Juan Pablo II v Deportivo Garcilaso — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Juan Pablo II

20:00 UTC

Deportivo Garcilaso

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 441h before kick-off

Juan Pablo II win

36.7%

model 37.6%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.5%

Deportivo Garcilaso win

36.7%

model 37.0%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 10.3%
0-1 10.2%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.8%	Under 2.5	52.2%
BTTS yes	52.2%	BTTS no	47.8%
Juan Pablo II 1+	72.7%	Juan Pablo II 2+	37.3%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1+	72.4%	Deportivo Garcilaso 2+	36.9%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 50%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Juan Pablo II have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Deportivo Garcilaso and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Juan Pablo II and 1.29 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Why Juan Pablo II

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.29. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Garcilaso can win

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Garcilaso, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juan Pablo II: 50% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Garcilaso: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Juan Pablo II's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Juan Pablo II are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382537	1.30–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312642	1.09–1.32	1-1 12%	43%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win	42.4%	42.9%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
Juan Pablo II to win	31.3%	30.4%	49.8%	0.61×	3.29
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & not both score	25.1%	25.2%	12.3%	2.04×	3.97
Juan Pablo II & not both score	18.2%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Deportivo Garcilaso & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.57
Juan Pablo II & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	23.6%	0.56×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.4%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 3.5	32.2%	30.8%	19.4%	1.59×	3.25
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 1.5	30.1%	30.7%	17.4%	1.77×	3.25
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	33.7%	0.64×	4.63
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5	21.0%	21.6%	38.0%	0.57×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	11.1%	1.96×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	30.8%	0.58×	5.56
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 1.5	12.4%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 3.5	10.3%	12.8%	6.2%	2.08×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1UP)	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Juan Pablo II (1UP)	46.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2UP)	42.4%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Juan Pablo II (2UP)	31.3%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half	26.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	11.2%	—	—	8.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (+2.5)	96.4%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Deportivo Garcilaso (+1.5)	88.0%	88.5%	75.4%	1.17×	1.13
Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	50.2%	1.37×	1.46
Juan Pablo II (+0.5)	57.6%	57.0%	74.6%	0.76×	1.75
Deportivo Garcilaso (-0.5)	42.4%	43.0%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
Juan Pablo II (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	49.8%	0.63×	3.19
Juan Pablo II (-1.5)	12.0%	11.5%	24.6%	0.47×	8.67
Juan Pablo II (-2.5)	3.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.32×	27.11

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede	66.4%	72.3%	80.1%	0.90×	1.38
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	33.6%	27.7%	19.9%	1.39×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 1st half	62.6%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 1st half	37.4%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 2nd half	53.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 2nd half	46.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 6.5 corners	90.8%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Garcilaso under 5.5 corners	83.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Deportivo Garcilaso under 4.5 corners	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 corners	62.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 corners	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 corners	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 corners	37.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Deportivo Garcilaso over 5.5 corners	16.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Deportivo Garcilaso over 6.5 corners	9.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 goals	85.2%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals	73.3%	71.8%	65.9%	1.09×	1.39
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals	61.9%	63.2%	71.6%	0.88×	1.58
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 goals	38.1%	36.8%	28.4%	1.29×	2.72
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 goals	26.7%	28.2%	34.1%	0.83×	3.55
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 goals	14.8%	12.2%	8.0%	1.53×	8.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso scores equally in both	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 1st half	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (away no bet)	54.3%	51.7%	66.6%	0.78×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.7%	48.3%	33.4%	1.44×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso even goals	53.6%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Deportivo Garcilaso odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.3%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2+ in a row	31.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.99
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row	5.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+3.5)	71.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+2.5)	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5)	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+1.5)	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5)	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5)	28.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-1.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-2.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.4%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.71
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
1-0	10.3%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.72
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	7.8%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
2-1	7.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2nd half DNB)	58.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Juan Pablo II (2nd half DNB)	41.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT (DNB)	53.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB)	46.2%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Garcilaso (12)	73.7%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (X2)	68.7%	69.6%	50.2%	1.39×	1.44
Juan Pablo II or draw (1X)	57.6%	57.1%	74.6%	0.76×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw at HT	75.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT	71.2%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Garcilaso at HT	53.6%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)	57.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Garcilaso in 2nd half	62.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)	57.6%	58.1%	33.7%	1.72×	1.72
Juan Pablo II (DNB)	42.4%	41.9%	66.3%	0.63×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Juan Pablo II to score first	41.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.8%	51.3%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.2%	48.7%	53.8%	0.91×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	37.7%	1.10×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.8%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.7%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.3%	14.4%	14.3%	1.00×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.7%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.3%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	47.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.1%	30.7%	27.5%	1.12×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.2%	22.9%	26.8%	0.85×	4.36
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.79
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 0	26.7%	27.4%	34.1%	0.81×	3.64
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+	14.8%	12.9%	8.0%	1.62×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0	33.6%	32.6%	19.9%	1.63×	3.07
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2	20.0%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Juan Pablo II to score 3+	9.8%	10.4%	22.5%	0.46×	9.64

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT	28.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Juan Pablo II leading at HT	24.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 1	57.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 2	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:1)	68.7%	65.3%	50.2%	1.30×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.2%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.61
Juan Pablo II (0:1)	12.0%	13.7%	24.6%	0.56×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)	88.0%	87.1%	75.4%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	13.05
Juan Pablo II (0:2)	3.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.33×	26.69

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:3)	96.4%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.02
Juan Pablo II (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.89
Juan Pablo II (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (1:0)	57.6%	58.3%	74.6%	0.78×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Deportivo Garcilaso (1:0)	19.2%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (2:0)	80.8%	84.5%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.3%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.72
Deportivo Garcilaso (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	2.2%	2.94×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede	73.3%	73.0%	65.9%	1.11×	1.37
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	26.7%	27.0%	34.1%	0.79×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half	58.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half	41.1%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede in 2nd half	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 2nd half	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners	72.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners	28.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners	17.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	77.5%	1.19×	1.09
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals	70.2%	74.2%	52.7%	1.41×	1.35
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals	66.4%	67.9%	80.1%	0.85×	1.47
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals	33.6%	32.1%	19.9%	1.61×	3.12
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals	29.8%	25.8%	47.3%	0.55×	3.88
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.8%	22.5%	0.35×	12.82
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half	91.9%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half	37.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half	8.1%	5.3%	—	—	18.91

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II scores equally in both	44.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Juan Pablo II scores more in 2nd half	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Juan Pablo II scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (home no bet)	61.7%	60.0%	50.4%	1.19×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.3%	40.0%	49.6%	0.81×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals	55.6%	55.3%	50.5%	1.09×	1.81
Juan Pablo II odd goals	44.4%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	22.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Juan Pablo II at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score last	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Juan Pablo II to score last	41.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 1 at any time	56.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time	46.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 2 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time	16.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 3 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.73

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II most corners	62.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Deportivo Garcilaso most corners	26.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.2%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.7%	68.8%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.3%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.2%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.2%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.7%	39.2%	46.2%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.6%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.2%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.8%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.6%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.25
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso never behind	44.7%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Juan Pablo II never behind	34.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	71.6%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.9%	66.3%	72.5%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.6%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.4%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.1%	33.7%	27.5%	1.22×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	28.4%	0.80×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.1%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.8%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.7%	72.4%	63.1%	1.15×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.3%	55.8%	65.1%	0.86×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.7%	44.2%	34.9%	1.27×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.3%	27.6%	36.9%	0.75×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.2%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.9%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.84

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso not to score in both halves	77.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Deportivo Garcilaso to score in both halves	22.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.2%	50.7%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Only Deportivo Garcilaso scores	25.1%	26.1%	12.3%	2.12×	3.84
Only Juan Pablo II scores	18.2%	16.0%	26.4%	0.61×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.6%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.7%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.84

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves	93.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Deportivo Garcilaso to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Juan Pablo II to win both halves	6.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to win neither half	55.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Deportivo Garcilaso to win either half	54.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportivo Garcilaso to win neither half	45.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Juan Pablo II to win either half	44.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil	81.8%	83.1%	73.6%	1.13×	1.20
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win to nil	74.9%	75.3%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil	25.1%	24.7%	12.3%	2.00×	4.05
Juan Pablo II to win to nil	18.2%	16.9%	26.4%	0.64×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Deportivo Garcilaso by 1	23.2%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Juan Pablo II by 1	19.2%	17.1%	25.4%	0.67×	5.86
Deportivo Garcilaso by 2	12.3%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
Juan Pablo II by 2	8.4%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.91
Deportivo Garcilaso by 3+	6.9%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.91
Juan Pablo II by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.86