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Juventus v Venezia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–2
2.19 – 0.59 xG
Shots
12 – 8
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
9 – 6
xG per shot
0.19 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
1.90 – 0.09
Goals − xG
-0.23 – +1.41
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.92.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Federico Gatti 18' — goalMikael Ellertsson 60' — goalJay Idzes 82' — goalDusan Vlahovic 94' — goal
Juventus 2.23 xGVenezia 0.59 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Dusan Vlahovic 11' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Federico Gatti 18' — Goal (0.95 xG, From Corner)Kephren Thuram 18' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Joel Pohjanpalo 20' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Magnus Kofod Andersen 29' — Shot On Post (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Busio 30' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 31' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Kephren Thuram 48' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Kephren Thuram 52' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 54' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 54' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Weston McKennie 57' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa 58' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mikael Ellertsson 60' — Goal (0.25 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 72' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jay Idzes 82' — Goal (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Douglas Luiz 87' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Antonio Candela 89' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 92' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 94' — Goal (0.76 xG, )
Juventus attacking right Venezia attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
11' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
18' Juventus Federico Gatti 0.95 From Corner Right Foot Goal Kephren Thuram
18' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Dusan Vlahovic
20' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Magnus Kofod Andersen
29' Venezia Magnus Kofod Andersen 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Joel Pohjanpalo
30' Venezia Gianluca Busio 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Magnus Kofod Andersen
31' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Gaetano Oristanio
48' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.09 From Corner Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
52' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
54' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Weston McKennie
54' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gianluca Busio
57' Juventus Weston McKennie 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dusan Vlahovic
58' Juventus Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
60' Venezia Mikael Ellertsson 0.25 Open Play Goal Francesco Zampano
72' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kephren Thuram
82' Venezia Jay Idzes 0.04 Set Piece Goal Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
87' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
89' Venezia Antonio Candela 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot John Yeboah
92' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
94' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.76 Left Foot Goal

Players

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gianluca Busio AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.02 0.10
Jay Idzes DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 90 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.04 0.10
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marin Sverko DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Francesco Zampano DMR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.25 0.33
Mikael Ellertsson DML 83 1 0 1 0 0.25 0.00 0.31
Gaetano Oristanio AMC 83 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.07
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 76 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.05 0.10
Magnus Kofod Andersen MC 76 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.14 0.44
Giorgio Altare Sub 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Michael Svoboda DC 31 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Candela Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
John Yeboah Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Domen Crnigoj Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Christian Gytkjær Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Federico Gatti DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.95 0.00 0.00
Dusan Vlahovic FW 90 1 0 3 2 0.87 0.08 0.15
Kephren Thuram DMC 90 0 1 3 2 0.16 1.01 0.13
Weston McKennie DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.05 0.12
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.12
Michele Di Gregorio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Kenan Yildiz AML 88 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Danilo DL 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Nicolò Savona DR 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Teun Koopmeiners AMC 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.05
Timothy Weah AMR 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Francisco Conceição Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Douglas Luiz Sub 22 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Nicolo Fagioli Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Manuel Locatelli Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolás González Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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