Kashima Antlers v Cerezo Osaka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kashima Antlers

06:00 UTC

Cerezo Osaka

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 139h before kick-off

Kashima Antlers win

55.7%

model 57.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.0%

Cerezo Osaka win

22.2%

model 21.8%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 8.5%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.3%	Under 2.5	38.7%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
Kashima Antlers 1+	86.5%	Kashima Antlers 2+	59.5%
Cerezo Osaka 1+	68.7%	Cerezo Osaka 2+	32.3%

Expected goals 2.00 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 31%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kashima Antlers not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1696 Elo against 1569.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashima Antlers have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 22.2% for Cerezo Osaka and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.00 for Kashima Antlers and 1.16 for Cerezo Osaka.

Why Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1696 Elo against 1569. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Cerezo Osaka can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cerezo Osaka.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kashima Antlers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cerezo Osaka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kashima Antlers: 59% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cerezo Osaka: 56% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kashima Antlers are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572122	2.00–1.16	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	562123	1.99–1.21	2-1 10%	62%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to win	55.5%	53.9%	43.0%	1.25×	1.86
Cerezo Osaka to win	23.2%	24.5%	31.1%	0.79×	4.09
Draw	21.2%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers & both teams score	29.6%	25.2%	18.1%	1.39×	3.97
Kashima Antlers & not both score	25.9%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Cerezo Osaka & both teams score	13.4%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Cerezo Osaka & not both score	9.9%	8.3%	17.8%	0.47×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	7.0%	0.69×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers & over 1.5	47.2%	45.0%	30.3%	1.49×	2.22
Kashima Antlers & over 2.5	39.1%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Kashima Antlers & under 3.5	31.5%	30.7%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
Kashima Antlers & over 3.5	24.0%	21.6%	10.0%	2.16×	4.63
Cerezo Osaka & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	21.3%	0.85×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Kashima Antlers & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Cerezo Osaka & under 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Cerezo Osaka & over 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.5%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Kashima Antlers & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Cerezo Osaka & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (1UP)	70.4%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Cerezo Osaka (1UP)	43.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2UP)	55.5%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Cerezo Osaka (2UP)	23.2%	23.7%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cerezo Osaka to win 2nd half	23.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (+2.5)	84.2%	82.6%	93.8%	0.88×	1.21
Kashima Antlers (+0.5)	76.8%	78.5%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
Cerezo Osaka (+1.5)	67.4%	68.7%	81.9%	0.84×	1.46
Kashima Antlers (-0.5)	55.5%	57.0%	43.0%	1.33×	1.75
Cerezo Osaka (+0.5)	44.5%	43.0%	57.0%	0.75×	2.33
Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	32.6%	31.3%	18.1%	1.73×	3.19
Cerezo Osaka (-0.5)	23.2%	21.5%	31.1%	0.69×	4.65
Kashima Antlers (-2.5)	15.8%	17.4%	6.3%	2.79×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede	86.3%	86.2%	75.3%	1.15×	1.16
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet	13.7%	13.8%	24.7%	0.56×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 1st half	57.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	42.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 2nd half	67.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	32.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cerezo Osaka under 6.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 corners	69.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cerezo Osaka under 5.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cerezo Osaka over 4.5 corners	53.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cerezo Osaka under 4.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cerezo Osaka over 5.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 corners	30.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Cerezo Osaka over 6.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.8%	87.8%	1.00×	1.14
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 goals	70.2%	71.8%	68.1%	1.05×	1.39
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 goals	65.8%	68.0%	68.3%	1.00×	1.47
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 goals	34.2%	32.0%	31.7%	1.01×	3.12
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 goals	29.8%	28.2%	31.9%	0.88×	3.55
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.2%	12.2%	1.00×	8.20
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.03

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka scores equally in both	41.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 2nd half	37.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 1st half	21.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (away no bet)	72.3%	68.4%	62.2%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.7%	31.6%	37.8%	0.84×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka even goals	54.4%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Cerezo Osaka odd goals	45.6%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.0%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Kashima Antlers to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.4%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Cerezo Osaka to score 2+ in a row	23.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.5%	—	—	18.18

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers corners (+3.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kashima Antlers corners (+2.5)	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cerezo Osaka corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Kashima Antlers corners (+1.5)	73.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cerezo Osaka corners (+2.5)	66.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka corners (+1.5)	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kashima Antlers corners (-1.5)	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kashima Antlers corners (-2.5)	33.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cerezo Osaka corners (-1.5)	26.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Kashima Antlers corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cerezo Osaka corners (-2.5)	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cerezo Osaka corners (-3.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.4%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 11.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
3-1	6.5%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.32
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.30
4-1	3.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2nd half DNB)	65.7%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Cerezo Osaka (2nd half DNB)	34.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT (DNB)	68.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	31.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or Cerezo Osaka (12)	78.8%	75.5%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Kashima Antlers or draw (1X)	76.8%	75.5%	68.9%	1.10×	1.32
Cerezo Osaka or draw (X2)	44.5%	46.1%	57.0%	0.81×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw at HT	80.3%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Kashima Antlers or Cerezo Osaka at HT	61.8%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Cerezo Osaka or draw at HT	57.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP)	76.8%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Cerezo Osaka or draw (1UP)	44.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw in 2nd half	76.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Kashima Antlers or Cerezo Osaka in 2nd half	68.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (DNB)	70.5%	71.3%	58.0%	1.23×	1.40
Cerezo Osaka (DNB)	29.5%	28.7%	42.0%	0.68×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score first	59.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Cerezo Osaka to score first	36.4%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.07

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.4%	56.6%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.6%	43.4%	49.5%	0.88×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.8%	47.2%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	28.4%	33.3%	40.2%	0.83×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	9.5%	1.30×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.8%	79.8%	86.3%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.2%	20.2%	13.8%	1.47×	4.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.0%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.0%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.2%	47.2%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.2%	35.1%	20.9%	1.67×	2.85
0-1 goals	17.4%	20.2%	29.5%	0.68×	4.95
7+ goals	4.4%	1.8%	2.7%	0.70×	54.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 0	29.8%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 2	21.9%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+	12.3%	12.9%	12.2%	1.06×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score 3+	31.9%	32.6%	14.8%	2.19×	3.07
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 1	27.3%	26.5%	36.3%	0.73×	3.77
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 0	13.7%	14.3%	24.7%	0.58×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT	42.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	38.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT	19.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers -1: 2	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Kashima Antlers -1: 1	32.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Kashima Antlers -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:1)	44.5%	42.7%	57.0%	0.75×	2.34
Kashima Antlers (0:1)	32.6%	30.1%	18.1%	1.66×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:2)	67.4%	72.2%	81.9%	0.88×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	16.8%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.55
Kashima Antlers (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	6.3%	2.44×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:3)	84.2%	85.4%	93.8%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.4%	5.8%	4.2%	1.38×	17.19
Kashima Antlers (0:3)	6.4%	5.8%	2.2%	2.65×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:4)	93.6%	94.6%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.70
Kashima Antlers (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (1:0)	76.8%	78.6%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.1%	12.7%	19.4%	0.66×	7.87
Cerezo Osaka (1:0)	9.2%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2:0)	90.8%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	6.1%	1.05×	15.68
Cerezo Osaka (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede	70.2%	73.0%	68.1%	1.07×	1.37
Kashima Antlers clean sheet	29.8%	27.0%	31.9%	0.85×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 1st half	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Kashima Antlers to concede in 1st half	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 corners	89.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 corners	78.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Kashima Antlers over 4.5 corners	65.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kashima Antlers under 6.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kashima Antlers over 5.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Kashima Antlers under 5.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Kashima Antlers over 6.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kashima Antlers under 4.5 corners	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 corners	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 corners	10.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.3%	75.3%	1.16×	1.15
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.2%	94.8%	0.92×	1.15
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 goals	68.1%	68.0%	85.2%	0.80×	1.47
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	39.2%	1.50×	1.71
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	60.8%	0.68×	2.42
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 goals	31.9%	32.0%	14.8%	2.16×	3.12
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	5.2%	2.47×	7.84
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.8%	24.7%	0.52×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers scores more in 2nd half	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Kashima Antlers scores equally in both	30.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Kashima Antlers scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (home no bet)	52.2%	51.4%	54.4%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	47.8%	48.6%	45.6%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers even goals	50.9%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Kashima Antlers odd goals	49.1%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	9.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Kashima Antlers at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Kashima Antlers at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score last	59.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Cerezo Osaka to score last	36.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.07

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Kashima Antlers to lead by 1 at any time	70.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	43.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Kashima Antlers to lead by 2 at any time	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Kashima Antlers to lead by 3 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.6%	—	—	60.78

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers most corners	53.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Cerezo Osaka most corners	36.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.2%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.3%	72.4%	81.7%	0.89×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.3%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.5%	59.1%	44.1%	1.34×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.5%	59.1%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	35.3%	1.23×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.2%	39.2%	20.9%	1.87×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.2%	35.2%	46.6%	0.76×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.2%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.4%	18.8%	8.9%	2.11×	5.31
7+ goals	4.4%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers never behind	53.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Cerezo Osaka never behind	25.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	94.4%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	70.5%	1.17×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.1%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.9%	61.7%	46.6%	1.33×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.3%	61.7%	76.6%	0.81×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.7%	38.3%	23.4%	1.63×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.1%	38.3%	53.4%	0.72×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.9%	22.7%	11.4%	1.99×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	29.5%	0.60×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	5.6%	2.21×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	7.0%	0.65×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.3%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.2%	86.7%	94.0%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	75.9%	61.2%	1.24×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.4%	72.4%	87.0%	0.83×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.0%	51.9%	30.5%	1.70×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.0%	48.1%	69.5%	0.69×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.6%	27.6%	13.0%	2.13×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	24.1%	38.8%	0.62×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.8%	13.3%	6.0%	2.22×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.7%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.53

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.8%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.2%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Kashima Antlers not to score in both halves	61.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Kashima Antlers to score in both halves	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Cerezo Osaka to score in both halves	19.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.4%	60.2%	50.5%	1.19×	1.66
Only Kashima Antlers scores	25.9%	26.0%	25.0%	1.04×	3.84
Only Cerezo Osaka scores	9.9%	7.1%	17.8%	0.40×	14.01
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	7.0%	0.66×	21.63

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.7%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.5%	12.1%	22.7%	0.54×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	5.9%	2.04×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.5%	12.1%	5.6%	2.15×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.5%	7.0%	0.64×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	26.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.4%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	29.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	15.5%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves	81.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Kashima Antlers to win both halves	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Cerezo Osaka to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to win either half	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cerezo Osaka to win neither half	61.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Cerezo Osaka to win either half	38.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Kashima Antlers to win neither half	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to win to nil	90.1%	92.0%	82.2%	1.12×	1.09
Kashima Antlers not to win to nil	74.1%	75.4%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
Kashima Antlers to win to nil	25.9%	24.6%	25.0%	0.99×	4.06
Cerezo Osaka to win to nil	9.9%	8.0%	17.8%	0.45×	12.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers by 1	22.9%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Draw	21.2%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Kashima Antlers by 2	16.8%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.87
Kashima Antlers by 3+	15.8%	17.0%	6.3%	2.73×	5.87
Cerezo Osaka by 1	14.1%	11.8%	19.4%	0.61×	8.51
Cerezo Osaka by 2	6.3%	7.2%	6.1%	1.18×	13.91
Cerezo Osaka by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.84