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Kifisia v Atromitos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Kifisia win
33.3%
model 32.7%
Draw
33.3%
model 32.4%
Atromitos win
33.4%
model 34.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (967 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 15.4%
  2. 0-0 11.5%
  3. 0-1 8.9%
  4. 1-0 8.5%
  5. 1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.542.7% Under 2.557.3%
BTTS yes50.8% BTTS no49.2%
Kifisia 1+69.0% Kifisia 2+32.7%
Atromitos 1+70.3% Atromitos 2+34.3%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Atromitos (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 59%
68.7% fair odds 1.46
moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Kifisia not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 76%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Atromitos carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1452.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Atromitos have an estimated 33.4% win probability, against 33.3% for Kifisia and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.17 for Kifisia and 1.22 for Atromitos.

Why Kifisia

Nothing in the data singles out Kifisia.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.17 to 1.22. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atromitos can win

Atromitos carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1452.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kifisia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atromitos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kifisia: 47% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atromitos: 47% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Atromitos are the model's most likely outcome at 33.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.4%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.17–1.22 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.00–1.26 1-1 15% 39% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos to win 40.0% 42.9% 33.8% 1.27× 2.33
Draw 33.0% 30.4% 25.0% 1.22× 3.29
Kifisia to win 27.0% 27.9% 41.4% 0.67× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos & not both score 24.1% 21.8% 19.7% 1.11× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 20.2% 21.8% 16.8% 1.30× 4.59
Kifisia & not both score 15.6% 18.0% 24.0% 0.75× 5.57
Atromitos & both teams score 15.9% 18.0% 14.3% 1.25× 5.57
Draw & not both score 12.8% 13.3% 8.4% 1.58× 7.54
Kifisia & both teams score 11.4% 13.3% 17.6% 0.75× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos & under 3.5 30.9% 30.7% 26.8% 1.15× 3.25
Atromitos & over 1.5 29.2% 26.1% 24.4% 1.07× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 28.3% 26.1% 21.3% 1.22× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 28.3% 26.1% 21.3% 1.22× 3.84
Kifisia & under 3.5 21.6% 21.6% 29.7% 0.73× 4.63
Atromitos & over 2.5 20.8% 21.6% 18.4% 1.17× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.2% 21.6% 16.8% 1.29× 4.63
Kifisia & over 1.5 18.9% 18.0% 32.4% 0.56× 5.56
Atromitos & under 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 15.6% 1.16× 5.56
Kifisia & over 2.5 13.7% 12.8% 26.4% 0.49× 7.79
Kifisia & under 2.5 13.3% 12.8% 15.2% 0.85× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 12.8% 12.8% 8.4% 1.53× 7.79
Atromitos & under 1.5 10.9% 12.8% 9.6% 1.33× 7.79
Atromitos & over 3.5 9.1% 7.9% 7.2% 1.10× 12.63
Kifisia & under 1.5 8.1% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.63
Kifisia & over 3.5 5.4% 7.9% 11.9% 0.67× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% 1.23× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% 1.23× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (1UP) 54.8% 52.6% — — 1.90
Kifisia (1UP) 43.1% 38.7% — — 2.58
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (2UP) 40.0% 47.0% — — 2.13
Kifisia (2UP) 27.0% 25.3% — — 3.96
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.9% 41.7% — — 2.40
Atromitos to win 2nd half 35.3% 36.2% — — 2.77
Kifisia to win 2nd half 23.8% 24.2% — — 4.13
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos under 1.5 in 2nd half 82.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
Atromitos over 0.5 in 2nd half 53.0% 52.7% — — 1.90
Atromitos under 0.5 in 2nd half 47.0% 47.3% — — 2.12
Atromitos over 1.5 in 2nd half 17.5% 15.8% — — 6.35
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.8% 88.7% — — 1.13
Kifisia under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.6% 58.2% — — 1.72
Kifisia over 0.5 in 2nd half 43.4% 41.8% — — 2.39
Kifisia over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.2% 11.3% — — 8.86
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (+2.5) 97.0% 96.3% 89.3% 1.08× 1.04
Atromitos (+1.5) 89.2% 88.5% 78.9% 1.12× 1.13
Atromitos (+0.5) 73.0% 73.7% 58.6% 1.26× 1.36
Kifisia (+0.5) 60.0% 57.0% 66.2% 0.86× 1.75
Atromitos (-0.5) 40.0% 43.0% 33.8% 1.27× 2.33
Kifisia (-0.5) 27.0% 26.3% 41.4% 0.64× 3.80
Kifisia (-1.5) 10.8% 11.5% 21.1% 0.55× 8.68
Kifisia (-2.5) 3.0% 3.7% 10.7% 0.35× 27.12
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos to concede 63.1% 67.6% 72.1% 0.94× 1.48
Atromitos clean sheet 36.9% 32.4% 27.9% 1.16× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos clean sheet in 1st half 65.1% 70.9% — — 1.41
Atromitos to concede in 1st half 34.9% 29.1% — — 3.44
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos clean sheet in 2nd half 56.6% 57.6% — — 1.74
Atromitos to concede in 2nd half 43.4% 42.4% — — 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos under 6.5 corners 82.4% 81.4% — — 1.23
Atromitos over 2.5 corners 75.2% 76.0% — — 1.32
Atromitos under 5.5 corners 72.0% 71.6% — — 1.40
Atromitos over 3.5 corners 58.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Atromitos under 4.5 corners 58.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Atromitos over 4.5 corners 41.9% 42.8% — — 2.33
Atromitos under 3.5 corners 41.6% 42.8% — — 2.33
Atromitos over 5.5 corners 28.0% 28.4% — — 3.52
Atromitos under 2.5 corners 24.8% 24.0% — — 4.17
Atromitos over 6.5 corners 17.6% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos under 3.5 goals 96.1% 97.5% 96.7% 1.01× 1.03
Atromitos under 2.5 goals 86.6% 87.8% 89.8% 0.98× 1.14
Atromitos over 0.5 goals 71.6% 71.8% 67.8% 1.06× 1.39
Atromitos under 1.5 goals 64.1% 63.2% 67.4% 0.94× 1.58
Atromitos over 1.5 goals 35.9% 36.8% 32.6% 1.13× 2.72
Atromitos under 0.5 goals 28.4% 28.2% 32.2% 0.88× 3.55
Atromitos over 2.5 goals 13.4% 12.2% 10.2% 1.19× 8.20
Atromitos over 3.5 goals 3.9% 2.5% 3.3% 0.77× 39.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos under 1.5 in 1st half 90.9% 93.7% — — 1.07
Atromitos under 0.5 in 1st half 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Atromitos over 0.5 in 1st half 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Atromitos over 1.5 in 1st half 9.1% 6.3% — — 15.98
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos scores equally in both 40.2% 43.4% — — 2.30
Atromitos scores more in 2nd half 37.7% 37.5% — — 2.67
Atromitos scores more in 1st half 22.0% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 55.1% 57.4% 37.7% 1.52× 1.74
Kifisia (away no bet) 44.9% 42.6% 62.3% 0.68× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos even goals 54.0% 52.6% 56.8% 0.93× 1.90
Atromitos odd goals 46.0% 47.4% 43.2% 1.10× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.9% 91.9% — — 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.1% 8.1% — — 12.28
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 54.2% 50.9% — — 1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals 45.8% 49.1% — — 2.04
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 46.1% 46.1% — — 2.17
Atromitos to score 2+ in a row 29.6% 25.1% — — 3.98
Kifisia to score 2+ in a row 20.2% 19.6% — — 5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.1% — — 8.29
Atromitos to score 3+ in a row 9.2% 5.6% — — 17.93
Kifisia to score 3+ in a row 4.9% 2.6% — — 37.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia corners (+3.5) 88.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Kifisia corners (+2.5) 81.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Atromitos corners (+3.5) 78.7% 74.8% — — 1.34
Kifisia corners (+1.5) 73.4% 70.7% — — 1.41
Atromitos corners (+2.5) 69.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Atromitos corners (+1.5) 59.4% 57.1% — — 1.75
Kifisia corners (-1.5) 40.6% 42.9% — — 2.33
Kifisia corners (-2.5) 30.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Atromitos corners (-1.5) 26.6% 29.3% — — 3.42
Kifisia corners (-3.5) 21.3% 25.2% — — 3.97
Atromitos corners (-2.5) 18.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Atromitos corners (-3.5) 11.8% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 44.4% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 29.9% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 25.7% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 81.5% 80.6% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 74.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.6% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 65.6% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 8.5 corners 55.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 55.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 44.4% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 44.6% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 10.5 corners 34.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 33.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 25.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 18.5% 19.4% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 15.5% 13.8% 13.1% 1.05× 7.24
0-0 12.8% 11.5% 8.4% 1.37× 8.72
0-1 10.9% 11.5% 9.6% 1.19× 8.72
0-2 8.3% 7.4% 6.1% 1.20× 13.51
1-0 8.1% 7.4% 9.2% 0.80× 13.51
1-2 8.3% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.51
2-1 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.51
2-0 5.2% 7.4% 6.1% 1.20× 13.51
0-3 3.5% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.09× 58.31
1-3 3.5% 1.7% 2.0% 0.84× 58.30
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.31
2-2 4.1% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.32
3-0 1.7% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.31
3-1 2.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.31
3-2 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 4.18× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93× 58.32
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.70× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (2nd half DNB) 59.7% 60.0% — — 1.67
Kifisia (2nd half DNB) 40.3% 40.0% — — 2.50
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos leading at HT (DNB) 55.1% 56.0% — — 1.79
Kifisia leading at HT (DNB) 44.9% 44.0% — — 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos or draw (X2) 73.0% 72.1% 58.6% 1.23× 1.39
Kifisia or Atromitos (12) 67.0% 69.6% 75.0% 0.93× 1.44
Kifisia or draw (1X) 60.0% 57.1% 66.2% 0.86× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos or draw at HT 77.2% 79.4% — — 1.26
Kifisia or draw at HT 72.0% 74.7% — — 1.34
Kifisia or Atromitos at HT 50.9% 47.6% — — 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos or draw (1UP) 73.0% 79.6% — — 1.26
Kifisia or draw (1UP) 60.0% 63.2% — — 1.58
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos or draw in 2nd half 76.2% 75.8% — — 1.32
Kifisia or draw in 2nd half 64.7% 63.8% — — 1.57
Kifisia or Atromitos in 2nd half 59.1% 58.3% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.5% 68.2% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 32.5% 31.8% — — 3.14
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (DNB) 59.7% 58.2% 45.0% 1.29× 1.72
Kifisia (DNB) 40.3% 41.8% 55.0% 0.76× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos to score first 48.7% 46.1% — — 2.17
Kifisia to score first 38.5% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 12.8% 10.0% — — 9.99
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.5% 51.3% 51.6% 0.99× 1.95
Both teams to score 47.5% 48.7% 48.4% 1.01× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 45.3% 44.3% 38.7% 1.14× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 32.1% 34.5% 35.5% 0.97× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 15.5% 21.5% 13.1% 1.64× 4.65
Not both score & over 2.5 7.2% 8.3% 13.1% 0.63× 12.08
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.6% 89.0% 88.9% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 9.4% 11.0% 11.1% 1.00× 9.08
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.2% 74.8% — — 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 23.8% 25.2% — — 3.96
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 65.2% 63.0% — — 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 20.6% 20.9% — — 4.79
Both score 1st half only 11.0% 10.8% — — 9.30
Both score in both halves 3.2% 4.9% — — 20.46
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.8% 85.3% — — 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 14.2% 14.7% — — 6.79
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 54.3% 53.1% — — 1.89
A goal in each half 45.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 49.0% 47.2% 50.8% 0.93× 2.12
0-1 goals 31.8% 30.7% 26.8% 1.14× 3.26
4-6 goals 18.3% 20.2% 21.7% 0.93× 4.95
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.79× 54.45
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos to score exactly 1 35.7% 35.9% 35.5% 1.01× 2.78
Atromitos to score exactly 0 28.4% 27.4% 32.2% 0.85× 3.65
Atromitos to score exactly 2 22.5% 22.3% 22.5% 0.99× 4.49
Atromitos to score 3+ 13.4% 12.9% 10.2% 1.26× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to score exactly 0 36.9% 35.6% 27.9% 1.28× 2.81
Kifisia to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Kifisia to score exactly 2 18.3% 18.8% 20.7% 0.91× 5.33
Kifisia to score 3+ 8.0% 10.3% 18.2% 0.57× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 49.1% 52.4% — — 1.91
Atromitos leading at HT 28.0% 25.3% — — 3.96
Kifisia leading at HT 22.8% 20.6% — — 4.86
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos -1: 1 60.0% 56.8% — — 1.76
Atromitos -1: X 21.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Atromitos -1: 2 18.9% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (0:1) 73.0% 71.0% 58.6% 1.21× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 16.2% 17.8% 20.5% 0.87× 5.61
Kifisia (0:1) 10.8% 13.7% 21.1% 0.65× 7.31
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (0:2) 89.2% 87.1% 78.9% 1.10× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 7.8% 7.7% 10.7% 0.72× 13.04
Kifisia (0:2) 3.0% 3.7% 10.7% 0.35× 26.70
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (0:3) 97.0% 96.6% 89.3% 1.08× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.3% 2.4% 8.0% 0.30× 42.12
Kifisia (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 2.9% 0.83× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (0:4) 99.3% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 0.66× 82.11
Kifisia (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 0.99× 82.16
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (1:0) 60.0% 58.4% 66.2% 0.88× 1.71
Draw (1:0) 21.1% 21.7% 20.1% 1.08× 4.61
Atromitos (1:0) 18.9% 17.1% 13.9% 1.23× 5.84
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (2:0) 81.1% 84.6% 86.1% 0.98× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 12.4% 10.3% 8.4% 1.22× 9.73
Atromitos (2:0) 6.6% 6.4% 5.7% 1.11× 15.68
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.8% 46.1% — — 2.17
Halves equal 31.4% 28.1% — — 3.56
1st half highest scoring 24.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to concede 71.6% 73.1% 67.8% 1.08× 1.37
Kifisia clean sheet 28.4% 26.9% 32.2% 0.84× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia clean sheet in 1st half 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Kifisia to concede in 1st half 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.71
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to concede in 2nd half 53.0% 52.8% — — 1.89
Kifisia clean sheet in 2nd half 47.0% 47.2% — — 2.12
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia over 2.5 corners 82.3% 81.0% — — 1.24
Kifisia under 6.5 corners 73.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
Kifisia over 3.5 corners 68.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Kifisia under 5.5 corners 61.6% 62.3% — — 1.61
Kifisia over 4.5 corners 52.8% 52.6% — — 1.90
Kifisia under 4.5 corners 47.2% 47.4% — — 2.11
Kifisia over 5.5 corners 38.4% 37.7% — — 2.65
Kifisia under 3.5 corners 31.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Kifisia over 6.5 corners 26.3% 28.1% — — 3.56
Kifisia under 2.5 corners 17.7% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 3.5 goals 98.1% 96.4% 94.3% 1.02× 1.04
Kifisia under 2.5 goals 92.0% 92.2% 81.8% 1.13× 1.08
Kifisia under 1.5 goals 73.7% 74.3% 61.3% 1.21× 1.35
Kifisia over 0.5 goals 63.1% 63.6% 72.1% 0.88× 1.57
Kifisia under 0.5 goals 36.9% 36.4% 27.9% 1.31× 2.75
Kifisia over 1.5 goals 26.3% 25.8% 38.7% 0.66× 3.88
Kifisia over 2.5 goals 8.0% 7.8% 18.2% 0.43× 12.86
Kifisia over 3.5 goals 1.9% 3.6% 5.7% 0.63× 27.59
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 1.5 in 1st half 93.1% 94.8% — — 1.06
Kifisia under 0.5 in 1st half 65.1% 69.2% — — 1.45
Kifisia over 0.5 in 1st half 34.9% 30.8% — — 3.25
Kifisia over 1.5 in 1st half 6.9% 5.2% — — 19.27
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia scores equally in both 46.5% 47.0% — — 2.13
Kifisia scores more in 2nd half 31.5% 33.2% — — 3.02
Kifisia scores more in 1st half 22.1% 21.1% — — 4.74
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos (home no bet) 54.8% 51.4% 57.5% 0.89× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 45.2% 48.6% 42.5% 1.14× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia even goals 56.8% 55.3% 52.9% 1.05× 1.81
Kifisia odd goals 43.2% 44.7% 47.1% 0.95× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 39.8% 39.5% — — 2.53
HT 0-1 19.4% 18.5% — — 5.39
HT 1-0 16.5% 18.5% — — 5.41
HT 1-1 8.9% 6.9% — — 14.44
HT 0-2 5.0% 2.4% — — 41.88
HT 2-0 3.6% 2.4% — — 41.97
Any other HT score 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.05
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.07
HT 2-1 1.8% 2.4% — — 42.09
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.18
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 22.5% 21.7% — — 4.61
Atromitos at HT / Atromitos at FT 21.7% 21.7% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Atromitos at FT 16.0% 16.8% — — 5.96
Kifisia at HT / Kifisia at FT 15.0% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Kifisia at FT 10.6% 12.6% — — 7.92
Kifisia at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.1% — — 16.49
Atromitos at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.79
Kifisia at HT / Atromitos at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.89
Atromitos at HT / Kifisia at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos to score last 48.8% 46.6% — — 2.15
Kifisia to score last 38.4% 38.8% — — 2.58
No goal scored 12.8% 9.4% — — 10.62
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 87.2% 91.2% — — 1.10
Atromitos to lead by 1 at any time 54.8% 50.9% — — 1.97
Kifisia to lead by 1 at any time 43.1% 39.3% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 38.6% 34.7% — — 2.88
Atromitos to lead by 2 at any time 23.8% 19.6% — — 5.11
Kifisia to lead by 2 at any time 14.9% 10.6% — — 9.47
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.9% 10.5% — — 9.52
Atromitos to lead by 3 at any time 7.9% 6.7% — — 14.94
Kifisia to lead by 3 at any time 3.9% 1.6% — — 61.17
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia most corners 51.9% 51.7% — — 1.94
Atromitos most corners 36.8% 39.3% — — 2.55
Corners level 11.3% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.4% 83.4% 88.5% 0.94× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.3% 78.7% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
1-3 goals 68.0% 68.8% 69.3% 0.99× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.4% 68.8% 72.3% 0.95× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.5% 68.8% 70.1% 0.98× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.4% 63.3% 61.7% 1.03× 1.58
2-3 goals 49.0% 48.5% 50.8% 0.95× 2.06
1-2 goals 48.0% 48.5% 43.4% 1.12× 2.06
3-6 goals 38.4% 39.2% 47.5% 0.82× 2.55
3-5 goals 36.5% 39.2% 45.3% 0.87× 2.55
3-4 goals 31.4% 35.2% 36.9% 0.95× 2.84
4-6 goals 18.3% 18.8% 21.7% 0.87× 5.31
4-5 goals 16.4% 18.8% 19.5% 0.97× 5.31
5-6 goals 7.0% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.27
7+ goals 0.8% 2.6% 1.0% 2.49× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Atromitos never behind 44.1% 48.7% — — 2.05
Kifisia never behind 32.4% 36.2% — — 2.76
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 55.2% 50.5% 46.3% 1.09× 1.98
Odd number of goals 44.8% 49.5% 53.7% 0.92× 2.02
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.5% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 41.5% 42.3% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.1% 58.4% — — 1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.9% 41.6% — — 2.41
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.2% 95.4% 96.7% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.1% 92.3% 88.3% 1.04× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 87.2% 87.6% 91.6% 0.96× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 80.8% 82.3% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 68.2% 66.3% 73.2% 0.91× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 60.7% 61.7% 51.6% 1.20× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 39.3% 38.3% 48.4% 0.79× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 31.8% 33.7% 26.8% 1.26× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 19.2% 17.7% 22.5% 0.78× 5.65
Under 0.5 goals 12.8% 12.4% 8.4% 1.48× 8.06
Over 4.5 goals 7.9% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.40× 21.85
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.1% 97.2% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.1% 97.2% 96.4% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.1% 92.4% 86.9% 1.06× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 76.0% 75.9% 69.6% 1.09× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.3% 55.7% 64.3% 0.87× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.7% 44.3% 35.7% 1.24× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 24.0% 24.1% 30.4% 0.79× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.9% 7.6% 13.1% 0.58× 13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 0.79× 35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.9% 2.8% 1.0% 2.68× 35.64
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.2% 92.7% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 75.6% 78.4% — — 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 60.3% 63.1% — — 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 39.8% 36.9% — — 2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.4% 21.6% — — 4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.8% 7.3% — — 13.71
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 85.2% 85.4% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.6% 77.6% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 61.0% 61.2% — — 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.0% 38.8% — — 2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.4% 22.4% — — 4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.9% 14.6% — — 6.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to score in both halves 84.9% 84.3% — — 1.19
Atromitos not to score in both halves 79.0% 78.6% — — 1.27
Atromitos to score in both halves 21.0% 21.4% — — 4.67
Kifisia to score in both halves 15.1% 15.7% — — 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.5% 50.7% 48.4% 1.05× 1.97
Only Atromitos scores 24.1% 22.3% 19.7% 1.13× 4.49
Only Kifisia scores 15.6% 16.0% 24.0% 0.67× 6.24
Neither team scores 12.8% 11.0% 8.4% 1.31× 9.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 29.0% 24.9% 25.0% 1.00× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 20.1% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 19.0% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 12.8% 12.1% 8.4% 1.44× 8.25
Exactly 4 goals 11.3% 12.1% 11.1% 1.10× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 5.1% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.15
6 or more goals 2.8% 4.5% 3.3% 1.36× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 39.8% 37.4% — — 2.67
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 17.5% 15.6% — — 6.41
3+ goals in 1st half 6.8% 7.3% — — 13.71
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.0% 40.5% — — 2.47
1 goal in 2nd half 33.6% 33.8% — — 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 27.4% 29.4% — — 3.40
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win both halves 94.3% 94.2% — — 1.06
Atromitos not to win both halves 89.7% 88.0% — — 1.14
Atromitos to win both halves 10.3% 12.0% — — 8.37
Kifisia to win both halves 5.7% 5.8% — — 17.18
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to win neither half 59.1% 59.2% — — 1.69
Atromitos to win either half 53.1% 54.3% — — 1.84
Atromitos to win neither half 46.9% 45.7% — — 2.19
Kifisia to win either half 40.9% 40.8% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win to nil 84.4% 83.1% 76.0% 1.09× 1.20
Atromitos not to win to nil 75.9% 78.1% 80.3% 0.97× 1.28
Atromitos to win to nil 24.1% 21.9% 19.7% 1.11× 4.56
Kifisia to win to nil 15.6% 16.9% 24.0% 0.70× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 33.0% 27.7% 25.0% 1.11× 3.61
Atromitos by 1 21.1% 24.1% 20.1% 1.20× 4.15
Kifisia by 1 16.2% 17.0% 20.5% 0.83× 5.87
Atromitos by 2 12.4% 11.8% 8.4% 1.40× 8.51
Kifisia by 2 7.8% 7.2% 10.7% 0.68× 13.90
Atromitos by 3+ 6.6% 7.2% 5.7% 1.25× 13.91
Kifisia by 3+ 3.0% 2.7% 10.7% 0.25× 36.84
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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