Kalmar FF v Djurgårdens IF — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 7 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000029 · 2627
FIFA:2000000029 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.7%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 0-1 9.6%
- 2-1 8.4%
- 0-0 8.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 46.2% | Under 2.5 | 53.8% |
| BTTS yes | 51.3% | BTTS no | 48.7% |
| Kalmar FF 1+ | 73.5% | Kalmar FF 2+ | 38.3% |
| Djurgårdens IF 1+ | 69.8% | Djurgårdens IF 2+ | 33.6% |
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Kalmar FF.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Djurgårdens IF have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Kalmar FF have an estimated 39.7% win probability, against 33.5% for Djurgårdens IF and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Kalmar FF and 1.20 for Djurgårdens IF.
Why Kalmar FF
Nothing in the data singles out Kalmar FF.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.20.
Why Djurgårdens IF can win
Djurgårdens IF carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1448. Away from home Djurgårdens IF average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Kalmar FF's 9.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Kalmar FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Djurgårdens IF, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Kalmar FF: 48% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Djurgårdens IF: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Kalmar FF are the model's most likely outcome at 39.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.50–1.28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.