Juve Stabia v Padova — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Juve Stabia

20:00 UTC

Padova

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,137h before kick-off

Juve Stabia win

49.3%

model 48.4%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.9%

Padova win

23.0%

model 22.6%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-0 11.4%
0-0 10.0%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.6%	Under 2.5	55.4%
BTTS yes	49.4%	BTTS no	50.6%
Juve Stabia 1+	77.8%	Juve Stabia 2+	44.3%
Padova 1+	61.6%	Padova 2+	24.9%

Expected goals 1.50 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Padova not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1452.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Juve Stabia have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Padova. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Juve Stabia and 0.96 for Padova.

Why Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1452.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Padova can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Padova, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Padova: 40% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Juve Stabia are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482923	1.50–0.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	453025	1.43–1.00	1-1 14%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to win	45.4%	47.3%	42.7%	1.11×	2.11
Draw	29.6%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.58
Padova to win	24.9%	24.5%	25.5%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia & not both score	26.4%	25.2%	23.9%	1.05×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Juve Stabia & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Padova & not both score	13.7%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Padova & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.3%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia & over 1.5	34.3%	30.8%	31.8%	0.97×	3.25
Juve Stabia & under 3.5	33.3%	30.8%	31.9%	0.96×	3.25
Juve Stabia & over 2.5	25.4%	26.0%	24.4%	1.07×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Juve Stabia & under 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Padova & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.55
Padova & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Padova & over 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Juve Stabia & over 3.5	12.1%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Padova & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
Juve Stabia & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Padova & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Padova & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (1UP)	59.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Padova (1UP)	41.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (2UP)	45.4%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Padova (2UP)	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Juve Stabia to win 2nd half	37.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Padova to win 2nd half	24.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.8%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Padova under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Padova over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Padova over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.2%	12.9%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (+2.5)	91.2%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
Padova (+1.5)	77.1%	78.5%	80.3%	0.98×	1.27
Juve Stabia (+0.5)	75.1%	78.5%	74.5%	1.05×	1.27
Padova (+0.5)	54.6%	52.4%	57.3%	0.92×	1.91
Juve Stabia (-0.5)	45.4%	47.6%	42.7%	1.11×	2.10
Padova (-0.5)	24.9%	21.5%	25.5%	0.84×	4.65
Juve Stabia (-1.5)	22.9%	21.5%	19.7%	1.09×	4.65
Juve Stabia (-2.5)	8.8%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to concede	76.1%	78.7%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
Padova clean sheet	23.9%	21.3%	22.3%	0.95×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Padova to concede in 1st half	45.9%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to concede in 2nd half	55.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Padova clean sheet in 2nd half	44.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 6.5 corners	90.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Padova under 5.5 corners	82.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Padova under 4.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Padova over 2.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Padova under 3.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Padova over 3.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Padova under 2.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
Padova over 4.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Padova over 5.5 corners	17.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Padova over 6.5 corners	10.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.87

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Padova under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Padova under 1.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Padova over 0.5 goals	63.3%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Padova under 0.5 goals	36.7%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Padova over 1.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Padova over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.06
Padova over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Padova under 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Padova over 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Padova over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.59

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova scores equally in both	46.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Padova scores more in 2nd half	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Padova scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (away no bet)	60.5%	61.9%	57.3%	1.08×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.5%	38.1%	42.7%	0.89×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova even goals	56.7%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Padova odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.0%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.0%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Juve Stabia to score 2+ in a row	34.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Padova to score 2+ in a row	19.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Juve Stabia to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Padova to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.17

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia corners (+3.5)	95.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Juve Stabia corners (+2.5)	91.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Juve Stabia corners (+1.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Padova corners (+3.5)	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juve Stabia corners (-1.5)	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Padova corners (+2.5)	51.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Juve Stabia corners (-2.5)	49.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Padova corners (+1.5)	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Juve Stabia corners (-3.5)	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Padova corners (-1.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Padova corners (-2.5)	8.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Padova corners (-3.5)	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.1%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
1-0	11.1%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
0-0	10.3%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.29
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (2nd half DNB)	60.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Padova (2nd half DNB)	39.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia leading at HT (DNB)	63.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Padova leading at HT (DNB)	36.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1X)	75.1%	75.5%	74.5%	1.01×	1.32
Juve Stabia or Padova (12)	70.4%	72.1%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Padova or draw (X2)	54.6%	52.7%	57.3%	0.92×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw at HT	80.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Padova or draw at HT	66.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Juve Stabia or Padova at HT	53.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1UP)	75.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Padova or draw (1UP)	54.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw in 2nd half	75.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Padova or draw in 2nd half	63.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Juve Stabia or Padova in 2nd half	61.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.4%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (DNB)	64.6%	62.7%	62.6%	1.00×	1.59
Padova (DNB)	35.4%	37.3%	37.4%	1.00×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score first	52.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Padova to score first	37.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	10.3%	9.3%	—	—	10.77

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.4%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.6%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.1%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	35.6%	38.4%	39.4%	0.98×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.6%	86.1%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.38

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.7%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.6%	22.9%	23.5%	0.97×	4.36
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to score exactly 0	36.7%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Padova to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Padova to score exactly 2	18.4%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Padova to score 3+	8.1%	8.5%	9.2%	0.93×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Juve Stabia to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Juve Stabia to score exactly 0	23.9%	23.3%	22.3%	1.05×	4.29
Juve Stabia to score 3+	17.4%	18.8%	16.2%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Juve Stabia leading at HT	34.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Padova leading at HT	19.7%	16.1%	—	—	6.22

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia -1: 2	54.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Juve Stabia -1: 1	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Juve Stabia -1: X	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:1)	54.6%	51.3%	57.3%	0.90×	1.95
Juve Stabia (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	19.7%	1.23×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:2)	77.1%	79.4%	80.3%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.1%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.09
Juve Stabia (0:2)	8.8%	7.7%	6.7%	1.14×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:3)	91.2%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.26
Juve Stabia (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.68
Juve Stabia (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (1:0)	75.1%	78.5%	74.5%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.3%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.85
Padova (1:0)	9.6%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (2:0)	90.4%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.66
Padova (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to concede	63.3%	63.7%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Juve Stabia clean sheet	36.7%	36.3%	32.9%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 1st half	67.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Juve Stabia to concede in 1st half	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 2nd half	54.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Juve Stabia to concede in 2nd half	45.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia over 2.5 corners	89.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Juve Stabia over 3.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Juve Stabia over 4.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Juve Stabia under 6.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Juve Stabia over 5.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Juve Stabia under 5.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Juve Stabia over 6.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Juve Stabia under 4.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Juve Stabia under 3.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Juve Stabia under 2.5 corners	10.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Juve Stabia under 2.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Juve Stabia over 0.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	77.7%	1.00×	1.29
Juve Stabia under 1.5 goals	58.2%	58.7%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Juve Stabia over 1.5 goals	41.8%	41.3%	42.0%	0.99×	2.42
Juve Stabia under 0.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Juve Stabia over 2.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	16.2%	1.10×	5.62
Juve Stabia over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	4.1%	1.89×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia scores equally in both	37.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Juve Stabia scores more in 2nd half	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Juve Stabia scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.3%	51.5%	55.5%	0.93×	1.94
Padova (home no bet)	45.7%	48.5%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia even goals	52.9%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Juve Stabia odd goals	47.1%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	27.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Padova at HT / Padova at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Padova at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Juve Stabia at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Padova at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Padova at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Juve Stabia at HT / Padova at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score last	52.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Padova to score last	36.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	10.3%	8.7%	—	—	11.52

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.7%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Juve Stabia to lead by 1 at any time	59.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Padova to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Juve Stabia to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Padova to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Juve Stabia to lead by 3 at any time	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Padova to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia most corners	70.3%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Padova most corners	20.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	9.0%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.7%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.1%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.6%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.9%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.9%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.6%	43.6%	46.3%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.1%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	33.9%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.6%	24.4%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.0%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.8%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.25
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia never behind	48.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Padova never behind	29.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.0%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	75.2%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	52.4%	1.12×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	47.6%	0.87×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.40
Under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	10.0%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.5%	86.7%	89.3%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.1%	72.3%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.5%	61.9%	64.0%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.5%	38.1%	36.0%	1.06×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.9%	27.7%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.5%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.79

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.86
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to score in both halves	85.1%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Juve Stabia not to score in both halves	74.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Juve Stabia to score in both halves	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Padova to score in both halves	14.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.6%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only Juve Stabia scores	26.4%	26.1%	23.9%	1.09×	3.84
Only Padova scores	13.7%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.06
Neither team scores	10.3%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	25.8%	0.96×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.4%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.3%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
3+ goals in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.79

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to win both halves	95.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Juve Stabia not to win both halves	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Juve Stabia to win both halves	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Padova to win both halves	5.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to win neither half	61.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Juve Stabia to win either half	58.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Juve Stabia to win neither half	41.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Padova to win either half	39.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to win to nil	86.3%	88.1%	86.7%	1.02×	1.14
Juve Stabia not to win to nil	73.6%	75.3%	76.1%	0.99×	1.33
Juve Stabia to win to nil	26.4%	24.7%	23.9%	1.03×	4.05
Padova to win to nil	13.7%	11.9%	13.3%	0.89×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.6%	27.9%	31.9%	0.87×	3.59
Juve Stabia by 1	22.5%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Padova by 1	15.3%	17.0%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
Juve Stabia by 2	14.1%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.50
Juve Stabia by 3+	8.8%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.90
Padova by 2	6.9%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.91
Padova by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.89