Jong PSV v FC Eindhoven — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 21 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Jong PSV

19:00 UTC

FC Eindhoven

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,376h before kick-off

Jong PSV win

45.4%

model 44.5%

Draw

23.8%

model 22.7%

FC Eindhoven win

30.9%

model 32.7%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.0%
1-0 7.8%
1-2 7.6%
0-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.7%	Under 2.5	39.3%
BTTS yes	62.0%	BTTS no	38.0%
Jong PSV 1+	81.9%	Jong PSV 2+	50.9%
FC Eindhoven 1+	76.1%	FC Eindhoven 2+	41.9%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Jong PSV not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 77%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Jong PSV carry the stronger rating, 1419 Elo against 1368.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Jong PSV have an estimated 45.4% win probability, against 30.9% for FC Eindhoven and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Jong PSV and 1.43 for FC Eindhoven.

Why Jong PSV

Jong PSV carry the stronger rating, 1419 Elo against 1368.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Eindhoven can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jong PSV, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jong PSV: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Eindhoven: 47% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong PSV's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Jong PSV are the model's most likely outcome at 45.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452333	1.71–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412337	1.65–1.55	1-1 10%	62%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to win	40.7%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
FC Eindhoven to win	36.6%	36.3%	33.5%	1.08×	2.75
Draw	22.7%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV & both teams score	23.3%	21.8%	22.0%	0.99×	4.59
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	21.1%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Jong PSV & not both score	17.4%	18.0%	22.6%	0.80×	5.57
FC Eindhoven & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	14.0%	1.28×	5.57
Draw & not both score	3.7%	4.9%	4.8%	1.02×	20.50

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV & over 1.5	33.6%	30.8%	37.0%	0.83×	3.25
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	30.0%	26.1%	27.4%	0.95×	3.84
Jong PSV & over 2.5	28.1%	26.1%	30.8%	0.84×	3.84
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	25.1%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Jong PSV & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.63
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.55
Jong PSV & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Jong PSV & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Jong PSV & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (1UP)	59.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (2UP)	40.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to win 2nd half	34.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	33.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
2nd half drawn	31.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Jong PSV over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Jong PSV under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Jong PSV over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (+2.5)	91.6%	92.1%	88.2%	1.04×	1.09
FC Eindhoven (+1.5)	79.5%	78.5%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
Jong PSV (+0.5)	63.4%	63.0%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	59.3%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75
Jong PSV (-0.5)	40.7%	42.9%	44.5%	0.97×	2.33
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	36.6%	37.1%	33.5%	1.10×	2.70
Jong PSV (-1.5)	20.5%	21.5%	24.4%	0.88×	4.65
Jong PSV (-2.5)	8.4%	7.9%	11.8%	0.67×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	80.8%	81.4%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	19.2%	18.6%	18.7%	0.99×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	50.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	49.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	60.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	77.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.4%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	81.5%	0.94×	1.31
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	78.9%	76.3%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.5%	58.0%	0.92×	1.87
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.5%	42.0%	1.11×	2.15
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	21.1%	23.7%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	18.6%	1.28×	4.21
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
FC Eindhoven scores equally in both	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (away no bet)	64.2%	61.9%	66.8%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.8%	38.1%	33.2%	1.15×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	52.2%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
FC Eindhoven odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Jong PSV to score 2+ in a row	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Jong PSV to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV corners (+3.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Jong PSV corners (+2.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Jong PSV corners (+1.5)	79.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	50.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Jong PSV corners (-1.5)	49.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Jong PSV corners (-2.5)	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong PSV corners (-3.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	20.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	34.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	55.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	44.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	34.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.29
0-0	3.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	3.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.29
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	4.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (2nd half DNB)	50.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
FC Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	49.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV leading at HT (DNB)	54.4%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	45.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV or FC Eindhoven (12)	77.3%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
Jong PSV or draw (1X)	63.4%	63.7%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
FC Eindhoven or draw (X2)	59.3%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV or draw at HT	72.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	67.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Jong PSV or FC Eindhoven at HT	60.7%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	59.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV or FC Eindhoven in 2nd half	68.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Jong PSV or draw in 2nd half	66.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	65.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (DNB)	52.6%	50.9%	57.0%	0.89×	1.96
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	47.4%	49.1%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to score first	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
FC Eindhoven to score first	46.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	3.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.85

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.3%	56.7%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.7%	43.3%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.3%	47.3%	49.5%	0.95×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.9%	33.3%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.4%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.6%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	23.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	37.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.8%	42.2%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.3%	35.0%	37.6%	0.93×	2.86
0-1 goals	17.4%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.94
7+ goals	4.5%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.3%	27.3%	0.82×	4.49
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	20.5%	22.3%	18.6%	1.20×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to score exactly 1	31.7%	32.6%	30.2%	1.08×	3.07
Jong PSV to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
Jong PSV to score 3+	22.9%	23.3%	25.6%	0.91×	4.29
Jong PSV to score exactly 0	19.2%	18.8%	18.7%	1.01×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Jong PSV leading at HT	33.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	27.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV -1: 2	59.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Jong PSV -1: 1	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Jong PSV -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	59.3%	55.9%	55.5%	1.01×	1.79
Jong PSV (0:1)	20.5%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	79.5%	79.4%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
Jong PSV (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	11.8%	0.65×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	91.6%	92.7%	88.2%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.27
Jong PSV (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.68
Jong PSV (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (1:0)	63.4%	65.3%	66.5%	0.98×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	17.6%	17.1%	15.5%	1.10×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV (2:0)	82.4%	84.6%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.7%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.73
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	6.8%	0.94×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to concede	78.9%	76.1%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
Jong PSV clean sheet	21.1%	23.9%	27.3%	0.88×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Jong PSV to concede in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to concede in 2nd half	60.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Jong PSV clean sheet in 2nd half	39.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV over 2.5 corners	89.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Jong PSV over 3.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Jong PSV over 4.5 corners	65.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Jong PSV under 6.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Jong PSV over 5.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Jong PSV under 5.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Jong PSV over 6.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Jong PSV under 4.5 corners	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Jong PSV under 3.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Jong PSV under 2.5 corners	10.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV under 3.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.09
Jong PSV over 0.5 goals	80.8%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
Jong PSV under 2.5 goals	77.1%	77.8%	74.4%	1.04×	1.29
Jong PSV under 1.5 goals	50.9%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
Jong PSV over 1.5 goals	49.1%	46.8%	51.2%	0.91×	2.14
Jong PSV over 2.5 goals	22.9%	22.2%	25.6%	0.87×	4.50
Jong PSV under 0.5 goals	19.2%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.61
Jong PSV over 3.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	10.1%	0.77×	12.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV under 1.5 in 1st half	84.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Jong PSV over 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Jong PSV under 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Jong PSV over 1.5 in 1st half	15.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong PSV scores equally in both	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Jong PSV scores more in 1st half	26.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (home no bet)	61.8%	60.0%	60.3%	1.00×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.2%	40.0%	39.7%	1.01×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV even goals	51.8%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Jong PSV odd goals	48.2%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.32

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV at HT / Jong PSV at FT	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Jong PSV at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Jong PSV at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Jong PSV at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
FC Eindhoven at HT / Jong PSV at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to score last	49.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
FC Eindhoven to score last	46.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	3.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.85

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Jong PSV to lead by 1 at any time	59.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	55.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Jong PSV to lead by 2 at any time	28.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	25.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Jong PSV to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV most corners	60.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
FC Eindhoven most corners	29.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.3%	72.3%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.6%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.5%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.8%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.3%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.2%	35.2%	32.9%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.2%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.5%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.5%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV never behind	40.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
FC Eindhoven never behind	37.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.4%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.0%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.1%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	59.3%	1.04×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	40.7%	0.94×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	37.9%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.0%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.6%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.1%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	75.9%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.2%	72.4%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.2%	51.9%	52.0%	1.00×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.8%	48.1%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.8%	27.6%	26.4%	1.05×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.9%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.0%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.0%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Jong PSV not to score in both halves	69.1%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Jong PSV to score in both halves	30.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.3%	60.3%	58.8%	1.02×	1.66
Only Jong PSV scores	17.4%	16.0%	22.6%	0.71×	6.24
Only FC Eindhoven scores	15.5%	16.0%	14.0%	1.14×	6.24
Neither team scores	3.7%	4.6%	4.8%	0.97×	21.57

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.5%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.7%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.26
6 or more goals	10.6%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.7%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	26.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	23.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	15.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.7%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	90.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Jong PSV not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Jong PSV to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	9.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong PSV to win either half	56.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
FC Eindhoven to win either half	52.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	47.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Jong PSV to win neither half	44.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	86.0%	0.97×	1.20
Jong PSV not to win to nil	82.6%	83.1%	77.4%	1.07×	1.20
Jong PSV to win to nil	17.4%	16.9%	22.6%	0.75×	5.91
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	15.5%	16.9%	14.0%	1.21×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
Jong PSV by 1	20.2%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
FC Eindhoven by 1	19.1%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
Jong PSV by 2	12.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
FC Eindhoven by 2	10.7%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
Jong PSV by 3+	8.4%	7.2%	11.8%	0.61×	13.91
FC Eindhoven by 3+	6.9%	7.2%	6.8%	1.06×	13.91