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Juventus v Lazio — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG

0–3
0.60 – 0.82 xG
Shots
9 – 9
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
5 – 5
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.01 – 0.35
Goals − xG
-0.60 – +2.18
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.50.70.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Oliver Provstgaard 36' — goalGustav Isaksen 65' — goalFisayo Dele-Bashiru 88' — goal
Juventus 0.60 xGLazio 0.82 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic 4' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Douglas Luiz 23' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Randal Kolo Muani 25' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Gustav Isaksen 30' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Gustav Isaksen 35' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oliver Provstgaard 36' — Goal (0.32 xG, From Corner)Nuno Tavares 43' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nick Woltemade 54' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 55' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Nuno Tavares 60' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Gustav Isaksen 65' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Oliver Provstgaard 75' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Randal Kolo Muani 81' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 83' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Edon Zhegrova 87' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 88' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 90' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Randal Kolo Muani 92' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)
Juventus attacking right Lazio attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Juventus Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Douglas Luiz
23' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Weston McKennie
25' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
30' Lazio Gustav Isaksen 0.01 Open Play — Missed Shot Kenneth Taylor
35' Lazio Gustav Isaksen 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mattia Zaccagni
36' Lazio Oliver Provstgaard 0.32 From Corner — Goal Mattia Zaccagni
43' Lazio Nuno Tavares 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
54' Juventus Nick Woltemade 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Randal Kolo Muani
55' Juventus Nicolás González 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Randal Kolo Muani
60' Lazio Nuno Tavares 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
65' Lazio Gustav Isaksen 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal Nuno Tavares
75' Lazio Oliver Provstgaard 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Nuno Tavares
81' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.14 Open Play — Missed Shot Nick Woltemade
83' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Andrea Cambiaso
87' Juventus Edon Zhegrova 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
88' Lazio Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Goal Andrea Pinamonti
90' Lazio Andrea Pinamonti 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nuno Tavares
92' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Edon Zhegrova

Players

Lazio

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Oliver Provstgaard DC 90 1 0 2 0 0.34 0.00 0.02
Nuno Tavares DL 90 0 1 2 3 0.03 0.14 0.16
Josip Sutalo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.32
Romano Floriani DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Reda Belahyane MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.39
Christos Mandas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Davide Frattesi MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Mattia Zaccagni FWL 87 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.34 0.03
Gustav Isaksen FWR 80 1 0 3 0 0.09 0.00 0.11
Tijjani Noslin FW 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Kenneth Taylor MC 70 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.07
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Sub 20 1 0 1 0 0.29 0.00 0.29
Andrea Pinamonti Sub 20 0 1 1 1 0.07 0.29 0.36
Manuel Lazzari Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alfonso Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Randal Kolo Muani FW 90 0 0 3 2 0.26 0.21 0.54
Weston McKennie AMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.28
Bremer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Guglielmo Vicario GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Jhon Lucumí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.05
Pape Sarr DMC 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Mehmet Zeki Çelik DL 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Nicolás González AMR 68 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.15
Douglas Luiz DMC 68 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.02 0.09
Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic AML 47 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Nick Woltemade Sub 43 0 0 1 1 0.13 0.14 0.28
Francisco Conceição Sub 22 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.22
Edon Zhegrova Sub 22 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.05 0.05
Andrea Cambiaso Sub 15 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Jeremie Boga Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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