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Juan Pablo II v Sport Huancayo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Juan Pablo II win
48.2%
model 46.1%
Draw
22.6%
model 22.3%
Sport Huancayo win
29.3%
model 31.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.9%
  2. 2-1 9.1%
  3. 1-0 7.6%
  4. 1-2 7.4%
  5. 2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.562.0% Under 2.538.0%
BTTS yes62.7% BTTS no37.3%
Juan Pablo II 1+83.0% Juan Pablo II 2+52.8%
Sport Huancayo 1+76.1% Sport Huancayo 2+41.8%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 37%
53.7% fair odds 1.86
strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Juan Pablo II have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.3% for Sport Huancayo and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Juan Pablo II and 1.43 for Sport Huancayo.

Why Juan Pablo II

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Huancayo can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juan Pablo II: 50% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Juan Pablo II are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.77–1.43 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.96–1.41 2-1 9% 65% 64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to win 50.8% 51.5% 49.8% 1.03× 1.94
Sport Huancayo to win 28.0% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.58
Draw 21.2% 24.5% 25.0% 0.98× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II & both teams score 29.4% 25.2% 23.6% 1.07× 3.97
Juan Pablo II & not both score 21.4% 21.8% 26.4% 0.82× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.1% 18.0% 17.4% 1.03× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & both teams score 17.0% 18.0% 13.2% 1.36× 5.57
Sport Huancayo & not both score 11.0% 13.3% 12.3% 1.08× 7.54
Draw & not both score 3.1% 4.9% 7.8% 0.63× 20.53
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5 43.6% 40.3% 38.0% 1.06× 2.48
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5 37.0% 34.9% 30.8% 1.13× 2.87
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5 27.4% 26.1% 33.7% 0.77× 3.84
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5 23.4% 21.6% 16.3% 1.33× 4.63
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5 22.8% 21.6% 17.4% 1.24× 4.63
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 14.5% 1.24× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 18.1% 18.0% 17.4% 1.04× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5 17.0% 18.0% 19.4% 0.93× 5.56
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 19.2% 0.67× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 12.2% 12.8% 18.8% 0.68× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 12.2% 12.8% 18.8% 0.68× 7.79
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5 11.1% 12.8% 6.2% 2.08× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 9.0% 7.9% 6.3% 1.25× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 9.0% 7.9% 6.3% 1.25× 12.63
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5 8.7% 7.9% 11.1% 0.72× 12.63
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 12.0% 0.66× 12.63
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5 5.2% 7.9% 8.2% 0.97× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 3.1% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (1UP) 67.6% 70.3% — — 1.42
Sport Huancayo (1UP) 48.6% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (2UP) 50.8% 55.2% — — 1.81
Sport Huancayo (2UP) 28.0% 25.2% — — 3.96
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half 41.9% 41.9% — — 2.38
2nd half drawn 30.6% 34.0% — — 2.95
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half 27.6% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.3% 79.6% — — 1.26
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.0% 54.4% — — 1.84
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 2nd half 43.0% 45.6% — — 2.19
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.7% 20.4% — — 4.91
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 2nd half 69.3% 70.9% — — 1.41
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.2% 70.7% — — 1.41
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.8% 29.3% — — 3.42
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 2nd half 30.7% 29.1% — — 3.43
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (+2.5) 86.3% 88.5% 88.6% 1.00× 1.13
Juan Pablo II (+0.5) 72.0% 73.7% 74.6% 0.99× 1.36
Sport Huancayo (+1.5) 71.1% 73.6% 75.4% 0.98× 1.36
Juan Pablo II (-0.5) 50.8% 52.4% 49.8% 1.05× 1.91
Sport Huancayo (+0.5) 49.2% 47.6% 50.2% 0.95× 2.10
Juan Pablo II (-1.5) 28.9% 26.4% 24.6% 1.07× 3.80
Sport Huancayo (-0.5) 28.0% 26.3% 25.4% 1.04× 3.80
Juan Pablo II (-2.5) 13.7% 11.5% 11.4% 1.01× 8.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede 85.9% 86.2% 80.1% 1.08× 1.16
Sport Huancayo clean sheet 14.1% 13.8% 19.9% 0.69× 7.27
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half 56.9% 56.5% — — 1.77
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half 43.1% 43.5% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede in 2nd half 67.2% 65.7% — — 1.52
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 2nd half 32.8% 34.3% — — 2.92
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners 79.2% 76.1% — — 1.32
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners 76.9% 76.0% — — 1.32
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners 65.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners 64.2% 61.7% — — 1.62
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners 51.5% 53.1% — — 1.88
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners 48.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners 35.8% 38.3% — — 2.61
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners 34.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners 23.1% 24.0% — — 4.18
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners 20.8% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals 94.6% 92.4% 97.5% 0.95× 1.08
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals 83.2% 81.5% 92.0% 0.89× 1.23
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals 75.5% 76.2% 65.9% 1.16× 1.31
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals 58.9% 59.4% 71.6% 0.83× 1.68
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals 41.1% 40.6% 28.4% 1.43× 2.47
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals 24.5% 23.8% 34.1% 0.70× 4.21
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals 16.8% 18.5% 8.0% 2.32× 5.41
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals 5.4% 7.6% 2.5% 3.01× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half 89.0% 89.3% — — 1.12
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half 57.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half 43.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half 11.0% 10.7% — — 9.37
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo scores more in 2nd half 39.6% 37.4% — — 2.67
Sport Huancayo scores equally in both 37.6% 37.4% — — 2.68
Sport Huancayo scores more in 1st half 22.8% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (away no bet) 70.6% 68.3% 66.6% 1.03× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 29.4% 31.7% 33.4% 0.95× 3.16
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals 53.0% 52.6% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Sport Huancayo odd goals 47.0% 47.4% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 76.1% 80.8% — — 1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals 23.9% 19.2% — — 5.20
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 75.2% 72.0% — — 1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals 24.8% 28.0% — — 3.58
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 66.9% 62.4% — — 1.60
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row 47.8% 46.2% — — 2.17
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row 29.4% 25.0% — — 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 28.0% 25.0% — — 4.01
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row 20.1% 19.5% — — 5.14
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row 8.6% 5.5% — — 18.09
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5) 83.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5) 82.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5) 76.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5) 74.6% 70.8% — — 1.41
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5) 67.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5) 65.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5) 34.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5) 32.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5) 25.4% 29.2% — — 3.42
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5) 23.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5) 17.7% 20.2% — — 4.95
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5) 16.3% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 42.0% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 29.6% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 28.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 79.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 68.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 62.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 58.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 52.7% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 47.3% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 42.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 37.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 31.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 28.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 20.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.1% 7.4% 11.2% 0.66× 13.51
2-1 9.3% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.51
1-0 7.1% 7.4% 12.0% 0.62× 13.51
1-2 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 0.97× 13.51
2-0 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.51
2-2 6.6% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.51
0-1 5.2% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.51
3-1 6.1% 7.4% 5.3% 1.41× 13.51
Any other score 6.3% 7.4% 2.7% 2.72× 13.51
0-0 3.1% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 58.30
0-2 3.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-3 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.16× 58.32
1-3 3.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.30
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.31
2-3 3.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.30
2-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.31
3-0 4.3% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.29
3-2 4.3% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.30
3-3 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.31
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.37× 58.32
4-0 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.31
4-1 3.0% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.30
4-2 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
4-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.73× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 9.47× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (2nd half DNB) 60.3% 62.7% — — 1.60
Sport Huancayo (2nd half DNB) 39.7% 37.3% — — 2.68
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB) 63.4% 66.6% — — 1.50
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB) 36.6% 33.4% — — 2.99
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or Sport Huancayo (12) 78.8% 75.5% 75.0% 1.01× 1.32
Juan Pablo II or draw (1X) 72.0% 72.1% 74.6% 0.97× 1.39
Sport Huancayo or draw (X2) 49.2% 48.5% 50.2% 0.97× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT 77.1% 79.6% — — 1.26
Juan Pablo II or Sport Huancayo at HT 62.5% 60.9% — — 1.64
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT 60.4% 60.9% — — 1.64
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP) 72.0% 79.6% — — 1.26
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP) 49.2% 53.1% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half 72.4% 73.9% — — 1.35
Juan Pablo II or Sport Huancayo in 2nd half 69.4% 66.0% — — 1.51
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half 58.1% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.0% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 43.0% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (DNB) 64.4% 62.7% 66.3% 0.95× 1.59
Sport Huancayo (DNB) 35.6% 37.3% 33.7% 1.11× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score first 56.4% 62.4% — — 1.60
Sport Huancayo to score first 40.5% 41.6% — — 2.41
No goal scored 3.1% 4.4% — — 22.96
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 64.5% 56.7% 53.8% 1.05× 1.77
Not both teams to score 35.5% 43.3% 46.2% 0.94× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 55.3% 47.4% 42.8% 1.11× 2.11
Not both score & under 2.5 25.5% 33.3% 37.7% 0.88× 3.01
Not both score & over 2.5 10.0% 12.4% 8.7% 1.42× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.1% 8.3% 11.2% 0.74× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 76.1% 79.7% 85.7% 0.93× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 23.9% 20.3% 14.3% 1.42× 4.93
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 61.8% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 38.2% 34.2% — — 2.93
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 46.8% 52.9% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 28.8% 26.8% — — 3.73
Both score 1st half only 15.0% 14.9% — — 6.73
Both score in both halves 9.4% 6.8% — — 14.64
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 75.6% 80.9% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 24.4% 19.1% — — 5.23
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 64.6% 59.5% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 35.4% 40.5% — — 2.47
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.1% 42.2% 44.2% 0.95× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.9% 35.0% 26.8% 1.31× 2.85
0-1 goals 15.5% 20.2% 27.5% 0.73× 4.95
7+ goals 5.5% 7.6% 1.8% 4.19× 13.17
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1 34.5% 33.8% 37.7% 0.90× 2.96
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0 24.5% 22.3% 34.1% 0.65× 4.49
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2 24.2% 22.3% 20.7% 1.08× 4.49
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ 16.8% 19.5% 8.0% 2.45× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ 31.2% 32.6% 22.5% 1.45× 3.07
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1 27.6% 26.6% 33.0% 0.81× 3.77
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0 14.1% 14.3% 19.9% 0.72× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II leading at HT 39.6% 39.1% — — 2.56
Draw at HT 37.5% 39.1% — — 2.56
Sport Huancayo leading at HT 22.9% 20.4% — — 4.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II -1: 2 49.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Juan Pablo II -1: 1 28.9% 26.5% — — 3.77
Juan Pablo II -1: X 21.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:1) 49.2% 46.1% 50.2% 0.92× 2.17
Juan Pablo II (0:1) 28.9% 27.0% 24.6% 1.10× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 21.9% 24.2% 25.4% 0.95× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:2) 71.1% 75.6% 75.4% 1.00× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.2% 15.2% 13.4% 1.14× 6.56
Juan Pablo II (0:2) 13.7% 11.0% 11.4% 0.96× 9.09
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:3) 86.3% 90.6% 88.6% 1.02× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.3% 5.8% 7.6% 0.76× 17.23
Juan Pablo II (0:3) 5.4% 5.8% 4.0% 1.45× 17.28
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:4) 94.6% 94.6% 96.0% 0.99× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.6% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 81.57
Juan Pablo II (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 1.6% 0.75× 81.77
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (1:0) 72.0% 72.4% 74.6% 0.97× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 15.8% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.85
Sport Huancayo (1:0) 12.2% 12.7% 7.6% 1.67× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (2:0) 87.8% 88.5% 92.4% 0.96× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.9% 6.4% 5.6% 1.14× 15.65
Sport Huancayo (2:0) 4.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.05× 43.66
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.8% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.4% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede 75.5% 76.0% 65.9% 1.15× 1.32
Juan Pablo II clean sheet 24.5% 24.0% 34.1% 0.70× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half 57.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half 43.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede in 2nd half 57.0% 54.8% — — 1.83
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 2nd half 43.0% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners 80.2% 81.0% — — 1.24
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners 75.6% 76.5% — — 1.31
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners 64.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners 50.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners 50.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners 35.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.00
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.26
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners 19.8% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals 86.5% 87.3% 92.4% 0.94× 1.15
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals 85.9% 87.3% 80.1% 1.09× 1.15
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals 68.8% 67.9% 77.5% 0.88× 1.47
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals 58.2% 58.7% 47.3% 1.24× 1.71
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals 41.8% 41.3% 52.7% 0.78× 2.42
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals 31.2% 32.1% 22.5% 1.43× 3.12
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals 14.1% 12.7% 19.9% 0.64× 7.85
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals 13.5% 12.7% 7.6% 1.67× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half 79.4% 76.7% — — 1.30
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half 56.9% 56.3% — — 1.78
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half 43.1% 43.7% — — 2.29
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half 20.6% 23.3% — — 4.29
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II scores more in 2nd half 41.8% 41.7% — — 2.40
Juan Pablo II scores equally in both 30.8% 33.1% — — 3.02
Juan Pablo II scores more in 1st half 27.4% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (home no bet) 57.0% 56.4% 50.4% 1.12× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 43.0% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals 51.0% 50.7% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Juan Pablo II odd goals 49.0% 49.3% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 24.5% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 20.7% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 13.9% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 11.6% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 8.7% 6.9% — — 14.52
Any other HT score 7.2% 6.9% — — 14.55
HT 2-1 4.9% 2.4% — — 42.10
HT 0-2 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 1-2 3.3% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT 2-2 1.4% 2.4% — — 42.33
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 31.6% 32.8% — — 3.05
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 15.9% 16.8% — — 5.97
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 14.9% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.0% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 10.6% 12.7% — — 7.91
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% — — 16.54
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.86
Sport Huancayo at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 3.3% 3.5% — — 28.92
Juan Pablo II at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 2.6% 3.5% — — 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score last 56.4% 56.6% — — 1.77
Sport Huancayo to score last 40.6% 39.9% — — 2.51
No goal scored 3.1% 4.4% — — 22.96
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.9% 95.6% — — 1.05
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time 67.6% 69.3% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 56.1% 54.9% — — 1.82
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time 48.6% 44.4% — — 2.25
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time 37.3% 34.8% — — 2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.4% 19.5% — — 5.12
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 14.9% — — 6.73
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time 17.1% 14.8% — — 6.75
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time 6.3% 6.6% — — 15.09
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II most corners 45.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Sport Huancayo most corners 43.4% 43.6% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.4% 83.4% 87.1% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.0% 78.7% 70.8% 1.11× 1.27
1-4 goals 72.0% 72.3% 78.1% 0.93× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.0% 72.3% 67.4% 1.07× 1.38
3-6 goals 59.8% 59.1% 49.6% 1.19× 1.69
2-4 goals 59.6% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
1-3 goals 53.5% 53.2% 63.9% 0.83× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.9% 53.2% 46.2% 1.15× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.1% 43.6% 44.2% 0.99× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 37.1% 1.17× 2.29
4-6 goals 37.9% 39.2% 26.8% 1.46× 2.55
1-2 goals 31.6% 35.2% 41.1% 0.86× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.9% 35.2% 23.4% 1.51× 2.84
5-6 goals 19.4% 18.8% 12.7% 1.49× 5.31
7+ goals 5.5% 8.9% 1.8% 4.90× 11.28
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II never behind 48.3% 56.8% — — 1.76
Sport Huancayo never behind 29.3% 30.0% — — 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.3% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.7% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.9% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 47.1% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.7% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.9% 95.4% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 87.5% 87.6% 94.7% 0.92× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 84.5% 82.3% 72.5% 1.14× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 75.1% 77.3% 85.7% 0.90× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 65.3% 66.3% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 56.6% 58.6% 71.6% 0.82× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 43.4% 41.4% 28.4% 1.45× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 34.7% 33.7% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
Over 4.5 goals 24.9% 22.7% 14.3% 1.59× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 15.5% 17.7% 27.5% 0.64× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 12.5% 12.4% 5.3% 2.36× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 3.1% 4.6% 7.8% 0.59× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.1% 92.4% 98.1% 0.94× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 85.7% 86.7% 94.2% 0.92× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 80.9% 81.1% 65.1% 1.25× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 69.4% 67.5% 83.3% 0.81× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.6% 55.8% 36.9% 1.51× 1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.4% 44.2% 63.1% 0.70× 2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 30.6% 32.5% 16.7% 1.95× 3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 19.1% 18.9% 34.9% 0.54× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 14.3% 13.3% 5.8% 2.30× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.9% 7.6% 1.9% 4.04× 13.20
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.2% 85.7% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.5% 78.0% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 59.1% 64.8% — — 1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half 40.9% 35.2% — — 2.84
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.5% 22.0% — — 4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.8% 14.3% — — 7.01
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 86.0% 85.3% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 68.8% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 58.2% 55.3% — — 1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 41.8% 44.7% — — 2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 31.2% 31.4% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.0% 14.7% — — 6.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves 75.5% 78.4% — — 1.28
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves 61.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves 38.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves 24.5% 21.6% — — 4.62
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 64.5% 60.3% 53.8% 1.12× 1.66
Only Juan Pablo II scores 21.4% 22.2% 26.4% 0.84× 4.50
Only Sport Huancayo scores 11.0% 11.0% 12.3% 0.90× 9.07
Neither team scores 3.1% 4.6% 7.8% 0.59× 21.60
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.0% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 19.2% 17.5% 21.4% 0.82× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 18.5% 17.5% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 12.4% 12.1% 19.9% 0.61× 8.26
Exactly 5 goals 12.4% 12.1% 9.2% 1.31× 8.26
6 or more goals 12.5% 12.1% 5.3% 2.31× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 3.1% 4.5% 7.8% 0.57× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.6% 35.7% — — 2.80
No goals in 1st half 24.5% 21.5% — — 4.65
2 goals in 1st half 24.2% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 16.8% 15.6% — — 6.39
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 58.2% 54.3% — — 1.84
1 goal in 2nd half 27.9% 29.1% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 14.0% 14.5% — — 6.89
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves 93.7% 94.2% — — 1.06
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves 83.5% 83.5% — — 1.20
Juan Pablo II to win both halves 16.5% 16.5% — — 6.07
Sport Huancayo to win both halves 6.3% 5.8% — — 17.20
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to win either half 65.0% 65.1% — — 1.54
Sport Huancayo to win neither half 55.8% 59.0% — — 1.70
Sport Huancayo to win either half 44.2% 41.0% — — 2.44
Juan Pablo II to win neither half 35.0% 34.9% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil 89.0% 88.1% 87.7% 1.01× 1.14
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil 78.6% 78.1% 73.6% 1.06× 1.28
Juan Pablo II to win to nil 21.4% 21.9% 26.4% 0.83× 4.58
Sport Huancayo to win to nil 11.0% 11.9% 12.3% 0.96× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II by 1 21.9% 24.1% 25.4% 0.95× 4.15
Draw 21.2% 24.1% 25.0% 0.96× 4.15
Sport Huancayo by 1 15.8% 17.0% 17.9% 0.95× 5.87
Juan Pablo II by 2 15.2% 17.0% 13.4% 1.27× 5.87
Juan Pablo II by 3+ 13.7% 11.8% 11.4% 1.03× 8.50
Sport Huancayo by 2 7.9% 7.2% 5.6% 1.28× 13.91
Sport Huancayo by 3+ 4.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.25× 36.84
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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