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Juventus v Bologna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–2
0.86 – 0.78 xG
Shots
10 – 10
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.11 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+1.14 – +1.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.50.71.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Dan Ndoye 29' — goalTommaso Pobega 51' — goalTeun Koopmeiners 61' — goalSamuel Mbangula 91' — goal
Juventus 0.86 xGBologna 0.78 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nicolo Fagioli 1' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dan Ndoye 5' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dan Ndoye 9' — Shot On Post (0.04 xG, Open Play)Juan Miranda 18' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Juan Miranda 19' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Dan Ndoye 29' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Nicolo Fagioli 33' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 34' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 46' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 46' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Tommaso Pobega 51' — Goal (0.38 xG, Open Play)Benjamín Domínguez 54' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 56' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jhon Lucumí 61' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Teun Koopmeiners 61' — Goal (0.33 xG, Open Play)Benjamín Domínguez 69' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 72' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Santiago Castro 73' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 78' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Set Piece)Samuel Mbangula 91' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Juventus attacking right Bologna attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Juventus Nicolo Fagioli 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Teun Koopmeiners
5' Bologna Dan Ndoye 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
9' Bologna Dan Ndoye 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Santiago Castro
18' Bologna Juan Miranda 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
19' Bologna Juan Miranda 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
29' Bologna Dan Ndoye 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal Emil Holm
33' Juventus Nicolo Fagioli 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Francisco Conceição
34' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Teun Koopmeiners
46' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Teun Koopmeiners
46' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
51' Bologna Tommaso Pobega 0.38 Open Play Left Foot Goal Santiago Castro
54' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tommaso Pobega
56' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Teun Koopmeiners
61' Bologna Jhon Lucumí 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Juan Miranda
61' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Goal Danilo
69' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Emil Holm
72' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
73' Bologna Santiago Castro 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Benjamín Domínguez
78' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.11 Set Piece Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
91' Juventus Samuel Mbangula 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Goal Dusan Vlahovic

Players

Bologna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dan Ndoye AMR 90 1 0 3 0 0.19 0.00 0.16
Juan Miranda DL 90 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.02 0.20
Jhon Lucumí DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.04
Lukasz Skorupski GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Sam Beukema DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.54
Remo Freuler DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Benjamín Domínguez AML 87 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.04 0.17
Emil Holm DR 87 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.19 0.23
Tommaso Pobega DMC 83 1 0 1 1 0.38 0.02 0.45
Santiago Castro FW 83 0 1 1 2 0.04 0.42 0.46
Jens Odgaard AMC 63 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giovanni Fabbian Sub 27 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nikola Moro Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thijs Dallinga Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stefan Posch Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuel Iling-Junior Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Teun Koopmeiners AMC 90 1 0 1 5 0.33 0.27 0.52
Dusan Vlahovic FW 90 0 1 3 1 0.16 0.10 0.26
Francisco Conceição AMR 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.09 0.46
Danilo DR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.33 0.46
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Mattia Perin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Timothy Weah AML 83 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.04
Federico Gatti DC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Jonas Rouhi Sub 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolo Fagioli DMC 67 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.52
Manuel Locatelli DMC 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Kephren Thuram Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.00
Kenan Yildiz Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Andrea Cambiaso DL 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuel Mbangula Sub 7 1 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Nicolò Savona Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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