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Juve Stabia v Cesena — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Juve Stabia win
51.0%
model 52.0%
Draw
27.2%
model 27.8%
Cesena win
21.8%
model 20.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.3%
  2. 1-0 10.9%
  3. 2-0 10.1%
  4. 2-1 9.6%
  5. 0-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.547.5% Under 2.552.5%
BTTS yes50.6% BTTS no49.4%
Juve Stabia 1+80.4% Juve Stabia 2+48.5%
Cesena 1+61.1% Cesena 2+24.3%

Expected goals 1.63 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
49/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Juve Stabia (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 43%
51.8% fair odds 1.93
strong signal · 11499 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Juve Stabia or draw at HT
Double chance 1HT
83.9% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1408.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Juve Stabia have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 27.2% for the draw and 21.8% for Cesena. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.63 for Juve Stabia and 0.94 for Cesena.

Why Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1408.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.2%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Cesena can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cesena.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cesena, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cesena: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Juve Stabia are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.62–0.89 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.53–0.81 1-1 13% 42% 45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to win 52.9% 51.2% 42.8% 1.20× 1.95
Draw 27.9% 27.1% 32.0% 0.85× 3.69
Cesena to win 19.2% 17.9% 25.4% 0.71× 5.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia & not both score 31.4% 30.8% 24.0% 1.29× 3.24
Juve Stabia & both teams score 21.5% 21.7% 18.9% 1.15× 4.61
Draw & both teams score 18.2% 18.1% 23.0% 0.79× 5.52
Cesena & not both score 10.2% 12.7% 13.3% 0.96× 7.88
Draw & not both score 9.7% 7.7% 9.1% 0.84× 13.07
Cesena & both teams score 9.0% 7.7% 12.3% 0.62× 13.07
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia & over 1.5 41.2% 42.9% 31.8% 1.35× 2.33
Juve Stabia & under 3.5 37.5% 36.6% 32.0% 1.14× 2.74
Juve Stabia & over 2.5 30.6% 31.8% 24.4% 1.30× 3.15
Draw & under 2.5 23.0% 21.8% 23.8% 0.92× 4.58
Draw & under 3.5 23.0% 21.8% 23.8% 0.92× 4.58
Juve Stabia & under 2.5 22.3% 21.8% 18.5% 1.18× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 18.2% 17.7% 23.0% 0.77× 5.64
Juve Stabia & over 3.5 15.4% 17.7% 10.9% 1.63× 5.64
Cesena & under 3.5 15.2% 17.7% 19.9% 0.89× 5.64
Juve Stabia & under 1.5 11.7% 12.4% 11.1% 1.12× 8.06
Cesena & over 1.5 13.4% 12.4% 18.8% 0.66× 8.05
Cesena & over 2.5 10.2% 12.4% 15.0% 0.83× 8.06
Draw & under 1.5 9.7% 7.6% 9.1% 0.83× 13.20
Cesena & under 2.5 9.0% 7.6% 10.5% 0.72× 13.20
Cesena & under 1.5 5.7% 7.6% 6.8% 1.12× 13.21
Draw & over 2.5 5.0% 4.4% 8.4% 0.52× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 5.0% 4.4% 8.4% 0.52× 22.79
Cesena & over 3.5 4.0% 4.4% 5.6% 0.78× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (1UP) 66.0% 69.8% 1.43
Cesena (1UP) 36.0% 38.3% 2.61
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (2UP) 52.9% 52.7% 1.90
Cesena (2UP) 19.2% 19.8% 5.04
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to win 2nd half 42.7% 41.4% 2.42
2nd half drawn 37.4% 36.5% 2.74
Cesena to win 2nd half 20.0% 20.3% 4.93
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.9% 86.0% 1.16
Cesena under 0.5 in 2nd half 58.6% 54.9% 1.82
Cesena over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.4% 45.1% 2.22
Cesena over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.1% 14.0% 7.15
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 2nd half 76.5% 78.2% 1.28
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 2nd half 60.2% 63.3% 1.58
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 2nd half 39.8% 36.7% 2.72
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 2nd half 23.5% 21.8% 4.58
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena (+2.5) 87.6% 87.4% 93.3% 0.94× 1.14
Juve Stabia (+0.5) 80.8% 83.2% 74.6% 1.11× 1.20
Cesena (+1.5) 70.8% 73.3% 80.4% 0.91× 1.36
Juve Stabia (-0.5) 52.9% 51.8% 42.8% 1.21× 1.93
Cesena (+0.5) 47.1% 48.2% 57.3% 0.84× 2.07
Juve Stabia (-1.5) 29.2% 26.7% 19.6% 1.36× 3.74
Cesena (-0.5) 19.2% 16.8% 25.4% 0.66× 5.95
Juve Stabia (-2.5) 12.4% 12.6% 6.8% 1.87× 7.94
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena to concede 80.1% 82.8% 77.8% 1.07× 1.21
Cesena clean sheet 19.9% 17.2% 22.3% 0.77× 5.82
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena to concede in 1st half 50.1% 53.7% 1.86
Cesena clean sheet in 1st half 49.9% 46.3% 2.16
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena to concede in 2nd half 60.2% 61.2% 1.63
Cesena clean sheet in 2nd half 39.8% 38.8% 2.58
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena under 6.5 corners 85.6% 85.2% 1.17
Cesena under 5.5 corners 76.2% 76.0% 1.32
Cesena over 2.5 corners 71.1% 71.6% 1.40
Cesena under 4.5 corners 63.0% 61.8% 1.62
Cesena over 3.5 corners 53.4% 53.1% 1.89
Cesena under 3.5 corners 46.6% 47.0% 2.13
Cesena over 4.5 corners 37.0% 38.2% 2.62
Cesena under 2.5 corners 28.9% 28.4% 3.52
Cesena over 5.5 corners 23.8% 24.0% 4.16
Cesena over 6.5 corners 14.4% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena under 3.5 goals 98.7% 97.3% 98.3% 0.99× 1.03
Cesena under 2.5 goals 93.9% 92.2% 90.9% 1.01× 1.09
Cesena under 1.5 goals 77.6% 76.4% 69.4% 1.10× 1.31
Cesena over 0.5 goals 58.9% 58.9% 67.0% 0.88× 1.70
Cesena under 0.5 goals 41.1% 41.1% 33.0% 1.25× 2.43
Cesena over 1.5 goals 22.4% 23.6% 30.6% 0.77× 4.23
Cesena over 2.5 goals 6.1% 7.8% 9.1% 0.86× 12.75
Cesena over 3.5 goals 1.3% 2.7% 1.8% 1.54× 37.15
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena under 1.5 in 1st half 95.0% 93.9% 1.07
Cesena under 0.5 in 1st half 70.0% 68.3% 1.46
Cesena over 0.5 in 1st half 30.0% 31.7% 3.16
Cesena over 1.5 in 1st half 5.0% 6.1% 16.36
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena scores equally in both 49.2% 45.7% 2.19
Cesena scores more in 2nd half 31.6% 33.3% 3.00
Cesena scores more in 1st half 19.2% 17.3% 5.78
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (away no bet) 65.5% 66.9% 57.2% 1.17× 1.50
Draw (away no bet) 34.5% 33.1% 42.8% 0.77× 3.02
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena even goals 58.4% 56.4% 55.5% 1.02× 1.77
Cesena odd goals 41.6% 43.6% 44.5% 0.98× 2.29
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 87.9% 86.9% 1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals 12.1% 13.1% 7.61
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 59.7% 59.8% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 40.3% 40.2% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.9% 51.4% 1.94
Juve Stabia to score 2+ in a row 41.3% 42.6% 2.35
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.2% 17.0% 5.87
Juve Stabia to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 17.0% 5.89
Cesena to score 2+ in a row 15.9% 17.0% 5.89
Cesena to score 3+ in a row 3.3% 3.1% 31.91
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia corners (+3.5) 90.9% 89.6% 1.12
Juve Stabia corners (+2.5) 85.5% 84.5% 1.18
Juve Stabia corners (+1.5) 78.0% 74.8% 1.34
Cesena corners (+3.5) 73.9% 70.7% 1.41
Cesena corners (+2.5) 64.4% 61.8% 1.62
Cesena corners (+1.5) 53.5% 52.5% 1.91
Juve Stabia corners (-1.5) 46.5% 47.5% 2.10
Juve Stabia corners (-2.5) 35.6% 38.2% 2.62
Juve Stabia corners (-3.5) 26.1% 29.3% 3.42
Cesena corners (-1.5) 22.0% 25.2% 3.97
Cesena corners (-2.5) 14.5% 15.5% 6.45
Cesena corners (-3.5) 9.1% 10.4% 9.57
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 45.0% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.4% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 25.5% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 81.6% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 74.5% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.0% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 65.9% 67.7% 1.48
Under 9.5 corners 55.9% 57.9% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 55.0% 53.2% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 45.0% 46.8% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 44.1% 42.1% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 34.0% 32.3% 3.10
Over 10.5 corners 34.1% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 25.5% 27.4% 3.65
Over 12.5 corners 18.4% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.3% 11.2% 14.8% 0.76× 8.91
1-0 11.7% 11.2% 11.1% 1.01× 8.91
2-0 10.7% 11.2% 7.5% 1.50× 8.91
0-0 9.7% 7.4% 9.1% 0.81× 13.45
0-1 5.7% 7.4% 6.8% 1.10× 13.45
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.45
2-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.45
3-0 5.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.86× 13.45
3-1 5.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.65× 13.45
0-2 3.2% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.34
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.35
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.29× 58.35
1-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 0.65× 58.34
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.86× 58.35
2-2 4.2% 1.7% 7.4% 0.23× 58.34
2-3 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.14× 58.34
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.1% 13.71× 58.35
3-2 2.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.34
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.52× 58.35
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.57× 58.35
4-0 2.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.52× 58.34
4-1 2.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.29× 58.34
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.71× 58.35
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.86× 58.35
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 13.71× 58.35
Any other score 2.7% 1.7% 2.1% 0.81× 58.34
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (2nd half DNB) 68.1% 66.6% 1.50
Cesena (2nd half DNB) 31.9% 33.4% 3.00
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia leading at HT (DNB) 70.1% 74.0% 1.35
Cesena leading at HT (DNB) 29.9% 26.0% 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1X) 80.8% 82.1% 74.6% 1.10× 1.22
Juve Stabia or Cesena (12) 72.1% 72.9% 68.0% 1.07× 1.37
Cesena or draw (X2) 47.1% 48.8% 57.3% 0.85× 2.05
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw at HT 83.5% 83.9% 1.19
Cesena or draw at HT 61.2% 62.9% 1.59
Juve Stabia or Cesena at HT 55.3% 57.1% 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1UP) 80.8% 86.1% 1.16
Cesena or draw (1UP) 47.1% 55.3% 1.81
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw in 2nd half 80.0% 79.7% 1.26
Juve Stabia or Cesena in 2nd half 62.6% 63.5% 1.57
Cesena or draw in 2nd half 57.3% 58.6% 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.7% 60.5% 1.65
Neither half drawn 36.3% 39.5% 2.53
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (DNB) 73.4% 72.6% 62.8% 1.16× 1.38
Cesena (DNB) 26.6% 27.4% 37.2% 0.74× 3.64
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score first 58.2% 61.0% 1.64
Cesena to score first 32.1% 31.6% 3.16
No goal scored 9.7% 6.4% 15.54
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.3% 51.6% 46.1% 1.12× 1.94
Both teams to score 48.7% 48.4% 53.9% 0.90× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 41.0% 41.6% 37.9% 1.10× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 35.5% 38.0% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 11.9% 14.8% 0.81× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 10.3% 11.9% 8.4% 1.42× 8.41
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.3% 85.7% 86.0% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.7% 14.3% 14.0% 1.02× 7.01
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.6% 70.9% 1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.4% 29.1% 3.44
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.1% 60.6% 1.65
Both score 2nd half only 21.7% 23.4% 4.28
Both score 1st half only 11.5% 11.9% 8.43
Both score in both halves 3.7% 4.9% 20.60
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.7% 82.7% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.3% 17.3% 5.78
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 50.6% 52.4% 1.91
A half without a goal 49.4% 47.6% 2.10
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.5% 46.5% 48.8% 0.95× 2.15
0-1 goals 27.1% 27.0% 26.8% 1.01× 3.70
4-6 goals 22.9% 23.5% 23.4% 1.01× 4.26
7+ goals 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 1.46× 49.77
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena to score exactly 0 41.1% 39.4% 33.0% 1.19× 2.54
Cesena to score exactly 1 36.5% 36.0% 36.5% 0.99× 2.78
Cesena to score exactly 2 16.3% 18.2% 21.6% 0.84× 5.49
Cesena to score 3+ 6.1% 8.6% 9.1% 0.94× 11.64
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score exactly 1 32.1% 32.2% 35.9% 0.90× 3.10
Juve Stabia to score exactly 2 25.9% 26.4% 26.0% 1.02× 3.78
Juve Stabia to score 3+ 22.0% 22.9% 16.1% 1.42× 4.38
Juve Stabia to score exactly 0 19.9% 18.2% 22.3% 0.82× 5.51
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.7% 42.9% 2.33
Juve Stabia leading at HT 38.8% 37.1% 2.69
Cesena leading at HT 16.5% 16.1% 6.20
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia -1: 2 47.1% 48.2% 2.07
Juve Stabia -1: 1 29.2% 26.8% 3.74
Juve Stabia -1: X 23.7% 23.3% 4.29
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena (0:1) 47.1% 47.5% 57.3% 0.83× 2.10
Juve Stabia (0:1) 29.2% 27.2% 19.6% 1.39× 3.67
Draw (0:1) 23.7% 23.6% 23.3% 1.01× 4.24
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena (0:2) 70.8% 75.0% 80.4% 0.93× 1.33
Draw (0:2) 16.8% 15.7% 13.0% 1.21× 6.38
Juve Stabia (0:2) 12.4% 11.4% 6.8% 1.68× 8.81
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena (0:3) 87.6% 88.6% 93.3% 0.95× 1.13
Draw (0:3) 8.1% 6.5% 4.6% 1.40× 15.39
Juve Stabia (0:3) 4.3% 2.6% 2.3% 1.14× 39.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena (0:4) 95.7% 97.7% 97.8% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 3.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.03× 70.66
Juve Stabia (0:4) 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.41× 70.73
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (1:0) 80.8% 83.0% 74.6% 1.11× 1.21
Draw (1:0) 12.4% 12.6% 15.6% 0.80× 7.97
Cesena (1:0) 6.8% 7.5% 9.9% 0.76× 13.40
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (2:0) 93.2% 92.9% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (2:0) 5.1% 6.6% 6.5% 1.02× 15.12
Cesena (2:0) 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 0.80× 35.93
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.1% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 28.6% 26.2% 3.82
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.2% 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to concede 58.9% 59.9% 67.0% 0.89× 1.67
Juve Stabia clean sheet 41.1% 40.1% 33.0% 1.22× 2.49
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 1st half 70.0% 67.8% 1.48
Juve Stabia to concede in 1st half 30.0% 32.2% 3.10
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 2nd half 58.6% 54.7% 1.83
Juve Stabia to concede in 2nd half 41.4% 45.3% 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia over 2.5 corners 84.0% 81.0% 1.24
Juve Stabia over 3.5 corners 70.9% 71.9% 1.39
Juve Stabia under 6.5 corners 70.2% 71.9% 1.39
Juve Stabia under 5.5 corners 57.9% 57.6% 1.74
Juve Stabia over 4.5 corners 56.3% 57.6% 1.74
Juve Stabia under 4.5 corners 43.7% 42.4% 2.36
Juve Stabia over 5.5 corners 42.1% 42.4% 2.36
Juve Stabia over 6.5 corners 29.8% 28.1% 3.56
Juve Stabia under 3.5 corners 29.1% 28.1% 3.56
Juve Stabia under 2.5 corners 16.0% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 3.5 goals 91.9% 92.3% 95.9% 0.96× 1.08
Juve Stabia over 0.5 goals 80.1% 82.3% 77.8% 1.06× 1.22
Juve Stabia under 2.5 goals 78.0% 78.2% 83.9% 0.93× 1.28
Juve Stabia under 1.5 goals 52.0% 52.8% 58.0% 0.91× 1.89
Juve Stabia over 1.5 goals 48.0% 47.2% 42.0% 1.12× 2.12
Juve Stabia over 2.5 goals 22.0% 21.8% 16.1% 1.35× 4.58
Juve Stabia under 0.5 goals 19.9% 17.7% 22.3% 0.80× 5.65
Juve Stabia over 3.5 goals 8.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.86× 13.07
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 1st half 84.6% 81.1% 1.23
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 1st half 50.1% 53.8% 1.86
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 1st half 49.9% 46.2% 2.16
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 1st half 15.4% 18.9% 5.29
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia scores more in 2nd half 39.0% 37.2% 2.69
Juve Stabia scores equally in both 34.8% 32.2% 3.10
Juve Stabia scores more in 1st half 26.2% 27.8% 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 59.3% 56.0% 55.8% 1.00× 1.79
Cesena (home no bet) 40.7% 44.0% 44.2% 0.99× 2.27
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia even goals 52.0% 50.9% 51.0% 1.00× 1.96
Juve Stabia odd goals 48.0% 49.1% 49.0% 1.00× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 35.2% 34.7% 2.88
HT 1-0 24.0% 22.5% 4.44
HT 0-1 12.2% 10.9% 9.15
HT 1-1 8.9% 8.0% 12.53
HT 2-0 8.4% 8.0% 12.53
Any other HT score 3.9% 2.5% 40.40
HT 2-1 3.0% 2.5% 40.45
HT 0-2 2.2% 2.5% 40.48
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.5% 40.51
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.5% 40.56
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 32.3% 34.1% 2.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.4% 17.3% 5.77
Draw at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 18.2% 17.3% 5.78
Cesena at HT / Cesena at FT 9.7% 6.5% 15.42
Draw at HT / Cesena at FT 8.1% 6.5% 15.45
Juve Stabia at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.4% 15.51
Cesena at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.6% 27.51
Cesena at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 2.4% 3.6% 27.57
Juve Stabia at HT / Cesena at FT 1.4% 3.6% 27.60
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score last 58.4% 56.5% 1.77
Cesena to score last 31.9% 34.1% 2.93
No goal scored 9.7% 6.4% 15.54
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.3% 93.5% 1.07
Juve Stabia to lead by 1 at any time 66.0% 68.9% 1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.2% 46.5% 2.15
Cesena to lead by 1 at any time 36.0% 37.3% 2.68
Juve Stabia to lead by 2 at any time 34.8% 31.7% 3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.9% 17.6% 5.68
Juve Stabia to lead by 3 at any time 14.5% 11.1% 9.04
Cesena to lead by 2 at any time 10.6% 11.0% 9.09
Cesena to lead by 3 at any time 2.4% 2.6% 38.30
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia most corners 57.8% 55.6% 1.80
Cesena most corners 31.3% 34.3% 2.91
Corners level 10.8% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.1% 87.1% 87.3% 1.00× 1.15
1-4 goals 79.4% 77.9% 82.1% 0.95× 1.28
2-6 goals 71.5% 72.2% 72.0% 1.00× 1.39
2-5 goals 68.7% 68.2% 69.6% 0.98× 1.47
1-3 goals 66.0% 68.2% 66.4% 1.03× 1.47
2-4 goals 62.0% 62.7% 64.5% 0.97× 1.60
2-3 goals 48.5% 47.4% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
1-2 goals 44.6% 43.6% 43.5% 1.00× 2.30
3-6 goals 44.3% 43.6% 46.3% 0.94× 2.30
3-5 goals 41.5% 43.6% 43.9% 0.99× 2.30
3-4 goals 34.8% 34.7% 38.8% 0.90× 2.88
4-6 goals 22.9% 23.7% 23.4% 1.01× 4.22
4-5 goals 20.1% 23.7% 21.0% 1.13× 4.22
5-6 goals 9.5% 8.9% 7.6% 1.17× 11.21
7+ goals 1.4% 2.3% 1.4% 1.64× 44.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia never behind 54.3% 61.2% 1.63
Cesena never behind 24.3% 25.9% 3.86
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 53.4% 50.1% 53.4% 0.94× 2.00
Odd number of goals 46.6% 49.9% 46.6% 1.07× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.6% 55.1% 1.82
Odd goals in 1st half 43.4% 44.9% 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.8% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.2% 48.4% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.8% 96.0% 96.3% 1.00× 1.04
Over 0.5 goals 90.3% 92.3% 90.9% 1.02× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 89.1% 87.8% 91.1% 0.96× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 75.7% 77.0% 75.4% 1.02× 1.30
Over 1.5 goals 72.9% 72.4% 73.3% 0.99× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 54.3% 51.8% 52.5% 0.99× 1.93
Over 2.5 goals 45.7% 48.2% 47.5% 1.01× 2.08
Under 1.5 goals 27.1% 27.6% 26.8% 1.03× 3.62
Over 3.5 goals 24.3% 23.0% 24.6% 0.94× 4.34
Over 4.5 goals 10.9% 12.2% 8.9% 1.37× 8.21
Under 0.5 goals 9.7% 7.7% 9.1% 0.85× 12.91
Over 5.5 goals 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 1.06× 25.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.5% 97.3% 98.6% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.5% 97.3% 96.0% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 87.4% 86.6% 89.5% 0.97× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 69.0% 67.1% 68.1% 0.99× 1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 62.8% 62.3% 64.0% 0.97× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 37.2% 37.7% 36.0% 1.05× 2.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 31.0% 32.9% 31.9% 1.03× 3.04
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 12.6% 13.4% 10.5% 1.27× 7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.5% 2.7% 4.0% 0.69× 36.67
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.5% 2.7% 1.4% 1.93× 36.71
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.0% 91.8% 1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half 71.5% 73.8% 1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half 64.8% 65.2% 1.53
Under 0.5 in 1st half 35.2% 34.8% 2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half 28.5% 26.2% 3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.0% 8.2% 12.23
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.0% 82.5% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.1% 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 56.8% 57.0% 1.76
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 43.2% 43.0% 2.32
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.9% 20.0% 4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 18.0% 17.5% 5.72
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena not to score in both halves 87.6% 85.6% 1.17
Juve Stabia not to score in both halves 69.9% 68.4% 1.46
Juve Stabia to score in both halves 30.1% 31.6% 3.17
Cesena to score in both halves 12.4% 14.4% 6.94
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.7% 50.7% 53.9% 0.94× 1.97
Only Juve Stabia scores 31.4% 31.4% 24.0% 1.31× 3.18
Only Cesena scores 10.2% 11.2% 13.3% 0.84× 8.94
Neither team scores 9.7% 7.1% 9.1% 0.78× 14.08
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.2% 25.0% 25.9% 0.97× 4.00
Exactly 3 goals 21.4% 22.3% 23.0% 0.97× 4.49
Exactly 1 goals 17.4% 17.6% 17.8% 0.99× 5.68
Exactly 4 goals 13.4% 12.3% 15.9% 0.77× 8.14
Exactly 0 goals 9.7% 7.8% 9.1% 0.85× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 6.7% 7.8% 5.3% 1.48× 12.89
6 or more goals 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 1.08× 24.73
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 36.9% 2.71
No goals in 1st half 35.2% 36.9% 2.71
2 goals in 1st half 19.6% 18.9% 5.30
3+ goals in 1st half 9.0% 8.2% 12.23
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 43.2% 43.2% 2.32
1 goal in 2nd half 32.9% 34.3% 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 23.9% 20.6% 4.85
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena not to win both halves 96.6% 97.3% 1.03
Juve Stabia not to win both halves 83.1% 81.9% 1.22
Juve Stabia to win both halves 16.9% 18.1% 5.54
Cesena to win both halves 3.4% 2.7% 36.90
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena to win neither half 67.0% 68.7% 1.46
Juve Stabia to win either half 64.6% 62.2% 1.61
Juve Stabia to win neither half 35.4% 37.8% 2.65
Cesena to win either half 33.0% 31.3% 3.20
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cesena not to win to nil 89.8% 87.9% 86.8% 1.01× 1.14
Juve Stabia not to win to nil 68.6% 69.5% 76.0% 0.91× 1.44
Juve Stabia to win to nil 31.4% 30.5% 24.0% 1.27× 3.28
Cesena to win to nil 10.2% 12.1% 13.3% 0.92× 8.25
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.9% 27.3% 32.0% 0.85× 3.66
Juve Stabia by 1 23.7% 23.4% 23.3% 1.01× 4.27
Juve Stabia by 2 16.8% 17.2% 13.0% 1.33× 5.80
Cesena by 1 12.4% 11.8% 15.6% 0.76× 8.45
Juve Stabia by 3+ 12.4% 11.8% 6.8% 1.75× 8.45
Cesena by 2 5.1% 7.3% 6.5% 1.12× 13.77
Cesena by 3+ 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 0.85× 33.47
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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