Kashima Antlers v Machida Zelvia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kashima Antlers

10:00 UTC

Machida Zelvia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 1,343h before kick-off

Kashima Antlers win

45.4%

model 44.4%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.7%

Machida Zelvia win

30.8%

model 30.9%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.2%
2-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.6%	Under 2.5	48.4%
BTTS yes	54.8%	BTTS no	45.2%
Kashima Antlers 1+	78.1%	Kashima Antlers 2+	44.8%
Machida Zelvia 1+	70.6%	Machida Zelvia 2+	34.6%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

73.4% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 3256 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Machida Zelvia not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 82%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashima Antlers have an estimated 45.4% win probability, against 30.8% for Machida Zelvia and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.52 for Kashima Antlers and 1.22 for Machida Zelvia.

Why Kashima Antlers

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Machida Zelvia can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kashima Antlers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Machida Zelvia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kashima Antlers: 59% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Machida Zelvia: 50% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kashima Antlers are the model's most likely outcome at 45.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442531	1.52–1.22	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402634	1.33–1.21	1-1 12%	47%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to win	39.6%	36.4%	43.0%	0.85×	2.75
Machida Zelvia to win	34.3%	30.4%	31.1%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers & not both score	22.1%	21.8%	25.0%	0.87×	4.59
Machida Zelvia & not both score	19.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Kashima Antlers & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Machida Zelvia & both teams score	15.3%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.3%	7.0%	1.18×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers & under 3.5	29.1%	26.1%	33.1%	0.79×	3.84
Kashima Antlers & over 1.5	28.8%	26.1%	30.3%	0.86×	3.84
Machida Zelvia & under 3.5	25.7%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Machida Zelvia & over 1.5	24.4%	21.6%	21.3%	1.02×	4.63
Kashima Antlers & over 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Machida Zelvia & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Kashima Antlers & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Machida Zelvia & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Kashima Antlers & under 1.5	10.7%	12.8%	12.8%	1.00×	7.79
Kashima Antlers & over 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Machida Zelvia & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Machida Zelvia & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (1UP)	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Machida Zelvia (1UP)	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2UP)	39.6%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Machida Zelvia (2UP)	34.3%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Kashima Antlers to win 2nd half	32.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Machida Zelvia to win 2nd half	30.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Machida Zelvia (+1.5)	82.2%	82.5%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Kashima Antlers (+0.5)	65.7%	68.7%	68.9%	1.00×	1.46
Machida Zelvia (+0.5)	60.4%	62.9%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Kashima Antlers (-0.5)	39.6%	37.1%	43.0%	0.86×	2.70
Machida Zelvia (-0.5)	34.3%	31.3%	31.1%	1.01×	3.19
Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	17.8%	17.5%	18.1%	0.96×	5.72
Kashima Antlers (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to concede	73.4%	76.7%	75.3%	1.02×	1.30
Machida Zelvia clean sheet	26.6%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 1st half	56.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Machida Zelvia to concede in 1st half	43.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to concede in 2nd half	53.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 2nd half	47.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 6.5 corners	84.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Machida Zelvia over 2.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Machida Zelvia under 5.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Machida Zelvia under 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Machida Zelvia over 3.5 corners	57.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Machida Zelvia under 3.5 corners	42.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Machida Zelvia over 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Machida Zelvia over 5.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Machida Zelvia under 2.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Machida Zelvia over 6.5 corners	16.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Machida Zelvia under 2.5 goals	87.6%	87.8%	87.8%	1.00×	1.14
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 goals	70.3%	71.9%	68.1%	1.05×	1.39
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 goals	65.8%	68.0%	68.3%	1.00×	1.47
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals	34.2%	32.0%	31.7%	1.01×	3.12
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 goals	29.7%	28.1%	31.9%	0.88×	3.55
Machida Zelvia over 2.5 goals	12.4%	12.2%	12.2%	1.00×	8.20
Machida Zelvia over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia scores equally in both	41.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Machida Zelvia scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Machida Zelvia scores more in 1st half	21.8%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (away no bet)	60.2%	61.9%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.8%	38.1%	37.8%	1.01×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia even goals	54.4%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Machida Zelvia odd goals	45.6%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.6%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.4%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Kashima Antlers to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Machida Zelvia to score 2+ in a row	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.79
Machida Zelvia to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kashima Antlers corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Machida Zelvia corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kashima Antlers corners (+2.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Machida Zelvia corners (+1.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Kashima Antlers corners (+1.5)	66.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Machida Zelvia corners (-1.5)	33.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Kashima Antlers corners (-1.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Machida Zelvia corners (-2.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kashima Antlers corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Machida Zelvia corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Kashima Antlers corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	15.6%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	84.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	15.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	10.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
1-0	10.7%	11.5%	12.8%	0.89×	8.72
0-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.50
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.50
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.50
2-0	6.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	5.8%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2nd half DNB)	51.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Machida Zelvia (2nd half DNB)	48.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT (DNB)	55.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Machida Zelvia leading at HT (DNB)	44.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or Machida Zelvia (12)	73.9%	72.1%	73.9%	0.98×	1.39
Kashima Antlers or draw (1X)	65.7%	69.6%	68.9%	1.01×	1.44
Machida Zelvia or draw (X2)	60.4%	63.6%	57.0%	1.12×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw at HT	75.3%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Machida Zelvia or draw at HT	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kashima Antlers or Machida Zelvia at HT	55.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP)	65.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Machida Zelvia or draw (1UP)	60.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw in 2nd half	69.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Machida Zelvia or draw in 2nd half	67.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Kashima Antlers or Machida Zelvia in 2nd half	63.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (DNB)	53.6%	51.0%	58.0%	0.88×	1.96
Machida Zelvia (DNB)	46.4%	49.0%	42.0%	1.17×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score first	48.2%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Machida Zelvia to score first	44.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.3%	50.5%	1.02×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.7%	49.5%	0.98×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	40.2%	1.04×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	38.9%	38.4%	37.2%	1.03×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.9%	85.6%	86.3%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.1%	14.4%	13.8%	1.05×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.6%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.37
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.09

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	49.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.2%	26.6%	29.5%	0.90×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.6%	22.9%	20.9%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 0	29.7%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 2	21.9%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
Machida Zelvia to score 3+	12.4%	12.9%	12.2%	1.06×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.6%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 0	26.6%	26.5%	24.7%	1.08×	3.77
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 2	23.3%	23.3%	24.5%	0.95×	4.29
Kashima Antlers to score 3+	14.9%	14.3%	14.8%	0.97×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Kashima Antlers leading at HT	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Machida Zelvia leading at HT	24.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers -1: 2	60.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Kashima Antlers -1: X	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kashima Antlers -1: 1	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (0:1)	60.4%	61.3%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.13
Kashima Antlers (0:1)	17.8%	17.8%	18.1%	0.98×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (0:2)	82.2%	82.9%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.10
Kashima Antlers (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (0:3)	93.7%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	41.99
Kashima Antlers (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.95
Kashima Antlers (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (1:0)	65.7%	70.1%	68.9%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.84
Machida Zelvia (1:0)	14.4%	12.7%	11.9%	1.07×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers (2:0)	85.6%	88.5%	88.1%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.6%	6.4%	6.1%	1.05×	15.66
Machida Zelvia (2:0)	4.7%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.54

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede	70.3%	73.1%	68.1%	1.07×	1.37
Kashima Antlers clean sheet	29.7%	26.9%	31.9%	0.84×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Kashima Antlers to concede in 1st half	38.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 6.5 corners	86.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Kashima Antlers under 5.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 corners	72.2%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Kashima Antlers under 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Kashima Antlers over 4.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 corners	27.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Kashima Antlers over 5.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kashima Antlers over 6.5 corners	13.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 goals	85.1%	87.2%	85.2%	1.02×	1.15
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 goals	73.4%	74.2%	75.3%	0.99×	1.35
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 goals	61.8%	63.6%	60.8%	1.05×	1.57
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 goals	38.2%	36.4%	39.2%	0.93×	2.75
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 goals	26.6%	25.8%	24.7%	1.04×	3.88
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 goals	14.9%	12.8%	14.8%	0.86×	7.84
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers scores equally in both	39.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Kashima Antlers scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Kashima Antlers scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	54.4%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.3%	43.6%	45.6%	0.96×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers even goals	53.5%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Kashima Antlers odd goals	46.5%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-0	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Machida Zelvia at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	18.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Kashima Antlers at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Machida Zelvia at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Kashima Antlers at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Machida Zelvia at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to score last	48.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Machida Zelvia to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Kashima Antlers to lead by 1 at any time	55.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Machida Zelvia to lead by 1 at any time	50.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Kashima Antlers to lead by 2 at any time	23.4%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Machida Zelvia to lead by 2 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Kashima Antlers to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Machida Zelvia to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia most corners	46.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Kashima Antlers most corners	41.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.2%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	67.3%	68.8%	69.7%	0.99×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.3%	68.8%	65.0%	1.06×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.8%	48.5%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.1%	48.5%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.1%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.2%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.6%	24.5%	20.9%	1.17×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.6%	24.5%	18.0%	1.36×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.9%	8.9%	8.9%	1.00×	11.25
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers never behind	41.9%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Machida Zelvia never behind	37.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.6%	87.6%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.9%	72.5%	76.6%	0.95×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.8%	72.5%	70.5%	1.03×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	53.4%	0.98×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	46.6%	1.02×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.2%	27.5%	29.5%	0.93×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.1%	27.5%	23.4%	1.17×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.4%	12.4%	11.4%	1.09×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.2%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.8%	86.7%	87.0%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.0%	67.5%	69.5%	0.97×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.3%	61.9%	61.2%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.7%	38.1%	38.8%	0.98×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.0%	32.5%	30.5%	1.07×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.2%	13.3%	13.0%	1.02×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.8%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.85
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Kashima Antlers not to score in both halves	77.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Kashima Antlers to score in both halves	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Machida Zelvia to score in both halves	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.8%	50.5%	1.07×	1.86
Only Kashima Antlers scores	22.1%	22.3%	25.0%	0.89×	4.49
Only Machida Zelvia scores	19.0%	16.0%	17.8%	0.90×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.7%	12.1%	12.2%	1.00×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.9%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.6%	0.79×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
No goals in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	9.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia not to win both halves	92.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves	90.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kashima Antlers to win both halves	9.8%	5.9%	—	—	16.82
Machida Zelvia to win both halves	7.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.97

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashima Antlers to win either half	52.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Machida Zelvia to win neither half	52.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Machida Zelvia to win either half	47.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Kashima Antlers to win neither half	47.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia not to win to nil	81.0%	83.1%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Kashima Antlers not to win to nil	77.9%	78.1%	75.0%	1.04×	1.28
Kashima Antlers to win to nil	22.1%	21.9%	25.0%	0.87×	4.57
Machida Zelvia to win to nil	19.0%	16.9%	17.8%	0.95×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Kashima Antlers by 1	21.7%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Machida Zelvia by 1	19.9%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.86
Kashima Antlers by 2	11.5%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Machida Zelvia by 2	9.6%	7.2%	6.1%	1.18×	13.90
Kashima Antlers by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91
Machida Zelvia by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.76