Karvan v Zaqatala — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 September 2026 · AZE-First Division · 2627

AZE-First Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Karvan

12:30 UTC

Zaqatala

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 169h before kick-off

Karvan win

73.8%

model 74.1%

Draw

18.1%

model 17.6%

Zaqatala win

8.1%

model 8.3%

74188

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (960 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 13.1%
3-0 10.4%
1-0 10.3%
2-1 9.1%
1-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.1%	Under 2.5	40.9%
BTTS yes	46.0%	BTTS no	54.0%
Karvan 1+	90.7%	Karvan 2+	68.6%
Zaqatala 1+	49.9%	Zaqatala 2+	15.3%

Expected goals 2.37 – 0.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

85%

★ Best pick

Karvan (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 22%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 11499 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Karvan to win either half

Win either half · usually 58%

82.8% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 223 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Karvan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zaqatala have allowed 1.35.
At home Karvan average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.85).
Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Karvan have only 0 matches on record.
Zaqatala have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Karvan have an estimated 73.8% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 8.1% for Zaqatala. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.37 for Karvan and 0.69 for Zaqatala.

Why Karvan

Karvan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zaqatala have allowed 1.35. At home Karvan average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.1%.

Why Zaqatala can win

Zaqatala have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Karvan have allowed 1.35. Away from home Zaqatala average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Karvan, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Zaqatala, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Karvan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Zaqatala: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Karvan are the model's most likely outcome at 73.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 13.1%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	74188	2.37–0.69	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	8983	3.39–0.54	3-0 13%	75%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to win	74.1%	73.0%	44.4%	1.64×	1.37
Draw	17.6%	17.9%	25.0%	0.72×	5.59
Zaqatala to win	8.3%	8.0%	30.6%	0.26×	12.44

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan & not both score	44.7%	40.7%	24.4%	1.67×	2.46
Karvan & both teams score	29.4%	26.5%	20.1%	1.32×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	12.2%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.88
Draw & not both score	5.4%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.08
Zaqatala & both teams score	4.4%	4.2%	14.6%	0.29×	23.91
Zaqatala & not both score	3.9%	4.2%	16.0%	0.26×	23.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan & over 1.5	63.8%	61.4%	34.1%	1.80×	1.63
Karvan & over 2.5	50.6%	51.9%	26.9%	1.93×	1.93
Karvan & under 3.5	43.0%	42.9%	30.3%	1.42×	2.33
Karvan & over 3.5	31.1%	31.8%	14.2%	2.24×	3.15
Karvan & under 2.5	23.5%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	13.8%	12.4%	18.8%	0.66×	8.05
Draw & under 3.5	13.8%	12.4%	18.8%	0.66×	8.05
Draw & over 1.5	12.2%	12.4%	17.7%	0.70×	8.06
Karvan & under 1.5	10.3%	12.4%	10.4%	1.20×	8.06
Zaqatala & under 3.5	6.5%	7.6%	21.6%	0.35×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	5.4%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.21
Zaqatala & over 1.5	5.8%	7.6%	23.1%	0.33×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79
Zaqatala & over 2.5	4.7%	4.4%	18.4%	0.24×	22.79
Zaqatala & under 1.5	2.5%	4.4%	7.5%	0.58×	22.80
Zaqatala & under 2.5	3.6%	4.4%	12.2%	0.36×	22.79
Zaqatala & over 3.5	1.8%	4.4%	9.0%	0.49×	22.80

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (1UP)	82.4%	85.7%	59.8%	1.43×	1.17
Zaqatala (1UP)	23.8%	24.4%	50.4%	0.48×	4.11

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (2UP)	74.1%	75.4%	45.2%	1.67×	1.33
Zaqatala (2UP)	8.3%	8.2%	34.2%	0.24×	12.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to win 2nd half	60.4%	63.1%	37.7%	1.68×	1.59
2nd half drawn	28.6%	28.4%	32.7%	0.87×	3.53
Zaqatala to win 2nd half	11.0%	13.2%	29.7%	0.44×	7.59

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.4%	90.7%	82.3%	1.10×	1.10
Zaqatala under 0.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	66.9%	46.6%	1.44×	1.49
Zaqatala over 0.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	33.1%	53.4%	0.62×	3.02
Zaqatala over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.6%	9.3%	17.7%	0.53×	10.73

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.1%	73.0%	58.7%	1.24×	1.37
Karvan under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.3%	77.4%	0.82×	1.58
Karvan over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	36.7%	22.6%	1.62×	2.73
Karvan under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.9%	27.0%	41.4%	0.65×	3.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (+0.5)	91.7%	92.3%	69.4%	1.33×	1.08
Karvan (-0.5)	74.1%	73.3%	44.4%	1.65×	1.36
Zaqatala (+2.5)	70.2%	73.3%	90.1%	0.81×	1.37
Karvan (-1.5)	51.8%	51.8%	22.3%	2.32×	1.93
Zaqatala (+1.5)	48.2%	48.2%	77.7%	0.62×	2.07
Karvan (-2.5)	29.8%	26.7%	9.9%	2.69×	3.74
Zaqatala (+0.5)	25.9%	26.7%	55.6%	0.48×	3.75
Zaqatala (-0.5)	8.3%	7.7%	30.6%	0.25×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to concede	90.7%	92.7%	76.7%	1.21×	1.08
Zaqatala clean sheet	9.3%	7.3%	23.3%	0.32×	13.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to concede in 1st half	64.0%	62.7%	48.2%	1.30×	1.59
Zaqatala clean sheet in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	51.8%	0.72×	2.69

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to concede in 2nd half	74.1%	71.9%	58.7%	1.23×	1.39
Zaqatala clean sheet in 2nd half	25.9%	28.2%	41.4%	0.68×	3.55

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Zaqatala under 2.5 goals	96.7%	97.3%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Zaqatala under 1.5 goals	84.7%	82.5%	66.3%	1.25×	1.21
Zaqatala under 0.5 goals	50.1%	52.9%	31.7%	1.67×	1.89
Zaqatala over 0.5 goals	49.9%	47.1%	68.3%	0.69×	2.13
Zaqatala over 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.5%	33.7%	0.52×	5.72
Zaqatala over 2.5 goals	3.3%	2.7%	13.0%	0.21×	37.11
Zaqatala over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.16

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 1.5 in 1st half	96.8%	95.3%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Zaqatala under 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	74.7%	59.0%	1.27×	1.34
Zaqatala over 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	25.3%	41.0%	0.62×	3.95
Zaqatala over 1.5 in 1st half	3.2%	4.7%	10.6%	0.44×	21.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala scores equally in both	56.0%	58.8%	40.6%	1.45×	1.70
Zaqatala scores more in 2nd half	27.1%	27.3%	36.5%	0.75×	3.67
Zaqatala scores more in 1st half	16.8%	17.2%	22.9%	0.75×	5.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (away no bet)	80.8%	82.0%	64.0%	1.28×	1.22
Draw (away no bet)	19.2%	18.0%	36.0%	0.50×	5.56

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala even goals	62.6%	60.7%	55.7%	1.09×	1.65
Zaqatala odd goals	37.4%	39.3%	44.3%	0.89×	2.54

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.4%	82.3%	82.7%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.6%	17.7%	17.3%	1.03×	5.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	69.9%	66.2%	1.06×	1.43
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.3%	30.1%	33.8%	0.89×	3.33

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.0%	64.7%	58.6%	1.10×	1.55
Karvan to score 2+ in a row	63.0%	60.4%	36.9%	1.64×	1.66
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.7%	36.9%	22.9%	1.61×	2.71
Karvan to score 3+ in a row	34.5%	32.1%	14.2%	2.26×	3.12
Zaqatala to score 2+ in a row	9.1%	7.8%	28.6%	0.27×	12.89
Zaqatala to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	3.1%	9.1%	0.34×	32.38

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	13.2%	11.2%	7.2%	1.57×	8.91
1-0	10.3%	11.2%	10.4%	1.08×	8.91
3-0	10.4%	11.2%	3.9%	2.86×	8.91
0-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.45
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.45
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
3-1	7.2%	7.4%	4.2%	1.78×	13.45
4-0	6.2%	7.4%	1.8%	4.23×	13.45
Any other score	9.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.45
0-1	2.5%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.34
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.35
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.35
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
1-2	2.6%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.34
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.35
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.35
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.35
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-1	4.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.34
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (2nd half DNB)	84.5%	82.6%	55.9%	1.48×	1.21
Zaqatala (2nd half DNB)	15.5%	17.4%	44.1%	0.40×	5.74

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan leading at HT (DNB)	84.7%	81.5%	56.7%	1.44×	1.23
Zaqatala leading at HT (DNB)	15.3%	18.5%	43.3%	0.43×	5.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw (1X)	91.7%	92.0%	69.4%	1.32×	1.09
Karvan or Zaqatala (12)	82.4%	82.1%	75.0%	1.09×	1.22
Zaqatala or draw (X2)	25.9%	27.0%	55.6%	0.49×	3.70

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw at HT	90.2%	88.9%	74.1%	1.20×	1.12
Karvan or Zaqatala at HT	64.1%	63.0%	59.7%	1.06×	1.59
Zaqatala or draw at HT	45.7%	50.4%	66.2%	0.76×	1.98

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw (1UP)	91.7%	94.3%	74.2%	1.27×	1.06
Zaqatala or draw (1UP)	25.9%	28.6%	63.9%	0.45×	3.50

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw in 2nd half	89.0%	86.8%	70.3%	1.23×	1.15
Karvan or Zaqatala in 2nd half	71.4%	71.6%	67.3%	1.06×	1.40
Zaqatala or draw in 2nd half	39.6%	36.9%	62.3%	0.59×	2.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.3%	52.2%	58.9%	0.89×	1.91
Neither half drawn	46.7%	47.8%	41.1%	1.16×	2.09

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (DNB)	90.0%	88.5%	59.2%	1.49×	1.13
Zaqatala (DNB)	10.0%	11.5%	40.8%	0.28×	8.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score first	73.2%	80.1%	51.2%	1.57×	1.25
Zaqatala to score first	21.3%	16.7%	42.9%	0.39×	6.00
No goal scored	5.4%	6.3%	5.9%	1.07×	15.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.0%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Both teams to score	46.0%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	37.6%	38.0%	40.9%	0.93×	2.63
Not both score & under 2.5	32.5%	34.0%	37.1%	0.92×	2.94
Not both score & over 2.5	21.5%	25.0%	10.6%	2.37×	4.00
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.4%	11.5%	0.74×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.7%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.3%	14.0%	1.02×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.6%	70.9%	70.2%	1.01×	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.4%	29.1%	29.8%	0.98×	3.44

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.9%	60.6%	57.8%	1.05×	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	21.5%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	11.9%	12.5%	0.95×	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.9%	6.0%	0.81×	20.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.4%	82.7%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.6%	17.3%	18.5%	0.94×	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.6%	63.3%	58.9%	1.07×	1.58
A half without a goal	39.4%	36.7%	41.1%	0.89×	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.1%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
4-6 goals	33.0%	31.2%	27.0%	1.16×	3.21
0-1 goals	18.2%	19.1%	25.2%	0.76×	5.24
7+ goals	3.6%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.70

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to score exactly 0	50.1%	49.6%	31.7%	1.57×	2.02
Zaqatala to score exactly 1	34.6%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Zaqatala to score exactly 2	12.0%	13.0%	20.8%	0.63×	7.69
Zaqatala to score 3+	3.3%	4.1%	13.0%	0.32×	24.14

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score 3+	42.3%	38.5%	19.7%	1.95×	2.60
Karvan to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.4%	24.0%	1.10×	3.78
Karvan to score exactly 1	22.1%	22.9%	33.1%	0.69×	4.38
Karvan to score exactly 0	9.3%	8.9%	23.3%	0.38×	11.25

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan leading at HT	54.3%	49.6%	33.8%	1.47×	2.02
Draw at HT	35.9%	37.1%	40.3%	0.92×	2.70
Zaqatala leading at HT	9.8%	11.1%	25.9%	0.43×	9.05

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan -1: 1	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Karvan -1: 2	25.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Karvan -1: X	22.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (0:1)	51.8%	51.7%	22.3%	2.32×	1.93
Zaqatala (0:1)	25.9%	27.2%	55.6%	0.49×	3.68
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	23.6%	22.2%	1.06×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala (0:2)	48.2%	49.4%	77.7%	0.64×	2.03
Karvan (0:2)	29.8%	27.5%	9.9%	2.77×	3.64
Draw (0:2)	22.0%	20.5%	12.3%	1.66×	4.88

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala (0:3)	70.2%	72.9%	90.1%	0.81×	1.37
Draw (0:3)	15.4%	16.1%	5.9%	2.74×	6.21
Karvan (0:3)	14.4%	11.6%	4.0%	2.86×	8.63

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala (0:4)	85.6%	88.5%	96.0%	0.92×	1.13
Draw (0:4)	8.5%	6.7%	2.5%	2.65×	14.86
Karvan (0:4)	5.9%	6.7%	1.5%	4.44×	14.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (1:0)	91.7%	92.4%	69.4%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.0%	7.5%	17.0%	0.44×	13.41
Zaqatala (1:0)	2.3%	3.4%	13.6%	0.25×	29.11

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (2:0)	97.7%	96.6%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	1.9%	2.8%	8.1%	0.34×	35.92
Zaqatala (2:0)	0.5%	2.8%	5.4%	0.51×	35.95

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	26.3%	1.00×	3.82
Halves equal	24.4%	23.3%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan clean sheet	50.1%	53.7%	31.7%	1.69×	1.86
Karvan to concede	49.9%	46.3%	68.3%	0.68×	2.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan clean sheet in 1st half	75.9%	74.9%	59.0%	1.27×	1.34
Karvan to concede in 1st half	24.1%	25.1%	41.0%	0.61×	3.98

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan clean sheet in 2nd half	66.1%	64.1%	46.6%	1.38×	1.56
Karvan to concede in 2nd half	33.9%	35.9%	53.4%	0.67×	2.78

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	76.7%	1.20×	1.08
Karvan under 3.5 goals	78.5%	78.2%	92.4%	0.85×	1.28
Karvan over 1.5 goals	68.5%	68.3%	43.7%	1.56×	1.46
Karvan under 2.5 goals	57.7%	57.9%	80.3%	0.72×	1.73
Karvan over 2.5 goals	42.3%	42.1%	19.7%	2.14×	2.38
Karvan under 1.5 goals	31.5%	31.7%	56.3%	0.56×	3.15
Karvan over 3.5 goals	21.5%	21.8%	7.6%	2.87×	4.58
Karvan under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	23.3%	0.33×	13.06

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	74.3%	85.9%	0.87×	1.35
Karvan over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	62.5%	48.2%	1.30×	1.60
Karvan under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	37.5%	51.8%	0.72×	2.67
Karvan over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	25.7%	14.1%	1.81×	3.90

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan scores more in 2nd half	44.4%	41.7%	38.0%	1.10×	2.40
Karvan scores more in 1st half	28.3%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.60
Karvan scores equally in both	27.4%	27.8%	37.1%	0.75×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	68.0%	64.6%	44.9%	1.44×	1.55
Zaqatala (home no bet)	32.0%	35.4%	55.1%	0.64×	2.83

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan even goals	50.4%	50.9%	52.8%	0.96×	1.96
Karvan odd goals	49.6%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	27.8%	26.0%	20.7%	1.25×	3.85
HT 0-0	27.5%	26.0%	29.3%	0.89×	3.85
HT 2-0	14.2%	10.9%	7.1%	1.54×	9.13
Any other HT score	8.7%	8.0%	4.7%	1.69×	12.53
HT 1-1	7.8%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.54
HT 0-1	7.4%	8.0%	16.3%	0.49×	12.54
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.40
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.5%	4.9%	0.50×	40.54
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.53
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan at HT / Karvan at FT	50.2%	55.8%	25.8%	2.17×	1.79
Draw at HT / Karvan at FT	21.2%	20.9%	14.7%	1.42×	4.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.1%	12.0%	14.1%	0.85×	8.34
Zaqatala at HT / Zaqatala at FT	4.0%	3.6%	17.4%	0.21×	27.52
Draw at HT / Zaqatala at FT	3.6%	3.6%	11.6%	0.31×	27.54
Karvan at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.6%	5.1%	0.71×	27.54
Zaqatala at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.55
Zaqatala at HT / Karvan at FT	2.8%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.56
Karvan at HT / Zaqatala at FT	0.7%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.62

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score last	73.4%	72.7%	51.4%	1.41×	1.38
Zaqatala to score last	21.1%	23.6%	42.7%	0.55×	4.23
No goal scored	5.4%	6.3%	5.9%	1.07×	15.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.6%	93.6%	94.1%	1.00×	1.07
Karvan to lead by 1 at any time	82.4%	86.4%	59.8%	1.44×	1.16
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.8%	63.4%	48.2%	1.31×	1.58
Karvan to lead by 2 at any time	57.2%	55.6%	28.2%	1.97×	1.80
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	33.5%	31.7%	19.5%	1.63×	3.15
Karvan to lead by 3 at any time	32.7%	31.7%	12.1%	2.62×	3.16
Zaqatala to lead by 1 at any time	23.8%	21.4%	50.4%	0.42×	4.67
Zaqatala to lead by 2 at any time	4.9%	2.7%	20.3%	0.13×	37.71
Zaqatala to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	2.6%	7.4%	0.35×	38.71

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
2-6 goals	78.1%	77.9%	72.4%	1.08×	1.28
1-4 goals	75.1%	77.9%	78.0%	1.00×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.2%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.3%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	57.9%	58.9%	63.3%	0.93×	1.70
3-6 goals	55.5%	58.9%	49.0%	1.20×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.1%	52.9%	45.1%	1.17×	1.89
2-3 goals	45.1%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.0%	36.8%	1.06×	2.56
1-2 goals	35.5%	39.0%	41.2%	0.95×	2.56
4-6 goals	33.0%	34.7%	27.0%	1.29×	2.88
4-5 goals	27.7%	28.5%	23.0%	1.24×	3.51
5-6 goals	15.9%	18.9%	12.3%	1.53×	5.30
7+ goals	3.6%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan never behind	70.8%	74.9%	49.6%	1.51×	1.34
Zaqatala never behind	12.1%	11.1%	40.2%	0.28×	8.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	51.6%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	48.4%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.0%	51.6%	53.7%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.0%	48.4%	46.3%	1.05×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.8%	81.6%	74.8%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	80.5%	81.6%	85.3%	0.96×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	63.3%	62.0%	70.6%	0.88×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	59.1%	57.8%	51.5%	1.12×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	40.9%	42.2%	48.5%	0.87×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	36.7%	38.0%	29.4%	1.29×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	19.5%	18.4%	14.7%	1.25×	5.44
Under 1.5 goals	18.2%	18.4%	25.2%	0.73×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.9%	86.6%	93.1%	0.93×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.4%	76.0%	67.1%	1.13×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.4%	76.0%	82.8%	0.92×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.7%	52.0%	62.3%	0.83×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.3%	48.0%	37.7%	1.27×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.6%	24.0%	32.9%	0.73×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.6%	24.0%	17.2%	1.39×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.1%	13.4%	6.9%	1.93×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.8%	88.3%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	73.8%	70.7%	1.04×	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.7%	65.1%	66.3%	0.98×	1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.3%	34.9%	33.7%	1.03×	2.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	26.2%	29.3%	0.90×	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.2%	11.7%	11.6%	1.01×	8.57

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.5%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	75.7%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	50.5%	50.2%	1.01×	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	49.5%	49.8%	0.99×	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.0%	24.3%	22.5%	1.08×	4.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	17.5%	17.7%	0.99×	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to score in both halves	91.8%	88.7%	77.6%	1.14×	1.13
Karvan not to score in both halves	52.6%	55.9%	70.5%	0.79×	1.79
Karvan to score in both halves	47.4%	44.1%	29.5%	1.49×	2.27
Zaqatala to score in both halves	8.2%	11.3%	22.4%	0.50×	8.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.0%	50.7%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
Only Karvan scores	44.7%	45.6%	24.4%	1.87×	2.19
Neither team scores	5.4%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.10
Only Zaqatala scores	3.9%	4.1%	16.0%	0.25×	24.68

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.7%	22.3%	23.3%	0.95×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	12.8%	12.3%	17.9%	0.69×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	10.5%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.15
6 or more goals	9.0%	7.8%	6.3%	1.22×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	5.4%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.2%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	25.8%	29.3%	0.88×	3.88
2 goals in 1st half	23.1%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	14.2%	11.4%	11.6%	0.99×	8.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.0%	49.6%	49.8%	1.00×	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	27.2%	32.5%	0.84×	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	17.3%	16.4%	17.7%	0.93×	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to win both halves	98.9%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Karvan not to win both halves	67.0%	69.2%	86.8%	0.80×	1.45
Karvan to win both halves	33.0%	30.8%	13.2%	2.33×	3.25
Zaqatala to win both halves	1.1%	2.7%	8.2%	0.32×	37.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to win either half	81.7%	82.8%	58.3%	1.42×	1.21
Zaqatala to win neither half	80.3%	82.6%	52.6%	1.57×	1.21
Zaqatala to win either half	19.7%	17.4%	47.4%	0.37×	5.73
Karvan to win neither half	18.3%	17.2%	41.7%	0.41×	5.80

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to win to nil	96.1%	96.2%	84.0%	1.14×	1.04
Karvan not to win to nil	55.3%	59.9%	75.6%	0.79×	1.67
Karvan to win to nil	44.7%	40.1%	24.4%	1.65×	2.49
Zaqatala to win to nil	3.9%	3.8%	16.0%	0.24×	26.17

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan by 3+	29.8%	27.3%	9.9%	2.75×	3.66
Karvan by 1	22.3%	23.4%	22.2%	1.06×	4.27
Karvan by 2	22.0%	23.4%	12.3%	1.90×	4.27
Draw	17.6%	17.2%	25.0%	0.69×	5.80
Zaqatala by 1	6.0%	7.3%	17.0%	0.43×	13.77
Zaqatala by 2	1.9%	3.0%	8.1%	0.37×	33.47
Zaqatala by 3+	0.5%	3.0%	5.4%	0.55×	33.49