Karlsruher SC v Holstein Kiel — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Karlsruher SC

20:00 UTC

Holstein Kiel

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 993h before kick-off

Karlsruher SC win

45.3%

model 43.8%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.2%

Holstein Kiel win

30.9%

model 32.0%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.0%
1-2 7.6%
1-0 6.8%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.4%	Under 2.5	38.6%
BTTS yes	63.2%	BTTS no	36.8%
Karlsruher SC 1+	82.1%	Karlsruher SC 2+	51.4%
Holstein Kiel 1+	76.5%	Holstein Kiel 2+	42.5%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 76%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Karlsruher SC not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 79%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Karlsruher SC carry the stronger rating, 1454 Elo against 1426.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Karlsruher SC have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Holstein Kiel and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Karlsruher SC and 1.45 for Holstein Kiel.

Why Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC carry the stronger rating, 1454 Elo against 1426.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Holstein Kiel can win

Nothing in the data singles out Holstein Kiel.

Key players

Holstein Kiel's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Steven Skrzybski (0.28), Phil Harres (0.26), Shuto Machino (0.22).

Availability

No lineup on record for Karlsruher SC, so availability is unknown. 1 of Holstein Kiel's top three contributors did not start their last match. Holstein Kiel had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.05 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Holstein Kiel: Carl Johansson (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Karlsruher SC: 52% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Holstein Kiel: 59% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.31 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Karlsruher SC are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Holstein Kiel have scored 14 from 13.7 expected and conceded 21 from 20.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLLDLDWWLL last 10 scored 14 from 13.7 xG conceded 21 from 20.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442432	1.72–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432433	1.75–1.50	1-1 11%	63%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to win	43.2%	42.9%	43.2%	0.99×	2.33
Holstein Kiel to win	32.9%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	26.0%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC & both teams score	25.2%	25.1%	22.3%	1.13×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Holstein Kiel & both teams score	19.8%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Karlsruher SC & not both score	18.0%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
Holstein Kiel & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	13.2%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	6.3%	0.77×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC & over 1.5	36.8%	34.9%	34.5%	1.01×	2.87
Karlsruher SC & over 2.5	30.9%	30.7%	28.0%	1.10×	3.25
Holstein Kiel & over 1.5	27.5%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
Karlsruher SC & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.63
Holstein Kiel & over 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	22.0%	0.98×	4.63
Holstein Kiel & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Karlsruher SC & over 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	15.3%	1.17×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
Holstein Kiel & over 3.5	13.3%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Karlsruher SC & under 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Holstein Kiel & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Karlsruher SC & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	8.8%	0.90×	12.63
Holstein Kiel & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.4%	1.46×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (1UP)	61.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Holstein Kiel (1UP)	53.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (2UP)	43.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Holstein Kiel (2UP)	32.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	32.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Holstein Kiel to win 2nd half	31.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Holstein Kiel over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Holstein Kiel under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Holstein Kiel over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Karlsruher SC over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Karlsruher SC under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (+2.5)	90.0%	92.1%	90.6%	1.02×	1.09
Holstein Kiel (+1.5)	76.9%	78.5%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
Karlsruher SC (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	69.0%	0.99×	1.46
Holstein Kiel (+0.5)	56.8%	57.0%	56.8%	1.00×	1.75
Karlsruher SC (-0.5)	43.2%	43.0%	43.2%	1.00×	2.33
Holstein Kiel (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
Karlsruher SC (-1.5)	23.1%	21.5%	22.3%	0.97×	4.65
Karlsruher SC (-2.5)	10.0%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel to concede	82.6%	81.5%	80.7%	1.01×	1.23
Holstein Kiel clean sheet	17.4%	18.5%	19.4%	0.95×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel to concede in 1st half	52.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Holstein Kiel clean sheet in 1st half	47.2%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel to concede in 2nd half	63.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Holstein Kiel clean sheet in 2nd half	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel under 6.5 corners	80.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Holstein Kiel over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Holstein Kiel under 5.5 corners	69.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Holstein Kiel over 3.5 corners	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Holstein Kiel under 4.5 corners	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Holstein Kiel over 4.5 corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Holstein Kiel under 3.5 corners	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Holstein Kiel over 5.5 corners	30.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Holstein Kiel under 2.5 corners	22.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Holstein Kiel over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Holstein Kiel under 2.5 goals	80.8%	81.5%	83.7%	0.97×	1.23
Holstein Kiel over 0.5 goals	77.8%	76.3%	72.8%	1.05×	1.31
Holstein Kiel under 1.5 goals	55.7%	59.4%	60.4%	0.98×	1.68
Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals	44.3%	40.6%	39.6%	1.02×	2.46
Holstein Kiel under 0.5 goals	22.2%	23.7%	27.2%	0.87×	4.21
Holstein Kiel over 2.5 goals	19.2%	18.5%	16.3%	1.14×	5.40
Holstein Kiel over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	5.4%	1.41×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Holstein Kiel under 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Holstein Kiel over 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Holstein Kiel over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.45

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Holstein Kiel scores equally in both	36.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Holstein Kiel scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (away no bet)	64.4%	62.0%	62.4%	0.99×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.6%	38.0%	37.6%	1.01×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel even goals	52.5%	52.6%	54.0%	0.97×	1.90
Holstein Kiel odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	46.0%	1.03×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.9%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Karlsruher SC to score 2+ in a row	41.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Holstein Kiel to score 2+ in a row	33.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Karlsruher SC to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Holstein Kiel to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC corners (+3.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Karlsruher SC corners (+2.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Holstein Kiel corners (+3.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Karlsruher SC corners (+1.5)	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Holstein Kiel corners (+2.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Holstein Kiel corners (+1.5)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Karlsruher SC corners (-1.5)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Karlsruher SC corners (-2.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Holstein Kiel corners (-1.5)	25.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Karlsruher SC corners (-3.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Holstein Kiel corners (-2.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Holstein Kiel corners (-3.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.6%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.51
0-1	5.4%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.51
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
Any other score	5.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.29
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.54×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (2nd half DNB)	53.7%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Holstein Kiel (2nd half DNB)	46.3%	46.4%	—	—	2.16

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC leading at HT (DNB)	57.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Holstein Kiel leading at HT (DNB)	42.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC or Holstein Kiel (12)	76.1%	75.5%	74.0%	1.02×	1.32
Karlsruher SC or draw (1X)	67.1%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Holstein Kiel or draw (X2)	56.8%	57.1%	56.8%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC or draw at HT	74.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Holstein Kiel or draw at HT	65.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Karlsruher SC or Holstein Kiel at HT	60.9%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC or draw (1UP)	67.1%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Holstein Kiel or draw (1UP)	56.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC or draw in 2nd half	68.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Karlsruher SC or Holstein Kiel in 2nd half	67.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Holstein Kiel or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (DNB)	56.8%	58.1%	58.2%	1.00×	1.72
Holstein Kiel (DNB)	43.2%	41.9%	41.8%	1.00×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to score first	51.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.87
Holstein Kiel to score first	44.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.6%	56.6%	59.8%	0.95×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.4%	43.4%	40.2%	1.08×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.0%	47.3%	49.2%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.4%	33.3%	30.5%	1.09×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.4%	10.7%	1.16×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.9%	79.7%	80.5%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.1%	20.3%	19.5%	1.04×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.24
Both score in both halves	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.1%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.2%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	36.8%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.1%	42.2%	45.4%	0.93×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.1%	35.1%	30.5%	1.15×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.1%	20.2%	20.3%	1.00×	4.95
7+ goals	4.8%	1.9%	4.2%	0.44×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel to score exactly 1	33.4%	33.8%	33.3%	1.02×	2.96
Holstein Kiel to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	23.5%	1.16×	3.65
Holstein Kiel to score exactly 0	22.2%	22.3%	27.2%	0.82×	4.49
Holstein Kiel to score 3+	19.2%	19.6%	16.3%	1.20×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	31.7%	1.03×	3.07
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
Karlsruher SC to score 3+	25.5%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.77
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 0	17.4%	18.8%	19.4%	0.97×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Karlsruher SC leading at HT	35.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Holstein Kiel leading at HT	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC -1: 2	56.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Karlsruher SC -1: 1	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Karlsruher SC -1: X	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (0:1)	56.8%	55.8%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
Karlsruher SC (0:1)	23.1%	24.2%	22.3%	1.09×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (0:2)	76.9%	79.4%	77.7%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.10
Karlsruher SC (0:2)	10.0%	7.7%	9.4%	0.81×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (0:3)	90.0%	92.7%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.4%	5.8%	6.0%	0.96×	17.24
Karlsruher SC (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (0:4)	96.4%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.0%	0.61×	81.89
Karlsruher SC (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.7%	0.72×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (1:0)	67.1%	70.1%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.3%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.85
Holstein Kiel (1:0)	15.7%	17.1%	13.2%	1.30×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (2:0)	84.3%	84.7%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.7%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.64
Holstein Kiel (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to concede	77.8%	76.1%	72.8%	1.05×	1.32
Karlsruher SC clean sheet	22.2%	23.9%	27.2%	0.88×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC clean sheet in 1st half	54.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Karlsruher SC to concede in 1st half	45.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to concede in 2nd half	59.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Karlsruher SC clean sheet in 2nd half	40.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC over 2.5 corners	86.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Karlsruher SC over 3.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Karlsruher SC under 6.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Karlsruher SC over 4.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Karlsruher SC under 5.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Karlsruher SC over 5.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Karlsruher SC under 4.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Karlsruher SC over 6.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Karlsruher SC under 3.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Karlsruher SC under 2.5 corners	14.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC under 3.5 goals	90.0%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Karlsruher SC over 0.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Karlsruher SC under 2.5 goals	74.5%	74.3%	77.4%	0.96×	1.35
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals	52.1%	53.2%	49.1%	1.08×	1.88
Karlsruher SC under 1.5 goals	47.9%	46.8%	50.9%	0.92×	2.14
Karlsruher SC over 2.5 goals	25.5%	25.7%	22.6%	1.14×	3.88
Karlsruher SC under 0.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	19.4%	0.92×	5.63
Karlsruher SC over 3.5 goals	10.0%	12.7%	7.6%	1.68×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC under 1.5 in 1st half	82.6%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Karlsruher SC over 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Karlsruher SC under 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	49.6%	—	—	2.01
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 in 1st half	17.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Karlsruher SC scores equally in both	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Karlsruher SC scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel (home no bet)	58.0%	56.4%	54.3%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.0%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC even goals	51.5%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Karlsruher SC odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.42
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.90
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	26.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Holstein Kiel at HT / Holstein Kiel at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Holstein Kiel at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Karlsruher SC at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Holstein Kiel at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Karlsruher SC at HT / Holstein Kiel at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Holstein Kiel at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to score last	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Holstein Kiel to score last	44.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Karlsruher SC to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Holstein Kiel to lead by 1 at any time	53.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Karlsruher SC to lead by 2 at any time	31.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Holstein Kiel to lead by 2 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Karlsruher SC to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Holstein Kiel to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC most corners	54.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Holstein Kiel most corners	34.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	84.7%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.2%	78.7%	75.7%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.9%	72.4%	75.7%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	61.8%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.3%	59.1%	55.0%	1.08×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.9%	53.2%	59.3%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	50.0%	1.06×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.1%	43.6%	45.4%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.1%	39.2%	30.5%	1.28×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.7%	35.2%	34.8%	1.01×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.7%	30.2%	25.5%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	14.1%	1.34×	5.31
7+ goals	4.8%	2.6%	4.2%	0.61×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC never behind	42.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Holstein Kiel never behind	34.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.9%	50.6%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.1%	49.4%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.9%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.9%	82.3%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	81.9%	0.94×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.0%	61.7%	59.0%	1.05×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.2%	58.6%	65.5%	0.90×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.8%	41.4%	34.5%	1.20×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.0%	38.3%	41.0%	0.93×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	18.1%	1.25×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.7%	20.3%	0.87×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	11.1%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.9%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.4%	86.7%	90.0%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.7%	75.9%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.2%	72.4%	78.3%	0.92×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.5%	51.9%	45.7%	1.14×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.5%	48.1%	54.3%	0.89×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.8%	27.6%	21.7%	1.28×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.3%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.6%	13.3%	10.0%	1.32×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.1%	7.6%	4.4%	1.72×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.5%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.5%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.5%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel not to score in both halves	73.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Karlsruher SC not to score in both halves	66.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Karlsruher SC to score in both halves	33.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Holstein Kiel to score in both halves	26.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.6%	60.3%	59.8%	1.01×	1.66
Only Karlsruher SC scores	18.0%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Only Holstein Kiel scores	13.2%	11.0%	13.2%	0.84×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.6%	0.92×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.9%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.8%	12.1%	14.1%	0.86×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.1%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.5%	6.3%	0.70×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goals in 1st half	25.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.7%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Karlsruher SC not to win both halves	87.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Karlsruher SC to win both halves	12.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Holstein Kiel to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to win either half	58.6%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Holstein Kiel to win neither half	50.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Holstein Kiel to win either half	49.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Karlsruher SC to win neither half	41.4%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Holstein Kiel not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
Karlsruher SC not to win to nil	82.0%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
Karlsruher SC to win to nil	18.0%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.91
Holstein Kiel to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	13.2%	0.90×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Karlsruher SC by 1	20.1%	24.1%	21.1%	1.14×	4.15
Holstein Kiel by 1	17.3%	17.0%	18.0%	0.95×	5.87
Karlsruher SC by 2	13.1%	11.8%	13.0%	0.90×	8.51
Holstein Kiel by 2	9.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.90
Karlsruher SC by 3+	10.0%	7.2%	9.4%	0.76×	13.89
Holstein Kiel by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	6.2%	1.16×	13.91