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Kashima Antlers v Kashiwa Reysol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Kashima Antlers win
49.3%
model 48.9%
Draw
23.0%
model 22.7%
Kashiwa Reysol win
27.7%
model 28.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.3%
  2. 2-1 9.5%
  3. 1-0 8.3%
  4. 2-0 7.2%
  5. 1-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.559.9% Under 2.540.1%
BTTS yes60.6% BTTS no39.4%
Kashima Antlers 1+83.3% Kashima Antlers 2+53.4%
Kashiwa Reysol 1+73.0% Kashiwa Reysol 2+37.7%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
86/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
3-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 44%
58.5% fair odds 1.71
strong signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1696 Elo against 1589.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashima Antlers have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for Kashiwa Reysol and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.79 for Kashima Antlers and 1.31 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Why Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1696 Elo against 1589. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kashiwa Reysol can win

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kashima Antlers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kashiwa Reysol, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kashima Antlers: 59% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kashiwa Reysol: 60% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kashima Antlers are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.79–1.31 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.70–1.24 1-1 11% 56% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win 48.4% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
Kashiwa Reysol to win 28.2% 27.9% 31.1% 0.90× 3.58
Draw 23.4% 24.4% 26.1% 0.94× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers & both teams score 24.6% 21.8% 18.1% 1.20× 4.58
Kashima Antlers & not both score 23.8% 21.8% 25.0% 0.87× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 18.4% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.57
Kashiwa Reysol & both teams score 15.0% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.57
Kashiwa Reysol & not both score 13.2% 13.3% 17.8% 0.75× 7.53
Draw & not both score 5.0% 8.3% 7.0% 1.18× 12.02
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers & over 1.5 39.2% 34.9% 30.3% 1.15× 2.87
Kashima Antlers & over 2.5 31.6% 30.8% 23.1% 1.33× 3.25
Kashima Antlers & under 3.5 30.6% 30.8% 33.1% 0.93× 3.25
Kashiwa Reysol & over 1.5 21.5% 21.6% 21.3% 1.02× 4.63
Kashiwa Reysol & under 3.5 19.5% 18.0% 23.4% 0.77× 5.56
Kashima Antlers & over 3.5 17.8% 18.0% 10.0% 1.80× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.4% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.56
Kashima Antlers & under 2.5 16.8% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Kashiwa Reysol & over 2.5 17.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.9% 18.0% 20.3% 0.89× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.9% 18.0% 20.3% 0.89× 5.56
Kashiwa Reysol & under 2.5 10.9% 12.8% 13.4% 0.96× 7.79
Kashima Antlers & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.63
Kashiwa Reysol & over 3.5 8.8% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Kashiwa Reysol & under 1.5 6.8% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.0% 7.9% 7.0% 1.13× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (1UP) 64.2% 62.9% — — 1.59
Kashiwa Reysol (1UP) 46.9% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (2UP) 48.4% 50.2% — — 1.99
Kashiwa Reysol (2UP) 28.2% 25.3% — — 3.96
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win 2nd half 39.5% 36.2% — — 2.76
2nd half drawn 33.4% 34.3% — — 2.91
Kashiwa Reysol to win 2nd half 27.1% 25.7% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 in 2nd half 82.8% 84.4% — — 1.19
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 in 2nd half 52.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 in 2nd half 47.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 in 2nd half 17.2% 15.6% — — 6.40
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 2nd half 74.7% 74.1% — — 1.35
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.3% 25.9% — — 3.86
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (+2.5) 88.9% 88.5% 93.8% 0.94× 1.13
Kashiwa Reysol (+1.5) 74.3% 73.7% 81.9% 0.90× 1.36
Kashima Antlers (+0.5) 71.8% 73.6% 68.9% 1.07× 1.36
Kashiwa Reysol (+0.5) 51.6% 52.4% 57.0% 0.92× 1.91
Kashima Antlers (-0.5) 48.4% 47.6% 43.0% 1.11× 2.10
Kashiwa Reysol (-0.5) 28.2% 26.4% 31.1% 0.85× 3.80
Kashima Antlers (-1.5) 25.7% 26.3% 18.1% 1.45× 3.80
Kashima Antlers (-2.5) 11.1% 11.5% 6.3% 1.84× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede 81.7% 81.5% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet 18.3% 18.5% 24.7% 0.75× 5.41
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede in 1st half 51.9% 50.5% — — 1.98
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet in 1st half 48.1% 49.5% — — 2.02
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede in 2nd half 62.1% 61.7% — — 1.62
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet in 2nd half 37.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 corners 82.2% 81.4% — — 1.23
Kashiwa Reysol under 6.5 corners 75.6% 76.0% — — 1.32
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 corners 67.5% 67.6% — — 1.48
Kashiwa Reysol under 5.5 corners 63.4% 61.8% — — 1.62
Kashiwa Reysol over 4.5 corners 51.5% 53.0% — — 1.89
Kashiwa Reysol under 4.5 corners 48.5% 47.0% — — 2.13
Kashiwa Reysol over 5.5 corners 36.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 corners 32.5% 32.4% — — 3.09
Kashiwa Reysol over 6.5 corners 24.4% 24.0% — — 4.17
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 corners 17.8% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 goals 96.2% 97.5% 95.9% 1.02× 1.03
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 goals 87.0% 87.8% 87.8% 1.00× 1.14
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 goals 71.1% 71.9% 68.1% 1.05× 1.39
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 goals 64.7% 63.2% 68.3% 0.93× 1.58
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals 35.3% 36.8% 31.7% 1.16× 2.72
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 goals 28.9% 28.1% 31.9% 0.88× 3.55
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 goals 13.0% 12.2% 12.2% 1.00× 8.20
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 goals 3.8% 2.5% 4.1% 0.62× 39.84
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 in 1st half 91.1% 93.8% — — 1.07
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 in 1st half 60.8% 63.5% — — 1.58
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 in 1st half 39.2% 36.5% — — 2.74
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 in 1st half 8.9% 6.2% — — 16.25
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol scores equally in both 40.6% 43.4% — — 2.31
Kashiwa Reysol scores more in 2nd half 37.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
Kashiwa Reysol scores more in 1st half 21.9% 22.0% — — 4.55
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (away no bet) 67.4% 66.4% 62.2% 1.07× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 32.6% 33.6% 37.8% 0.89× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol even goals 54.2% 52.6% 54.2% 0.97× 1.90
Kashiwa Reysol odd goals 45.8% 47.4% 45.8% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.2% 82.7% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.8% 17.3% — — 5.78
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.0% 68.5% — — 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 32.0% 31.5% — — 3.17
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 59.9% 55.3% — — 1.81
Kashima Antlers to score 2+ in a row 41.6% 38.7% — — 2.58
Kashiwa Reysol to score 2+ in a row 25.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.6% 19.6% — — 5.09
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ in a row 16.0% 16.2% — — 6.16
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+ in a row 7.0% 5.6% — — 17.98
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+3.5) 83.6% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kashima Antlers corners (+3.5) 83.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kashima Antlers corners (+2.5) 76.1% 74.8% — — 1.34
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+2.5) 75.9% 74.8% — — 1.34
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+1.5) 66.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Kashima Antlers corners (+1.5) 66.6% 65.9% — — 1.52
Kashima Antlers corners (-1.5) 33.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-1.5) 33.4% 34.1% — — 2.93
Kashima Antlers corners (-2.5) 24.1% 25.2% — — 3.97
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-2.5) 23.9% 25.2% — — 3.97
Kashima Antlers corners (-3.5) 16.4% 20.2% — — 4.94
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-3.5) 16.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 38.9% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 31.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 29.8% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 71.8% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 70.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 61.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 60.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 50.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 50.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 39.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 38.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 29.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 28.2% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.9% 11.5% 13.4% 0.85× 8.72
1-0 9.2% 7.4% 12.8% 0.58× 13.50
2-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.50
0-1 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 0.74× 13.51
1-2 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.51
2-0 7.6% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.50
0-0 5.0% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.2% 1.44× 13.51
3-1 5.4% 7.4% 3.0% 2.49× 13.51
0-2 4.1% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.30
0-3 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.31
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.32
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.73× 58.30
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.31
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.31
3-0 4.3% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.29
3-2 3.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.30
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.74× 58.32
4-0 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.37× 58.31
4-1 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.31
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.10× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.32
Any other score 3.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (2nd half DNB) 59.3% 59.8% — — 1.67
Kashiwa Reysol (2nd half DNB) 40.7% 40.2% — — 2.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT (DNB) 62.4% 65.6% — — 1.52
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT (DNB) 37.6% 34.4% — — 2.91
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or Kashiwa Reysol (12) 76.6% 75.6% 73.9% 1.02× 1.32
Kashima Antlers or draw (1X) 71.8% 72.1% 68.9% 1.05× 1.39
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (X2) 51.6% 52.6% 57.0% 0.92× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw at HT 77.8% 79.1% — — 1.26
Kashiwa Reysol or draw at HT 63.1% 61.6% — — 1.62
Kashima Antlers or Kashiwa Reysol at HT 59.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP) 71.8% 79.6% — — 1.26
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (1UP) 51.6% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw in 2nd half 72.9% 74.3% — — 1.35
Kashima Antlers or Kashiwa Reysol in 2nd half 66.6% 65.7% — — 1.52
Kashiwa Reysol or draw in 2nd half 60.5% 63.8% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.9% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.1% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (DNB) 63.1% 62.7% 58.0% 1.08× 1.59
Kashiwa Reysol (DNB) 36.9% 37.3% 42.0% 0.89× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score first 54.9% 53.5% — — 1.87
Kashiwa Reysol to score first 40.1% 41.6% — — 2.41
No goal scored 5.0% 7.4% — — 13.55
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.9% 55.0% 50.5% 1.09× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.1% 45.0% 49.5% 0.91× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.0% 44.3% 37.2% 1.19× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 32.7% 34.5% 40.2% 0.86× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 10.9% 12.4% 13.4% 0.92× 8.10
Not both score & over 2.5 9.4% 8.3% 9.5% 0.87× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.1% 82.6% 86.3% 0.96× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 17.9% 17.4% 13.8% 1.27× 5.74
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.5% 67.3% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.5% 32.7% — — 3.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.8% 54.9% — — 1.82
Both score 2nd half only 25.9% 27.4% — — 3.66
Both score 1st half only 13.7% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 6.6% 6.8% — — 14.73
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.7% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.3% 18.7% — — 5.35
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.9% 57.4% — — 1.74
A half without a goal 42.1% 42.6% — — 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.0% 42.1% 47.2% 0.89× 2.37
4-6 goals 30.9% 30.7% 20.9% 1.47× 3.26
0-1 goals 21.0% 22.9% 29.5% 0.78× 4.37
7+ goals 3.1% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 1 35.9% 35.9% 36.6% 0.98× 2.78
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 0 28.9% 27.4% 31.9% 0.86× 3.65
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 2 22.3% 22.3% 19.7% 1.13× 4.49
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+ 13.0% 12.9% 12.2% 1.06× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 1 31.0% 32.5% 36.3% 0.90× 3.07
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.5% 24.5% 1.08× 3.77
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ 24.3% 23.3% 14.8% 1.57× 4.29
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 0 18.3% 18.8% 24.7% 0.76× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Kashima Antlers leading at HT 36.9% 38.4% — — 2.61
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT 22.2% 20.9% — — 4.78
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers -1: 2 51.6% 52.1% — — 1.92
Kashima Antlers -1: 1 25.7% 26.5% — — 3.77
Kashima Antlers -1: X 22.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:1) 51.6% 51.3% 57.0% 0.90× 1.95
Kashima Antlers (0:1) 25.7% 27.0% 18.1% 1.49× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 22.7% 24.2% 25.0% 0.97× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:2) 74.3% 75.7% 81.9% 0.92× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 14.6% 11.0% 12.0% 0.91× 9.09
Kashima Antlers (0:2) 11.1% 11.0% 6.3% 1.76× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:3) 88.9% 90.7% 93.8% 0.97× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.1% 5.8% 4.2% 1.38× 17.21
Kashima Antlers (0:3) 3.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.09× 42.02
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:4) 96.1% 98.1% 97.8% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.8% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 81.80
Kashima Antlers (0:4) 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.30× 81.97
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (1:0) 71.8% 72.4% 68.9% 1.05× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 16.6% 17.1% 19.4% 0.88× 5.85
Kashiwa Reysol (1:0) 11.6% 12.7% 11.9% 1.07× 7.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (2:0) 88.4% 88.5% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.8% 6.4% 6.1% 1.05× 15.68
Kashiwa Reysol (2:0) 3.8% 2.3% 5.9% 0.39× 43.59
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.0% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.4% 24.4% — — 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede 71.1% 73.2% 68.1% 1.07× 1.37
Kashima Antlers clean sheet 28.9% 26.8% 31.9% 0.84× 3.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 1st half 60.8% 63.4% — — 1.58
Kashima Antlers to concede in 1st half 39.2% 36.6% — — 2.73
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede in 2nd half 52.6% 52.7% — — 1.90
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 2nd half 47.4% 47.3% — — 2.12
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 corners 82.3% 81.0% — — 1.24
Kashima Antlers under 6.5 corners 75.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 corners 67.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Kashima Antlers under 5.5 corners 63.2% 62.3% — — 1.61
Kashima Antlers over 4.5 corners 51.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
Kashima Antlers under 4.5 corners 48.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
Kashima Antlers over 5.5 corners 36.8% 37.7% — — 2.65
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 corners 32.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Kashima Antlers over 6.5 corners 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 corners 17.8% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 goals 90.7% 92.2% 94.8% 0.97× 1.08
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 goals 81.7% 82.2% 75.3% 1.09× 1.22
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 goals 75.7% 77.7% 85.2% 0.91× 1.29
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 goals 50.7% 53.2% 39.2% 1.36× 1.88
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 goals 49.3% 46.8% 60.8% 0.77× 2.14
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 goals 24.3% 22.3% 14.8% 1.50× 4.49
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 goals 18.3% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.62
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 goals 9.3% 7.8% 5.2% 1.51× 12.87
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 1st half 83.3% 83.8% — — 1.19
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 1st half 51.9% 50.3% — — 1.99
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 1st half 48.1% 49.7% — — 2.01
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 1st half 16.7% 16.2% — — 6.16
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers scores more in 2nd half 39.8% 38.0% — — 2.64
Kashima Antlers scores equally in both 33.7% 33.0% — — 3.03
Kashima Antlers scores more in 1st half 26.5% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (home no bet) 54.7% 51.4% 54.4% 0.95× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 45.3% 48.6% 45.6% 1.06× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers even goals 51.7% 50.7% 52.7% 0.96× 1.97
Kashima Antlers odd goals 48.3% 49.3% 47.3% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.2% 28.0% — — 3.57
HT 1-0 21.5% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 14.6% 11.0% — — 9.05
HT 1-1 10.6% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 2-0 7.8% 6.9% — — 14.48
Any other HT score 5.2% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 2-1 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.02
HT 0-2 3.6% 2.4% — — 42.04
HT 1-2 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 29.3% 27.3% — — 3.66
Draw at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 16.3% 16.7% — — 5.99
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT 14.8% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.4% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT 11.2% 12.6% — — 7.92
Kashima Antlers at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% — — 16.68
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.59
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.66
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.68
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score last 54.9% 52.3% — — 1.91
Kashiwa Reysol to score last 40.1% 39.9% — — 2.51
No goal scored 5.0% 7.4% — — 13.55
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.0% 92.7% — — 1.08
Kashima Antlers to lead by 1 at any time 64.2% 61.5% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.1% 50.8% — — 1.97
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 1 at any time 46.9% 44.5% — — 2.25
Kashima Antlers to lead by 2 at any time 32.8% 29.9% — — 3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.0% 15.0% — — 6.68
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 2 at any time 17.5% 14.9% — — 6.69
Kashima Antlers to lead by 3 at any time 13.7% 10.5% — — 9.54
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 3 at any time 5.3% 6.7% — — 15.00
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers most corners 44.5% 43.5% — — 2.30
Kashiwa Reysol most corners 44.2% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.3% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.2% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.5% 78.7% 81.7% 0.96× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.9% 78.7% 68.0% 1.16× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.2% 72.4% 65.0% 1.11× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.4% 63.3% 59.2% 1.07× 1.58
1-3 goals 61.0% 63.3% 69.7% 0.91× 1.58
3-6 goals 53.3% 53.2% 44.1% 1.21× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.6% 48.5% 41.1% 1.18× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.0% 43.6% 47.2% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.9% 39.2% 35.3% 1.11× 2.55
1-2 goals 38.6% 39.2% 46.6% 0.84× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.9% 35.2% 20.9% 1.68× 2.84
4-5 goals 26.2% 30.2% 18.0% 1.68× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.5% 14.8% 8.9% 1.66× 6.75
7+ goals 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.09
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers never behind 48.1% 56.7% — — 1.77
Kashiwa Reysol never behind 30.8% 36.1% — — 2.77
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.96
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.2% 51.7% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.8% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.4% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.6% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.0% 92.3% 93.0% 0.99× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.2% 92.3% 94.4% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.5% 82.3% 88.6% 0.93× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 79.0% 77.3% 70.5% 1.10× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.0% 66.3% 76.6% 0.87× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 56.4% 58.6% 46.6% 1.26× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 43.6% 41.4% 53.4% 0.77× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 34.0% 33.7% 23.4% 1.44× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 21.0% 22.7% 29.5% 0.77× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 17.5% 17.7% 11.4% 1.55× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 7.8% 7.7% 5.6% 1.37× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 5.0% 7.7% 7.0% 1.10× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.8% 97.2% 97.3% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.3% 92.4% 94.0% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.0% 75.9% 87.0% 0.87× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 72.9% 72.4% 61.2% 1.18× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 56.2% 55.8% 69.5% 0.80× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 43.8% 44.2% 30.5% 1.45× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 27.1% 27.6% 38.8% 0.71× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.0% 24.1% 13.0% 1.86× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.7% 7.6% 6.0% 1.27× 13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.2% 2.8% 2.7% 1.03× 35.56
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.3% 89.2% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.8% 71.8% — — 1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.3% 68.4% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.7% 31.6% — — 3.16
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.2% 28.2% — — 3.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.7% 10.8% — — 9.24
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.1% 83.2% — — 1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.3% 79.3% — — 1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.1% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.7% 20.7% — — 4.83
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.9% 16.8% — — 5.95
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol not to score in both halves 79.4% 78.5% — — 1.27
Kashima Antlers not to score in both halves 67.8% 69.9% — — 1.43
Kashima Antlers to score in both halves 32.2% 30.1% — — 3.32
Kashiwa Reysol to score in both halves 20.6% 21.5% — — 4.65
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.9% 58.6% 50.5% 1.16× 1.71
Only Kashima Antlers scores 23.8% 22.3% 25.0% 0.89× 4.49
Only Kashiwa Reysol scores 13.2% 11.0% 17.8% 0.62× 9.06
Neither team scores 5.0% 7.1% 7.0% 1.01× 14.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.6% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 16.5% 17.5% 12.2% 1.43× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 16.0% 17.5% 22.7% 0.77× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.7% 7.6% 5.9% 1.28× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 1.35× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 5.0% 7.6% 7.0% 1.08× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.0% 37.4% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 29.2% 28.3% — — 3.53
2 goals in 1st half 22.0% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 12.7% 10.7% — — 9.32
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.1% 51.3% — — 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 31.0% 33.8% — — 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 17.9% 16.5% — — 6.07
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol not to win both halves 94.0% 94.1% — — 1.06
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves 85.5% 87.8% — — 1.14
Kashima Antlers to win both halves 14.6% 12.2% — — 8.20
Kashiwa Reysol to win both halves 6.0% 5.9% — — 17.09
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win either half 61.9% 65.1% — — 1.54
Kashiwa Reysol to win neither half 56.7% 59.0% — — 1.69
Kashiwa Reysol to win either half 43.3% 41.0% — — 2.44
Kashima Antlers to win neither half 38.1% 34.9% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashiwa Reysol not to win to nil 86.8% 88.1% 82.2% 1.07× 1.14
Kashima Antlers not to win to nil 76.2% 78.1% 75.0% 1.04× 1.28
Kashima Antlers to win to nil 23.8% 21.9% 25.0% 0.88× 4.57
Kashiwa Reysol to win to nil 13.2% 11.9% 17.8% 0.67× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 23.4% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Kashima Antlers by 1 22.7% 24.1% 25.0% 0.96× 4.15
Kashiwa Reysol by 1 16.6% 17.0% 19.4% 0.88× 5.87
Kashima Antlers by 2 14.6% 11.8% 12.0% 0.98× 8.50
Kashima Antlers by 3+ 11.1% 11.8% 6.3% 1.88× 8.51
Kashiwa Reysol by 2 7.8% 7.2% 6.1% 1.18× 13.91
Kashiwa Reysol by 3+ 3.8% 2.7% 5.9% 0.46× 36.79
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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