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Juventus v Torino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–0
1.57 – 0.27 xG
Shots
13 – 6
On target
4 – 1
Shots in box
6 – 3
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.14 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+0.39 – -0.27
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Timothy Weah 17' — goalKenan Yildiz 83' — goal
Juventus 1.61 xGTorino 0.27 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Andrea Cambiaso 17' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 17' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Andrea Cambiaso 21' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 23' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nikola Vlasic 31' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Dusan Vlahovic 32' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Teun Koopmeiners 32' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Teun Koopmeiners 33' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 38' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Saúl Coco 51' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Karol Linetty 55' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 64' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Andrea Cambiaso 73' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alieu Njie 76' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 80' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 81' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Kenan Yildiz 83' — Goal (0.41 xG, Open Play)Antonio Sanabria 88' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Borna Sosa 88' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Juventus attacking right Torino attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
17' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Federico Gatti
17' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Goal
21' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
23' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nicolò Savona
31' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Samuele Ricci
32' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Kephren Thuram
32' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.04 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Andrea Cambiaso
33' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Andrea Cambiaso
38' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kephren Thuram
51' Torino Saúl Coco 0.10 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Valentino Lazaro
55' Torino Karol Linetty 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
64' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
73' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
76' Torino Alieu Njie 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Mergim Vojvoda
80' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Timothy Weah
81' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
83' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.41 Open Play Goal Francisco Conceição
88' Torino Antonio Sanabria 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
88' Torino Borna Sosa 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot

Players

Torino

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Saúl Coco DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.00
Antonio Sanabria FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Karol Linetty MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Nikola Vlasic FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.03
Adam Masina DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Valentino Lazaro DML 83 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.00
Marcus Pedersen DMR 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuele Ricci MC 65 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.00
Sebastian Walukiewicz DC 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ivan Ilic MC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gvidas Gineitis Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alieu Njie Sub 25 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Mergim Vojvoda Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Borna Sosa Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Yann Karamoh Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Timothy Weah AMR 90 1 0 1 1 0.64 0.08 0.78
Teun Koopmeiners AMC 90 0 0 3 1 0.21 0.03 0.29
Andrea Cambiaso DL 90 0 0 3 2 0.13 0.17 0.32
Federico Gatti DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Kephren Thuram DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.10 0.15
Manuel Locatelli DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.53
Mattia Perin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Nicolò Savona DR 88 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.09
Kenan Yildiz AML 87 1 0 3 0 0.51 0.00 0.77
Dusan Vlahovic FW 74 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.09
Francisco Conceição Sub 16 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.41 0.41
Weston McKennie Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Danilo Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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