9.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede	83.2%	80.9%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet	16.8%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	51.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede in 2nd half	65.7%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	34.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Jong FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	74.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Jong FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Jong FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Jong FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Jong FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Jong FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	25.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	16.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.08
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	82.8%	82.2%	74.4%	1.10×	1.22
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	75.9%	77.7%	81.3%	0.96×	1.29
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	48.8%	1.20×	1.71
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	51.2%	0.81×	2.42
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	24.1%	22.3%	18.7%	1.19×	4.49
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	17.2%	17.8%	25.6%	0.70×	5.62
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	10.1%	0.77×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht scores equally in both	37.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Jong FC Utrecht scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Jong FC Utrecht scores more in 1st half	25.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (home no bet)	67.6%	64.2%	60.3%	1.07×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.4%	35.8%	39.7%	0.90×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht even goals	52.9%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Jong FC Utrecht odd goals	47.1%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.5%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 0-1	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-2	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
Any other HT score	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 1-2	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	26.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	18.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	11.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score last	53.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Jong FC Utrecht to score last	42.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	63.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	50.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	32.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	20.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht most corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
RKC Waalwijk most corners	38.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.2%	72.4%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.7%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.4%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.4%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.2%	35.2%	32.9%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.3%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.6%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.5%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk never behind	45.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Jong FC Utrecht never behind	32.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.4%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.9%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.1%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.1%	61.7%	59.3%	1.04×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.9%	38.3%	40.7%	0.94×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	37.9%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.1%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.6%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.0%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	75.9%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.2%	72.4%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.3%	51.9%	52.0%	1.00×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.7%	48.1%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.8%	27.6%	26.4%	1.05×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.0%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	66.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	33.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Jong FC Utrecht to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.8%	60.3%	58.8%	1.02×	1.66
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	20.4%	22.2%	14.0%	1.59×	4.50
Only Jong FC Utrecht scores	13.1%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.7%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.5%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.7%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.6%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.7%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	26.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	23.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.0%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win both halves	92.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	86.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Jong FC Utrecht to win both halves	7.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	61.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Jong FC Utrecht to win neither half	52.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Jong FC Utrecht to win either half	47.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	39.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win to nil	86.9%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	79.6%	78.1%	86.0%	0.91×	1.28
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	20.4%	21.9%	14.0%	1.56×	4.58
Jong FC Utrecht to win to nil	13.1%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
RKC Waalwijk by 1	21.6%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.15
Jong FC Utrecht by 1	17.2%	17.0%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
RKC Waalwijk by 2	14.0%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.50
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	11.0%	11.8%	6.8%	1.74×	8.51
Jong FC Utrecht by 2	8.9%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.90
Jong FC Utrecht by 3+	5.0%	7.2%	11.8%	0.61×	13.92