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Karpaty Lviv v Veres Rivne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Karpaty Lviv win
50.9%
model 51.8%
Draw
31.3%
model 31.8%
Veres Rivne win
17.8%
model 16.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 16.2%
  2. 0-0 15.1%
  3. 1-1 13.7%
  4. 2-0 12.2%
  5. 2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.532.8% Under 2.567.2%
BTTS yes37.7% BTTS no62.3%
Karpaty Lviv 1+74.2% Karpaty Lviv 2+39.3%
Veres Rivne 1+48.4% Veres Rivne 2+14.2%

Expected goals 1.36 – 0.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
27/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet
Home clean sheet · usually 32%
53.7% fair odds 1.86
strong signal · 3818 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Karpaty Lviv (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 69%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
strong signal · 13600 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Karpaty Lviv.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Karpaty Lviv have only 1 matches on record.
  • Veres Rivne have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Karpaty Lviv have an estimated 50.9% win probability, against 31.3% for the draw and 17.8% for Veres Rivne. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Karpaty Lviv and 0.66 for Veres Rivne.

Why Karpaty Lviv

Nothing in the data singles out Karpaty Lviv.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.3%. A combined 2.02 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Veres Rivne can win

Away from home Veres Rivne average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Karpaty Lviv, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Veres Rivne, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Karpaty Lviv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Veres Rivne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Karpaty Lviv are the model's most likely outcome at 50.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.2%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.36–0.66 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.19–0.58 0-0 19% 26% 32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv to win 51.8% 51.2% 44.4% 1.15× 1.95
Draw 31.8% 31.5% 25.0% 1.26× 3.17
Veres Rivne to win 16.4% 17.9% 30.6% 0.58× 5.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv & not both score 36.5% 36.2% 24.4% 1.48× 2.77
Draw & both teams score 16.7% 18.1% 17.7% 1.03× 5.52
Karpaty Lviv & both teams score 15.3% 18.1% 20.1% 0.90× 5.52
Draw & not both score 15.1% 18.1% 7.3% 2.48× 5.52
Veres Rivne & not both score 10.7% 12.7% 16.0% 0.79× 7.88
Veres Rivne & both teams score 5.7% 7.6% 14.6% 0.52× 13.08
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv & under 3.5 42.1% 42.9% 30.3% 1.42× 2.33
Karpaty Lviv & over 1.5 35.5% 36.6% 34.1% 1.07× 2.74
Karpaty Lviv & under 2.5 28.5% 26.4% 17.5% 1.50× 3.79
Draw & under 2.5 28.9% 26.4% 18.8% 1.41× 3.79
Draw & under 3.5 28.9% 26.4% 18.8% 1.41× 3.79
Karpaty Lviv & over 2.5 23.3% 21.8% 26.9% 0.81× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 16.7% 17.7% 17.7% 1.00× 5.64
Karpaty Lviv & under 1.5 16.3% 17.7% 10.4% 1.71× 5.64
Draw & under 1.5 15.1% 17.7% 7.3% 2.43× 5.64
Veres Rivne & under 3.5 14.5% 12.4% 21.6% 0.57× 8.05
Karpaty Lviv & over 3.5 9.7% 7.6% 14.2% 0.53× 13.20
Veres Rivne & over 1.5 9.4% 7.6% 23.1% 0.33× 13.20
Veres Rivne & under 2.5 9.9% 7.6% 12.2% 0.62× 13.20
Veres Rivne & under 1.5 7.0% 7.6% 7.5% 1.01× 13.21
Veres Rivne & over 2.5 6.5% 7.6% 18.4% 0.41× 13.21
Draw & over 2.5 3.0% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.80
Draw & over 3.5 3.0% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.80
Veres Rivne & over 3.5 1.9% 4.4% 9.0% 0.49× 22.80
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (1UP) 62.6% 65.2% 59.8% 1.09× 1.53
Veres Rivne (1UP) 30.1% 35.2% 50.4% 0.70× 2.84
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (2UP) 51.8% 52.7% 45.2% 1.16× 1.90
Veres Rivne (2UP) 16.4% 19.7% 34.2% 0.58× 5.09
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 42.6% 41.4% 32.7% 1.27× 2.42
Karpaty Lviv to win 2nd half 40.6% 41.3% 37.7% 1.10× 2.42
Veres Rivne to win 2nd half 16.8% 20.1% 29.7% 0.68× 4.97
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 1.5 in 2nd half 93.9% 90.7% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Veres Rivne under 0.5 in 2nd half 67.3% 67.0% 46.6% 1.44× 1.49
Veres Rivne over 0.5 in 2nd half 32.7% 33.0% 53.4% 0.62× 3.03
Veres Rivne over 1.5 in 2nd half 6.1% 9.3% 17.7% 0.53× 10.76
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.9% 79.1% 77.4% 1.02× 1.27
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 in 2nd half 53.8% 54.2% 58.7% 0.92× 1.84
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 in 2nd half 46.2% 45.8% 41.4% 1.11× 2.18
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.1% 20.9% 22.6% 0.93× 4.78
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (+2.5) 90.2% 92.3% 90.1% 1.02× 1.08
Karpaty Lviv (+0.5) 83.6% 83.2% 69.4% 1.20× 1.20
Veres Rivne (+1.5) 73.8% 73.3% 77.7% 0.94× 1.36
Karpaty Lviv (-0.5) 51.8% 51.8% 44.4% 1.17× 1.93
Veres Rivne (+0.5) 48.2% 48.2% 55.6% 0.87× 2.07
Karpaty Lviv (-1.5) 26.2% 26.7% 22.3% 1.20× 3.75
Veres Rivne (-0.5) 16.4% 16.8% 30.6% 0.55× 5.96
Karpaty Lviv (-2.5) 9.8% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.96
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to concede 74.2% 75.6% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Veres Rivne clean sheet 25.8% 24.4% 23.3% 1.05× 4.10
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne clean sheet in 1st half 55.9% 57.3% 51.8% 1.11× 1.75
Veres Rivne to concede in 1st half 44.2% 42.7% 48.2% 0.89× 2.34
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to concede in 2nd half 53.8% 54.6% 58.7% 0.93× 1.83
Veres Rivne clean sheet in 2nd half 46.2% 45.4% 41.4% 1.10× 2.20
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.3% 95.7% 1.02× 1.03
Veres Rivne under 2.5 goals 97.0% 97.3% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Veres Rivne under 1.5 goals 85.8% 87.1% 66.3% 1.31× 1.15
Veres Rivne under 0.5 goals 51.6% 52.9% 31.7% 1.67× 1.89
Veres Rivne over 0.5 goals 48.4% 47.1% 68.3% 0.69× 2.13
Veres Rivne over 1.5 goals 14.2% 12.9% 33.7% 0.38× 7.76
Veres Rivne over 2.5 goals 3.0% 2.7% 13.0% 0.21× 37.11
Veres Rivne over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.7% 4.3% 0.62× 37.16
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 1.5 in 1st half 97.1% 95.3% 89.4% 1.07× 1.05
Veres Rivne under 0.5 in 1st half 76.8% 74.8% 59.0% 1.27× 1.34
Veres Rivne over 0.5 in 1st half 23.2% 25.2% 41.0% 0.61× 3.97
Veres Rivne over 1.5 in 1st half 2.9% 4.7% 10.6% 0.44× 21.36
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne scores equally in both 57.2% 59.1% 40.6% 1.46× 1.69
Veres Rivne scores more in 2nd half 26.4% 27.3% 36.5% 0.75× 3.67
Veres Rivne scores more in 1st half 16.4% 17.1% 22.9% 0.75× 5.83
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (away no bet) 62.0% 62.3% 64.0% 0.97× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 38.0% 37.7% 36.0% 1.05× 2.65
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne even goals 63.3% 60.7% 55.7% 1.09× 1.65
Veres Rivne odd goals 36.7% 39.3% 44.3% 0.89× 2.54
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.2% 90.8% 82.7% 1.10× 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.8% 9.2% 17.3% 0.53× 10.86
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 52.4% 53.1% 33.8% 1.57× 1.88
Not both halves under 1.5 47.6% 46.9% 66.2% 0.71× 2.13
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 42.8% 42.7% 58.6% 0.73× 2.34
Karpaty Lviv to score 2+ in a row 34.6% 32.1% 36.9% 0.87× 3.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.8% 12.9% 22.9% 0.56× 7.75
Karpaty Lviv to score 3+ in a row 12.1% 12.9% 14.2% 0.91× 7.77
Veres Rivne to score 2+ in a row 10.3% 12.8% 28.6% 0.45× 7.79
Veres Rivne to score 3+ in a row 1.7% 3.1% 9.1% 0.34× 32.29
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 16.3% 15.5% 10.4% 1.50× 6.45
0-0 15.1% 15.5% 7.3% 2.12× 6.45
1-1 13.7% 11.2% 11.5% 0.98× 8.91
2-0 12.2% 11.2% 7.2% 1.57× 8.91
0-1 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.45
2-1 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.45
3-0 5.5% 7.4% 3.9% 1.90× 13.45
0-2 2.9% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.34
0-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.35
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 58.35
1-2 3.9% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.34
1-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.35
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.69× 58.35
2-2 2.7% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.34
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.35
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 2.89× 58.35
3-1 3.6% 1.7% 4.2% 0.41× 58.34
3-2 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 0.66× 58.34
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 58.35
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.65× 58.35
4-0 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 0.98× 58.34
4-1 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.34
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.35
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.62× 58.35
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 16.16× 58.35
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.34
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (2nd half DNB) 70.8% 70.2% 55.9% 1.26× 1.42
Veres Rivne (2nd half DNB) 29.2% 29.8% 44.1% 0.68× 3.36
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv leading at HT (DNB) 72.5% 74.3% 56.7% 1.31× 1.35
Veres Rivne leading at HT (DNB) 27.5% 25.7% 43.3% 0.59× 3.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv or draw (1X) 83.6% 82.1% 69.4% 1.18× 1.22
Karpaty Lviv or Veres Rivne (12) 68.2% 68.5% 75.0% 0.91× 1.46
Veres Rivne or draw (X2) 48.2% 48.8% 55.6% 0.88× 2.05
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv or draw at HT 86.4% 87.1% 74.1% 1.18× 1.15
Veres Rivne or draw at HT 64.0% 62.9% 66.2% 0.95× 1.59
Karpaty Lviv or Veres Rivne at HT 49.6% 51.0% 59.7% 0.85× 1.96
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv or draw (1UP) 83.6% 86.3% 74.2% 1.16× 1.16
Veres Rivne or draw (1UP) 48.2% 55.4% 63.9% 0.87× 1.81
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv or draw in 2nd half 83.2% 79.9% 70.3% 1.14× 1.25
Veres Rivne or draw in 2nd half 59.4% 58.7% 62.3% 0.94× 1.70
Karpaty Lviv or Veres Rivne in 2nd half 57.4% 58.6% 67.3% 0.87× 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 69.6% 65.3% 58.9% 1.11× 1.53
Neither half drawn 30.4% 34.7% 41.1% 0.84× 2.88
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (DNB) 75.9% 77.3% 59.2% 1.31× 1.29
Veres Rivne (DNB) 24.1% 22.7% 40.8% 0.56× 4.42
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv to score first 57.0% 61.0% 51.2% 1.19× 1.64
Veres Rivne to score first 27.8% 29.5% 42.9% 0.69× 3.39
No goal scored 15.1% 15.8% 5.9% 2.67× 6.33
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 62.3% 59.0% 47.6% 1.24× 1.70
Both teams to score 37.7% 41.0% 52.4% 0.78× 2.44
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 53.5% 48.5% 37.1% 1.31× 2.06
Both score & over 2.5 23.9% 25.0% 40.9% 0.61× 3.99
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 11.9% 11.5% 1.04× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 8.8% 8.4% 10.6% 0.80× 11.85
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 94.4% 89.9% 86.0% 1.05× 1.11
Both teams to score 2+ 5.6% 10.1% 14.0% 0.72× 9.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 81.8% 73.6% 70.2% 1.05× 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 18.2% 26.4% 29.8% 0.89× 3.78
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 73.0% 65.4% 57.8% 1.13× 1.53
Both score 2nd half only 16.4% 18.4% 23.8% 0.77× 5.44
Both score 1st half only 8.8% 6.9% 12.5% 0.56× 14.40
Both score in both halves 1.8% 4.8% 6.0% 0.80× 20.80
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 89.4% 84.8% 81.5% 1.04× 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 10.6% 15.2% 18.5% 0.82× 6.58
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 59.8% 57.5% 41.1% 1.40× 1.74
A goal in each half 40.2% 42.5% 58.9% 0.72× 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.0% 46.5% 45.4% 1.02× 2.15
0-1 goals 38.4% 35.3% 25.2% 1.40× 2.83
4-6 goals 14.1% 14.9% 27.0% 0.55× 6.70
7+ goals 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 0.83× 49.81
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to score exactly 0 51.6% 49.7% 31.7% 1.57× 2.01
Veres Rivne to score exactly 1 34.1% 32.3% 34.6% 0.93× 3.09
Veres Rivne to score exactly 2 11.3% 13.0% 20.8% 0.63× 7.69
Veres Rivne to score 3+ 3.0% 4.1% 13.0% 0.32× 24.16
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 1 35.0% 32.2% 33.1% 0.97× 3.10
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 0 25.8% 26.4% 23.3% 1.14× 3.78
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 2 23.7% 22.9% 24.0% 0.95× 4.38
Karpaty Lviv to score 3+ 15.6% 18.1% 19.7% 0.92× 5.51
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 50.4% 49.0% 40.3% 1.22× 2.04
Karpaty Lviv leading at HT 36.0% 37.1% 33.8% 1.10× 2.70
Veres Rivne leading at HT 13.6% 12.9% 25.9% 0.50× 7.77
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv -1: 2 48.2% 48.2% 2.07
Karpaty Lviv -1: 1 26.2% 26.8% 3.74
Karpaty Lviv -1: X 25.6% 26.8% 3.74
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (0:1) 48.2% 47.5% 55.6% 0.86× 2.10
Karpaty Lviv (0:1) 26.2% 27.2% 22.3% 1.22× 3.68
Draw (0:1) 25.6% 27.2% 22.2% 1.23× 3.68
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (0:2) 73.8% 75.0% 77.7% 0.97× 1.33
Draw (0:2) 16.3% 15.7% 12.3% 1.27× 6.38
Karpaty Lviv (0:2) 9.8% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (0:3) 90.2% 92.5% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 1.10× 15.40
Karpaty Lviv (0:3) 3.0% 2.6% 4.0% 0.63× 39.16
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (0:4) 97.0% 97.7% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.2% 1.4% 2.5% 0.56× 70.69
Karpaty Lviv (0:4) 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 0.94× 70.75
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (1:0) 83.6% 83.0% 69.4% 1.20× 1.20
Draw (1:0) 11.6% 12.5% 17.0% 0.74× 7.97
Veres Rivne (1:0) 4.8% 3.5% 13.6% 0.26× 28.93
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv (2:0) 95.2% 96.5% 86.4% 1.12× 1.04
Draw (2:0) 3.9% 2.8% 8.1% 0.34× 35.89
Veres Rivne (2:0) 0.9% 2.8% 5.4% 0.51× 35.94
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 41.8% 48.5% 48.6% 1.00× 2.06
Halves equal 32.8% 27.5% 25.2% 1.09× 3.64
1st half highest scoring 25.4% 26.1% 26.3% 0.99× 3.83
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet 51.6% 53.7% 31.7% 1.70× 1.86
Karpaty Lviv to concede 48.4% 46.3% 68.3% 0.68× 2.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet in 1st half 76.8% 75.2% 59.0% 1.27× 1.33
Karpaty Lviv to concede in 1st half 23.2% 24.8% 41.0% 0.61× 4.02
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet in 2nd half 67.3% 64.2% 46.6% 1.38× 1.56
Karpaty Lviv to concede in 2nd half 32.7% 35.8% 53.4% 0.67× 2.79
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 3.5 goals 95.1% 96.6% 92.4% 1.05× 1.04
Karpaty Lviv under 2.5 goals 84.4% 82.3% 80.3% 1.03× 1.22
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 goals 74.2% 73.1% 76.7% 0.95× 1.37
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 goals 60.8% 62.4% 56.3% 1.11× 1.60
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 goals 39.2% 37.6% 43.7% 0.86× 2.66
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 goals 25.8% 26.9% 23.3% 1.16× 3.71
Karpaty Lviv over 2.5 goals 15.6% 17.7% 19.7% 0.90× 5.66
Karpaty Lviv over 3.5 goals 4.9% 3.4% 7.6% 0.45× 29.37
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 in 1st half 88.4% 87.7% 85.9% 1.02× 1.14
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 in 1st half 55.9% 57.4% 51.8% 1.11× 1.74
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 in 1st half 44.2% 42.6% 48.2% 0.88× 2.35
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 in 1st half 11.6% 12.3% 14.1% 0.87× 8.15
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv scores equally in both 38.8% 37.2% 37.1% 1.00× 2.69
Karpaty Lviv scores more in 2nd half 36.4% 37.1% 38.0% 0.98× 2.69
Karpaty Lviv scores more in 1st half 24.9% 23.2% 24.9% 0.93× 4.31
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 66.0% 64.6% 44.9% 1.44× 1.55
Veres Rivne (home no bet) 34.0% 35.4% 55.1% 0.64× 2.82
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv even goals 53.3% 50.9% 52.8% 0.96× 1.96
Karpaty Lviv odd goals 46.7% 49.1% 47.2% 1.04× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 43.2% 38.0% 29.3% 1.30× 2.63
HT 1-0 24.7% 22.5% 20.7% 1.09× 4.44
HT 0-1 11.0% 10.9% 16.3% 0.67× 9.16
HT 2-0 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 1.12× 12.55
HT 1-1 6.9% 8.0% 10.2% 0.78× 12.55
Any other HT score 2.4% 2.5% 4.7% 0.52× 40.47
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 0.75× 40.50
HT 0-2 1.5% 2.5% 4.9% 0.50× 40.51
HT 1-2 0.9% 2.5% 2.8% 0.89× 40.54
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.5% 0.9% 2.76× 40.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT 30.6% 34.0% 25.8% 1.32× 2.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.3% 20.9% 14.1% 1.48× 4.77
Draw at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT 19.5% 17.3% 14.7% 1.18× 5.77
Veres Rivne at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 8.0% 6.5% 17.4% 0.37× 15.46
Draw at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 7.6% 6.5% 11.6% 0.56× 15.47
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.6% 5.1% 0.71× 27.51
Veres Rivne at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.6% 5.6% 0.65× 27.52
Veres Rivne at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT 1.7% 3.6% 2.9% 1.25× 27.59
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 0.9% 3.6% 3.0% 1.22× 27.61
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv to score last 57.4% 56.4% 51.4% 1.10× 1.77
Veres Rivne to score last 27.5% 33.2% 42.7% 0.78× 3.01
No goal scored 15.1% 13.5% 5.9% 2.29× 7.39
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 84.9% 86.8% 94.1% 0.92× 1.15
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 1 at any time 62.6% 63.4% 59.8% 1.06× 1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 37.2% 37.4% 48.2% 0.77× 2.68
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 2 at any time 30.1% 31.6% 28.2% 1.12× 3.16
Veres Rivne to lead by 1 at any time 30.1% 31.6% 50.4% 0.63× 3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.4% 11.0% 19.5% 0.57× 9.07
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 3 at any time 11.1% 11.0% 12.1% 0.91× 9.08
Veres Rivne to lead by 2 at any time 7.2% 7.4% 20.3% 0.37× 13.49
Veres Rivne to lead by 3 at any time 1.3% 2.6% 7.4% 0.35× 38.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.2% 82.1% 86.4% 0.95× 1.22
1-4 goals 79.5% 77.9% 78.0% 1.00× 1.28
1-3 goals 70.3% 72.2% 63.3% 1.14× 1.39
2-6 goals 61.1% 62.7% 72.4% 0.87× 1.60
2-5 goals 59.9% 58.9% 68.5% 0.86× 1.70
2-4 goals 56.2% 58.9% 60.1% 0.98× 1.70
1-2 goals 52.1% 52.9% 41.2% 1.28× 1.89
2-3 goals 47.0% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
3-6 goals 32.3% 34.7% 49.0% 0.71× 2.88
3-5 goals 31.0% 34.7% 45.1% 0.77× 2.88
3-4 goals 27.3% 28.5% 36.8% 0.78× 3.51
4-6 goals 14.1% 13.5% 27.0% 0.50× 7.42
4-5 goals 12.9% 13.5% 23.0% 0.59× 7.42
5-6 goals 4.9% 2.3% 12.3% 0.18× 44.18
7+ goals 0.5% 2.3% 2.4% 0.93× 44.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Karpaty Lviv never behind 54.8% 61.3% 49.6% 1.24× 1.63
Veres Rivne never behind 22.3% 25.8% 40.2% 0.64× 3.88
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 54.5% 50.1% 49.8% 1.00× 2.00
Odd number of goals 45.5% 49.9% 50.2% 1.00× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.8% 55.1% 53.7% 1.03× 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 40.2% 44.9% 46.3% 0.97× 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 56.1% 51.3% 51.1% 1.00× 1.95
Odd goals in 2nd half 43.9% 48.7% 48.9% 1.00× 2.06
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.3% 96.0% 93.7% 1.03× 1.04
Under 4.5 goals 94.6% 92.3% 85.3% 1.08× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 85.4% 87.8% 70.6% 1.24× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 84.9% 81.6% 92.7% 0.88× 1.23
Under 2.5 goals 67.3% 67.7% 48.5% 1.39× 1.48
Over 1.5 goals 61.6% 62.0% 74.8% 0.83× 1.61
Under 1.5 goals 38.4% 38.0% 25.2% 1.51× 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 32.7% 32.3% 51.5% 0.63× 3.09
Under 0.5 goals 15.1% 18.4% 7.3% 2.51× 5.44
Over 3.5 goals 14.6% 12.2% 29.4% 0.41× 8.21
Over 4.5 goals 5.4% 7.7% 14.7% 0.53× 12.91
Over 5.5 goals 1.7% 4.0% 6.3% 0.63× 25.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.5% 97.3% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.2% 97.3% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.1% 92.0% 82.8% 1.11× 1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 82.2% 81.5% 62.3% 1.31× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 54.0% 52.0% 32.9% 1.58× 1.92
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.0% 48.0% 67.1% 0.71× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 17.8% 18.5% 37.7% 0.49× 5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.9% 8.0% 17.2% 0.46× 12.52
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.8% 2.7% 6.9% 0.39× 36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.08× 36.73
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 94.6% 91.9% 88.4% 1.04× 1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half 78.9% 78.0% 66.3% 1.18× 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 56.8% 59.6% 70.7% 0.84× 1.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 43.2% 40.4% 29.3% 1.38× 2.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half 21.1% 22.0% 33.7% 0.65× 4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.4% 8.1% 11.6% 0.70× 12.40
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 88.6% 85.2% 77.5% 1.10× 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 68.3% 66.9% 82.3% 0.81× 1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.8% 66.8% 50.2% 1.33× 1.50
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.2% 33.2% 49.8% 0.67× 3.01
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.7% 33.1% 17.7% 1.87× 3.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.4% 14.8% 22.5% 0.66× 6.77
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne not to score in both halves 92.4% 88.8% 77.6% 1.14× 1.13
Karpaty Lviv not to score in both halves 76.3% 75.8% 70.5% 1.07× 1.32
Karpaty Lviv to score in both halves 23.8% 24.2% 29.5% 0.82× 4.12
Veres Rivne to score in both halves 7.6% 11.2% 22.4% 0.50× 8.91
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 37.7% 39.4% 52.4% 0.75× 2.54
Only Karpaty Lviv scores 36.5% 39.4% 24.4% 1.62× 2.54
Neither team scores 15.1% 16.9% 7.3% 2.31× 5.93
Only Veres Rivne scores 10.7% 11.2% 16.0% 0.70× 8.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.9% 25.0% 23.3% 1.07× 4.00
Exactly 1 goals 23.3% 22.3% 17.9% 1.24× 4.49
Exactly 3 goals 18.2% 17.6% 22.1% 0.80× 5.68
Exactly 0 goals 15.1% 17.6% 7.3% 2.41× 5.68
Exactly 4 goals 9.2% 7.8% 14.7% 0.53× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 3.7% 4.0% 8.4% 0.48× 24.73
6 or more goals 1.7% 4.0% 6.3% 0.64× 24.75
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 43.2% 38.0% 29.3% 1.30× 2.63
1 goal in 1st half 35.7% 36.9% 37.0% 1.00× 2.71
2 goals in 1st half 15.7% 18.8% 22.2% 0.85× 5.33
3+ goals in 1st half 5.4% 8.1% 11.6% 0.70× 12.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 35.1% 38.7% 32.5% 1.19× 2.59
2+ goals in 2nd half 33.2% 34.3% 49.8% 0.69× 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 31.7% 34.3% 17.7% 1.94× 2.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne not to win both halves 97.6% 97.3% 91.8% 1.06× 1.03
Karpaty Lviv not to win both halves 85.0% 87.7% 86.8% 1.01× 1.14
Karpaty Lviv to win both halves 15.0% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.14
Veres Rivne to win both halves 2.4% 2.7% 8.2% 0.33× 37.22
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to win neither half 72.0% 70.1% 52.6% 1.33× 1.43
Karpaty Lviv to win either half 61.7% 62.1% 58.3% 1.07× 1.61
Karpaty Lviv to win neither half 38.3% 37.9% 41.7% 0.91× 2.64
Veres Rivne to win either half 28.0% 29.9% 47.4% 0.63× 3.34
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne not to win to nil 89.3% 87.9% 84.0% 1.05× 1.14
Karpaty Lviv not to win to nil 63.5% 63.5% 75.6% 0.84× 1.58
Karpaty Lviv to win to nil 36.5% 36.5% 24.4% 1.50× 2.74
Veres Rivne to win to nil 10.7% 12.1% 16.0% 0.76× 8.25
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 31.8% 29.2% 25.0% 1.17× 3.42
Karpaty Lviv by 1 25.6% 27.3% 22.2% 1.23× 3.66
Karpaty Lviv by 2 16.3% 17.2% 12.3% 1.40× 5.80
Veres Rivne by 1 11.6% 11.8% 17.0% 0.70× 8.45
Karpaty Lviv by 3+ 9.8% 7.3% 9.9% 0.73× 13.76
Veres Rivne by 2 3.9% 3.0% 8.1% 0.37× 33.45
Veres Rivne by 3+ 0.9% 3.0% 5.4% 0.55× 33.48
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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