Khan Tengri v Kairat-Zhastar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · KAZ-First League · 2627

KAZ-First League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Khan Tengri

14:00 UTC

Kairat-Zhastar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 10 Sep, 11:32 · 194h before kick-off

Khan Tengri win

7.6%

model 6.8%

Draw

12.4%

model 10.0%

Kairat-Zhastar win

79.9%

model 83.1%

81280

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (297 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 10.8%
0-3 10.8%
0-4 8.1%
0-1 7.9%
1-2 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	71.9%	Under 2.5	28.1%
BTTS yes	48.6%	BTTS no	51.4%
Khan Tengri 1+	52.0%	Khan Tengri 2+	16.7%
Kairat-Zhastar 1+	95.0%	Kairat-Zhastar 2+	79.9%

Expected goals 0.73 – 2.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Kairat-Zhastar (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 38%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

strong signal · 13600 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kairat-Zhastar to win

1X2 · usually 38%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

strong signal · 297 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kairat-Zhastar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Khan Tengri have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Kairat-Zhastar average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Khan Tengri have only 0 matches on record.
Kairat-Zhastar have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kairat-Zhastar have an estimated 79.9% win probability, against 12.4% for the draw and 7.6% for Khan Tengri. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.73 for Khan Tengri and 2.99 for Kairat-Zhastar.

Why Khan Tengri

Khan Tengri have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kairat-Zhastar have allowed 1.35. At home Khan Tengri average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 12.4%.

Why Kairat-Zhastar can win

Kairat-Zhastar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Khan Tengri have allowed 1.35. Away from home Kairat-Zhastar average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Khan Tengri, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kairat-Zhastar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Khan Tengri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kairat-Zhastar: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Kairat-Zhastar are the model's most likely outcome at 79.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 10.8%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	71083	0.73–2.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	5986	0.64–3.10	0-3 12%	72%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to win	85.9%	87.9%	37.6%	2.34×	1.14
Draw	8.8%	8.7%	15.2%	0.57×	11.49
Khan Tengri to win	5.3%	8.5%	47.7%	0.18×	11.73

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar & not both score	51.1%	49.0%	19.0%	2.58×	2.04
Kairat-Zhastar & both teams score	34.8%	29.3%	19.0%	1.54×	3.41
Draw & both teams score	7.0%	8.4%	12.7%	0.66×	11.95
Khan Tengri & not both score	2.7%	4.9%	27.0%	0.18×	20.31
Khan Tengri & both teams score	2.6%	4.9%	21.1%	0.23×	20.31
Draw & not both score	1.8%	4.9%	3.0%	1.67×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar & over 1.5	77.9%	73.7%	31.2%	2.36×	1.36
Kairat-Zhastar & over 2.5	66.4%	66.4%	26.2%	2.54×	1.51
Kairat-Zhastar & over 3.5	47.3%	44.8%	13.9%	3.22×	2.23
Kairat-Zhastar & under 3.5	38.7%	34.7%	24.1%	1.44×	2.89
Kairat-Zhastar & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	11.8%	1.52×	5.57
Kairat-Zhastar & under 1.5	8.0%	8.0%	6.8%	1.18×	12.56
Draw & over 1.5	7.0%	8.0%	12.7%	0.63×	12.56
Draw & under 2.5	5.9%	8.0%	10.5%	0.75×	12.57
Draw & under 3.5	5.9%	8.0%	10.5%	0.75×	12.57
Khan Tengri & under 3.5	4.2%	4.9%	23.6%	0.21×	20.53
Khan Tengri & over 1.5	3.2%	4.9%	38.8%	0.13×	20.53
Khan Tengri & over 2.5	2.7%	4.9%	35.0%	0.14×	20.53
Khan Tengri & under 2.5	2.6%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.53
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.53
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.53
Khan Tengri & under 1.5	2.1%	4.9%	9.3%	0.52×	20.54
Draw & under 1.5	1.8%	4.9%	3.0%	1.65×	20.54
Khan Tengri & over 3.5	1.1%	4.9%	24.5%	0.20×	20.54

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (1UP)	90.9%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Khan Tengri (1UP)	19.0%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (2UP)	85.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Khan Tengri (2UP)	5.3%	7.9%	—	—	12.59

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to win 2nd half	74.3%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
2nd half drawn	19.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.22
Khan Tengri to win 2nd half	6.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.98

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Kairat-Zhastar over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Kairat-Zhastar under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Kairat-Zhastar under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.8%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Khan Tengri under 0.5 in 2nd half	69.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Khan Tengri over 0.5 in 2nd half	30.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Khan Tengri over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.2%	5.3%	—	—	18.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (+2.5)	99.8%	96.3%	79.7%	1.21×	1.04
Kairat-Zhastar (+1.5)	98.9%	96.3%	68.4%	1.41×	1.04
Kairat-Zhastar (+0.5)	94.7%	92.1%	52.3%	1.76×	1.09
Kairat-Zhastar (-0.5)	85.9%	88.3%	37.6%	2.35×	1.13
Khan Tengri (+0.5)	14.1%	11.7%	62.4%	0.19×	8.57
Khan Tengri (-0.5)	5.3%	7.9%	47.7%	0.17×	12.69
Khan Tengri (-1.5)	1.1%	3.7%	31.6%	0.12×	26.91
Khan Tengri (-2.5)	0.2%	3.7%	20.3%	0.18×	26.96

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar clean sheet	52.9%	55.9%	21.5%	2.60×	1.79
Kairat-Zhastar to concede	47.1%	44.1%	78.5%	0.56×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar clean sheet in 1st half	76.0%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Kairat-Zhastar to concede in 1st half	24.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar clean sheet in 2nd half	69.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Kairat-Zhastar to concede in 2nd half	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar over 0.5 goals	95.5%	97.4%	70.5%	1.38×	1.03
Kairat-Zhastar over 1.5 goals	81.5%	81.2%	39.7%	2.05×	1.23
Kairat-Zhastar under 3.5 goals	62.6%	63.5%	90.3%	0.70×	1.58
Kairat-Zhastar over 2.5 goals	59.8%	59.0%	21.1%	2.80×	1.70
Kairat-Zhastar under 2.5 goals	40.2%	41.0%	78.9%	0.52×	2.44
Kairat-Zhastar over 3.5 goals	37.4%	36.5%	9.7%	3.77×	2.74
Kairat-Zhastar under 1.5 goals	18.5%	18.8%	60.3%	0.31×	5.33
Kairat-Zhastar under 0.5 goals	4.5%	2.6%	29.5%	0.09×	38.72

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Kairat-Zhastar under 1.5 in 1st half	64.8%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Kairat-Zhastar over 1.5 in 1st half	35.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Kairat-Zhastar under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar scores more in 2nd half	51.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Kairat-Zhastar scores more in 1st half	25.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Kairat-Zhastar scores equally in both	22.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	62.3%	62.0%	24.2%	2.57×	1.61
Khan Tengri (away no bet)	37.7%	38.0%	75.8%	0.50×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar even goals	50.1%	52.8%	54.0%	0.98×	1.89
Kairat-Zhastar odd goals	49.9%	47.2%	46.0%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.9%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.3%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	79.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Kairat-Zhastar to score 2+ in a row	77.2%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Either team to score 3+ in a row	52.0%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Kairat-Zhastar to score 3+ in a row	51.4%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Khan Tengri to score 2+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.77
Khan Tengri to score 3+ in a row	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.16

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	20.0%	20.0%	12.2%	1.63×	5.01
0-3	11.9%	11.4%	4.2%	2.69×	8.80
0-2	11.5%	11.4%	5.5%	2.07×	8.80
0-4	9.2%	7.4%	3.0%	2.50×	13.53
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.54
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.54
1-3	7.6%	7.4%	3.4%	2.19×	13.54
1-4	5.9%	7.4%	0.8%	8.75×	13.54
0-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.57
1-0	2.1%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	57.57
1-1	4.1%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	57.56
2-0	0.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	57.58
2-1	1.5%	1.7%	5.5%	0.32×	57.57
2-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.57
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	57.57
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	57.57
3-0	0.1%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	57.58
3-1	0.3%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	57.58
3-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	57.58
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	57.58
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.58
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	5.5%	0.32×	57.58
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.58
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.58
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	57.58
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (2nd half DNB)	91.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Khan Tengri (2nd half DNB)	8.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar leading at HT (DNB)	88.3%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Khan Tengri leading at HT (DNB)	11.7%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar or draw (X2)	94.7%	91.5%	52.3%	1.75×	1.09
Khan Tengri or Kairat-Zhastar (12)	91.2%	91.3%	84.8%	1.08×	1.10
Khan Tengri or draw (1X)	14.1%	12.1%	62.4%	0.19×	8.27

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar or draw at HT	91.8%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Khan Tengri or Kairat-Zhastar at HT	70.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Khan Tengri or draw at HT	38.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar or draw (1UP)	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Khan Tengri or draw (1UP)	19.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar or draw in 2nd half	93.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Khan Tengri or Kairat-Zhastar in 2nd half	80.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Khan Tengri or draw in 2nd half	25.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
A half drawn	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (DNB)	94.2%	93.0%	44.1%	2.11×	1.08
Khan Tengri (DNB)	5.8%	7.0%	55.9%	0.13×	14.23

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to score first	81.5%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Khan Tengri to score first	16.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.70
No goal scored	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.6%	54.8%	48.1%	1.14×	1.83
Both teams to score	44.4%	45.2%	51.9%	0.87×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.3%	41.7%	44.3%	0.94×	2.40
Not both score & over 2.5	31.8%	34.3%	21.5%	1.60×	2.91
Not both score & under 2.5	23.9%	28.4%	27.0%	1.05×	3.52
Both score & under 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	8.0%	0.59×	21.02

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.1%	85.4%	86.1%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.9%	14.6%	13.9%	1.05×	6.86

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.0%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.4%	5.0%	—	—	19.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.3%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	30.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.0%	41.9%	32.9%	1.27×	2.39
2-3 goals	36.8%	34.9%	39.7%	0.88×	2.86
0-1 goals	11.9%	17.1%	18.1%	0.94×	5.83
7+ goals	8.2%	7.7%	10.1%	0.76×	13.04

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to score 3+	59.8%	51.2%	21.1%	2.43×	1.95
Kairat-Zhastar to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.5%	19.0%	1.19×	4.44
Kairat-Zhastar to score exactly 1	14.0%	13.0%	31.2%	0.42×	7.69
Kairat-Zhastar to score exactly 0	4.5%	4.6%	29.5%	0.16×	21.64

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to score exactly 0	52.9%	43.1%	21.5%	2.00×	2.32
Khan Tengri to score exactly 1	33.7%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.06
Khan Tengri to score exactly 2	10.7%	14.3%	16.0%	0.89×	6.99
Khan Tengri to score 3+	2.7%	6.5%	32.9%	0.20×	15.44

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar leading at HT	61.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Draw at HT	29.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Khan Tengri leading at HT	8.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar -1: 2	67.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Kairat-Zhastar -1: X	18.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.79
Kairat-Zhastar -1: 1	14.1%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (0:1)	94.7%	87.3%	52.3%	1.67×	1.15
Draw (0:1)	4.2%	6.1%	16.5%	0.37×	16.32
Khan Tengri (0:1)	1.1%	5.9%	31.6%	0.19×	16.99

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (0:2)	98.9%	93.9%	68.4%	1.37×	1.07
Draw (0:2)	0.9%	3.8%	11.8%	0.32×	26.56
Khan Tengri (0:2)	0.2%	3.8%	20.3%	0.19×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (0:3)	99.8%	96.6%	79.7%	1.21×	1.04
Khan Tengri (0:3)	0.0%	2.4%	11.0%	0.22×	42.40
Draw (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	9.7%	0.24×	42.39

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (0:4)	100.0%	98.1%	89.0%	1.10×	1.02
Khan Tengri (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	5.1%	0.24×	81.96
Draw (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	6.3%	0.19×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (1:0)	67.8%	69.5%	20.7%	3.36×	1.44
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.86
Khan Tengri (1:0)	14.1%	12.8%	62.4%	0.20×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (2:0)	46.6%	47.0%	11.4%	4.13×	2.13
Khan Tengri (2:0)	32.2%	32.2%	79.3%	0.41×	3.10
Draw (2:0)	21.2%	18.8%	9.7%	1.94×	5.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.1%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede	95.5%	95.4%	70.5%	1.35×	1.05
Khan Tengri clean sheet	4.5%	4.6%	29.5%	0.16×	21.77

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede in 1st half	71.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Khan Tengri clean sheet in 1st half	28.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede in 2nd half	84.4%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Khan Tengri clean sheet in 2nd half	15.6%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 3.5 goals	99.6%	96.3%	83.1%	1.16×	1.04
Khan Tengri under 2.5 goals	97.3%	96.3%	67.1%	1.44×	1.04
Khan Tengri under 1.5 goals	86.6%	87.2%	51.5%	1.69×	1.15
Khan Tengri under 0.5 goals	52.9%	52.8%	21.5%	2.45×	1.90
Khan Tengri over 0.5 goals	47.1%	47.2%	78.5%	0.60×	2.12
Khan Tengri over 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.8%	48.5%	0.26×	7.80
Khan Tengri over 2.5 goals	2.7%	3.7%	32.9%	0.11×	26.98
Khan Tengri over 3.5 goals	0.4%	3.7%	16.9%	0.22×	27.07

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 1.5 in 1st half	96.9%	97.5%	—	—	1.03
Khan Tengri under 0.5 in 1st half	76.0%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Khan Tengri over 0.5 in 1st half	24.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
Khan Tengri over 1.5 in 1st half	3.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.95

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri scores equally in both	58.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Khan Tengri scores more in 2nd half	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Khan Tengri scores more in 1st half	17.5%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar (home no bet)	90.7%	89.6%	71.2%	1.26×	1.12
Draw (home no bet)	9.3%	10.4%	28.8%	0.36×	9.57

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri even goals	64.0%	55.9%	48.5%	1.15×	1.79
Khan Tengri odd goals	36.0%	44.1%	51.5%	0.86×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	27.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	21.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-2	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Any other HT score	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 1-0	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 1-2	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.63
HT 2-0	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.64
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar at HT / Kairat-Zhastar at FT	59.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Draw at HT / Kairat-Zhastar at FT	22.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Khan Tengri at HT / Kairat-Zhastar at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Khan Tengri at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Draw at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Khan Tengri at HT / Draw at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Kairat-Zhastar at HT / Draw at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Kairat-Zhastar at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	0.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to score last	81.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Khan Tengri to score last	17.0%	12.4%	—	—	8.07
No goal scored	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Kairat-Zhastar to lead by 1 at any time	90.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	75.1%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Kairat-Zhastar to lead by 2 at any time	72.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	50.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kairat-Zhastar to lead by 3 at any time	49.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Khan Tengri to lead by 1 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Khan Tengri to lead by 2 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.35
Khan Tengri to lead by 3 at any time	0.4%	1.6%	—	—	64.02

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.0%	83.3%	81.4%	1.02×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.5%	72.2%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.2%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
1-4 goals	66.4%	68.9%	75.1%	0.92×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.8%	63.1%	55.7%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.3%	59.2%	59.9%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.4%	49.8%	1.07×	1.87
1-3 goals	47.0%	48.5%	54.9%	0.88×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	32.9%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
2-3 goals	36.8%	39.3%	39.7%	0.99×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.0%	35.3%	27.0%	1.31×	2.83
1-2 goals	26.2%	30.6%	32.1%	0.96×	3.26
5-6 goals	23.6%	24.8%	12.7%	1.96×	4.03
7+ goals	8.2%	9.0%	10.1%	0.89×	11.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar never behind	79.3%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Khan Tengri never behind	7.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	46.8%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	53.2%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	97.0%	0.98×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	81.9%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.7%	82.1%	84.0%	0.98×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	68.2%	66.0%	77.6%	0.85×	1.52
Over 3.5 goals	51.3%	53.0%	42.6%	1.24×	1.89
Under 3.5 goals	48.7%	47.0%	57.4%	0.82×	2.13
Over 4.5 goals	31.8%	34.0%	22.4%	1.52×	2.94
Under 2.5 goals	28.0%	27.6%	34.6%	0.80×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	17.3%	17.9%	16.0%	1.11×	5.60
Under 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.6%	18.1%	0.69×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	3.0%	1.56×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.0%	92.4%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.8%	86.6%	78.3%	1.11×	1.16
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	79.8%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.7%	61.7%	55.2%	1.12×	1.62
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	60.5%	61.6%	72.0%	0.86×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	39.5%	38.4%	28.0%	1.37×	2.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.3%	38.3%	44.8%	0.86×	2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	20.2%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.2%	13.4%	21.7%	0.62×	7.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.0%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.12

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to score in both halves	92.7%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Kairat-Zhastar to score in both halves	60.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Kairat-Zhastar not to score in both halves	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Khan Tengri to score in both halves	7.3%	9.6%	—	—	10.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Kairat-Zhastar scores	51.1%	54.3%	19.0%	2.86×	1.84
Both teams score	44.4%	46.7%	51.9%	0.90×	2.14
Only Khan Tengri scores	2.7%	4.6%	27.0%	0.17×	21.56
Neither team scores	1.8%	4.6%	3.0%	1.57×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.4%	23.2%	0.97×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.6%	20.7%	0.85×	5.70
6 or more goals	17.3%	17.6%	16.0%	1.09×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	16.1%	17.6%	16.9%	1.04×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	14.5%	12.1%	6.8%	1.78×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	10.2%	12.0%	15.6%	0.77×	8.31
Exactly 0 goals	1.8%	4.5%	3.0%	1.52×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.3%	—	—	6.53

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.32
No goals in 2nd half	10.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to win both halves	99.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Kairat-Zhastar to win both halves	45.7%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Kairat-Zhastar not to win both halves	54.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Khan Tengri to win both halves	0.5%	2.7%	—	—	37.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar to win either half	90.4%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Khan Tengri to win neither half	85.7%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Khan Tengri to win either half	14.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.71
Kairat-Zhastar to win neither half	9.6%	7.9%	—	—	12.61

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to win to nil	97.3%	96.2%	73.0%	1.32×	1.04
Kairat-Zhastar to win to nil	51.1%	54.4%	19.0%	2.87×	1.84
Kairat-Zhastar not to win to nil	48.9%	45.6%	81.0%	0.56×	2.19
Khan Tengri to win to nil	2.7%	3.8%	27.0%	0.14×	26.11

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kairat-Zhastar by 3+	46.6%	47.7%	11.4%	4.19×	2.10
Kairat-Zhastar by 2	21.2%	24.2%	9.7%	2.49×	4.14
Kairat-Zhastar by 1	18.2%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.92
Draw	8.8%	7.3%	15.2%	0.48×	13.73
Khan Tengri by 1	4.2%	2.8%	16.5%	0.17×	35.50
Khan Tengri by 2	0.9%	2.8%	11.8%	0.24×	35.59
Khan Tengri by 3+	0.2%	2.8%	20.3%	0.14×	35.61