Kawasaki Frontale v Gamba Osaka — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 29 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627
JPN-J League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 10.3%
- 2-1 9.2%
- 1-0 7.8%
- 1-2 7.3%
- 2-0 6.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 60.6% | Under 2.5 | 39.4% |
| BTTS yes | 61.7% | BTTS no | 38.3% |
| Kawasaki Frontale 1+ | 82.5% | Kawasaki Frontale 2+ | 51.9% |
| Gamba Osaka 1+ | 75.1% | Gamba Osaka 2+ | 40.5% |
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Kawasaki Frontale.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Kawasaki Frontale have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.3% for Gamba Osaka and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.74 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.39 for Gamba Osaka.
Why Kawasaki Frontale
Nothing in the data singles out Kawasaki Frontale.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Gamba Osaka can win
Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Kawasaki Frontale, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Kawasaki Frontale: 48% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gamba Osaka: 54% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kawasaki Frontale's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Kawasaki Frontale are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.74–1.39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.71–1.47 | 1-1 10% | 62% | 63% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to win | 43.7% | 43.0% | 43.0% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Gamba Osaka to win | 33.4% | 30.4% | 31.1% | 0.98× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 22.9% | 24.5% | 26.1% | 0.94× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale & both teams score | 24.6% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 1.20× | 4.58 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & not both score | 19.1% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 0.72× | 5.56 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.9% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| Gamba Osaka & both teams score | 19.3% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 1.34× | 5.56 |
| Gamba Osaka & not both score | 14.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 0.75× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 0.69× | 20.54 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale & over 1.5 | 36.3% | 34.9% | 30.3% | 1.15× | 2.87 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & over 2.5 | 30.3% | 30.7% | 23.1% | 1.33× | 3.25 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 1.5 | 27.1% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 1.23× | 3.84 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & under 3.5 | 25.8% | 26.1% | 33.1% | 0.79× | 3.84 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 2.5 | 22.6% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 1.21× | 4.63 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 3.5 | 20.7% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 0.92× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.9% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & over 3.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 1.80× | 5.56 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & under 2.5 | 13.4% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 0.63× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 0.63× | 7.79 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 3.5 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.64× | 7.79 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 2.5 | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 0.96× | 7.79 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.33× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.33× | 12.63 |
| Kawasaki Frontale & under 1.5 | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 0.62× | 12.63 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 0.68× | 20.81 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (1UP) | 61.5% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Gamba Osaka (1UP) | 52.9% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (2UP) | 43.7% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Gamba Osaka (2UP) | 33.4% | 30.4% | — | — | 3.29 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to win 2nd half | 36.5% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.1% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half | 31.5% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half | 77.9% | 79.2% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half | 58.6% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half | 41.4% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half | 22.1% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 2nd half | 74.5% | 74.5% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 2nd half | 62.3% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 2nd half | 37.7% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 2nd half | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.91 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (+2.5) | 90.3% | 92.1% | 93.8% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Gamba Osaka (+1.5) | 77.2% | 78.5% | 81.9% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (+0.5) | 66.6% | 68.7% | 68.9% | 1.00× | 1.46 |
| Gamba Osaka (+0.5) | 56.3% | 57.0% | 57.0% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-0.5) | 43.7% | 43.0% | 43.0% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Gamba Osaka (-0.5) | 33.4% | 31.3% | 31.1% | 1.01× | 3.19 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5) | 22.8% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 1.19× | 4.65 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.26× | 12.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to concede | 81.9% | 81.5% | 75.3% | 1.08× | 1.23 |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet | 18.1% | 18.5% | 24.7% | 0.75× | 5.41 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half | 52.1% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half | 47.9% | 49.5% | — | — | 2.02 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to concede in 2nd half | 62.3% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half | 37.7% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners | 84.3% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners | 74.6% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners | 74.0% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners | 59.9% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners | 57.1% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners | 42.9% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners | 40.1% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners | 26.0% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners | 25.4% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners | 15.7% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals | 93.8% | 92.4% | 95.9% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals | 81.6% | 81.5% | 87.8% | 0.93× | 1.23 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals | 77.0% | 76.2% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.31 |
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals | 56.8% | 59.4% | 68.3% | 0.87× | 1.68 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals | 43.2% | 40.6% | 31.7% | 1.28× | 2.46 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals | 23.0% | 23.8% | 31.9% | 0.75× | 4.21 |
| Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals | 18.4% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 1.52× | 5.40 |
| Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.88× | 13.07 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.2% | 89.4% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half | 55.5% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half | 44.5% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.8% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.47 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka scores more in 2nd half | 40.4% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Gamba Osaka scores equally in both | 36.6% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Gamba Osaka scores more in 1st half | 23.1% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (away no bet) | 65.6% | 66.3% | 62.2% | 1.07× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 34.4% | 33.7% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka even goals | 52.6% | 52.6% | 54.2% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Gamba Osaka odd goals | 47.4% | 47.4% | 45.8% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 78.9% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 21.1% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 72.3% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 27.7% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 63.5% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score 2+ in a row | 40.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row | 32.4% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 24.7% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ in a row | 15.1% | 16.2% | — | — | 6.19 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row | 10.2% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (+3.5) | 90.5% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (+2.5) | 84.7% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (+1.5) | 76.9% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5) | 76.2% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5) | 66.7% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5) | 55.7% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (-1.5) | 44.3% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (-2.5) | 33.3% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Kawasaki Frontale corners (-3.5) | 23.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5) | 23.1% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5) | 15.3% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5) | 9.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 42.8% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.9% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 12+ corners | 26.3% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.2% | 80.6% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.7% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 68.4% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64.6% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54.1% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45.9% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35.4% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 31.6% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 26.3% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.8% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.17 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.72 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.51 |
| 1-0 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 0.58× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.44× | 13.51 |
| 0-1 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 0.74× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.01× | 13.51 |
| 3-1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.49× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 58.30 |
| 0-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.29 |
| 0-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.31 |
| 1-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.73× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.20× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.91× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.30 |
| 3-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.20× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.74× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.37× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.49× | 58.31 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.49× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.52× | 58.29 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (2nd half DNB) | 53.7% | 53.6% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Gamba Osaka (2nd half DNB) | 46.3% | 46.4% | — | — | 2.16 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT (DNB) | 57.4% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB) | 42.6% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale or Gamba Osaka (12) | 77.1% | 75.5% | 73.9% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1X) | 66.6% | 69.6% | 68.9% | 1.01× | 1.44 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw (X2) | 56.3% | 57.0% | 57.0% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale or draw at HT | 74.2% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw at HT | 65.2% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Kawasaki Frontale or Gamba Osaka at HT | 60.6% | 60.9% | — | — | 1.64 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP) | 66.6% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP) | 56.3% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale or draw in 2nd half | 68.5% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Kawasaki Frontale or Gamba Osaka in 2nd half | 67.9% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half | 63.5% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.1% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.9% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (DNB) | 56.7% | 58.1% | 58.0% | 1.00× | 1.72 |
| Gamba Osaka (DNB) | 43.4% | 41.9% | 42.0% | 1.00× | 2.39 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to score first | 51.7% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Gamba Osaka to score first | 44.4% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 3.9% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.06 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62.8% | 56.6% | 50.5% | 1.12× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 37.2% | 43.4% | 49.5% | 0.88× | 2.31 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 52.6% | 47.2% | 37.2% | 1.27× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 28.2% | 33.3% | 40.2% | 0.83× | 3.00 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.09 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 0.87× | 12.07 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 78.0% | 79.7% | 86.3% | 0.92× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 22.0% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 1.47× | 4.93 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 63.6% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 36.4% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 48.9% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 28.0% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.67 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.7% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.25 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.4% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.61 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 76.9% | 81.1% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 23.1% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 61.8% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| A half without a goal | 38.2% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.47 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 43.1% | 42.2% | 47.2% | 0.89× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 35.0% | 30.8% | 20.9% | 1.47× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 17.6% | 20.2% | 29.5% | 0.68× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.70× | 54.10 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1 | 33.8% | 33.8% | 36.6% | 0.93× | 2.96 |
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2 | 24.8% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 1.13× | 4.48 |
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0 | 23.0% | 22.3% | 31.9% | 0.70× | 4.49 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 3+ | 18.4% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 1.61× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 1 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 36.3% | 0.90× | 3.07 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 24.5% | 1.08× | 3.77 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ | 24.5% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 1.57× | 4.29 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 0 | 18.1% | 18.8% | 24.7% | 0.76× | 5.33 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 39.4% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT | 34.8% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Gamba Osaka leading at HT | 25.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale -1: 2 | 56.3% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Kawasaki Frontale -1: 1 | 22.8% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
| Kawasaki Frontale -1: X | 20.9% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (0:1) | 56.3% | 55.8% | 57.0% | 0.98× | 1.79 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (0:1) | 22.8% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 1.34× | 4.13 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.9% | 24.2% | 25.0% | 0.97× | 4.13 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (0:2) | 77.2% | 79.4% | 81.9% | 0.97× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 0.91× | 9.10 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (0:2) | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.23× | 13.02 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (0:3) | 90.3% | 92.7% | 93.8% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.37× | 17.25 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (0:3) | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.09× | 42.08 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (0:4) | 96.6% | 98.1% | 97.8% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.87× | 81.90 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.30× | 82.06 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (1:0) | 66.6% | 70.1% | 68.9% | 1.02× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.0% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 0.88× | 5.85 |
| Gamba Osaka (1:0) | 15.4% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 1.44× | 5.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale (2:0) | 84.6% | 84.7% | 88.1% | 0.96× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 1.05× | 15.64 |
| Gamba Osaka (2:0) | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.07× | 15.69 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.2% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.5% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Halves equal | 22.3% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.11 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to concede | 77.0% | 76.0% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet | 23.0% | 24.0% | 31.9% | 0.75× | 4.17 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 1st half | 55.5% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 1st half | 44.5% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 2nd half | 58.6% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 2nd half | 41.4% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 corners | 85.1% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 corners | 71.9% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 6.5 corners | 70.9% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 5.5 corners | 58.1% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 4.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 4.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 5.5 corners | 41.9% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 6.5 corners | 29.1% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.55 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 corners | 28.1% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.55 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 corners | 14.9% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 goals | 90.5% | 92.2% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.2% | 75.3% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 goals | 75.5% | 77.7% | 85.2% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 goals | 51.0% | 53.2% | 39.2% | 1.36× | 1.88 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 goals | 49.0% | 46.8% | 60.8% | 0.77× | 2.14 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 goals | 24.5% | 22.3% | 14.8% | 1.50× | 4.49 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 0.72× | 5.63 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 goals | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.51× | 12.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.2% | 83.8% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 1st half | 52.1% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 1st half | 47.9% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.8% | 16.2% | — | — | 6.19 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 2nd half | 39.9% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Kawasaki Frontale scores equally in both | 33.6% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 1st half | 26.6% | 27.8% | — | — | 3.59 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (home no bet) | 59.4% | 56.5% | 54.4% | 1.04× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.6% | 43.5% | 45.6% | 0.95× | 2.30 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale even goals | 51.6% | 50.7% | 52.7% | 0.96× | 1.97 |
| Kawasaki Frontale odd goals | 48.4% | 49.3% | 47.3% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 26.6% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.6% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.7% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.41 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.2% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.46 |
| Any other HT score | 6.0% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.48 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 41.91 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 41.93 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.4% | 2.4% | — | — | 41.99 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.13 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT | 26.4% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 18.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 12.5% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.4% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.48 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to score last | 51.7% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Gamba Osaka to score last | 44.4% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 3.9% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.06 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.1% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 1 at any time | 61.5% | 61.2% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time | 52.9% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.8% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 2 at any time | 30.6% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.36 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time | 22.6% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 20.4% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 3 at any time | 12.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time | 7.9% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.94 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale most corners | 55.9% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Gamba Osaka most corners | 32.9% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Corners level | 11.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.8% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 78.1% | 78.7% | 68.0% | 1.16× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 74.5% | 72.4% | 81.7% | 0.89× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.1% | 72.3% | 65.0% | 1.11× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.8% | 63.3% | 59.2% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 57.3% | 59.1% | 44.1% | 1.34× | 1.69 |
| 1-3 goals | 56.8% | 59.1% | 69.7% | 0.85× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 51.3% | 53.2% | 41.1% | 1.29× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 43.1% | 43.6% | 47.2% | 0.92× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.0% | 43.6% | 35.3% | 1.23× | 2.29 |
| 4-6 goals | 35.0% | 35.2% | 20.9% | 1.68× | 2.84 |
| 1-2 goals | 34.5% | 35.2% | 46.6% | 0.76× | 2.84 |
| 4-5 goals | 29.0% | 30.2% | 18.0% | 1.68× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 17.2% | 18.8% | 8.9% | 2.11× | 5.31 |
| 7+ goals | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.96× | 39.06 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale never behind | 43.2% | 48.6% | — | — | 2.06 |
| Gamba Osaka never behind | 34.6% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.6% | 50.9% | 46.7% | 1.09× | 1.96 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.4% | 49.1% | 53.3% | 0.92× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.5% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.5% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.1% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.9% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.1% | 95.4% | 93.0% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 89.7% | 87.6% | 94.4% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% | 82.3% | 70.5% | 1.17× | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78.4% | 77.3% | 88.6% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.6% | 61.7% | 46.6% | 1.33× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60.7% | 61.7% | 76.6% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.3% | 38.3% | 23.4% | 1.63× | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.4% | 38.3% | 53.4% | 0.72× | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21.6% | 22.7% | 11.4% | 1.99× | 4.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17.6% | 17.7% | 29.5% | 0.60× | 5.66 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 10.3% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.20× | 8.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 0.65× | 21.84 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 95.4% | 97.2% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 88.4% | 86.7% | 94.0% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 77.8% | 75.9% | 61.2% | 1.24× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 73.8% | 72.4% | 87.0% | 0.83× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 50.6% | 51.9% | 30.5% | 1.70× | 1.93 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 49.4% | 48.1% | 69.5% | 0.69× | 2.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 26.2% | 27.6% | 13.0% | 2.13× | 3.62 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 22.2% | 24.1% | 38.8% | 0.62× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 11.6% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.22× | 7.54 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.03× | 35.54 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 85.2% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 73.4% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 61.9% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 38.1% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 26.6% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 14.8% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.04 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 84.5% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 71.5% | 77.5% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.3% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 44.7% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 28.5% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 15.5% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves | 73.9% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to score in both halves | 67.6% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to score in both halves | 32.4% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
| Gamba Osaka to score in both halves | 26.1% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 62.8% | 60.2% | 50.5% | 1.19× | 1.66 |
| Only Kawasaki Frontale scores | 19.1% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 0.64× | 6.23 |
| Only Gamba Osaka scores | 14.2% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 0.62× | 9.06 |
| Neither team scores | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 0.66× | 21.62 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 0.97× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 20.8% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 0.94× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.7% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 1.43× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 13.7% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 0.54× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 11.3% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.04× | 8.25 |
| 6 or more goals | 10.3% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.15× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 0.64× | 22.36 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| No goals in 1st half | 26.6% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 23.3% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.66 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 14.8% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 55.3% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.2% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.40 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 15.5% | 16.6% | — | — | 6.02 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to win both halves | 91.9% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to win both halves | 87.3% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to win both halves | 12.7% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.31 |
| Gamba Osaka to win both halves | 8.1% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.01 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale to win either half | 58.6% | 59.2% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Gamba Osaka to win neither half | 50.8% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Gamba Osaka to win either half | 49.2% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to win neither half | 41.4% | 40.8% | — | — | 2.45 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to win to nil | 85.8% | 88.1% | 82.2% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to win to nil | 80.9% | 83.1% | 75.0% | 1.11× | 1.20 |
| Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil | 19.1% | 16.9% | 25.0% | 0.68× | 5.91 |
| Gamba Osaka to win to nil | 14.2% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 0.67× | 8.41 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 0.92× | 4.15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale by 1 | 20.9% | 24.1% | 25.0% | 0.96× | 4.15 |
| Gamba Osaka by 1 | 18.0% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 0.88× | 5.87 |
| Kawasaki Frontale by 2 | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 0.98× | 8.51 |
| Gamba Osaka by 2 | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.18× | 13.90 |
| Kawasaki Frontale by 3+ | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.15× | 13.90 |
| Gamba Osaka by 3+ | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.21× | 13.91 |